arXiv subjects

Murari Mandal

Publications and source records attributed to Murari Mandal.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

The BatchNorm Illusion: Diagnosing Normalization Artifacts in Machine Unlearning Evaluation

Approximate machine unlearning aims to remove the influence of specific training data from a trained model without retraining from scratch. We identify a previously undocumented confound in how unlearning is evaluated on BatchNorm-based architectures: a single forward pass over retain data, an operation that modifies no weight, can deterministically rewrite the model's normalization state and reverse the apparent surface-metric forgetting. We formalize this operation as a weight-preserving fixed-point operator and prove that any pre-versus-post gap it induces is provably attributable to BN running statistics rather than to any modification the unlearning method made to the weights. This attribution claim cleanly separates measurement failure (BN artifact) from encoder failure (residual weight-encoded information, recently documented in concurrent work), and the same operator framework yields a unique decomposition of linear-probe elevation into BN-measurement-bias and encoder-geometry components. Empirically, the artifact reverses headline forget accuracy by up to 78 pp across nine evaluated methods on standard benchmarks; an attacker with as few as 10 unlabeled images recovers most of the masked accuracy; and a strict GroupNorm control reduces the artifact to zero across all methods. The tested membership-inference attacks change little under recalibration, locating the observed evaluation failure in forget accuracy and linear probing.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Semantics or Structure? Auditing Text Sensitivity in Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting

Multimodal time-series forecasting has emerged as a promising paradigm in which natural-language context is expected to improve predictive performance. Recent multimodal foundation models, including Aurora, as well as early- and late-fusion approaches such as MM-TSFlib and TaTS, report substantial gains over unimodal baselines on the Time-MMD benchmark, attributing these improvements to textual information. However, whether these models are actually sensitive to the semantic content of the text remains unverified. We address this question through controlled text perturbations, attribution analyses, and probes of Aurora's text pathway. On Time-MMD, swapping each row's text for any other real text (empty, constant, within-domain shuffled, or cross-domain) moves mean MSE by less than $0.5\%$ on all three architectures. The improvement reported in the literature is recovered when a co-shipped numeric column is removed without touching text. We conclude that, on this benchmark and within this family of frozen-encoder architectures, text content is not the operative signal behind the reported gains. To support future work on text integration in multimodal foundation models for structured data, we release our perturbation protocol and evaluation harness as a reusable diagnostic toolkit.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

WasteAssistant: Regulation-Guided Visual Question Answering Framework for Intelligent Waste Segregation and Sustainable Managemen

Efficient waste segregation is critical for sustainable urban management and environmental governance. Existing automated systems are limited by single-modality visual processing, insufficient contextual understanding, and weak regulatory alignment. To address these issues, we propose a language-guided vision-AI framework that integrates vision-language models and multimodal large language models for joint visual-linguistic reasoning. This framework implements a visual question answering paradigm aligned with India's Solid Waste Management Rules 2016. We construct a new WasteVQA dataset with 13,500 question-answer pairs across 21 waste categories. Experiments show that the BLIP-based model achieves a BLEU score of 0.8291 and a BERTScore of 0.9273, outperforming traditional CNN-based methods. This work improves source-level segregation accuracy, ensures regulatory compliance, and supports scalable deployment for municipal and citizen-facing waste management, promoting multimodal AI in sustainable urban infrastructure. The source code and dataset are available at: https://github.com/Khushkataruka/WasteAssistant

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

The Complexity Ceiling Benchmark: A Multi-Domain Evaluation of Sequential Reasoning Under Depth Scaling

We introduce the Complexity Ceiling Benchmark (CCB), a controlled evaluation of how language-model reasoning decays as the number of required sequential steps grows. CCB fixes the semantic content of a task and varies only its depth N in {5,...,50} across three structurally distinct regimes: grounded spatial state-tracking, abstract symbolic pointer manipulation, and transitive relational inference. Across 6,000 trials over five frontier and open-weight LLMs we find a consistent pattern of geometric per-step decay with widely separated domain ceilings: on the first two regimes the strongest models retain pd>0.92 across N=50; on the third every model collapses by N=5, with the best model's 50%-success horizon at H0.5~4.7 steps despite pd=0.863. A trace-level metric (TFBC) shows that 14.5% of correct answers across the benchmark are reached via incorrect intermediate reasoning. Forced verbose state-tracking does not move the ceiling (McNemar p=1.000), and the mean step at which reasoning first diverges, k*, predicts within-domain accuracy better than parameter count. CCB and the geometric decay model together reduce a model's long-horizon reasoning profile to one interpretable number per task family.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

