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N. Wyn Evans

Publications and source records attributed to N. Wyn Evans.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Ironing the folds: The phase space chevrons of a GSE-like merger as a dark matter subhalo detector

Recent work uncovered features in the phase space of the Milky Way's stellar halo which may be attributed to the last major merger. When stellar material from a satellite is accreted onto its host, it phase mixes and appears finely substructured in phase space. For a high-eccentricity merger, this substructure most clearly manifests as numerous wrapping chevrons in $(v_r, r)$ space, corresponding to stripes in $(E, θ_r)$ space. We introduce the idea of using this substructure as an alternative subhalo detector to cold stellar streams. We simulate an N-body merger akin to the GSE and assess the impact of subhaloes on these chevrons. We examine how their deformation depends on the mass, pericentre, and number of subhaloes. To quantify the impact of perturbers, we utilise the appearance of chevrons in $(E, θ_r)$ space to introduce a new quantity -- the ironing parameter. We show that: (1) a single flyby of a massive ($\sim 10^{10}$ M$_{\odot}$) subhalo with pericentre comparable to, or within, the shell's apocentre smooths out the substructure, (2) a single flyby of a low mass ($\lesssim 10^8$ M$_{\odot}$) has negligible effect, (3) multiple flybys of subhalos derived from a subhalo mass function between $10^7-10^{10}$ M$_{\odot}$ cause significant damage if deep within the potential, (4) the effects of known perturbers (e.g. Sagittarius) should be detectable and offer constraints on their initial mass. The sensitivity to the populations of subhaloes suggests that we should be able to place an upper limit on the Milky Way's subhalo mass function.

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A correlation between accreted stellar kinematics and dark matter halo spin in the ARTEMIS simulations

We report a correlation between the presence of a Gaia-Sausage-Enceladus (GSE) analogue and dark matter halo spin in the ARTEMIS simulations of Milky Way-like galaxies. The haloes which contain a large population of accreted stars on highly radial orbits (like the GSE) have lower spin on average than their counterparts with more isotropic stellar velocity distributions. The median modified spin parameters $λ^\prime$ differ by a factor of $\sim1.7$ at the present-day, with a similar value when the haloes far from virial equilibrium are removed. We also show that accreted stars make up a smaller proportion of the stellar populations in haloes containing a GSE analogue, and are stripped from satellites with stellar masses typically $\sim4$ times smaller. Our findings suggest that the higher spin of DM haloes without a GSE-like feature is due to mergers with large satellites of stellar mass $\sim10^{10}M_\odot$, which do not result in prominent radially anisotropic features like the GSE.

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The Eccentricity Distribution of Wide Binaries

Future Gaia and Legacy Survey of Space and Time data releases, together with wide area spectroscopic surveys, will deliver large samples of resolved binary stars with phase space coordinates, albeit with low-cadence. Given an eccentricity law $f(ε)$, we derive properties of (i) the velocity distribution $v/\sqrt{G M/r}$ normalised by the value for a circular orbit at the measured separation $r$; (ii) the astrometric acceleration distributions $a/\left(G M/r^2\right)$ again normalised to the circular orbit value. Our formulation yields analytic predictions for the full statistical distribution for some commonly used eccentricity laws, if the timescale of data-sampling is comparable to or exceeds the binary period. In particular, the velocity distribution for the linear eccentricity law is surprisingly simple. With Bayesian analysis, we suggest a method to infer the eccentricity distribution based on the measured velocity distribution.

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Binary parameters from astrometric and spectroscopic errors--candidate hierarchical triples and massive dark companions in Gaia DR3

We show how astrometric and spectroscopic errors introduced by an unresolved binary system can be combined to give estimates of the binary period and mass ratio. This can be performed analytically if we assume we see one or more full orbits over our observational baseline, or numerically for all other cases. We apply this method to Gaia DR3 data, combining the most recent astrometric and spectroscopic data. We compare inferred periods and mass ratios calculated using our method with orbital parameters measured for non-single stars in Gaia DR3 and find good agreement. Finally, we use this method to search the subset of the Gaia DR3 RVS dataset with rv_method_used=1 for compact object candidates. We select sources with significant astrometric and spectroscopic errors ($RUWE_{ast}>1.25$ and $RUWE_{spec}>2$), with large inferred mass ratios, and large inferred companion masses ($q>1$ and $M_c>3 M_\odot$) giving a catalogue of 4,641 candidate hierarchical triples and Main Sequence+Compact Object pairs. We apply more stringent cuts, and impose low levels of photometric variability to remove likely triples ($RUWE_{phot}<2$) producing a gold sample of 45 candidates.

