arXiv subjects

Nathalie Bartoli

Publications and source records attributed to Nathalie Bartoli.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Energy-aware frugal Bayesian optimization

Modern design optimization frameworks aim first and foremost for models with the most accurate predictions without balancing computational overhead. It remains a reason why scaled architecture and multidisciplinary design optimization problems are difficult to address, even with sample-efficient Bayesian optimizers. In this paper, a metric quantifying the computational energy footprint is introduced within a Bayesian optimization framework to guide the parameter setting of a model towards configurations that balance both performance and frugality. The computer experiments highlighted existing tradeoffs between optimum convergence and the underlying energy footprint, and sometimes resulted in both a better-found optimum and lower energy consumption.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Hierarchical Bayesian optimization of an aircraft-based multi-agent system-of-systems

Developing innovative system architectures increasingly relies on advanced modeling and optimization techniques to frame the architecting process and define the corresponding computational problems. For complex System-of-Systems (SoS), high-fidelity multiphysics and multidisciplinary simulations are essential for capturing detailed behaviors. However, their computational expense and the risk of evaluation failures make direct optimization challenging. To overcome these limitations, surrogate-based approaches, like Bayesian optimization, have emerged as effective tools for managing expensive, black-box simulation tasks. This work introduces a hierarchical Bayesian optimization framework that leverages Gaussian process meta-modeling to handle discrete architectural choices, conditional dependencies, and heterogeneous design variables inherent to SoS problems. Results show that the hierarchical formulation improves search efficiency and robustness compared to conventional surrogate-based methods, enabling the exploration of large and structurally diverse design spaces with limited simulation budgets. We apply the approach to an aircraft-based multi-agent system for wildfire suppression, a use case developed within the EU-funded COLOSSUS project that illustrates how SoS principles can coordinate heterogeneous aerial platforms with complementary roles, supporting both sustainable mobility and emergency response missions. Our framework provides a scalable methodology for SoS architecting and model exploration, offering transferable insights for applications in aviation, sustainable mobility, and resilience-oriented system design. By combining hierarchical representations with surrogate-based optimization, this work is among the first practical demonstrations of hierarchical Bayesian optimization applied to real-world SoS problems, advancing both methodology and practice.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Efficient multidisciplinary design via Bayesian optimization

This study introduces SEGOMOE, a Bayesian optimization tool for optimizing complex, computationally expensive systems, especially in aeronautics. It efficiently handles mixed design variables (continuous, discrete, categorical, hierarchical) using adaptive Gaussian process models. SEGOMOE combines expert models to address nonlinearities in objectives and constraints, leveraging the open-source Surrogate Modeling Toolbox (SMT). The tool supports multi-fidelity data and solves both single- and multi-objective problems, including hidden constraints and high-dimensional decomposition. Validated through benchmarks and real-world aeronautical applications, SEGOMOE proves to be robust and versatile for tackling multidisciplinary challenges.

math.OC↗

arXiv2026

Multi-fidelity approaches for general constrained Bayesian optimization with application to aircraft design

Aircraft design relies heavily on solving challenging and computationally expensive Multidisciplinary Design Optimization problems. In this context, there has been growing interest in multi-fidelity models for Bayesian optimization to improve the MDO process by balancing computational cost and accuracy through the combination of high- and low-fidelity simulation models, enabling efficient exploration of the design process at a minimal computational effort. In the existing literature, fidelity selection focuses only on the objective function to decide how to integrate multiple fidelity levels, balancing precision and computational cost using variance reduction criteria. In this work, we propose novel multi-fidelity selection strategies. Specifically, we demonstrate how incorporating information from both the objective and the constraints can further reduce computational costs without compromising the optimality of the solution. We validate the proposed multi-fidelity optimization strategy by applying it to four analytical test cases, showcasing its effectiveness. The proposed method is used to efficiently solve a challenging aircraft wing aero-structural design problem. The proposed setting uses a linear vortex lattice method and a finite element method for the aerodynamic and structural analysis respectively. We show that employing our proposed multi-fidelity approach leads to $86\%$ to $200\%$ more constraint compliant solutions given a limited budget compared to the state-of-the-art approach.

math.OC↗

arXiv2026

Transfer Learning in Bayesian Optimization for Aircraft Design

The use of transfer learning within Bayesian optimization addresses the disadvantages of the so-called \textit{cold start} problem by using source data to aid in the optimization of a target problem. We present a method that leverages an ensemble of surrogate models using transfer learning and integrates it in a constrained Bayesian optimization framework. We identify challenges particular to aircraft design optimization related to heterogeneous design variables and constraints. We propose the use of a partial-least-squares dimension reduction algorithm to address design space heterogeneity, and a \textit{meta} data surrogate selection method to address constraint heterogeneity. Numerical benchmark problems and an aircraft conceptual design optimization problem are used to demonstrate the proposed methods. Results show significant improvement in convergence in early optimization iterations compared to standard Bayesian optimization, with improved prediction accuracy for both objective and constraint surrogate models.

