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Muntaser Syed

Publications and source records attributed to Muntaser Syed.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Rules Before Oracles: Auditable, User-Configurable Argument Selection for Deliberative Polling

In a deliberative poll, once submissions outnumber what anyone will read, some mechanism chooses which arguments each voter sees, acquiring much of the decision; practice delegates it to opaque learned rankers, so a voter cannot recompute or contest the exposure that shaped their vote. We ask whether it can be a published rule over publicly recomputable evidence with parameters held by the voter, treating legibility as an admissibility condition on usable mechanisms, not an objective traded against accuracy. We formalise a poll over bipolar justification sets, judging a slate by reason coverage, the order it arrives in, and captured endorsement mass; we give seven checkable criteria for a civic recommender and a rule meeting them: a one-hop reversed endorsement flow parameterised by a relation-weight function. An agentic simulator records every slate at every vote, over about 17,000 seed-paired runs. Served slates fall 0.035 short of a label-reading ceiling upper-bounding every selection procedure, opaque ones included: any unconstrained ranker's advantage is bounded and small. On coverage alone, with non-degenerate authoring, the rule is indistinguishable from a random slate, a null due to an order-blind, charity-blind instrument; on the other two it leads at every prefix by a margin widening with adversarial pressure and dominates on mass by a factor of 3.3. Once a realistic fraction of submissions carries no reasons, the coverage margin returns and grows. Label-homogeneous flooding collapses completeness from 0.81 to 0.34 under a flat weight policy, only to 0.44 under author-count normalisation, making the weight function a security control worth 10% of completeness. The choice between ranking arms is a position on a coverage-versus-mass frontier, not a fact, the kind of choice only a legible rule can hand to the person it affects. It maps onto an open-source peer-to-peer platform.

cs.AI

TraceCoder: Explainable and Auditable Code Generation with Position-Key Snippet Versioning

Contemporary LLM-based coding agents produce code as black-box outputs: the rationale behind each line is hidden, the evolution of the code through benchmark-driven repair is ephemeral, and post-hoc auditing is impossible. We present a code generation concept that addresses these shortcomings through three complementary mechanisms: (i) a relational snippet-history schema that records, per repair event, the benchmark reference, round number, failure text, and LLM explanation, enabling full provenance queries; (ii) a browser-based visualisation tool that renders this history as heat-mapped, hover-annotated source code; and (iii) a competitive fractional position-key indexing scheme with tree-node delimiters that assigns stable, lexicographically-ordered identifiers to each code snippet, enabling fine-grained tracking without disrupting surrounding lines. We evaluate TraceCoder on 30 algorithmic programming tasks spanning string processing, mathematical computation, and data-structure manipulation, across two provider configurations. Of these, 10 exhaust the 6-iteration budget on tasks with subtle edge-case behaviour. Mean Chg% reaches 30%, three in ten code snippets carry a traceable repair-event row, compared to 21% when using Gemini 2.0 Flash as sole provider on a 20-task subset. Three detailed case studies demonstrate how the system explains which specific benchmark failures shaped each line of the final program. The proposed mechanism makes the internal "narrative" of automated code generation auditable and replayable, a property essential for trust and accountability in production deployments.

cs.AI

Chronofy: A Temporal-Logical Decay Architecture for Information Validity in Time-Aware Retrieval-Augmented Generation

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems retrieve and integrate external knowledge to ground large language model (LLM) outputs. However, current RAG architectures treat all retrieved facts as equally valid regardless of temporal provenance, leading to temporal hallucination, where plausible but obsolete facts corrupt the output. A clinical lab reading from yesterday is actionable; the same reading from six months ago is noise. We present Chronofy, a three-layer neuro-symbolic framework implementing the Temporal-Logical Decay Architecture (TLDA) that embeds temporal validity directly into the representation, retrieval, and reasoning layers of RAG systems. Layer 1 reserves a dedicated temporal subspace within Matryoshka embeddings to make fact age structurally irremovable from the representation. Layer 2 integrates learnable exponential decay functions into graph-based retrieval, where the decay coefficient $\beta_j$ is grounded in Bayesian decision theory as an approximation of twice the latent process mean-reversion rate. Layer 3 applies Signal Temporal Logic (STL) robustness functions to evaluate the temporal validity of retrieved knowledge, not LLM output confidence, and enforces the possibilistic weakest-link principle to bound output confidence by the most decayed evidence in the reasoning chain. We evaluate Chronofy on temporal knowledge graph forecasting benchmarks, the TimE temporal QA benchmark, and a domain-specific sensitivity analysis, demonstrating that explicit temporal decay modeling improves retrieval precision, reduces temporal hallucination, and enables principled data re-acquisition triggers when temporal context is insufficient.

cs.LG

The Environmental Cost of Digital Sovereignty: Water, Energy, and Emissions Impacts of Sovereign AI Infrastructure in the Global South

Sovereign AI has become a strategic priority across the Global South, with over \$200 billion in state-led commitments announced between 2024 and 2026. Yet the physical infrastructure that compute sovereignty demands, above all data centers, imposes water, energy, and carbon costs that fall hardest on countries least equipped to absorb them. This paper presents a comparative environmental stress analysis across four cases: the United Arab Emirates, Bangladesh, India, and Africa (with a focus on Kenya). Using publicly available water stress data, grid carbon intensity factors, and GPU power specifications, we model the water consumption, energy demand, and carbon emissions of hypothetical sovereign AI deployments under multiple cooling technology scenarios. We find that a 1,024-GPU cluster using evaporative cooling in the UAE would consume over 30 million liters of water annually in a country classified as ``extremely high'' water stress. In Bangladesh, sovereign AI policy documents call for centralized GPU procurement but do not address where to site data centers in a country where more than a fifth of the land floods in an average year and the power grid struggles to deliver reliable supply. We identify a sovereignty-sustainability trilemma in which no country can simultaneously maximize AI sovereignty, minimize environmental impact, and maintain affordable resource access for citizens. We propose design principles for environmentally responsible sovereign AI, including mandatory water usage effectiveness reporting, climate-vulnerability siting assessments, and a preference for frugal small language models over frontier pre-training in resource-constrained settings.

cs.CY

Evaluation of Alternative-Based Information Systems for Deliberative Polling using an Agentic Simulator

Deliberative polling promises to improve collective decision-making by exposing shareholders to a broad range of arguments before they vote. Yet ensuring that every voter encounters a representative sample of the reason space, the coverage problem, remains an open challenge, particularly at scale and in adversarial or strategically motivated electorates. This paper introduces a way of evaluating solutions using the LLM-based Agentic Bipolar Argumentation Simulator, grounded in a framework which formalises a poll as a six-tuple of endorsing and opposing justifications, attack and enhance relations, and shareholder- and relation-weights. ABAS simulates N autonomous shareholder agents, each assigned a latent opinion according to desired distributions in [-1, 1], who sequentially vote, choose or author justifications, and optionally submit argumentation-graph links. The simulator implements recommendations that rank existing justifications by their observable endorsement mass. It evaluates the mechanism's success by coverage, namely the fraction of the corpus reason-tag set represented in the K recommendations presented to each shareholder, as a solution to the NP-hard Subsuming Justification Problem. Reported experiments characterise how creativity rate (pown), recommendation size (K), argumentation density (plinks), and population size (N) affect coverage and corpus diversity. In an authenticated electorate where Sybil attacks are impossible and only the relation graph is gameable, we stress-test the scoring with coordinated strategic voting attacks: a tag-flood attack collapses coverage, while author-count relation weighting through a reversed-PageRank rule resists the flood markedly better than uniform weights.

cs.CY