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Chemical and stellar properties of early-type dwarf galaxies around the Milky Way

Early-type dwarfs (ETDs) are the end points of the evolution of low-mass galaxies whose gas supply has been extinguished. The cessation of star-formation lays bare the ancient stellar populations. A wealth of information is stored in the colours, magnitudes, metallicities and abundances of resolved stars of the dwarf spheroidal and ultra-faint galaxies around the Milky Way, allowing their chemistry and stellar populations to be studied in great detail. Here, we summarize our current understanding, which has advanced rapidly over the last decade thanks to the flourishing of large-scale astrometric, photometric and spectroscopic surveys. We emphasise that the primeval stellar populations in the ETDs provide a unique laboratory to study the physical conditions on small scales at epochs beyond z=2. We highlight the observed diversity of star-formation and chemical enrichment histories in nearby dwarfs. These data can not yet be fully deciphered to reveal the key processes in the dwarf evolution but the first successful attempts have been made to pin down the sites of heavy element production.

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The impact of a massive Sagittarius dSph on GD-1-like streams

We investigate the effects of a massive ($\gtrsim4\times10^{10}M_\odot$) Sagittarius dwarf spheroidal galaxy (Sgr) on stellar streams using test particle simulations in a realistic Milky Way potential. We find that Sgr can easily disrupt streams formed more than $\sim3$ Gyr ago, while stars stripped more recently are generally unaffected. In certain realizations, Sgr is able to produce asymmetry between the leading and trailing tails of Pal 5, qualitatively similar to observations. Using data from the Gaia space telescope and elsewhere, we fit models to the GD-1 stream in the presence of a Sgr with various initial masses. While the best-fitting models do show perturbations resulting from interactions with Sgr, we find that the level of disruption is not significantly greater than in the observed stream. To investigate the general effects of Sgr on a population of streams, we generate 1000 mock streams on GD-1-like orbits with randomized orientations. Some streams show clear evidence of disruption, becoming folded on the sky or developing asymmetry betweeen their two tails. However, many survive unaffected and the peak surface brightness of stars is decreased by no more than $\sim0.3$ mag/arcsec$^2$ on average. We conclude that Sgr having an initial mass of $\gtrsim4\times10^{10}M_\odot$ is compatible with the survival and detection of streams formed more than 3 Gyr ago.

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Information content of BP/RP spectra in Gaia DR3

Gaia Data Release 3 has provided the astronomical community with the largest stellar spectroscopic survey to date ($>$ 220 million sources). The low resolution (R$\sim$50) blue photometer (BP) and red photometer (RP) spectra will allow for the estimation of stellar atmospheric parameters such as effective temperature, surface gravity and metallicity. We create mock Gaia BP/RP spectra and use Fisher information matrices to probe the resolution limit of stellar parameter measurements using BP/RP spectra. The best-case scenario uncertainties that this analysis provides are then used to produce a mock-observed stellar population in order to evaluate the false positive rate (FPR) of identifying extremely metal-poor (EMP) stars. We conclude that the community will be able to confidently identify metal-poor stars at magnitudes brighter than $G = 16$ using BP/RP spectra. At fainter magnitudes true detections will start to be overwhelmed by false positives. When adopting the commonly-used $G < 14$ limit for metal-poor star searches, we find a FPR for the low-metallicity regimes [Fe/H] $<$ -2, -2.5 and -3 of just 14$\%$, 33$\%$ and 56$\%$ respectively, offering the potential for significant improvements on previous targeting campaigns. Additionally, we explore the chemical sensitivity obtainable directly from BP/RP spectra for Carbon and $α$-elements. We find an absolute Carbon abundance uncertainty of $σ_{A(C)} < 1$ dex for Carbon-enriched metal-poor (CEMP) stars, indicating the potential to identify a CEMP stellar population for follow-up confirmation with higher resolution spectroscopy. Finally, we find that large uncertainties in $α$-element abundance measurements using BP/RP spectra means that efficiently obtaining these abundances will be challenging.

