arXiv subjects

Mulugeta Haile

Publications and source records attributed to Mulugeta Haile.

13 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Time-to-Collision Based Dynamic Obstacle Avoidance Using Pretrained Vision Models for Robots in Unstructured Environments

Dynamic obstacle avoidance in unstructured outdoor environments remains a critical challenge for autonomous mobile robots, particularly when large-scale robot-specific training data and simulation-based policies are impractical. We present a data-efficient, interpretable method for vision-based dynamic obstacle avoidance that operates entirely on real-world data, avoiding the sim-to-real transfer problem inherent in simulation-trained policies. Our approach leverages UniDepth, a large pretrained monocular depth estimation model, to produce dense depth maps from RGB video without requiring stereo cameras or LiDAR at inference time. Dynamic obstacle avoidance is achieved by extending the SuperPoint and SuperGlue feature correspondence pipeline to track keypoints across long frame sequences, projecting their 2D pixel-space positions into 3D using camera intrinsics and predicted depth, running bundle adjustment initialized from these 3D keypoints, and computing per-keypoint time-to-collision (TTC). A 2D motion primitive in the ground plane is then selected to move the robot away from the closest point of approach of the minimum-TTC keypoint. Evaluated on real-world data from the M3ED dataset, our pipeline achieves a precision of 0.49 and a recall of 0.38 in identifying frames with a ground truth TTC below 1 second, and correctly generates the evasive motion direction in 84\% of true positive detections. Crucially, it detects at least one frame with TTC less than 1 second for 20 out of 22 unique physical obstacles present in our test sequences. Unlike end-to-end learned methods that demand thousands of hours of robot-specific training data, our approach eliminates model training entirely, requiring only 74 seconds of data for hyperparameter tuning. This demonstrates exceptional data efficiency while preserving interpretable and generalizable behavior across diverse obstacle types.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

Vestibular reservoir computing

Reservoir computing (RC) is a computational framework known for its training efficiency, making it ideal for physical hardware implementations. However, realizing the complex interconnectivity of traditional reservoirs in physical systems remains a significant challenge. This paper proposes a physical RC scheme inspired by the biological vestibular system. To overcome hardware complexity, we introduce a designed uncoupled topology and demonstrate that it achieves performance comparable to fully coupled networks. We theoretically analyze the difference between these topologies by deriving a memory capacity formula for linear reservoirs, identifying specific conditions where both configurations yield equivalent memory. These analytical results are demonstrated to approximately hold for nonlinear reservoir systems. Furthermore, we systematically examine the impact of reservoir size on predictive statistics and memory capacity. Our findings suggest that uncoupled reservoir architectures offer a mathematically sound and practically feasible pathway for efficient physical reservoir computing.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Anticipating tipping in spatiotemporal systems with machine learning

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of parameter-adaptable reservoir computing has been applied to predict tipping in systems described by low-dimensional stochastic differential equations. However, anticipating tipping in complex spatiotemporal dynamical systems remains a significant open problem. The ability to forecast not only the occurrence but also the precise timing of such tipping events is crucial for providing the actionable lead time necessary for timely mitigation. By utilizing the mathematical approach of non-negative matrix factorization to generate dimensionally reduced spatiotemporal data as input, we exploit parameter-adaptable reservoir computing to accurately anticipate tipping. We demonstrate that the tipping time can be identified within a narrow prediction window across a variety of spatiotemporal dynamical systems, as well as in CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5) climate projections. Furthermore, we show that this reservoir-computing framework, utilizing reduced input data, is robust against common forecasting challenges and significantly alleviates the computational overhead associated with processing full spatiotemporal data.

nlin.CD↗

arXiv2025

Unsupervised learning for anticipating critical transitions

For anticipating critical transitions in complex dynamical systems, the recent approach of parameter-driven reservoir computing requires explicit knowledge of the bifurcation parameter. We articulate a framework combining a variational autoencoder (VAE) and reservoir computing to address this challenge. In particular, the driving factor is detected from time series using the VAE in an unsupervised-learning fashion and the extracted information is then used as the parameter input to the reservoir computer for anticipating the critical transition. We demonstrate the power of the unsupervised learning scheme using prototypical dynamical systems including the spatiotemporal Kuramoto-Sivashinsky system. The scheme can also be extended to scenarios where the target system is driven by several independent parameters or with partial state observations.