FinBalance: A Multi-Document Accounting Reconciliation Benchmark

Existing financial-NLP benchmarks mostly evaluate prepared artifacts such as filings, tables, or extracted values. Real accounting begins earlier: source documents must be reconciled into cited journal entries, aggregated into a balance sheet, and checked for contradictions. We introduce FinBalance, a multi-document accounting reconciliation benchmark built from source-document bundles across eight industries, three period types, and five difficulty levels. Human-authored business scenarios, accounting policies, tax/FX treatments, document schemas, distractors, and inconsistency templates are composed by a deterministic generator whose ledger produces journal entries,balance sheets, and 23 inconsistency-code labels. On a 710-record evaluation split, six contemporary LLMs reach at most 46% exact final-balance-sheet accuracy. Four models show a 26-41 pp gap between BS_exact, the model's reported balance sheet, and BS_recon, the balance sheet obtained by replaying its entries through our ledger. Models often recover numerically plausible entries but fail to bind them to supporting documents and aggregate them consistently. Citation-pressure prompting barely changes document-linking errors, while ledger-feedback ablations substantially improve reported balance sheets and expose inconsistency-detection trade-offs. Expert finance reviewers validate the benchmark design and labels.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Where Computation Lives Inside TabPFN: Causal Localisation of Attention Head Function

We present the first causal mechanistic analysis of a tabular foundation model, investigating how TabPFN 2.5's feature wise attention heads distribute computation across layers. Using activation patching, ablation, and attention entropy across two synthetic regression datasets, we find clear temporal specialisation: one head's causal necessity dominates that of the others by 2 to 5 times at peak layer, with its dominant layer shifting across tasks of different complexity, while the remaining heads exhibit symmetric late layer profiles. Attention entropy and patching provide convergent evidence for the computationally active layers of the dominant head. We additionally investigate inference time steerability via contrastive activation steering, which fails to transfer across samples. We attribute this result to TabPFN's in context learning mechanism, which encodes task structure through context dependent attention rather than the stable parametric directions that make steering tractable in language models.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Mix, Don't Pick: Why Synthetic Corpus Composition Matters for Time Series Foundation Model Pretraining

Choosing the wrong synthetic generator for time-series foundation model pretraining is costly: under identical training budgets, the best and worst generators produce up to a $2\times$ gap in forecasting error, yet the field has no principled way to make this choice. The problem is compounded by the fact that generator rankings are not stable across architectures: across 11 generator families evaluated on Chronos-T5-Mini and Moirai-Small trained from scratch, we find that which generators are useful depends on the model architecture. Rather than solving the generator selection problem, we sidestep it: a simple equal-weight mixture of all generators matches or beats the best individual generator for both architectures, and composing this mixture with real data yields the strongest pretraining corpora overall. Synthetic pretraining is therefore a corpus composition problem, not a generator selection problem, and composition choices should be validated per model family rather than assumed to transfer.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

REGEN: Reference-Guided Synthetic Multivariate Time Series Generation for Forecasting

Training robust multivariate time series forecasting models requires large, diverse corpora, yet many real-world domains provide only a handful of observed sequences. Existing generators fail to resolve this mismatch: prior-based approaches (e.g., CauKer, TimePFN) produce domain-agnostic samples, while data-driven methods (e.g., TimeGAN) treat references as black-box supervision, forfeiting explicit control over periodic structure, local variability, and cross-variable dynamics. We propose ReGeN, a reference-guided generative pipeline that treats observed sequences not as examples to imitate, but as structural scaffolds for controllable synthesis. ReGeN decomposes each reference into three interpretable components: a phase-aligned periodic backbone capturing dominant domain morphology; per-variable stochastic residuals modeled with a deep-kernel Gaussian process; and lag-aware cross-variable dependencies injected through a structural causal model with fitted coupling coefficients. Sampling these components at controllable temperature broadens distributional coverage while preserving domain-grounded structure. We show that ReGeN-generated data consistently substitutes for real sibling data with minimal forecasting degradation, and in strongly periodic domains such as traffic, can outperform the real source itself. We further show that a foundation model pretrained on ReGeN corpora outperforms those pretrained on prior-based and data-driven synthetic alternatives. This suggests that in low-data regimes, how reference data is structurally exploited can matter as much as how much data is available.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

