arXiv subjects

Mustafa Can Camur

Publications and source records attributed to Mustafa Can Camur.

12 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Data-Driven Stress Testing of Intermodal Freight Networks Using GAN-Generated Disruption Scenarios

Intermodal freight networks are increasingly exposed to correlated, multi-mode disruptions, yet resilience assessments often rely on historical or uncorrelated scenarios that understate systemic risk. This paper develops a data-driven stress-testing framework integrating generative adversarial networks (GANs) with an intermodal optimization model to evaluate performance under realistic compound disruptions. The case study examines weather-related disruptions in the Tennessee Valley corridor. Each GAN-generated scenario is used as a simulation input, and the resulting routing problem is solved to obtain system costs. Aggregating outcomes enables estimation of expected costs and identification of major risk drivers. Results show that historical disruptions increase total cost by about 3%, whereas GAN-generated scenarios raise costs by over 25%, producing an expected annual cost of $5.11 million. Risk is concentrated in correlated multi-node failures and critical nodes such as the Port of Knoxville. The framework helps identify vulnerabilities and prioritize resilience investments.

math.OC↗

arXiv2026

Simulating Cognitive Smart Freight Corridors with Agent-Based Models and Reinforcement Learning

Smart freight corridors offer a practical pathway for connected and automated vehicle (CAV) deployment in freight transportation, but physical experimentation is expensive and existing approaches rely on predefined control policies that cannot capture adaptive behaviors. This paper presents an agent-based modeling (ABM) framework coupling a physical infrastructure layer, a connectivity layer (V2X), and a decision layer integrating reinforcement learning (RL) and multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) for platoon formation and charging coordination. We evaluate three scenarios (Baseline, Assisted, and Cognitive) using throughput, congestion, energy, emissions, and robustness metrics. Preliminary results indicate that the Cognitive scenario achieves higher throughput and lower congestion than the baseline, while the Assisted scenario delivers meaningful energy savings per kilometer through platooning. Sensitivity analysis shows that the throughput advantage of the smart corridor widens under conditions with high demand and that MARL coordination extracts greater utilization from fixed charging capacity than rule-based assignment.

cs.ET↗

arXiv2026

Per-Shipment Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Intermodal Freight Routing Under Hurricane Disruption

Intermodal freight networks face growing disruption risk from climate extremes that degrade multiple corridors simultaneously. To address this, we formulate freight routing as a Dec-POMDP with per-shipment action granularity and train Independent PPO (IPPO) under Centralized Training with Decentralized Execution, comparing against two heuristic baselines with privileged state access on a 15-hub network under hurricane disruption. Across 30 matched episodes, no single policy dominates: IPPO achieves the highest throughput ($+12.7\%$) and delivery rate while a capacity-aware heuristic leads on Resilience Index (RI) and delay. Under demand surge (2.9:1 capacity ratio), IPPO's RI advantage grows to $+6.4\%$, suggesting learned routing is most valuable when capacity is scarce. A Multi-Agent PPO (MAPPO) variant collapses under train-eval queue mismatch ($\mathrm{RI} = 0.811$); retraining recovers RI to $1.018$ but IPPO still leads on throughput, pointing to residual limitations in centralized critics under per-shipment dispatch.

cs.MA↗

arXiv2025

Dynamic Disruption Resilience in Intermodal Transport Networks: Integrating Flow Weighting and Centrality Measures

Resilient intermodal freight networks are vital for sustaining supply chains amid increasing threats from natural hazards and cyberattacks. While transportation resilience has been widely studied, understanding how random and targeted disruptions affect both structural connectivity and functional performance remains a key challenge. To address this, our study evaluates the robustness of the U.S. intermodal freight network, comprising rail and water modes, using a simulation-based framework that integrates graph-theoretic metrics with flow-weighted centrality measures. We examine disruption scenarios including random failures as well as targeted node and edge removals based on static and dynamically updated degree and betweenness centrality. To reflect more realistic conditions, we also consider flow-weighted degree centralities and partial node degradation. Two resilience indicators are used: the size of the giant connected component (GCC) to measure structural connectivity, and flow-weighted network efficiency (NE) to assess freight mobility under disruption. Results show that progressively degrading nodes ranked by Weighted Degree Centrality to 60% of their original functionality causes a sharper decline in normalized NE, for up to approximately 45 affected nodes, than complete failure (100% loss of functionality) applied to nodes targeted by weighted betweenness centrality or selected at random. This highlights how partial degradation of high-tonnage hubs can produce disproportionately large functional losses. The findings emphasize the need for resilience strategies that go beyond network topology to incorporate freight flow dynamics.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2025