nlin.CD↗

arXiv2024

Learning to learn ecosystems from limited data -- a meta-learning approach

A fundamental challenge in developing data-driven approaches to ecological systems for tasks such as state estimation and prediction is the paucity of the observational or measurement data. For example, modern machine-learning techniques such as deep learning or reservoir computing typically require a large quantity of data. Leveraging synthetic data from paradigmatic nonlinear but non-ecological dynamical systems, we develop a meta-learning framework with time-delayed feedforward neural networks to predict the long-term behaviors of ecological systems as characterized by their attractors. We show that the framework is capable of accurately reconstructing the ``dynamical climate'' of the ecological system with limited data. Three benchmark population models in ecology, namely the Hastings-Powell model, a three-species food chain, and the Lotka-Volterra system, are used to demonstrate the performance of the meta-learning based prediction framework. In all cases, enhanced accuracy and robustness are achieved using five to seven times less training data as compared with the corresponding machine-learning method trained solely from the ecosystem data. A number of issues affecting the prediction performance are addressed.

q-bio.QM↗

arXiv2024

Machine-learning prediction of tipping with applications to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Anticipating a tipping point, a transition from one stable steady state to another, is a problem of broad relevance due to the ubiquity of the phenomenon in diverse fields. The steady-state nature of the dynamics about a tipping point makes its prediction significantly more challenging than predicting other types of critical transitions from oscillatory or chaotic dynamics. Exploiting the benefits of noise, we develop a general data-driven and machine-learning approach to predicting potential future tipping in nonautonomous dynamical systems and validate the framework using examples from different fields. As an application, we address the problem of predicting the potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), possibly driven by climate-induced changes in the freshwater input to the North Atlantic. Our predictions based on synthetic and currently available empirical data place a potential collapse window spanning from 2040 to 2065, in consistency with the results in the current literature.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2023

Machine-learning parameter tracking with partial state observation

Complex and nonlinear dynamical systems often involve parameters that change with time, accurate tracking of which is essential to tasks such as state estimation, prediction, and control. Existing machine-learning methods require full state observation of the underlying system and tacitly assume adiabatic changes in the parameter. Formulating an inverse problem and exploiting reservoir computing, we develop a model-free and fully data-driven framework to accurately track time-varying parameters from partial state observation in real time. In particular, with training data from a subset of the dynamical variables of the system for a small number of known parameter values, the framework is able to accurately predict the parameter variations in time. Low- and high-dimensional, Markovian and non-Markovian nonlinear dynamical systems are used to demonstrate the power of the machine-learning based parameter-tracking framework. Pertinent issues affecting the tracking performance are addressed.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Model-free tracking control of complex dynamical trajectories with machine learning

Nonlinear tracking control enabling a dynamical system to track a desired trajectory is fundamental to robotics, serving a wide range of civil and defense applications. In control engineering, designing tracking control requires complete knowledge of the system model and equations. We develop a model-free, machine-learning framework to control a two-arm robotic manipulator using only partially observed states, where the controller is realized by reservoir computing. Stochastic input is exploited for training, which consists of the observed partial state vector as the first and its immediate future as the second component so that the neural machine regards the latter as the future state of the former. In the testing (deployment) phase, the immediate-future component is replaced by the desired observational vector from the reference trajectory. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the control framework using a variety of periodic and chaotic signals, and establish its robustness against measurement noise, disturbances, and uncertainties.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2022

Digital twins of nonlinear dynamical systems

We articulate the design imperatives for machine-learning based digital twins for nonlinear dynamical systems subject to external driving, which can be used to monitor the ``health'' of the target system and anticipate its future collapse. We demonstrate that, with single or parallel reservoir computing configurations, the digital twins are capable of challenging forecasting and monitoring tasks. Employing prototypical systems from climate, optics and ecology, we show that the digital twins can extrapolate the dynamics of the target system to certain parameter regimes never experienced before, make continual forecasting/monitoring with sparse real-time updates under non-stationary external driving, infer hidden variables and accurately predict their dynamical evolution, adapt to different forms of external driving, and extrapolate the global bifurcation behaviors to systems of some different sizes. These features make our digital twins appealing in significant applications such as monitoring the health of critical systems and forecasting their potential collapse induced by environmental changes.

