arXiv subjects

Minwoo Chae

Publications and source records attributed to Minwoo Chae.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Nonparametric undirected graphical model selection using diffusion models

Undirected graphical models provide a fundamental framework for representing conditional independence structures among high-dimensional random variables. While undirected graphical model selection has become a central problem in high-dimensional statistics, most existing methods are restricted to parametric settings. In this paper, we develop a nonparametric approach to undirected graphical model selection based on diffusion models. Recent work has shown that diffusion models can adapt to the unknown graph structure of the underlying distribution, yet utilizing these models for explicit graph estimation remains unexplored. To bridge this gap, we introduce a novel diffusion-based method for nonparametric undirected graphical model selection. We establish the model selection consistency of the proposed method and demonstrate its empirical performance through extensive simulations and two real data analyses.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Stay Fair! Ensuring Group Fairness in Diffusion Models Across Guidance Scales

Diffusion models steer conditional generation with a tunable guidance scale to trade off prompt alignment and diversity. However, existing debiasing techniques are optimized for a single scale, degrading fairness when users adjust this parameter. We trace this behavior to a previously overlooked source by decomposing total bias into two components: a model bias and a guidance bias. While prior work primarily targets the former, we show that the guidance bias grows monotonically with the guidance scale, eventually dominating the high-guidance regimes users prefer. To address this, we extend Strong Demographic Parity to guidance and derive a condition under which the target distribution retains its group ratio across guidance scales. We propose StayFair, which leverages this condition to design fair guidance algorithms in both regimes. For classifier guidance, it equalizes the classifier's output distributions across groups; for classifier-free guidance, it shifts the null embedding by a prompt-dependent offset. Because StayFair modifies only the guidance step, it is orthogonal to model debiasing and can be layered onto existing fair diffusion models to extend their fairness across guidance scales. Across class-conditional and text-to-image generation, StayFair decouples fairness from the guidance scale without sacrificing image quality.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Bayesian online learning in the one-pass regime: Frequentist validity and uncertainty quantification

Bayesian online learning provides a coherent framework for sequential inference. However, its theoretical understanding remains limited, particularly in the one-pass setting. Existing theoretical guarantees typically require the mini-batch sample size to diverge, a condition that fails in the one-pass regime. In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian online learning algorithm tailored to the one-pass setting, which incorporates a warm-start phase to ensure stable sequential updates. For this algorithm, we show that the sequentially updated posterior attains the optimal convergence rate. Building on this, we establish an online analogue of the Bernstein-von Mises theorem, which guarantees valid uncertainty quantification without diverging mini-batch sample sizes. Our analysis is based on a novel theoretical framework that differs fundamentally from existing approaches in the online learning literature. Numerical experiments on generalized linear models show that the proposed method matches the performance of the batch estimator while outperforming existing online procedures.

math.ST↗

arXiv2026

Multimodal Dataset Distillation Made Simple by Prototype-Guided Data Synthesis

Recent advances in multimodal learning have achieved remarkable success across diverse vision-language tasks. However, such progress heavily relies on large-scale image-text datasets, making training costly and inefficient. Prior efforts in dataset filtering and pruning attempt to mitigate this issue, but still require relatively large subsets to maintain performance and fail under very small subsets. Dataset distillation offers a promising alternative, yet existing multimodal dataset distillation methods require full-dataset training and joint optimization of image pixels and text features, making them architecture-dependent and limiting cross-architecture generalization. To overcome this, we propose a learning-free dataset distillation framework that eliminates the need for large-scale training and optimization while enhancing generalization across architectures. Our method uses CLIP to extract aligned image-text embeddings, obtains prototypes, and employs an unCLIP decoder to synthesize images, enabling efficient and scalable multimodal dataset distillation. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms optimization-based dataset distillation and subset selection methods, achieving state-of-the-art cross-architecture generalization.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Distributionally Robust Classification for Multi-source Unsupervised Domain Adaptation

Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) is a statistical learning problem when the distribution of training (source) data is different from that of test (target) data. In this setting, one has access to labeled data only from the source domain and unlabeled data from the target domain. The central objective is to leverage the source data and the unlabeled target data to build models that generalize to the target domain. Despite its potential, existing UDA approaches often struggle in practice, particularly in scenarios where the target domain offers only limited unlabeled data or spurious correlations dominate the source domain. To address these challenges, we propose a novel distributionally robust learning framework that models uncertainty in both the covariate distribution and the conditional label distribution. Our approach is motivated by the multi-source domain adaptation setting but is also directly applicable to the single-source scenario, making it versatile in practice. We develop an efficient learning algorithm that can be seamlessly integrated with existing UDA methods. Extensive experiments under various distribution shift scenarios show that our method consistently outperforms strong baselines, especially when target data are extremely scarce.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Mitigating Spurious Correlation via Distributionally Robust Learning with Hierarchical Ambiguity Sets

Conventional supervised learning methods are often vulnerable to spurious correlations, particularly under distribution shifts in test data. To address this issue, several approaches, most notably Group DRO, have been developed. While these methods are highly robust to subpopulation or group shifts, they remain vulnerable to intra-group distributional shifts, which frequently occur in minority groups with limited samples. We propose a hierarchical extension of Group DRO that addresses both inter-group and intra-group uncertainties, providing robustness to distribution shifts at multiple levels. We also introduce new benchmark settings that simulate realistic minority group distribution shifts-an important yet previously underexplored challenge in spurious correlation research. Our method demonstrates strong robustness under these conditions-where existing robust learning methods consistently fail-while also achieving superior performance on standard benchmarks. These results highlight the importance of broadening the ambiguity set to better capture both inter-group and intra-group distributional uncertainties.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

A monotone single index model for spatially referenced multistate current status data

Assessment of multistate disease progression is commonplace in biomedical research, such as, in periodontal disease (PD). However, the presence of multistate current status endpoints, where only a single snapshot of each subject's progression through disease states is available at a random inspection time after a known starting state, complicates the inferential framework. In addition, these endpoints can be clustered, and spatially associated, where a group of proximally located teeth (within subjects) may experience similar PD status, compared to those distally located. Motivated by a clinical study recording PD progression, we propose a Bayesian semiparametric accelerated failure time model with an inverse-Wishart proposal for accommodating (spatial) random effects, and flexible errors that follow a Dirichlet process mixture of Gaussians. For clinical interpretability, the systematic component of the event times is modeled using a monotone single index model, with the (unknown) link function estimated via a novel integrated basis expansion and basis coefficients endowed with constrained Gaussian process priors. In addition to establishing parameter identifiability, we present scalable computing via a combination of elliptical slice sampling, fast circulant embedding techniques, and smoothing of hard constraints, leading to straightforward estimation of parameters, and state occupation and transition probabilities. Using synthetic data, we study the finite sample properties of our Bayesian estimates, and their performance under model misspecification. We also illustrate our method via application to the real clinical PD dataset.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Online Bernstein-von Mises theorem

Online learning is an inferential paradigm in which parameters are updated incrementally from sequentially available data, in contrast to batch learning, where the entire dataset is processed at once. In this paper, we assume that mini-batches from the full dataset become available sequentially. The Bayesian framework, which updates beliefs about unknown parameters after observing each mini-batch, is naturally suited for online learning. At each step, we update the posterior distribution using the current prior and new observations, with the updated posterior serving as the prior for the next step. However, this recursive Bayesian updating is rarely computationally tractable unless the model and prior are conjugate. When the model is regular, the updated posterior can be approximated by a normal distribution, as justified by the Bernstein-von Mises theorem. We adopt a variational approximation at each step and investigate the frequentist properties of the final posterior obtained through this sequential procedure. Under mild assumptions, we show that the accumulated approximation error becomes negligible once the mini-batch size exceeds a threshold depending on the parameter dimension. As a result, the sequentially updated posterior is asymptotically indistinguishable from the full posterior.

