arXiv subjects

Mohamadreza Ahmadi

Publications and source records attributed to Mohamadreza Ahmadi.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2024

Risk-Aware Robotics: Tail Risk Measures in Planning, Control, and Verification

The need for a systematic approach to risk assessment has increased in recent years due to the ubiquity of autonomous systems that alter our day-to-day experiences and their need for safety, e.g., for self-driving vehicles, mobile service robots, and bipedal robots. These systems are expected to function safely in unpredictable environments and interact seamlessly with humans, whose behavior is notably challenging to forecast. We present a survey of risk-aware methodologies for autonomous systems. We adopt a contemporary risk-aware approach to mitigate rare and detrimental outcomes by advocating the use of tail risk measures, a concept borrowed from financial literature. This survey will introduce these measures and explain their relevance in the context of robotic systems for planning, control, and verification applications.

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arXiv2023

Risk-Averse Receding Horizon Motion Planning for Obstacle Avoidance using Coherent Risk Measures

This paper studies the problem of risk-averse receding horizon motion planning for agents with uncertain dynamics, in the presence of stochastic, dynamic obstacles. We propose a model predictive control (MPC) scheme that formulates the obstacle avoidance constraint using coherent risk measures. To handle disturbances, or process noise, in the state dynamics, the state constraints are tightened in a risk-aware manner to provide a disturbance feedback policy. We also propose a waypoint following algorithm that uses the proposed MPC scheme for discrete distributions and prove its risk-sensitive recursive feasibility while guaranteeing finite-time task completion. We further investigate some commonly used coherent risk metrics, namely, conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), entropic value-at-risk (EVaR), and g-entropic risk measures, and propose a tractable incorporation within MPC. We illustrate our framework via simulation studies.

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arXiv2023

Barrier-Based Test Synthesis for Safety-Critical Systems Subject to Timed Reach-Avoid Specifications

We propose an adversarial, time-varying test-synthesis procedure for safety-critical systems without requiring specific knowledge of the underlying controller steering the system. From a broader test and evaluation context, determination of difficult tests of system behavior is important as these tests would elucidate problematic system phenomena before these mistakes can engender problematic outcomes, e.g. loss of human life in autonomous cars, costly failures for airplane systems, etc. Our approach builds on existing, simulation-based work in the test and evaluation literature by offering a controller-agnostic test-synthesis procedure that provides a series of benchmark tests with which to determine controller reliability. To achieve this, our approach codifies the system objective as a timed reach-avoid specification. Then, by coupling control barrier functions with this class of specifications, we construct an instantaneous difficulty metric whose minimizer corresponds to the most difficult test at that system state. We use this instantaneous difficulty metric in a game-theoretic fashion, to produce an adversarial, time-varying test-synthesis procedure that does not require specific knowledge of the system's controller, but can still provably identify realizable and maximally difficult tests of system behavior. Finally, we develop this test-synthesis procedure for both continuous and discrete-time systems and showcase our test-synthesis procedure on simulated and hardware examples.

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arXiv2023

Constrained Active Classification Using Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes

In this work, we study the problem of actively classifying the attributes of dynamical systems characterized as a finite set of Markov decision process (MDP) models. We are interested in finding strategies that actively interact with the dynamical system and observe its reactions so that the attribute of interest is classified efficiently with high confidence. We present a decision-theoretic framework based on partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs). The proposed framework relies on assigning a classification belief (a probability distribution) to the attributes of interest. Given an initial belief, a confidence level over which a classification decision can be made, a cost bound, safe belief sets, and a finite time horizon, we compute POMDP strategies leading to classification decisions. We present three different algorithms to compute such strategies. The first algorithm computes the optimal strategy exactly by value iteration. To overcome the computational complexity of computing the exact solutions, we propose a second algorithm based on adaptive sampling and a third based on a Monte Carlo tree search to approximate the optimal probability of reaching a classification decision. We illustrate the proposed methodology using examples from medical diagnosis, security surveillance, and wildlife classification.