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Catalogues of Active Galactic Nuclei From Gaia and unWISE Data

We present two catalogues of active galactic nucleus (AGN) candidates selected from the latest data of two all-sky surveys -- Data Release 2 (DR2) of the \emph{Gaia} mission and the unWISE catalogue of the \emph{Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer} (\emph{WISE}). We train a random forest classifier to predict the probability of each source in the \emph{Gaia}-unWISE joint sample being an AGN, $P_{\rm RF}$, based on \emph{Gaia} astrometric and photometric measurements and unWISE photometry. The two catalogues, which we designate C75 and R85, are constructed by applying different $P_{\rm RF}$ threshold cuts to achieve an overall completeness of 75\% ($\approx$90\% at \emph{Gaia} $G\leq20$ mag) and reliability of 85\% respectively. The C75 (R85) catalogue contains 2,734,464 (2,182,193) AGN candidates across the effective 36,000 deg$^2$ sky, of which $\approx$0.91 (0.52) million are new discoveries. Photometric redshifts of the AGN candidates are derived by a random forest regressor using \emph{Gaia} and \emph{WISE} magnitudes and colours. The estimated overall photometric redshift accuracy is 0.11. Cross-matching the AGN candidates with a sample of known bright cluster galaxies, we identify a high-probability strongly-lensed AGN candidate system, SDSS\,J1326$+$4806, with a large image separation of 21\farcs06. All the AGN candidates in our catalogues will have $\sim$5-year long light curves from \emph{Gaia} by the end of the mission, and thus will be a great resource for AGN variability studies. Our AGN catalogues will also be helpful in AGN target selections for future spectroscopic surveys, especially ones in the southern hemisphere. The C75 catalogue can be downloaded at https://zenodo.org/record/6837642#.YtEgjy8RrzI.

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Dark lenses through the dust: parallax microlensing events in the VVV

We use near-infrared photometry and astrometry from the VISTA Variables in the Via Lactea (VVV) survey to analyse microlensing events containing annual microlensing parallax information. These events are located in highly extincted and low-latitude regions of the Galactic bulge typically off-limits to optical microlensing surveys. We fit a catalog of $1959$ events previously found in the VVV and extract $21$ microlensing parallax candidates. The fitting is done using nested sampling to automatically characterise the multi-modal and degenerate posterior distributions of the annual microlensing parallax signal. We compute the probability density in lens mass-distance using the source proper motion and a Galactic model of disc and bulge deflectors. By comparing the expected flux from a main sequence lens to the baseline magnitude and blending parameter, we identify 4 candidates which have probability $> 50$% that the lens is dark. The strongest candidate corresponds to a nearby ($\approx0.78$ kpc), medium-mass ($1.46^{+1.13}_{-0.71} \ M_{\odot}$) dark remnant as lens. In the next strongest, the lens is located at heliocentric distance $\approx5.3$ kpc. It is a dark remnant with a mass of $1.63^{+1.15}_{-0.70} \ M_{\odot}$. Both of those candidates are most likely neutron stars, though possibly high-mass white dwarfs. The last two events may also be caused by dark remnants, though we are unable to rule out other possibilities because of limitations in the data.