math.ST↗

arXiv2025

Fairness Through Matching

Group fairness requires that different protected groups, characterized by a given sensitive attribute, receive equal outcomes overall. Typically, the level of group fairness is measured by the statistical gap between predictions from different protected groups. In this study, we reveal an implicit property of existing group fairness measures, which provides an insight into how the group-fair models behave. Then, we develop a new group-fair constraint based on this implicit property to learn group-fair models. To do so, we first introduce a notable theoretical observation: every group-fair model has an implicitly corresponding transport map between the input spaces of each protected group. Based on this observation, we introduce a new group fairness measure termed Matched Demographic Parity (MDP), which quantifies the averaged gap between predictions of two individuals (from different protected groups) matched by a given transport map. Then, we prove that any transport map can be used in MDP to learn group-fair models, and develop a novel algorithm called Fairness Through Matching (FTM), which learns a group-fair model using MDP constraint with an user-specified transport map. We specifically propose two favorable types of transport maps for MDP, based on the optimal transport theory, and discuss their advantages. Experiments reveal that FTM successfully trains group-fair models with certain desirable properties by choosing the transport map accordingly.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

Nonparametric estimation of a factorizable density using diffusion models

In recent years, diffusion models, and more generally score-based deep generative models, have achieved remarkable success in various applications, including image and audio generation. In this paper, we view diffusion models as an implicit approach to nonparametric density estimation and study them within a statistical framework to analyze their surprising performance. A key challenge in high-dimensional statistical inference is leveraging low-dimensional structures inherent in the data to mitigate the curse of dimensionality. We assume that the underlying density exhibits a low-dimensional structure by factorizing into low-dimensional components, a property common in examples such as Bayesian networks and Markov random fields. Under suitable assumptions, we demonstrate that an implicit density estimator constructed from diffusion models adapts to the factorization structure and achieves the minimax optimal rate with respect to the total variation distance. In constructing the estimator, we design a sparse weight-sharing neural network architecture, where sparsity and weight-sharing are key features of practical architectures such as convolutional neural networks and recurrent neural networks.

math.ST↗

arXiv2024

Advances in Bayesian model selection consistency for high-dimensional generalized linear models

Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian literature is well-developed and there are no substantial differences in the model selection consistency results available from the two schools. For the more challenging generalized linear models (GLMs), however, Bayesian model selection consistency results are lacking in several ways. In this paper, we construct a Bayesian posterior distribution using an appropriate data-dependent prior and develop its asymptotic concentration properties using new theoretical techniques. In particular, we leverage Spokoiny's powerful non-asymptotic theory to obtain sharp quadratic approximations of the GLM's log-likelihood function, which leads to tight bounds on the errors associated with the model-specific maximum likelihood estimators and the Laplace approximation of our Bayesian marginal likelihood. In turn, these improved bounds lead to significantly stronger, near-optimal Bayesian model selection consistency results, e.g., far weaker beta-min conditions, compared to those available in the existing literature. In particular, our results are applicable to the Poisson regression model, in which the score function is not sub-Gaussian.

math.ST↗

arXiv2023

Minimax optimal density estimation using a shallow generative model with a one-dimensional latent variable

A deep generative model yields an implicit estimator for the unknown distribution or density function of the observation. This paper investigates some statistical properties of the implicit density estimator pursued by VAE-type methods from a nonparametric density estimation framework. More specifically, we obtain convergence rates of the VAE-type density estimator under the assumption that the underlying true density function belongs to a locally H\"{o}lder class. Remarkably, a near minimax optimal rate with respect to the Hellinger metric can be achieved by the simplest network architecture, a shallow generative model with a one-dimensional latent variable.

math.ST↗

arXiv2022

Rates of convergence for nonparametric estimation of singular distributions using generative adversarial networks

It is common in nonparametric estimation problems to impose a certain low-dimensional structure on the unknown parameter to avoid the curse of dimensionality. This paper considers a nonparametric distribution estimation problem with a structural assumption under which the target distribution is allowed to be singular with respect to the Lebesgue measure. In particular, we investigate the use of generative adversarial networks (GANs) for estimating the unknown distribution and obtain a convergence rate with respect to the $L^1$-Wasserstein metric. The convergence rate depends only on the underlying structure and noise level. More interestingly, under the same structural assumption, the convergence rate of GAN is strictly faster than the known rate of VAE in the literature. We also obtain a lower bound for the minimax optimal rate, which is conjectured to be sharp at least in some special cases. Although our upper and lower bounds for the minimax optimal rate do not match, the difference is not significant.

math.ST↗

arXiv2021

A likelihood approach to nonparametric estimation of a singular distribution using deep generative models