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arXiv2022

Distributionally Robust Model Predictive Control with Total Variation Distance

This paper studies the problem of distributionally robust model predictive control (MPC) using total variation distance ambiguity sets. For a discrete-time linear system with additive disturbances, we provide a conditional value-at-risk reformulation of the MPC optimization problem that is distributionally robust in the expected cost and chance constraints. The distributionally robust chance constraint is over-approximated as a simpler, tightened chance constraint that reduces the computational burden. Numerical experiments support our results on probabilistic guarantees and computational efficiency.

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arXiv2022

Sample-Based Bounds for Coherent Risk Measures: Applications to Policy Synthesis and Verification

The dramatic increase of autonomous systems subject to variable environments has given rise to the pressing need to consider risk in both the synthesis and verification of policies for these systems. This paper aims to address a few problems regarding risk-aware verification and policy synthesis, by first developing a sample-based method to bound the risk measure evaluation of a random variable whose distribution is unknown. These bounds permit us to generate high-confidence verification statements for a large class of robotic systems. Second, we develop a sample-based method to determine solutions to non-convex optimization problems that outperform a large fraction of the decision space of possible solutions. Both sample-based approaches then permit us to rapidly synthesize risk-aware policies that are guaranteed to achieve a minimum level of system performance. To showcase our approach in simulation, we verify a cooperative multi-agent system and develop a risk-aware controller that outperforms the system's baseline controller. We also mention how our approach can be extended to account for any $g$-entropic risk measure - the subset of coherent risk measures on which we focus.

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arXiv2022

Safe Control for Nonlinear Systems with Stochastic Uncertainty via Risk Control Barrier Functions

Guaranteeing safety for robotic and autonomous systems in real-world environments is a challenging task that requires the mitigation of stochastic uncertainties. Control barrier functions have, in recent years, been widely used for enforcing safety related set-theoretic properties, such as forward invariance and reachability, of nonlinear dynamical systems. In this paper, we extend this rich framework to nonlinear discrete-time systems subject to stochastic uncertainty and propose a framework for assuring risk-sensitive safety in terms of coherent risk measures. To this end, we introduce risk control barrier functions (RCBFs), which are compositions of barrier functions and dynamic, coherent risk measures. We show that the existence of such barrier functions implies invariance in a coherent risk sense. Furthermore, we formulate conditions based on finite-time RCBFs to guarantee finite-time reachability to a desired set in the coherent risk. Conditions for risk-sensitive safety and finite-time reachability of sets composed of Boolean compositions of multiple RCBF are also formulated. We show the efficacy of the proposed method through its application to a cart-pole system in a safety-critical scenario.

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arXiv2022

A Scenario Approach to Risk-Aware Safety-Critical System Verification

With the growing interest in deploying robots in unstructured and uncertain environments, there has been increasing interest in factoring risk into safety-critical control development. Similarly, the authors believe risk should also be accounted in the verification of these controllers. In pursuit of sample-efficient methods for uncertain black-box verification then, we first detail a method to estimate the Value-at-Risk of arbitrary scalar random variables without requiring \textit{apriori} knowledge of its distribution. Then, we reformulate the uncertain verification problem as a Value-at-Risk estimation problem making use of our prior results. In doing so, we provide fundamental sampling requirements to bound with high confidence the volume of states and parameters for a black-box system that could potentially yield unsafe phenomena. We also show that this procedure works independent of system complexity through simulated examples of the Robotarium.

