arXiv subjects

Mous-Abou Hamadou

Publications and source records attributed to Mous-Abou Hamadou.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

New Confidence Regions for Linear Regression Parameters with Stationary-Ergodic Dependent Errors

We develop joint confidence regions for linear regression coefficients when the regressors and errors are jointly stationary and ergodic with unspecified serial dependence. The method applies random smoothing, using an independent auxiliary sample and shrinking bandwidth, to a vector of regression and second-moment statistics. Under stationarity, ergodicity, and finite second moments, the estimator is asymptotically normal and yields Wald confidence regions and simultaneous confidence intervals without direct long-run variance estimation or a parametric dependence model. For implementation, we introduce a scaled estimator with data-driven bandwidth selection and a mild truncation that improves finite-sample stability. Simulations under ARMA, ARFIMA, copula-based Markov errors, and fractional Gaussian noise, with Gaussian and heavy-tailed margins, show near-nominal coverage and competitive region volumes relative to Newey-West HAC and MAC. A winter Beijing PM2.5 application illustrates the procedure. Keywords: Random smoothing, Joint inference, Confidence regions, Dependent errors, Long memory, Regression inference

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Penalized KLIC Model Selection for the Generalized Method of Moments in Longitudinal Data with Time-Dependent Covariates

Model selection plays an important role in longitudinal data analysis, especially when models are estimated using the generalized method of moments (GMM) in the presence of time-dependent covariates. In this setting, the number of valid moment conditions can grow quickly and may lead to over-parameterized models. The Kullback--Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC) has been proposed as a model-selection tool for this framework; however, the original KLIC criterion may favor overly complex models when the number of parameters or valid moment conditions increases. To address this limitation, this study proposes two penalized versions of KLIC that incorporate penalties based on both the number of model parameters and the number of valid moment conditions. The proposed criteria are referred to as the Moment--Parameter Product Penalty KLIC (MPPP--KLIC) and the Logarithmic Penalty KLIC (LP--KLIC). These criteria provide a theoretically motivated mechanism for balancing model fit and model complexity in GMM-based longitudinal models. Through an extensive simulation study involving both binary and continuous response settings, the proposed criteria are shown to improve the ability of KLIC to distinguish among competing models and to reduce the selection of over-parameterized models. The performance of the proposed methods is further illustrated using the Filipino Child Morbidity dataset, a longitudinal study of child health in the Philippines. The results show that the proposed penalized criteria provide stable and interpretable model rankings and consistently identify age as the most important predictor of child morbidity. Overall, the proposed penalized KLIC criteria offer practical and theoretically grounded tools for model selection in GMM-based longitudinal data analysis with time-dependent covariates.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

An Extension of the d-Variate FGM Copula with Application

We introduce an extended d-variate Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula that incorporates additional parameters based on Legendre polynomials to enhance the representation of multivariate dependence structures. Within an i.i.d. framework, we derive closed-form estimators for these parameters and establish their unbiasedness, consistency, and asymptotic normality. A simulation study illustrates the finite-sample performance of the estimators. The model is applied to the Bearing dataset, previously studied by Ota and Kimura (2021) through a d-variate FGM copula and by Longla and Mous-Abou (2025) using an extended bivariate FGM copula. Our analysis shows that the classical d-variate FGM copula does not adequately represent the dependence in this dataset. Based on estimation results and model selection criteria, we propose a reduced version of the extended model as a more appropriate copula specification for the Bearing data.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2023

Estimation problems for some perturbations of the independence copula

This work provides a study of parameter estimators based on functions of Markov chains generated by some perturbations of the independence copula. We provide asymptotic distributions of maximum likelihood estimators and confidence intervals for copula parameters of several families of copulas introduced in Longla (2023). Another set of moment-like estimators is proposed along with a multivariate central limit theorem, that provides their asymptotic distributions. We investigate the particular case of Markov chains generated by sine copulas, sine-cosine copulas and the extended Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern copula family. Some tests of independence are proposed. A simulation study is provided for the three copula families of interest. This simulation proposes a comparative study of the two introduced estimators and the robust estimator of Longla and Peligrad (2021), showing advantages of the proposed work.

math.ST↗

arXiv2021

On some mixing properties of copula-based Markov chains

This paper brings some insights of $ψ'$-mixing, $ψ^*$-mixing and $ψ$-mixing for copula-based Markov chains and the perturbations of their copulas. We provide new tools to check Markov chains for $ψ$-mixing or $ψ'$-mixing, and also show that perturbations of $ψ'$-mixing copula-based Markov chains are $ψ'$-mixing while perturbations of $ψ$-mixing Markov chains are not necessarily $ψ$-mixing Markov chains, even when the perturbed copula is $ψ-mixing$. Some examples of copula families are considered. A statistical study is provided to emphasize the impact of perturbations on copula-based Markov chains. Moreover, we provide a correction to a statement made in Longla and al. (2021) on $ψ$-mixing.

math.ST↗