We investigate statistical properties of a likelihood approach to nonparametric estimation of a singular distribution using deep generative models. More specifically, a deep generative model is used to model high-dimensional data that are assumed to concentrate around some low-dimensional structure. Estimating the distribution supported on this low-dimensional structure, such as a low-dimensional manifold, is challenging due to its singularity with respect to the Lebesgue measure in the ambient space. In the considered model, a usual likelihood approach can fail to estimate the target distribution consistently due to the singularity. We prove that a novel and effective solution exists by perturbing the data with an instance noise, which leads to consistent estimation of the underlying distribution with desirable convergence rates. We also characterize the class of distributions that can be efficiently estimated via deep generative models. This class is sufficiently general to contain various structured distributions such as product distributions, classically smooth distributions and distributions supported on a low-dimensional manifold. Our analysis provides some insights on how deep generative models can avoid the curse of dimensionality for nonparametric distribution estimation. We conduct a thorough simulation study and real data analysis to empirically demonstrate that the proposed data perturbation technique improves the estimation performance significantly.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2020

Bayesian High-dimensional Semi-parametric Inference beyond sub-Gaussian Errors

We consider a sparse linear regression model with unknown symmetric error under the high-dimensional setting. The true error distribution is assumed to belong to the locally $β$-Hölder class with an exponentially decreasing tail, which does not need to be sub-Gaussian. We obtain posterior convergence rates of the regression coefficient and the error density, which are nearly optimal and adaptive to the unknown sparsity level. Furthermore, we derive the semi-parametric Bernstein-von Mises (BvM) theorem to characterize asymptotic shape of the marginal posterior for regression coefficients. Under the sub-Gaussianity assumption on the true score function, strong model selection consistency for regression coefficients are also obtained, which eventually asserts the frequentist's validity of credible sets.

math.ST↗

arXiv2020

Posterior asymptotics in Wasserstein metrics on the real line

In this paper, we use the class of Wasserstein metrics to study asymptotic properties of posterior distributions. Our first goal is to provide sufficient conditions for posterior consistency. In addition to the well-known Schwartz's Kullback--Leibler condition on the prior, the true distribution and most probability measures in the support of the prior are required to possess moments up to an order which is determined by the order of the Wasserstein metric. We further investigate convergence rates of the posterior distributions for which we need stronger moment conditions. The required tail conditions are sharp in the sense that the posterior distribution may be inconsistent or contract slowly to the true distribution without these conditions. Our study involves techniques that build on recent advances on Wasserstein convergence of empirical measures. We apply the results to density estimation with a Dirichlet process mixture prior and conduct a simulation study for further illustration.

math.ST↗

arXiv2019

Bayesian Sparse Linear Regression with Unknown Symmetric Error

We study full Bayesian procedures for sparse linear regression when errors have a symmetric but otherwise unknown distribution. The unknown error distribution is endowed with a symmetrized Dirichlet process mixture of Gaussians. For the prior on regression coefficients, a mixture of point masses at zero and continuous distributions is considered. We study behavior of the posterior with diverging number of predictors. Conditions are provided for consistency in the mean Hellinger distance. The compatibility and restricted eigenvalue conditions yield the minimax convergence rate of the regression coefficients in $\ell_1$- and $\ell_2$-norms, respectively. The convergence rate is adaptive to both the unknown sparsity level and the unknown symmetric error density under compatibility conditions. In addition, strong model selection consistency and a semi-parametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem are proven under slightly stronger conditions.

math.ST↗

arXiv2017

Fast nonparametric near-maximum likelihood estimation of a mixing density

Mixture models are regularly used in density estimation applications, but the problem of estimating the mixing distribution remains a challenge. Nonparametric maximum likelihood produce estimates of the mixing distribution that are discrete, and these may be hard to interpret when the true mixing distribution is believed to have a smooth density. In this paper, we investigate an algorithm that produces a sequence of smooth estimates that has been conjectured to converge to the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator. Here we give a rigorous proof of this conjecture, and propose a new data-driven stopping rule that produces smooth near-maximum likelihood estimates of the mixing density, and simulations demonstrate the quality empirical performance of this estimator.

stat.CO↗