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arXiv2021

Risk-Averse Decision Making Under Uncertainty

A large class of decision making under uncertainty problems can be described via Markov decision processes (MDPs) or partially observable MDPs (POMDPs), with application to artificial intelligence and operations research, among others. Traditionally, policy synthesis techniques are proposed such that a total expected cost or reward is minimized or maximized. However, optimality in the total expected cost sense is only reasonable if system behavior in the large number of runs is of interest, which has limited the use of such policies in practical mission-critical scenarios, wherein large deviations from the expected behavior may lead to mission failure. In this paper, we consider the problem of designing policies for MDPs and POMDPs with objectives and constraints in terms of dynamic coherent risk measures, which we refer to as the constrained risk-averse problem. For MDPs, we reformulate the problem into a infsup problem via the Lagrangian framework and propose an optimization-based method to synthesize Markovian policies. For MDPs, we demonstrate that the formulated optimization problems are in the form of difference convex programs (DCPs) and can be solved by the disciplined convex-concave programming (DCCP) framework. We show that these results generalize linear programs for constrained MDPs with total discounted expected costs and constraints. For POMDPs, we show that, if the coherent risk measures can be defined as a Markov risk transition mapping, an infinite-dimensional optimization can be used to design Markovian belief-based policies. For stochastic finite-state controllers (FSCs), we show that the latter optimization simplifies to a (finite-dimensional) DCP and can be solved by the DCCP framework. We incorporate these DCPs in a policy iteration algorithm to design risk-averse FSCs for POMDPs.

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arXiv2021

Risk-Sensitive Motion Planning using Entropic Value-at-Risk

We consider the problem of risk-sensitive motion planning in the presence of randomly moving obstacles. To this end, we adopt a model predictive control (MPC) scheme and pose the obstacle avoidance constraint in the MPC problem as a distributionally robust constraint with a KL divergence ambiguity set. This constraint is the dual representation of the Entropic Value-at-Risk (EVaR). Building upon this viewpoint, we propose an algorithm to follow waypoints and discuss its feasibility and completion in finite time. We compare the policies obtained using EVaR with those obtained using another common coherent risk measure, Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), via numerical experiments for a 2D system. We also implement the waypoint following algorithm on a 3D quadcopter simulation.

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arXiv2021

Constrained Risk-Averse Markov Decision Processes

We consider the problem of designing policies for Markov decision processes (MDPs) with dynamic coherent risk objectives and constraints. We begin by formulating the problem in a Lagrangian framework. Under the assumption that the risk objectives and constraints can be represented by a Markov risk transition mapping, we propose an optimization-based method to synthesize Markovian policies that lower-bound the constrained risk-averse problem. We demonstrate that the formulated optimization problems are in the form of difference convex programs (DCPs) and can be solved by the disciplined convex-concave programming (DCCP) framework. We show that these results generalize linear programs for constrained MDPs with total discounted expected costs and constraints. Finally, we illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method with numerical experiments on a rover navigation problem involving conditional-value-at-risk (CVaR) and entropic-value-at-risk (EVaR) coherent risk measures.

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arXiv2021

Risk-Averse Stochastic Shortest Path Planning

We consider the stochastic shortest path planning problem in MDPs, i.e., the problem of designing policies that ensure reaching a goal state from a given initial state with minimum accrued cost. In order to account for rare but important realizations of the system, we consider a nested dynamic coherent risk total cost functional rather than the conventional risk-neutral total expected cost. Under some assumptions, we show that optimal, stationary, Markovian policies exist and can be found via a special Bellman's equation. We propose a computational technique based on difference convex programs (DCPs) to find the associated value functions and therefore the risk-averse policies. A rover navigation MDP is used to illustrate the proposed methodology with conditional-value-at-risk (CVaR) and entropic-value-at-risk (EVaR) coherent risk measures.

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arXiv2021

Risk-Averse Planning via CVaR Barrier Functions: Application to Bipedal Robot Locomotion

Enforcing safety in the presence of stochastic uncertainty is a challenging problem. Traditionally, researchers have proposed safety in the statistical mean as a safety measure in this case. However, ensuring safety in the statistical mean is only reasonable if system's safe behavior in the large number of runs is of interest, which precludes the use of mean safety in practical scenarios. In this paper, we propose a risk sensitive notion of safety called conditional-value-at-risk (CVaR) safety, which is concerned with safe performance in the worst case realizations. We introduce CVaR barrier functions as a tool to enforce CVaR-safety and propose conditions for their Boolean compositions. Given a legacy controller, we show that we can design a minimally interfering CVaR-safe controller via solving difference convex programs. We elucidate the proposed method by applying it to a bipedal robot locomotion case study.

