arXiv subjects

Nanyu Luo

Publications and source records attributed to Nanyu Luo.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Robust Standard Errors for Bayesian Posterior Functionals via the Infinitesimal Jackknife

Quantitative research in the social and behavioral sciences relies heavily on nonlinear posterior functionals such as indirect effects, standardized coefficients, effect sizes, intraclass correlations, and multilevel variance-explained measures. The posterior standard deviation (PostSD) is the default uncertainty summary for these quantities, yet it presupposes a correctly specified model. When the working model is wrong, as is common with behavioral data that exhibit heavy tails and heteroskedasticity, PostSD can severely underestimate the frequentist standard error. The nonparametric bootstrap offers robustness but requires repeated MCMC refits, while the delta method demands a separate analytic gradient derivation for every new functional. The infinitesimal jackknife standard error (Giordano & Broderick, 2023) sidesteps both limitations: it approximates the bootstrap variance through influence functions computed from a single MCMC run, applies to any posterior functional without modification, and requires no analytic derivatives. We discuss the use the IJSE methodology at both the observation level and the cluster level and evaluate it through four simulation studies covering six functionals from mediation analysis, ANOVA, and multilevel modeling, which are commonly used in the social and behavioral sciences. Under misspecification, PostSD substantially underestimated the true standard error across all settings, whereas IJSE closely tracked the bootstrap at a fraction of the computational cost. Under correct specification all three methods agreed, confirming that IJSE introduces no distortion when the model is right. These results show IJSE as a practical, general-purpose tool for robust uncertainty quantification in Bayesian workflows throughout the social and behavioral sciences

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Generative Adversarial Networks for High-Dimensional Item Factor Analysis: A Deep Adversarial Learning Algorithm

Advances in deep learning and representation learning have transformed item factor analysis (IFA) in the item response theory (IRT) literature by enabling more efficient and accurate parameter estimation. Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) have been one of the most impactful techniques in modeling high-dimensional latent variables in this context. However, the limited expressiveness of the inference model based on traditional VAEs can still hinder the estimation performance. We introduce Adversarial Variational Bayes (AVB) algorithms as an improvement to VAEs for IFA with improved flexibility and accuracy. By bridging the strengths of VAEs and Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), AVB incorporates an auxiliary discriminator network to reframe the estimation process as a two-player adversarial game and removes the restrictive assumption of standard normal distributions in the inference model. Theoretically, AVB can achieve similar or higher likelihood compared to VAEs. A further enhanced algorithm, Importance-weighted Adversarial Variational Bayes (IWAVB) is proposed and compared with Importance-weighted Autoencoders (IWAE). In an exploratory analysis of empirical data, IWAVB demonstrated superior expressiveness by achieving a higher likelihood compared to IWAE. In confirmatory analysis with simulated data, IWAVB achieved similar mean-square error results to IWAE while consistently achieving higher likelihoods. When latent variables followed a multimodal distribution, IWAVB outperformed IWAE. With its innovative use of GANs, IWAVB is shown to have the potential to extend IFA to handle large-scale data, facilitating the potential integration of psychometrics and multimodal data analysis.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2025

Federated Item Response Models: A Gradient-driven Privacy-preserving Framework for Distributed Psychometric Estimation

Item Response Theory (IRT) models are widely used to estimate respondents' latent abilities and calibrate item difficulty. Traditional IRT estimation typically requires centralizing all raw responses, raising privacy and governance concerns. We introduce Federated Item Response Theory (FedIRT), a framework that enables distributed calibration of standard IRT models without transferring individual-level data, thereby preserving confidentiality while retaining statistical efficiency. To provide formal protection, we further develop FedIRT-DP, a user-level differentially private extension. Each site computes per-student gradients, clips them to a fixed norm, and shares only masked sums; the server adds calibrated Gaussian noise and performs MAP updates. This yields an auditable $(\varepsilon,\delta)$ guarantee at the student level and a single, tunable privacy-utility trade-off via the clipping bound and noise scale. The same mechanism improves robustness to extreme response rows (e.g., all-zeros/ones). Across simulations, FedIRT matches the accuracy of centralized estimators from popular $\texttt{R}$ packages while avoiding data pooling; FedIRT-DP achieves comparable accuracy under stronger privacy and exhibits superior robustness to contamination. An empirical study on a real exam dataset demonstrates practical viability and consistent item and site-effect estimates. To facilitate adoption, we release an open-source $\texttt{R}$ package, $\texttt{FedIRT}$, implementing the two-parameter logistic (2PL) and partial credit models (PCM) with federated and differentially private training.

cs.LG↗