arXiv subjects

Nathan Ross

Publications and source records attributed to Nathan Ross.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Correlated uniform attachment trees

We introduce and study a new model of correlated uniform attachment (UA) trees, where correlation is sprinkled throughout the time evolution of the process. In this model, two UA trees are grown in parallel, and at each time step a new node is added to each tree, with an edge between it and a uniformly chosen existing vertex in the respective tree. The two choices of attachment are correlated: with probability $\alpha$, the edges attach to nodes with the same time label in both trees, and with probability $1-\alpha$, the choices are made independently. We study fundamental detection and estimation questions for this model, given two \emph{unlabeled} trees. In our main result, we construct a consistent estimator of the correlation parameter $\alpha$, as the size of the trees goes to infinity. The construction of our statistic relies on two key ideas. First, we use Jordan centrality to identify subsets of vertices of each tree whose intersection has a sufficient number of common early vertices. The second idea is that, across multiple time scales, it is possible to approximately determine the labels of vertices that have attached to these early vertices, using the sizes of fringe subtrees. Our analysis includes novel quantitative bounds on the fraction of early vertices that remain central, which are of independent interest in the network archaeology literature.

math.PR↗

arXiv2026

Multi-Shot Quantum Sensing for RF Signal Detection with MIMO Rydberg-Atom Receivers

Rydberg-atom quantum receivers (RAQRs) enable electric-field sensing with quantum-noise-limited performance, yet their optical readout provides only magnitude measurements whose fluctuations follow Rician statistics governed by atomic projection noise, optical shot noise, reference-field injection, and short coherence times. These non-Gaussian, phase-blind measurements invalidate classical single-shot RF detectors and necessitate multi-shot quantum sensing strategies. This work develops a physically consistent multi-shot statistical model for RAQRs and derives both the optimal genie-aided likelihood-ratio test (LRT) and a practical phase-averaged LRT that removes dependence on the unknown RF-field phase. Closed-form test statistics and thresholds are obtained for both detectors, and the limits imposed by finite quantum shots-due to atomic dephasing and measurement backaction-are explicitly quantified. A fully non-coherent energy detector is also analysed, with exact detection probability derived using noncentral chi-square models. Monte Carlo results show that only 5-10 quantum shots yield major gains: the phase-averaged LRT closely approaches the genie bound and RAQR detection markedly outperforms classical RF energy detection under comparable received power. The proposed framework provides the first unified statistical basis for multi-shot Rydberg-based weak-field detection and underscores the potential of RAQRs for quantum-enhanced signal detection.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2025

Finite-Dimensional Gaussian Approximation for Deep Neural Networks: Universality in Random Weights

We study the Finite-Dimensional Distributions (FDDs) of deep neural networks with randomly initialized weights that have finite-order moments. Specifically, we establish Gaussian approximation bounds in the Wasserstein-$1$ norm between the FDDs and their Gaussian limit assuming a Lipschitz activation function and allowing the layer widths to grow to infinity at arbitrary relative rates. In the special case where all widths are proportional to a common scale parameter $n$ and there are $L-1$ hidden layers, we obtain convergence rates of order $n^{-({1}/{6})^{L-1} + \epsilon}$, for any $\epsilon > 0$.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2025

Dynamic Scheduling for Enhanced Performance in RIS-assisted Cooperative Network with Interference

Reconfigurable Intelligent Surfaces (RIS) have emerged as transformative technologies, enhancing spectral efficiency and improving interference management in multi-user cooperative communications. This paper investigates the integration of RIS with Flexible-Duplex (FlexD) communication, featuring dynamic scheduling capabilities, to mitigate unintended external interference in multi-user wireless networks. By leveraging the reconfigurability of RIS and dynamic scheduling, we propose a user-pair selection scheme to maximize system throughput when full channel state information (CSI) of interference is unavailable. We develop a mathematical framework to evaluate the throughput outage probability when RIS introduces spatial correlation. The derived analytical results are used for asymptotic analysis, providing insights into dynamic user scheduling under interference based on statistical channel knowledge. Finally, we compare FlexD with traditional Full Duplex (FD) and Half Duplex (HD) systems against RIS-assisted FlexD. Our results show FlexD's superior throughput enhancement, energy efficiency and data management capability in interference-affected networks, typical in current and next-generation cooperative wireless applications like cellular and vehicular communications.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2024

Network and interaction models for data with hierarchical granularity via fragmentation and coagulation

We introduce a nested family of Bayesian nonparametric models for network and interaction data with a hierarchical granularity structure that naturally arises through finer and coarser population labelings. In the case of network data, the structure is easily visualized by merging and shattering vertices, while respecting the edge structure. We further develop Bayesian inference procedures for the model family, and apply them to synthetic and real data. The family provides a connection of practical and theoretical interest between the Hollywood model of Crane and Dempsey, and the generalized-gamma graphex model of Caron and Fox. A key ingredient for the construction of the family is fragmentation and coagulation duality for integer partitions, and for this we develop novel duality relations that generalize those of Pitman and Dong, Goldschmidt and Martin. The duality is also crucially used in our inferential procedures.