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Astrometric identification of nearby binary stars II: Astrometric binaries in the Gaia Catalogue of Nearby Stars

We examine the capacity to identify binary systems from astrometric deviations alone. We apply our analysis to the Gaia eDR3 and DR2 data, specifically the Gaia Catalogue of Nearby Stars. We show we must renormalize (R)UWE over the local volume to avoid biasing local observations, giving a Local Unit Weight Error (LUWE). We use the simple criterion of LUWE>2, along with a handful of quality cuts to remove likely contaminants, to identify unresolved binary candidates. We identify 22,699 binary candidates within 100 pc of the Sun (just under 10% of sources in this volume). We find an astrometric binary candidate fraction of around 20% for giant stars, 10% on the Main Sequence and lower than 1% for White Dwarfs. We also look for Variability Induced Movers, by computing the correlation between photometric variability and astrometric noise -- and show that VIMs may dominate the binary population of sub-Solar mass MS stars. We discuss the possibility and limitations of identifying non-luminous massive companions from astrometry alone, but find that our method is insensitive to these. Finally, we compare the astrometric deviations of MS binaries to the simulated sample from paper I, which show excellent agreement, and compute the astrometric candidate binary fraction as a function of absolute magnitude.

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Astrometric Identification of Nearby Binary Stars I: Predicted Astrometric Signals

We examine the capacity to identify binary systems from astrometric errors and deviations alone. Until the release of the fourth Gaia data release we lack the full astrometric time series that the satellite records, but as we show can still infer the presence of binaries from the best fit models, and their error, already available. We generate a broad catalog of simulated binary systems within 100 pc, and examine synthetic observations matching the Gaia survey's scanning law and astrometric data processing routine. We show how the Unit Weight Error (UWE) and Proper Motion Anomaly (PMA) vary as a function of period, and the properties of the binary. Both UWE and PMA peak for systems with a binary period close to the time baseline of the survey. Thus UWE can be expected to increase or remain roughly constant as we observe the same system over a longer baseline, and we suggest $UWE_{eDR3}>1.25$ and $ΔUWE/UWE_{eDR3}>-0.25$ as criteria to select astrometric binaries. For stellar binaries we find detectable significant astrometric deviations for 80-90\% of our simulated systems in a period range from months to decades. We confirm that for systems with periods less than the survey's baseline the observed $UWE$ scales $\propto \ \varpi$ (parallax), $a$ (semi-major axis) and $Δ=\frac{|q-l|}{(1+q)(1+l)}$ where $q$ and $l$ are the mass and light ratio respectively, with a modest dependence on viewing angle. For longer periods the signal is suppressed by a factor of roughly $\propto P^{-2}$ (period). PMA is largest in orbits with slightly longer periods but obeys the same approximate scaling relationships.

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The Local Group Mass in the light of Gaia

High accuracy proper motions (PMs) of M31 and other Local Group satellites have now been provided by the {\it Gaia} satellite. We revisit the Timing Argument to compute the total mass $M$ of the Local Group from the orbit of the Milky Way and M31, allowing for the Cosmological Constant. We rectify for a systematic effect caused by the presence of the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC). The interaction of the LMC with the Milky Way induces a motion towards the LMC. This contribution to the measured velocity of approach of the Milky Way and M31 must be removed. We allow for cosmic bias and scatter by extracting correction factors tailored to the accretion history of the Local Group. The distribution of correction factors is centered around $0.63$ with a scatter $\pm 0.2$, indicating that the Timing Argument significantly overestimates the true mass. Adjusting for all these effects, the estimated mass of the Local Group is $ M = 3.4^{+1.4}_{-1.1} \times 10^{12} M_{\odot}$ (68 % CL) when using the M31 tangential velocity $ 82^{+38}_{-35}$ km/s. Lower tangential velocity models with $59^{+42}_{-38}$ km/s (derived from the same PM data with a flat prior on the tangential velocity) lead to an estimated mass of $ M = 3.1^{+1.3}_{-1.0} \times 10^{12} M_{\odot}$ (68 % CL). By making an inventory of the total mass associated with the 4 most substantial LG members (the Milky Way, M31, M33 and the LMC), we estimate the known mass is in the range $3.7^{+0.5}_{-0.5} \times 10^{12} \, M_{\odot}$.