Investigating Resiliency of Transportation Network Under Targeted and Potential Climate Change Disruptions

Ensuring robustness and resilience in intermodal transportation systems is essential for the continuity and reliability of global logistics. These systems are vulnerable to various disruptions, including natural disasters and technical failures. Despite significant research on freight transportation resilience, investigating the robustness of the system after targeted and climate-change driven disruption remains a crucial challenge. Drawing on network science methodologies, this study models the interdependencies within the rail and water transport networks and simulates different disruption scenarios to evaluate system responses. We use the data from the US Department of Energy Volpe Center for network topology and tonnage projections. The proposed framework quantifies deliberate, stochastic, and climate driven infrastructure failure, using higher resolution downscaled multiple Earth System Models simulations from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase version 6. We show that the disruptions of a few nodes could have a larger impact on the total tonnage of freight transport than on network topology. For example, the removal of targeted 20 nodes can bring the total tonnage carrying capacity to 30 percent with about 75 percent of the rail freight network intact. This research advances the theoretical understanding of transportation resilience and provides practical applications for infrastructure managers and policymakers. By implementing these strategies, stakeholders and policymakers can better prepare for and respond to unexpected disruptions, ensuring sustained operational efficiency in the transportation networks.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2025

A Review on Intermodal Transportation and Decarbonization: An Operations Research Perspective

This paper reviews intermodal transportation systems and their role in decarbonizing freight networks from an operations research perspective, analyzing over a decade of studies (2010-2024). We present a chronological analysis of the literature, illustrating how the field evolved over time while highlighting the emergence of new research avenues. We observe a significant increase in research addressing decarbonization since 2018, driven by regulatory pressures and technological advancements. Our integrated analysis is organized around three themes: a) modality, b) sustainability, and c) solution techniques. Key recommendations include the development of multistage stochastic models to better manage uncertainties and disruptions within intermodal transportation systems. Further research could leverage innovative technologies like machine learning and blockchain to improve decision-making and resource use through stakeholder collaboration. Life cycle assessment models are also suggested to better understand emissions across transportation stages and support the transition to alternative energy sources.

math.OC↗

arXiv2024

Towards Next-Generation Urban Decision Support Systems through AI-Powered Construction of Scientific Ontology using Large Language Models -- A Case in Optimizing Intermodal Freight Transportation

The incorporation of Artificial Intelligence (AI) models into various optimization systems is on the rise. Yet, addressing complex urban and environmental management problems normally requires in-depth domain science and informatics expertise. This expertise is essential for deriving data and simulation-driven for informed decision support. In this context, we investigate the potential of leveraging the pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs). By adopting ChatGPT API as the reasoning core, we outline an integrated workflow that encompasses natural language processing, methontology-based prompt tuning, and transformers. This workflow automates the creation of scenario-based ontology using existing research articles and technical manuals of urban datasets and simulations. The outcomes of our methodology are knowledge graphs in widely adopted ontology languages (e.g., OWL, RDF, SPARQL). These facilitate the development of urban decision support systems by enhancing the data and metadata modeling, the integration of complex datasets, the coupling of multi-domain simulation models, and the formulation of decision-making metrics and workflow. The feasibility of our methodology is evaluated through a comparative analysis that juxtaposes our AI-generated ontology with the well-known Pizza Ontology employed in tutorials for popular ontology software (e.g., protégé). We close with a real-world case study of optimizing the complex urban system of multi-modal freight transportation by generating anthologies of various domain data and simulations to support informed decision-making.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2024

Assessing the Effects of Container Handling Strategies on Enhancing Freight Throughput

As global supply chains and freight volumes grow, the U.S. faces escalating transportation demands. The heavy reliance on road transport, coupled with the underutilization of the railway system, results in congested highways, prolonged transportation times, higher costs, and increased carbon emissions. California's San Pedro Port Complex (SPPC), the nation's busiest, incurs a significant share of these challenges. We utilize an agent-based simulation to replicate real-world scenarios, focusing on the intricacies of interactions in a modified intermodal inbound freight system for the SPPC. This involves relocating container classification to potential warehouses in California, Utah, Arizona, and Nevada, rather than exclusively at port areas. Our primary aim is to evaluate the proposed system's efficiency, considering cost and freight throughput, while also examining the effects of workforce shortages. Computational analysis suggests that strategically installing intermodal capabilities in select warehouses can reduce transportation costs, boost throughput, and foster resour

