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Mostafa Raeisi Sarkandiz

Publications and source records attributed to Mostafa Raeisi Sarkandiz.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Are They Willing to Participate? A Review on Behavioral Economics Approach to Voters Turnout

This article investigates the fundamental factors influencing the rate and manner of Electoral participation with an economic model-based approach. In this study, the structural parameters affecting people's decision making are divided into two categories. The first category includes general topics such as economic and livelihood status, cultural factors and, also, psychological variables. In this section, given that voters are analyzed within the context of consumer behavior theory, inflation and unemployment are considered as the most important economic factors. The second group of factors focuses more on the type of voting, with emphasis on government performance. Since the incumbent government and its supportive voters are in a game with two Nash equilibrium, and also because the voters in most cases are retrospect, the government seeks to keep its position by a deliberate change in economic factors, especially inflation and unemployment rates. Finally, to better understand the issue, a hypothetical example is presented and analyzed in a developing country in the form of a state-owned populist employment plan.

econ.GN↗

The Underlying Stimulators of Chinese Government Spending on Pension and Welfare: A Co-Integrated Socio-Economic Model

This study employs a co-integrated socio-economic model to investigate the long-run drivers of Chinese government expenditure on public pensions, addressing critical stability and sustainability challenges. Our methodology establishes a genuine long-run relationship and confirmed uni-directional causality from key socioeconomic variables to government spending. The central finding is the confirmation that China still possesses an exploitable demographic dividend (DD), which counters widespread assumptions of an immediate demographic crisis and provides a limited window for proactive policy action. However, the analysis also conclusively demonstrates that relying solely on strong GDP growth is insufficient for fund stabilization. Sustainability is fundamentally governed by the ratio of contributors to pensionaries. Consequently, the study concludes that comprehensive, structural labour market reforms are mandatory to maximize the current DD and strategically mitigate the financial imbalance caused by the eventual absence of this demographic advantage.

econ.GN↗