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Mass Segregation in the Hyades Cluster

Using the Gaia colour-magnitude diagram, we assign masses to a catalogue of 979 confirmed members of the Hyades cluster and tails. By fitting the cumulative mass profile, stars within the tidal radius have a Plummer-like profile with half-mass radius $r_{\rm h}$ of 5.75 pc. The tails are extended with $r_{\rm h} = 69.35$ pc and fall off more slowly than Plummer with density proportional to distance$^{-1.36}$. The cluster stars are separated into two groups at BP-RP $=2$ or $0.56 M_\odot$ to give a high mass (${\bar M} = 0.95 M_\odot$) and a low mass (${\bar M} = 0.32 M_\odot$) population. We show that: (i) the high mass population has a half-mass radius $r_{\rm h}$ of 4.88 pc, whilst the low mass population has $r_{\rm h} = 8.10$ pc; (ii) despite the differences in spatial extent, the kinematics and binarity properties of the high and low mass populations are similar. They have isotropic velocity ellipsoids with mean 1d velocity dispersions $σ$ of 0.427 and 0.415 km s$^{-1}$ respectively. The dynamical state of the Hyades is far from energy equipartition ($σ\propto {\bar M}^{-1/2}$). We identify a new mass segregation instability for clusters with escape speed $V$. Populations with $V/σ\lesssim 2\sqrt{2}$ can never attain thermal equilibrium and equipartition. This regime encompasses many Galactic open and globular clusters. For the Hyades, there must be an outward energy flux of at least $9.5 \times 10^{-4} M_\odot\,{\rm km^2\, s^{-2} Myr^{-1}}$ to maintain its current configuration. The present mass loss of $0.26 M_\odot {\rm Myr}^{-1}$ due to tidal stripping by itself implies a substantial energy flow beyond the required magnitude.

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Charting galactic accelerations II: how to 'learn' accelerations in the solar neighbourhood

Gravitational acceleration fields can be deduced from the collisionless Boltzmann equation, once the distribution function is known. This can be constructed via the method of normalizing flows from datasets of the positions and velocities of stars. Here, we consider application of this technique to the solar neighbourhood. We construct mock data from a linear superposition of multiple `quasi-isothermal' distribution functions, representing stellar populations in the equilibrium Milky Way disc. We show that given a mock dataset comprising a million stars within 1 kpc of the Sun, the underlying acceleration field can be measured with excellent, sub-percent level accuracy, even in the face of realistic errors and missing line-of-sight velocities. The effects of disequilibrium can lead to bias in the inferred acceleration field. This can be diagnosed by the presence of a phase space spiral, which can be extracted simply and cleanly from the learned distribution function. We carry out a comparison with two other popular methods of finding the local acceleration field (Jeans analysis and 1D distribution function fitting). We show our method most accurately measures accelerations from a given mock dataset, particularly in the presence of disequilibria.

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The Photo-Astrometric Vertical Tracer Density of the Milky Way I: The Method

We introduce a method to infer the vertical distribution of stars in the Milky Way using a Poisson likelihood function, with a view to applying our method to the Gaia catalogue. We show how to account for the sample selection function and for parallax measurement uncertainties. Our method is validated against a simulated sample drawn from a model with two exponential discs and a power-law halo profile. A mock Gaia sample is generated using the Gaia astrometry selection function, whilst realistic parallax uncertainties are drawn from the Gaia Astrometric Spread Function. The model is fit to the mock in order to rediscover the input parameters used to generate the sample. We recover posterior distributions which accurately fit the input parameters to within statistical uncertainties, demonstrating the efficacy of our method. Using the GUMS synthetic Milky Way catalogue we find that our halo parameter fits can be heavily biased by our overly simplistic model, however, the fits to the thin and thick discs are not significantly impacted. We apply this method to Gaia Early Data Release 3 in a companion paper where we also quantify the systematic uncertainties introduced by oversimplifications in our model.