math.OC↗

arXiv2026

Modeling Hierarchical Spaces: A Review and Unified Framework for Surrogate-Based Architecture Design

Simulation-based problems involving mixed-variable inputs frequently feature domains that are hierarchical, conditional, heterogeneous, or tree-structured. These characteristics pose challenges for data representation, modeling, and optimization. This paper reviews extensive literature on these structured input spaces and proposes a unified framework that generalizes existing approaches. In this framework, input variables may be continuous, integer, or categorical. A variable is described as meta if its value governs the presence of other decreed variables, enabling the modeling of conditional and hierarchical structures. We further introduce the concept of partially-decreed variables, whose activation depends on contextual conditions. To capture these inter-variable hierarchical relationships, we introduce design space graphs, combining principles from feature modeling and graph theory. This allows the definition of general hierarchical domains suitable for describing complex system architectures. Our framework defines hierarchical distances and kernels to enable surrogate modeling and optimization on hierarchical domains. We demonstrate its effectiveness on complex system design problems, including a neural network and a green-aircraft case study. Our methods are available in the open-source Surrogate Modeling Toolbox (SMT 2.0).

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

System-of-systems Modeling and Optimization: An Integrated Framework for Intermodal Mobility

For developing innovative systems architectures, modeling and optimization techniques have been central to frame the architecting process and define the optimization and modeling problems. In this context, for system-of-systems the use of efficient dedicated approaches (often physics-based simulations) is highly recommended to reduce the computational complexity of the targeted applications. However, exploring novel architectures using such dedicated approaches might pose challenges for optimization algorithms, including increased evaluation costs and potential failures. To address these challenges, surrogate-based optimization algorithms, such as Bayesian optimization utilizing Gaussian process models have emerged.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

Multi-objective Bayesian Optimization With Mixed-categorical Design Variables for Expensive-to-evaluate Aeronautical Applications

This work aims at developing new methodologies to optimize computational costly complex systems (e.g., aeronautical engineering systems). The proposed surrogate-based method (often called Bayesian optimization) uses adaptive sampling to promote a trade-off between exploration and exploitation. Our in-house implementation, called SEGOMOE, handles a high number of design variables (continuous, discrete or categorical) and nonlinearities by combining mixtures of experts for the objective and/or the constraints. Additionally, the method handles multi-objective optimization settings, as it allows the construction of accurate Pareto fronts with a minimal number of function evaluations. Different infill criteria have been implemented to handle multiple objectives with or without constraints. The effectiveness of the proposed method was tested on practical aeronautical applications within the context of the European Project AGILE 4.0 and demonstrated favorable results. A first example concerns a retrofitting problem where a comparison between two optimizers have been made. A second example introduces hierarchical variables to deal with architecture system in order to design an aircraft family. The third example increases drastically the number of categorical variables as it combines aircraft design, supply chain and manufacturing process. In this article, we show, on three different realistic problems, various aspects of our optimization codes thanks to the diversity of the treated aircraft problems.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Bayesian optimization for mixed variables using an adaptive dimension reduction process: applications to aircraft design

Multidisciplinary design optimization methods aim at adapting numerical optimization techniques to the design of engineering systems involving multiple disciplines. In this context, a large number of mixed continuous, integer and categorical variables might arise during the optimization process and practical applications involve a large number of design variables. Recently, there has been a growing interest in mixed variables constrained Bayesian optimization but most existing approaches severely increase the number of the hyperparameters related to the surrogate model. In this paper, we address this issue by constructing surrogate models using less hyperparameters. The reduction process is based on the partial least squares method. An adaptive procedure for choosing the number of hyperparameters is proposed. The performance of the proposed approach is confirmed on analytical tests as well as two real applications related to aircraft design. A significant improvement is obtained compared to genetic algorithms.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Regularized infill criteria for multi-objective Bayesian optimization with application to aircraft design