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arXiv2021

Time-Optimal Navigation in Uncertain Environments with High-Level Specifications

Mixed observable Markov decision processes (MOMDPs) are a modeling framework for autonomous systems described by both fully and partially observable states. In this work, we study the problem of synthesizing a control policy for MOMDPs that minimizes the expected time to complete the control task while satisfying syntactically co-safe Linear Temporal Logic (scLTL) specifications. First, we present an exact dynamic programming update to compute the value function. Afterwards, we propose a point-based approximation, which allows us to compute a lower bound of the closed-loop probability of satisfying the specifications. The effectiveness of the proposed approach and comparisons with standard strategies are shown on high-fidelity navigation tasks with partially observable static obstacles.

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arXiv2020

Formal Test Synthesis for Safety-Critical Autonomous Systems based on Control Barrier Functions

The prolific rise in autonomous systems has led to questions regarding their safe instantiation in real-world scenarios. Failures in safety-critical contexts such as human-robot interactions or even autonomous driving can ultimately lead to loss of life. In this context, this paper aims to provide a method by which one can algorithmically test and evaluate an autonomous system. Given a black-box autonomous system with some operational specifications, we construct a minimax problem based on control barrier functions to generate a family of test parameters designed to optimally evaluate whether the system can satisfy the specifications. To illustrate our results, we utilize the Robotarium as a case study for an autonomous system that claims to satisfy waypoint navigation and obstacle avoidance simultaneously. We demonstrate that the proposed test synthesis framework systematically finds those sequences of events (tests) that identify points of system failure.

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arXiv2020

Barrier Functions for Multiagent-POMDPs with DTL Specifications

Multi-agent partially observable Markov decision processes (MPOMDPs) provide a framework to represent heterogeneous autonomous agents subject to uncertainty and partial observation. In this paper, given a nominal policy provided by a human operator or a conventional planning method, we propose a technique based on barrier functions to design a minimally interfering safety-shield ensuring satisfaction of high-level specifications in terms of linear distribution temporal logic (LDTL). To this end, we use sufficient and necessary conditions for the invariance of a given set based on discrete-time barrier functions (DTBFs) and formulate sufficient conditions for finite time DTBF to study finite time convergence to a set. We then show that different LDTL mission/safety specifications can be cast as a set of invariance or finite time reachability problems. We demonstrate that the proposed method for safety-shield synthesis can be implemented online by a sequence of one-step greedy algorithms. We demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method using experiments involving a team of robots.

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arXiv2020

Partially Observable Games for Secure Autonomy

Technology development efforts in autonomy and cyber-defense have been evolving independently of each other, over the past decade. In this paper, we report our ongoing effort to integrate these two presently distinct areas into a single framework. To this end, we propose the two-player partially observable stochastic game formalism to capture both high-level autonomous mission planning under uncertainty and adversarial decision making subject to imperfect information. We show that synthesizing sub-optimal strategies for such games is possible under finite-memory assumptions for both the autonomous decision maker and the cyber-adversary. We then describe an experimental testbed to evaluate the efficacy of the proposed framework.

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arXiv2020

Stochastic Finite State Control of POMDPs with LTL Specifications

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide a modeling framework for autonomous decision making under uncertainty and imperfect sensing, e.g. robot manipulation and self-driving cars. However, optimal control of POMDPs is notoriously intractable. This paper considers the quantitative problem of synthesizing sub-optimal stochastic finite state controllers (sFSCs) for POMDPs such that the probability of satisfying a set of high-level specifications in terms of linear temporal logic (LTL) formulae is maximized. We begin by casting the latter problem into an optimization and use relaxations based on the Poisson equation and McCormick envelopes. Then, we propose an stochastic bounded policy iteration algorithm, leading to a controlled growth in sFSC size and an any time algorithm, where the performance of the controller improves with successive iterations, but can be stopped by the user based on time or memory considerations. We illustrate the proposed method by a robot navigation case study.

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