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Mrityunjoy Panday

Publications and source records attributed to Mrityunjoy Panday.

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Cubical Type Theoretic Navya-Nyāya

We present a formalization of the technical language of Navya-Nyaya - the "New Logic" school of late-classical Indian philosophy - in CCHM De Morgan cubical type theory (CTT). Previous formalization attempts in first-order logic (Matilal), higher-order logic (Ganeri), and Martin-Lof type theory (Bhattacharyya) each lose load-bearing structure: dependent delimitation (avacchedaka), typed absence (abhava), non-extensional identity (tadatmya), or unbounded relational depth (parampara-sambandha). We argue that CTT closes this gap natively. We give CTT encodings for seven core constructs (sambandha, avacchedaka, abhava, vyapti, tadatmya, higher relations, paryapti) plus the qualifier-qualificand structure; develop a stratified-universe foundation for the padartha system; and prove four signature theorems internal to the encoding (involution of abhava, kevalanvayi irreducibility, coextension without identity, no h-set collapse) and six metatheoretic results (soundness, conservativity, faithfulness, distinction preservation, decidability, commentarial conservativity). We close with worked encodings of fifteen Tattvacintamani passages, comparison with prior formalizations, an implementation sketch in Cubical Agda, and five distinguishing predictions - including a novel argument from Navya-Nyaya's involutive-negation doctrine for the necessity of De Morgan over Cartesian cubical foundations.

cs.LO

Predicting Fetal Birthweight from High Dimensional Data using Advanced Machine Learning

Birth weight serves as a fundamental indicator of neonatal health, closely linked to both early medical interventions and long-term developmental risks. Traditional predictive models, often constrained by limited feature selection and incomplete datasets, struggle to achieve overlooking complex maternal and fetal interactions in diverse clinical settings. This research explores machine learning to address these limitations, utilizing a structured methodology that integrates advanced imputation strategies, supervised feature selection techniques, and predictive modeling. Given the constraints of the dataset, the research strengthens the role of data preprocessing in improving the model performance. Among the various methodologies explored, tree-based feature selection methods demonstrated superior capability in identifying the most relevant predictors, while ensemble-based regression models proved highly effective in capturing non-linear relationships and complex maternal-fetal interactions within the data. Beyond model performance, the study highlights the clinical significance of key physiological determinants, offering insights into maternal and fetal health factors that influence birth weight, offering insights that extend over statistical modeling. By bridging computational intelligence with perinatal research, this work underscores the transformative role of machine learning in enhancing predictive accuracy, refining risk assessment and informing data-driven decision-making in maternal and neonatal care. Keywords: Birth weight prediction, maternal-fetal health, MICE, BART, Gradient Boosting, neonatal outcomes, Clinipredictive.

cs.LG

Parental Imprints On Birth Weight: A Data-Driven Model For Neonatal Prediction In Low Resource Prenatal Care

Accurate fetal birth weight prediction is a cornerstone of prenatal care, yet traditional methods often rely on imaging technologies that remain inaccessible in resource-limited settings. This study presents a novel machine learning-based framework that circumvents these conventional dependencies, using a diverse set of physiological, environmental, and parental factors to refine birth weight estimation. A multi-stage feature selection pipeline filters the dataset into an optimized subset, demonstrating previously underexplored yet clinically relevant predictors of fetal growth. By integrating advanced regression architectures and ensemble learning strategies, the model captures non-linear relationships often overlooked by traditional approaches, offering a predictive solution that is both interpretable and scalable. Beyond predictive accuracy, this study addresses a question: whether birth weight can be reliably estimated without conventional diagnostic tools. The findings challenge entrenched methodologies by introducing an alternative pathway that enhances accessibility without compromising clinical utility. While limitations exist, the study lays the foundation for a new era in prenatal analytics, one where data-driven inference competes with, and potentially redefines, established medical assessments. By bridging computational intelligence with obstetric science, this research establishes a framework for equitable, technology-driven advancements in maternal-fetal healthcare.

stat.OT

The Dunning-Kruger Effect in Large Language Models: An Empirical Study of Confidence Calibration

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across diverse tasks, yet their ability to accurately assess their own confidence remains poorly understood. We present an empirical study investigating whether LLMs exhibit patterns reminiscent of the Dunning-Kruger effect -- a cognitive bias where individuals with limited competence tend to overestimate their abilities. We evaluate four state-of-the-art models (Claude Haiku 4.5, Gemini 2.5 Pro, Gemini 2.5 Flash, and Kimi K2) across four benchmark datasets totaling 24,000 experimental trials. Our results reveal striking calibration differences: Kimi K2 exhibits severe overconfidence with an Expected Calibration Error (ECE) of 0.726 despite only 23.3% accuracy, while Claude Haiku 4.5 achieves the best calibration (ECE = 0.122) with 75.4% accuracy. These findings demonstrate that poorly performing models display markedly higher overconfidence -- a pattern analogous to the Dunning-Kruger effect in human cognition. We discuss implications for safe deployment of LLMs in high-stakes applications.

cs.CL