Bayesian optimization is an advanced tool to perform ecient global optimization It consists on enriching iteratively surrogate Kriging models of the objective and the constraints both supposed to be computationally expensive of the targeted optimization problem Nowadays efficient extensions of Bayesian optimization to solve expensive multiobjective problems are of high interest The proposed method in this paper extends the super efficient global optimization with mixture of experts SEGOMOE to solve constrained multiobjective problems To cope with the illposedness of the multiobjective inll criteria different enrichment procedures using regularization techniques are proposed The merit of the proposed approaches are shown on known multiobjective benchmark problems with and without constraints The proposed methods are then used to solve a biobjective application related to conceptual aircraft design with ve unknown design variables and three nonlinear inequality constraints The preliminary results show a reduction of the total cost in terms of function evaluations by a factor of 20 compared to the evolutionary algorithm NSGA-II.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Surrogate-based optimization of system architectures subject to hidden constraints

The exploration of novel architectures requires physics-based simulation due to a lack of prior experience to start from, which introduces two specific challenges for optimization algorithms: evaluations become more expensive (in time) and evaluations might fail. The former challenge is addressed by Surrogate-Based Optimization (SBO) algorithms, in particular Bayesian Optimization (BO) using Gaussian Process (GP) models. An overview is provided of how BO can deal with challenges specific to architecture optimization, such as design variable hierarchy and multiple objectives: specific measures include ensemble infills and a hierarchical sampling algorithm. Evaluations might fail due to non-convergence of underlying solvers or infeasible geometry in certain areas of the design space. Such failed evaluations, also known as hidden constraints, pose a particular challenge to SBO/BO, as the surrogate model cannot be trained on empty results. This work investigates various strategies for satisfying hidden constraints in BO algorithms. Three high-level strategies are identified: rejection of failed points from the training set, replacing failed points based on viable (non-failed) points, and predicting the failure region. Through investigations on a set of test problems including a jet engine architecture optimization problem, it is shown that best performance is achieved with a mixed-discrete GP to predict the Probability of Viability (PoV), and by ensuring selected infill points satisfy some minimum PoV threshold. This strategy is demonstrated by solving a jet engine architecture problem that features at 50% failure rate and could not previously be solved by a BO algorithm. The developed BO algorithm and used test problems are available in the open-source Python library SBArchOpt.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

System Architecture Optimization Strategies: Dealing with Expensive Hierarchical Problems

Choosing the right system architecture for the problem at hand is challenging due to the large design space and high uncertainty in the early stage of the design process. Formulating the architecting process as an optimization problem may mitigate some of these challenges. This work investigates strategies for solving System Architecture Optimization (SAO) problems: expensive, black-box, hierarchical, mixed-discrete, constrained, multi-objective problems that may be subject to hidden constraints. Imputation ratio, correction ratio, correction fraction, and max rate diversity metrics are defined for characterizing hierar chical design spaces. This work considers two classes of optimization algorithms for SAO: Multi-Objective Evolutionary Algorithms (MOEA) such as NSGA-II, and Bayesian Optimization (BO) algorithms. A new Gaussian process kernel is presented that enables modeling hierarchical categorical variables, extending previous work on modeling continuous and integer hierarchical variables. Next, a hierarchical sampling algorithm that uses design space hierarchy to group design vectors by active design variables is developed. Then, it is demonstrated that integrating more hierarchy information in the optimization algorithms yields better optimization results for BO algorithms. Several realistic single-objective and multi-objective test problems are used for investigations. Finally, the BO algorithm is applied to a jet engine architecture optimization problem. This work shows that the developed BO algorithm can effectively solve the problem with one order of magnitude less function evaluations than NSGA-II. The algorithms and problems used in this work are implemented in the open-source Python library SBArchOpt.

math.OC↗

arXiv2025

High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimization Using Both Random and Supervised Embeddings

Bayesian optimization (BO) is one of the most powerful strategies to solve computationally expensive-to-evaluate blackbox optimization problems. However, BO methods are conventionally used for optimization problems of small dimension because of the curse of dimensionality. In this paper, a high-dimensionnal optimization method incorporating linear embedding subspaces of small dimension is proposed to efficiently perform the optimization. An adaptive learning strategy for these linear embeddings is carried out in conjunction with the optimization. The resulting BO method, named efficient global optimization coupled with random and supervised embedding (EGORSE), combines in an adaptive way both random and supervised linear embeddings. EGORSE has been compared to state-of-the-art algorithms and tested on academic examples with a number of design variables ranging from 10 to 600. The obtained results show the high potential of EGORSE to solve high-dimensional blackbox optimization problems, in terms of both CPU time and the limited number of calls to the expensive blackbox simulation.

math.OC↗

arXiv2024

High-dimensional mixed-categorical Gaussian processes with application to multidisciplinary design optimization for a green aircraft