nlin.AO↗

arXiv2022

Underwater Acoustic Communication Channel Modeling using Reservoir Computing

Underwater acoustic (UWA) communications have been widely used but greatly impaired due to the complicated nature of the underwater environment. In order to improve UWA communications, modeling and understanding the UWA channel is indispensable. However, there exist many challenges due to the high uncertainties of the underwater environment and the lack of real-world measurement data. In this work, the capability of reservoir computing and deep learning has been explored for modeling the UWA communication channel accurately using real underwater data collected from a water tank with disturbance and from Lake Tahoe. We leverage the capability of reservoir computing for modeling dynamical systems and provided a data-driven approach to modeling the UWA channel using Echo State Network (ESN). In addition, the potential application of transfer learning to reservoir computing has been examined. Experimental results show that ESN is able to model chaotic UWA channels with better performance compared to popular deep learning models in terms of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), specifically, ESN has outperformed deep neural network by 2% and as much as 40% in benign and chaotic UWA respectively.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2021

Tomography of time-dependent quantum spin networks with machine learning

Interacting spin networks are fundamental to quantum computing. Data-based tomography of time-independent spin networks has been achieved, but an open challenge is to ascertain the structures of time-dependent spin networks using time series measurements taken locally from a small subset of the spins. Physically, the dynamical evolution of a spin network under time-dependent driving or perturbation is described by the Heisenberg equation of motion. Motivated by this basic fact, we articulate a physics-enhanced machine learning framework whose core is Heisenberg neural networks. In particular, we develop a deep learning algorithm according to some physics motivated loss function based on the Heisenberg equation, which "forces" the neural network to follow the quantum evolution of the spin variables. We demonstrate that, from local measurements, not only the local Hamiltonian can be recovered but the Hamiltonian reflecting the interacting structure of the whole system can also be faithfully reconstructed. We test our Heisenberg neural machine on spin networks of a variety of structures. In the extreme case where measurements are taken from only one spin, the achieved tomography fidelity values can reach about 90%. The developed machine learning framework is applicable to any time-dependent systems whose quantum dynamical evolution is governed by the Heisenberg equation of motion.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2021

Adaptable Hamiltonian neural networks

The rapid growth of research in exploiting machine learning to predict chaotic systems has revived a recent interest in Hamiltonian Neural Networks (HNNs) with physical constraints defined by the Hamilton's equations of motion, which represent a major class of physics-enhanced neural networks. We introduce a class of HNNs capable of adaptable prediction of nonlinear physical systems: by training the neural network based on time series from a small number of bifurcation-parameter values of the target Hamiltonian system, the HNN can predict the dynamical states at other parameter values, where the network has not been exposed to any information about the system at these parameter values. The architecture of the HNN differs from the previous ones in that we incorporate an input parameter channel, rendering the HNN parameter--cognizant. We demonstrate, using paradigmatic Hamiltonian systems, that training the HNN using time series from as few as four parameter values bestows the neural machine with the ability to predict the state of the target system in an entire parameter interval. Utilizing the ensemble maximum Lyapunov exponent and the alignment index as indicators, we show that our parameter-cognizant HNN can successfully predict the route of transition to chaos. Physics-enhanced machine learning is a forefront area of research, and our adaptable HNNs provide an approach to understanding machine learning with broad applications.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Deep Multimodal Transfer-Learned Regression in Data-Poor Domains

In many real-world applications of deep learning, estimation of a target may rely on various types of input data modes, such as audio-video, image-text, etc. This task can be further complicated by a lack of sufficient data. Here we propose a Deep Multimodal Transfer-Learned Regressor (DMTL-R) for multimodal learning of image and feature data in a deep regression architecture effective at predicting target parameters in data-poor domains. Our model is capable of fine-tuning a given set of pre-trained CNN weights on a small amount of training image data, while simultaneously conditioning on feature information from a complimentary data mode during network training, yielding more accurate single-target or multi-target regression than can be achieved using the images or the features alone. We present results using phase-field simulation microstructure images with an accompanying set of physical features, using pre-trained weights from various well-known CNN architectures, which demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed multimodal approach.

cs.CV↗