GITCO: Gated Inference-Time Context Optimization in TSFMs

Patch-based Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) suffer from context poisoning: structurally anomalous patches capture disproportionate attention and silently degrade zero-shot forecast quality. We propose improving TSFM accuracy at inference time by optimizing the input context rather than modifying model weights. We present GITCO (Gated Inference-Time Context Optimization), a lightweight three-component framework: Gate, Router, and Critic that selectively identifies and suppresses harmful patches without any parameter updates. Evaluated on TimesFM 2.5 across 53 GIFT-Eval datasets under K-fold cross-validation, GITCO achieves an average +1.95% MASE reduction on TimesFM 2.5 while capturing 89.9% of the improvement upper bound. We introduce context sensitivity profiles as a new characterizable property of TSFMs: the mapping from time series meta-features to expected accuracy improvement under inference-time context intervention, shaped jointly by model architecture and the statistical structure of the data.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

"I Strongly Suspect This Website Is a Scam": Benchmarking PII Leakage and Detection without Defense in Autonomous Web Agents

Deceptive web content, widely instantiated across the internet and commonly known as \textit{social-engineering attacks}, manipulates autonomous web agents into submitting users' personally identifiable information (PII) to attacker-controlled endpoints. In this paper, we show that social-engineering attacks are highly effective at extracting critical-tier PII from frontier web agents, posing a severe risk to deployed agentic systems. To quantify this risk, we introduce \textbf{\textsc{Scammer4U}}, a pre-registered benchmark of 91 attacker-controlled environments and 10 benign-twin baselines, spanning 8 attack vectors and 16 site categories on an 8-axis factorial taxonomy that isolates the causal contribution of individual attack design factors. Across frontier agents, we find that critical-tier PII leakage reaches 54--93\% under no privacy guidance, compared to 0\% on benign-twin baselines, confirming that leakage is attack-attributable rather than incidental form-filling. Escalating prompt-level mitigation yields sharply model-dependent reductions across the four families and remains insufficient to reliably prevent critical PII submission at the pooled level. Most critically, we identify a detection--action gap: agents whose reasoning an independent LLM judge confirms has flagged the site as suspicious still submit critical PII in 35.9\% of sessions, versus 66.1\% when no suspicion is verbalized, a 30.2\% gap robust across all four model families. Our findings reveal that defenses conditioned on the agent's own recognition of an attack are gating on the wrong signal, motivating output-level interception of outbound submissions that operates independently of the agent's reasoning loop.

cs.CR↗

arXiv2026

Beyond Accuracy: Diagnosing Algebraic Reasoning Failures in LLMs Across Nine Complexity Dimensions

Algebraic reasoning remains one of the most informative stress tests for large language models, yet current benchmarks provide no mechanism for attributing failure to a specific cause. When a model fails an algebraic problem, a single accuracy score cannot reveal whether the expression was too deeply nested, the operator too uncommon, the intermediate state count too high, or the dependency chain too long. Prior work has studied individual failure modes in isolation, but no framework has varied each complexity factor independently under strict experimental control. No prior system has offered automatic generation and verification of problems of increasing complexity to track model progress over time. We introduce a nine-dimension algebraic complexity framework in which each factor is varied independently while all others are held fixed, with problem generation and verification handled by a parametric pipeline requiring no human annotation. Each dimension is grounded in a documented LLM failure mode and captures a structurally distinct aspect of algebraic difficulty, including expression nesting depth, simultaneous intermediate result count, sub-expression complexity, operator hardness, and dependent reasoning chain length. We evaluated seven instruction-tuned models spanning 8B to 235B parameters across all nine dimensions and find that working memory is the dominant scale-invariant bottleneck. Every model collapses between 20 and 30 parallel branches regardless of parameter count, pointing to a hard architectural constraint rather than a solvable capacity limitation. Our analysis further identifies a minimal yet diagnostically sufficient subset of five dimensions that together span the full space of documented algebraic failure modes, providing a complete complexity profile of a model's algebraic reasoning capacity.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Measuring Representation Robustness in Large Language Models for Geometry