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The Photo-Astrometric Vertical Tracer Density of the Milky Way II: Results from Gaia

We use Gaia photometry and astrometry to estimate the vertical spatial structure of the Milky Way at the Solar radius, formally accounting for sample incompleteness (the selection function) and parallax measurement uncertainty. Our results show impressive precision demonstrating the power of the Gaia data. However, systematic errors dominate the parameter value uncertainties. We thoroughly test and quantify the impacts of all systematic uncertainties. The vertical tracer density is modelled as a sum of two exponential profiles for the thin and thick discs, together with a spherically symmetric power-law for the stellar halo. We constrain the thin disc scale height as ${h_\mathrm{Tn}=260 \pm 3\, (\mathrm{stat}) \pm 26\,\mathrm{pc}\, (\mathrm{sys})}$ and thick disc ${h_\mathrm{Tk}=693 \pm 7 \,(\mathrm{stat}) \pm 121\,\mathrm{pc}\, (\mathrm{sys})}$. For the halo, we obtain a power law profile with $n_\mathrm{H}=3.543\pm0.023 \,(\mathrm{stat}) \pm0.259\, (\mathrm{sys})$. We infer a local stellar mass density for non-compact object stars of ${ρ_\mathrm{local}^* = 3.66\pm0.03\,(\mathrm{stat})\pm0.52 \times10^{-2}\,\mathrm{M}_\odot/\mathrm{pc}^3\,(\mathrm{sys})}$ and surface density of ${Σ_\mathrm{local}^* = 23.17\pm0.08\,(\mathrm{stat})\pm2.43\,\mathrm{M}_\odot/\mathrm{pc}^2\,(\mathrm{sys})}$. We find asymmetries above and below the disc with longer disc scale heights in the north but a flatter halo in the south at the $\lesssim 10$ per cent level.

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A microlensing search of 700 million VVV light curves

The VISTA Variables in the Via Lactea (VVV) survey and its extension, have been monitoring about 560 square degrees of sky centred on the Galactic bulge and inner disc for nearly a decade. The photometric catalogue contains of order 10$^9$ sources monitored in the K$_s$ band down to 18 mag over hundreds of epochs from 2010-2019. Using these data we develop a decision tree classifier to identify microlensing events. As inputs to the tree, we extract a few physically motivated features as well as simple statistics ensuring a good fit to a microlensing model both on and off the event amplification. This produces a fast and efficient classifier trained on a set of simulated microlensing events and catacylsmic variables, together with flat baseline light curves randomly chosen from the VVV data. The classifier achieves 97 per cent accuracy in identifying simulated microlensing events in a validation set. We run the classifier over the VVV data set and then visually inspect the results, which produces a catalogue of 1,959 microlensing events. For these events, we provide the Einstein radius crossing time via a Bayesian analysis. The spatial dependence on recovery efficiency of our classifier is well characterised, and this allows us to compute spatially resolved completeness maps as a function of Einstein crossing time over the VVV footprint. We compare our approach to previous microlensing searches of the VVV. We highlight the importance of Bayesian fitting to determine the microlensing parameters for events with surveys like VVV with sparse data.

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VVV-WIT-08: the giant star that blinked

We report the serendipitous discovery of a late-type giant star that exhibited a smooth, eclipse-like drop in flux to a depth of 97 per cent. Minimum flux occurred in April 2012 and the total event duration was a few hundred days. Light curves in V, I and K$_s$ from the Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment and VISTA Variables in the Via Lactea surveys show a remarkably achromatic event. During 17 years of observational coverage of this source only one such event was detected. The physical properties of the giant star itself appear somewhat unusual, which may ultimately provide a clue towards the nature of the system. By modelling the event as an occultation by an object that is elliptical in projection with uniform transparency, we place limits on its physical size and velocity. We find that the occultation is unlikely to be due to a chance alignment with a foreground object. We consider a number of possible candidates for the occulter, which must be optically thick and possess a radius or thickness in excess of 0.25 au. None are completely satisfactory matches to all the data. The duration, depth and relative achromaticity of the dip mark this out as an exceptionally unusual event, whose secret has still not been fully revealed. We find two further candidates in the VVV survey and we suggest that these systems, and two previously known examples, may point to a broad class of long period eclipsing binaries wherein a giant star is occulted by a circumsecondary disc.

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