cs.MA↗

arXiv2024

A Survey on Optimization Studies of Group Centrality Metrics

Centrality metrics have become a popular concept in network science and optimization. Over the years, centrality has been used to assign importance and identify influential elements in various settings, including transportation, infrastructure, biological, and social networks, among others. That said, most of the literature has focused on nodal versions of centrality. Recently, group counterparts of centrality have started attracting scientific and practitioner interest. The identification of sets of nodes that are influential within a network is becoming increasingly more important. This is even more pronounced when these sets of nodes are required to induce a certain motif or structure. In this study, we review group centrality metrics from an operations research and optimization perspective for the first time. This is particularly interesting due to the rapid evolution and development of this area in the operations research community over the last decade. We first present a historical overview of how we have reached this point in the study of group centrality. We then discuss the different structures and motifs that appear prominently in the literature, alongside the techniques and methodologies that are popular. We finally present possible avenues and directions for future work, mainly in three areas: (i) probabilistic metrics to account for randomness along with stochastic optimization techniques; (ii) structures and relaxations that have not been yet studied; and (iii) new emerging applications that can take advantage of group centrality. Our survey offers a concise review of group centrality and its intersection with network analysis and optimization.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2023

An Integrated System Dynamics and Discrete Event Supply Chain Simulation Framework for Supply Chain Resilience with Non-Stationary Pandemic Demand

COVID-19 resulted in some of the largest supply chain disruptions in recent history. To mitigate the impact of future disruptions, we propose an integrated hybrid simulation framework to couple nonstationary demand signals from an event like COVID-19 with a model of an end-to-end supply chain. We first create a system dynamics susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, augmenting a classic epidemiological model to create a realistic portrayal of demand patterns for oxygen concentrators (OC). Informed by this granular demand signal, we then create a supply chain discrete event simulation model of OC sourcing, manufacturing, and distribution to test production augmentation policies to satisfy this increased demand. This model utilizes publicly available data, engineering teardowns of OCs, and a supply chain illumination to identify suppliers. Our findings indicate that this coupled approach can use realistic demand during a disruptive event to enable rapid recommendations of policies for increased supply chain resilience with controlled cost.

cs.MA↗

arXiv2023

Enhancing Supply Chain Resilience: A Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Product Availability Dates Under Disruption

The COVID 19 pandemic and ongoing political and regional conflicts have a highly detrimental impact on the global supply chain, causing significant delays in logistics operations and international shipments. One of the most pressing concerns is the uncertainty surrounding the availability dates of products, which is critical information for companies to generate effective logistics and shipment plans. Therefore, accurately predicting availability dates plays a pivotal role in executing successful logistics operations, ultimately minimizing total transportation and inventory costs. We investigate the prediction of product availability dates for General Electric (GE) Gas Power's inbound shipments for gas and steam turbine service and manufacturing operations, utilizing both numerical and categorical features. We evaluate several regression models, including Simple Regression, Lasso Regression, Ridge Regression, Elastic Net, Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), and Neural Network models. Based on real world data, our experiments demonstrate that the tree based algorithms (i.e., RF and GBM) provide the best generalization error and outperforms all other regression models tested. We anticipate that our prediction models will assist companies in managing supply chain disruptions and reducing supply chain risks on a broader scale.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2018

Identification of Essential Proteins Using Induced Stars in Protein-Protein Interaction Networks

In this work, we propose a novel centrality metric, referred to as star centrality, which incorporates information from the closed neighborhood of a node, rather than solely from the node itself, when calculating its topological importance. More specifically, we focus on degree centrality and show that in the complex protein-protein interaction networks it is a naive metric that can lead to misclassifying protein importance. For our extension of degree centrality when considering stars, we derive its computational complexity, provide a mathematical formulation, and propose two approximation algorithms that are shown to be efficient in practice. We portray the success of this new metric in protein-protein interaction networks when predicting protein essentiality in several organisms, including the well-studied Saccharomyces cerevisiae, Helicobacter pylori, and Caenorhabditis elegans, where star centrality is shown to significantly outperform other nodal centrality metrics at detecting essential proteins. We also analyze the average and worst case performance of the two approximation algorithms in practice, and show that they are viable options for computing star centrality in very large-scale protein-protein interaction networks, such as the human proteome, where exact methodologies are bound to be time and memory intensive.

q-bio.QM↗