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly evaluated on mathematical reasoning, yet their robustness to equivalent problem representations remains poorly understood. In geometry, identical problems can be expressed in Euclidean, coordinate, or vector forms, but existing benchmarks report accuracy on fixed formats, implicitly assuming representation invariance and masking failures caused by representational changes alone. We propose GeoRepEval, a representation-aware evaluation framework that measures correctness, invariance, and consistency at the problem level across parallel formulations, combining strict answer matching, bootstrap confidence intervals, paired McNemar tests, representation-flip analyses, and regression controls for surface complexity. We prove that our Invariance@3 metric decomposes accuracy into robust and fragile components and is bounded by the weakest representation. Evaluating eleven LLMs on 158 curated high-school geometry problems (474 instances), we find accuracy gaps of up to 14 percentage points induced solely by representation choice. Vector formulations emerge as a consistent failure point, with Invariance@3 as low as 0.044 even after controlling for length and symbolic complexity. A convert-then-solve prompting intervention improves vector accuracy by up to 52 percentage points for high-capacity models, suggesting that failures reflect representation sensitivity rather than inability; however, low-capacity models show no gains, indicating deeper limitations. These results suggest that current models rely on representation-specific heuristics rather than abstract geometric reasoning. All datasets, prompts, and scripts are released at https://github.com/vedjaw/GeoRepEval.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

TSQueryBench: LLM-as-a-Judge for Time Series Explanations

Natural language explanations of time series data are increasingly produced by foundation models in high stakes domains, making factual correctness critical. Evaluating such explanations differs fundamentally from standard natural language generation: correctness requires verifying numerical claims against structured data rather than similarity to reference text. While LLM as a Judge has emerged as a scalable paradigm for text evaluation, its applicability to numerically grounded time series explanations remains unstudied. We introduce TSQueryBench, a controlled synthetic benchmark of 500 time series instances across 10 query types, each paired with correct, partially correct, and incorrect explanations. We evaluate six large language models across four tasks: explanation generation, relative ranking, independent scoring, and multi anomaly detection. Our central finding is a consistent generation evaluation asymmetry: models that fail to generate numerically correct explanations nonetheless reliably identify or score correct ones. These results show that rubric guided LLM evaluation is substantially more reliable than generation for time series reasoning, supporting LLM judges as scalable evaluators in numerically grounded settings. Code and data: https://github.com/Prxxthxm/TSQueryBench/

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Forgetting is Competition: Rethinking Unlearning as Representation Interference in Diffusion Models

Deployed text-to-image diffusion models increasingly require post-hoc concept unlearning for copyright claims, artist opt-outs, safety updates, and protected-content mitigation without full retraining. A central challenge is erase-retain imbalance, aggressive updates suppress targets but damage shared capabilities, while conservative or anchor-based updates preserve quality yet leave concepts recoverable through related, compositional, paraphrased, or adversarial prompts. Inspired by retroactive interference, we propose SurgUn, which treats forgetting as controlled competition rather than direct deletion or one-to-one reassignment. SurgUn instantiates retroactive concept interference via distractor-conditioned gradient competition: target-gradient ascent weakens target-conditioned denoising or flow-matching behavior, while descent over a semantically diverse distractor set introduces competing non-target trajectories under the same prompt context. This redistributes outputs across multiple non-target modes instead of collapsing to a single proxy. To limit collateral forgetting through shared pathways, SurgUn adds pixel-grounded weight-space localization, a lightweight diagnostic that selects attention blocks by generated-image erase-retain behavior, exploiting the asymmetry that suppression is broadly achievable whereas retention is block-selective. Across UnlearnCanvas, IP-character erasure, Holistic Unlearning, EraseBench, and Ring-A-Bell on Stable Diffusion v1.5, SDXL, and SANA-1.5, SurgUn achieves a stronger erase-retain balance than baselines. Ablations show that diverse distractors, contrastive competition, and localization are all necessary for robust suppression while preserving related and unrelated concepts.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Helpful to a Fault: Measuring Illicit Assistance in Multi-Turn, Multilingual LLM Agents

LLM-based agents execute real-world workflows via tools and memory. These affordances enable ill-intended adversaries to also use these agents to carry out complex misuse scenarios. Existing agent misuse benchmarks largely test single-prompt instructions, leaving a gap in measuring how agents end up helping with harmful or illegal tasks over multiple turns. We introduce STING (Sequential Testing of Illicit N-step Goal execution), an automated red-teaming framework that constructs a step-by-step illicit plan grounded in a benign persona and iteratively probes a target agent with adaptive follow-ups, using judge agents to track phase completion. We further introduce an analysis framework that models multi-turn red-teaming as a time-to-first-jailbreak random variable, enabling analysis tools like discovery curves, hazard-ratio attribution by attack language, and a new metric: Restricted Mean Jailbreak Discovery. Across AgentHarm scenarios, STING yields substantially higher illicit-task completion than single-turn prompting and chat-oriented multi-turn baselines adapted to tool-using agents. In multilingual evaluations across six non-English settings, we find that attack success and illicit-task completion do not consistently increase in lower-resource languages, diverging from common chatbot findings. Overall, STING provides a practical way to evaluate and stress-test agent misuse in realistic deployment settings, where interactions are inherently multi-turn and often multilingual.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