Recently, there has been a growing interest in mixed-categorical metamodels based on Gaussian Process (GP) for Bayesian optimization. In this context, different approaches can be used to build the mixed-categorical GP. Many of these approaches involve a high number of hyperparameters; in fact, the more general and precise the strategy used to build the GP, the greater the number of hyperparameters to estimate. This paper introduces an innovative dimension reduction algorithm that relies on partial least squares regression to reduce the number of hyperparameters used to build a mixed-variable GP. Our goal is to generalize classical dimension reduction techniques commonly used within GP (for continuous inputs) to handle mixed-categorical inputs. The good potential of the proposed method is demonstrated in both structural and multidisciplinary application contexts. The targeted applications include the analysis of a cantilever beam as well as the optimization of a green aircraft, resulting in a significant 439-kilogram reduction in fuel consumption during a single mission.

math.OC↗

arXiv2024

SMT 2.0: A Surrogate Modeling Toolbox with a focus on Hierarchical and Mixed Variables Gaussian Processes

The Surrogate Modeling Toolbox (SMT) is an open-source Python package that offers a collection of surrogate modeling methods, sampling techniques, and a set of sample problems. This paper presents SMT 2.0, a major new release of SMT that introduces significant upgrades and new features to the toolbox. This release adds the capability to handle mixed-variable surrogate models and hierarchical variables. These types of variables are becoming increasingly important in several surrogate modeling applications. SMT 2.0 also improves SMT by extending sampling methods, adding new surrogate models, and computing variance and kernel derivatives for Kriging. This release also includes new functions to handle noisy and use multifidelity data. To the best of our knowledge, SMT 2.0 is the first open-source surrogate library to propose surrogate models for hierarchical and mixed inputs. This open-source software is distributed under the New BSD license.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Variance based sensitivity analysis for Monte Carlo and importance sampling reliability assessment with Gaussian processes

Running a reliability analysis on engineering problems involving complex numerical models can be computationally very expensive, requiring advanced simulation methods to reduce the overall numerical cost. Gaussian process based active learning methods for reliability analysis have emerged as a promising way for reducing this computational cost. The learning phase of these methods consists in building a Gaussian process surrogate model of the performance function and using the uncertainty structure of the Gaussian process to enrich iteratively this surrogate model. For that purpose a learning criterion has to be defined. Then, the estimation of the probability of failure is typically obtained by a classification of a population evaluated on the final surrogate model. Hence, the estimator of the probability of failure holds two different uncertainty sources related to the surrogate model approximation and to the sampling based integration technique. In this paper, we propose a methodology to quantify the sensitivity of the probability of failure estimator to both uncertainty sources. This analysis also enables to control the whole error associated to the failure probability estimate and thus provides an accuracy criterion on the estimation. Thus, an active learning approach integrating this analysis to reduce the main source of error and stopping when the global variability is sufficiently low is introduced. The approach is proposed for both a Monte Carlo based method as well as an importance sampling based method, seeking to improve the estimation of rare event probabilities. Performance of the proposed strategy is then assessed on several examples.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2020

An efficient application of Bayesian optimization to an industrial MDO framework for aircraft design

The multi-level, multi-disciplinary and multi-fidelity optimization framework developed at Bombardier Aviation has shown great results to explore efficient and competitive aircraft configurations. This optimization framework has been developed within the Isight software, the latter offers a set of ready-to-use optimizers. Unfortunately, the computational effort required by the Isight optimizers can be prohibitive with respect to the requirements of an industrial context. In this paper, a constrained Bayesian optimization optimizer, namely the super efficient global optimization with mixture of experts, is used to reduce the optimization computational effort. The obtained results showed significant improvements compared to two of the popular Isight optimizers. The capabilities of the tested constrained Bayesian optimization solver are demonstrated on Bombardier research aircraft configuration study cases.

cs.CE↗

arXiv2020

Upper Trust Bound Feasibility Criterion for Mixed Constrained Bayesian Optimization with Application to Aircraft Design

Bayesian optimization methods have been successfully applied to black box optimization problems that are expensive to evaluate. In this paper, we adapt the so-called super effcient global optimization algorithm to solve more accurately mixed constrained problems. The proposed approach handles constraints by means of upper trust bound, the latter encourages exploration of the feasible domain by combining the mean prediction and the associated uncertainty function given by the Gaussian processes. On top of that, a refinement procedure, based on a learning rate criterion, is introduced to enhance the exploitation and exploration trade-off. We show the good potential of the approach on a set of numerical experiments. Finally, we present an application to conceptual aircraft configuration upon which we show the superiority of the proposed approach compared to a set of the state-of-the-art black box optimization solvers. Keywords: Global Optimization, Mixed Constrained Optimization, Black box optimization, Bayesian Optimization, Gaussian Process.

stat.ML↗