The Compliance Paradox: Semantic-Instruction Decoupling in Automated Academic Code Evaluation

The rapid integration of Large Language Models (LLMs) into educational assessment rests on the unverified assumption that instruction following capability translates directly to objective adjudication. We demonstrate that this assumption is fundamentally flawed. Instead of evaluating code quality, models frequently decouple from the submission's logic to satisfy hidden directives, a systemic vulnerability we term the Compliance Paradox, where models fine-tuned for extreme helpfulness are vulnerable to adversarial manipulation. To expose this, we introduce the Semantic-Preserving Adversarial Code Injection (SPACI) Framework and the Abstract Syntax Tree-Aware Semantic Injection Protocol (AST-ASIP). These methods exploit the Syntax-Semantics Gap by embedding adversarial directives into syntactically inert regions (trivia nodes) of the Abstract Syntax Tree. Through a large-scale evaluation of 9 SOTA models across 25,000 submissions in Python, C, C++, and Java, we reveal catastrophic failure rates (>95%) in high-capacity open-weights models like DeepSeek-V3, which systematically prioritize hidden formatting constraints over code correctness. We quantify this failure using our novel tripartite framework measuring Decoupling Probability, Score Divergence, and Pedagogical Severity to demonstrate the widespread "False Certification" of functionally broken code. Our findings suggest that current alignment paradigms create a "Trojan" vulnerability in automated grading, necessitating a shift from standard RLHF toward domain-specific Adjudicative Robustness, where models are conditioned to prioritize evidence over instruction compliance. We release our complete dataset and injection framework to facilitate further research on the topic.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2025

CricBench: A Multilingual Benchmark for Evaluating LLMs in Cricket Analytics

Cricket is the second most popular sport worldwide, with billions of fans seeking advanced statistical insights unavailable through standard web searches. Although LLMs have advanced significantly in Text-to-SQL tasks, their capability to handle domain-specific nuances and multilingual requirements in sports analytics remains under-explored. We present CricBench, a benchmark suite evaluating the intrinsic SQL generation abilities of LLMs on cricket data across four formats: Test, ODI, T20I, and IPL. We curate a Gold-Standard dataset of 2,654 evaluation instances across four languages (English, Hindi, Punjabi, and Telugu). We evaluate seven models, GPT-5 Mini, Claude Sonnet 4, DeepSeek R1 and V3, Qwen 235B, Llama 3.1, and Gemma 2, using schema-only prompting. No single model dominates across all formats: GPT-5 Mini leads on Test cricket (12.4% DMA), Qwen 235B leads on IPL (28.7%) and T20I (17.5%), and all models score 0% on hard ODI queries. All models show a stark disconnect between syntactic validity (>98% execution accuracy) and semantic correctness (<29% DMA), with a domain gap of 37-55 percentage points versus BIRD. To our knowledge, CricBench is the first Text-to-SQL benchmark for cricket analytics.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2025

NagaNLP: Bootstrapping NLP for Low-Resource Nagamese Creole with Human-in-the-Loop Synthetic Data

The vast majority of the world's languages, particularly creoles like Nagamese, remain severely under-resourced in Natural Language Processing (NLP), creating a significant barrier to their representation in digital technology. This paper introduces NagaNLP, a comprehensive open-source toolkit for Nagamese, bootstrapped through a novel methodology that relies on LLM-driven but human-validated synthetic data generation. We detail a multi-stage pipeline where an expert-guided LLM (Gemini) generates a candidate corpus, which is then refined and annotated by native speakers. This synthetic-hybrid approach yielded a 10K pair conversational dataset and a high-quality annotated corpus for foundational tasks. To assess the effectiveness of our methodology, we trained both discriminative and generative models. Our fine-tuned XLM-RoBERTa-base model establishes a new benchmark for Nagamese, achieving a 93.81\% accuracy (0.90 F1-Macro) on Part-of-Speech tagging and a 0.75 F1-Macro on Named Entity Recognition, massively outperforming strong zero-shot baselines. Furthermore, we fine-tuned a Llama-3.2-3B Instruct model, named NagaLLaMA, which demonstrates superior performance on conversational tasks, achieving a Perplexity of 3.85, an order of magnitude improvement over its few-shot counterpart (96.76). We release the NagaNLP toolkit, including all datasets, models, and code, providing a foundational resource for a previously underserved language and a reproducible framework for reducing data scarcity in other low-resource contexts.

cs.CL↗