math.ST↗

arXiv2024

Cutoff for the logistic SIS epidemic model with self-infection

We study a variant of the classical Markovian logistic SIS epidemic model on a complete graph, which has the additional feature that healthy individuals can become infected without contacting an infected member of the population. This additional ``self-infection'' is used to model situations where there is an unknown source of infection or an external disease reservoir, such as an animal carrier population. In contrast to the classical logistic SIS epidemic model, the version with self-infection has a non-degenerate stationary distribution, and we derive precise asymptotics for the time to converge to stationarity (mixing time) as the population size becomes large. It turns out that the chain exhibits the cutoff phenomenon, which is a sharp transition in time from one to zero of the total variation distance to stationarity. We obtain the exact leading constant for the cutoff time, and show the window size is constant (optimal) order. While this result is interesting in its own right, an additional contribution of our work is that the proof illustrates a recently formalised methodology of Barbour, Brightwell and Luczak, which can be used to show cutoff via a combination of concentration of measure inequalities for the trajectory of the chain, and coupling techniques.

math.PR↗

arXiv2023

Gaussian random field approximation via Stein's method with applications to wide random neural networks

We derive upper bounds on the Wasserstein distance ($W_1$), with respect to $\sup$-norm, between any continuous $\mathbb{R}^d$ valued random field indexed by the $n$-sphere and the Gaussian, based on Stein's method. We develop a novel Gaussian smoothing technique that allows us to transfer a bound in a smoother metric to the $W_1$ distance. The smoothing is based on covariance functions constructed using powers of Laplacian operators, designed so that the associated Gaussian process has a tractable Cameron-Martin or Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. This feature enables us to move beyond one dimensional interval-based index sets that were previously considered in the literature. Specializing our general result, we obtain the first bounds on the Gaussian random field approximation of wide random neural networks of any depth and Lipschitz activation functions at the random field level. Our bounds are explicitly expressed in terms of the widths of the network and moments of the random weights. We also obtain tighter bounds when the activation function has three bounded derivatives.

math.PR↗

arXiv2021

Stein's method, Gaussian processes and Palm measures, with applications to queueing

We develop a general approach to Stein's method for approximating a random process in the path space $D([0,T]\to R^d)$ by a real continuous Gaussian process. We then use the approach in the context of processes that have a representation as integrals with respect to anunderlying point process, deriving a general quantitative Gaussian approximation. The error bound is expressed in terms of couplings of the original process to processes generated from the reduced Palm measures associated with the point process. As applications, we study certain $\text{GI}/\text{GI}/\infty$ queues in the "heavy traffic" regime.

math.PR↗

arXiv2021

Stein's method, smoothing and functional approximation

Stein's method for Gaussian process approximation can be used to bound the differences between the expectations of smooth functionals $h$ of a c\`adl\`ag random process $X$ of interest and the expectations of the same functionals of a well understood target random process $Z$ with continuous paths. Unfortunately, the class of smooth functionals for which this is easily possible is very restricted. Here, we prove an infinite dimensional Gaussian smoothing inequality, which enables the class of functionals to be greatly expanded -- examples are Lipschitz functionals with respect to the uniform metric, and indicators of arbitrary events -- in exchange for a loss of precision in the bounds. Our inequalities are expressed in terms of the smooth test function bound, an expectation of a functional of $X$ that is closely related to classical tightness criteria, a similar expectation for $Z$, and, for the indicator of a set $K$, the probability $\mathbb{P}(Z \in K^\theta \setminus K^{-\theta})$ that the target process is close to the boundary of $K$.

math.PR↗

arXiv2019

Stein's method for the Poisson-Dirichlet distribution and the Ewens Sampling Formula, with applications to Wright-Fisher models

We provide a general theorem bounding the error in the approximation of a random measure of interest--for example, the empirical population measure of types in a Wright-Fisher model--and a Dirichlet process, which is a measure having Poisson-Dirichlet distributed atoms with i.i.d. labels from a diffuse distribution. The implicit metric of the approximation theorem captures the sizes and locations of the masses, and so also yields bounds on the approximation between the masses of the measure of interest and the Poisson-Dirichlet distribution. We apply the result to bound the error in the approximation of the stationary distribution of types in the finite Wright-Fisher model with infinite-alleles mutation structure (not necessarily parent independent) by the Poisson-Dirichlet distribution. An important consequence of our result is an explicit upper bound on the total variation distance between the random partition generated by sampling from a finite Wright-Fisher stationary distribution, and the Ewens Sampling Formula. The bound is small if the sample size $n$ is much smaller than $N^{1/6}\log(N)^{-1/2}$, where $N$ is the total population size. Our analysis requires a result of separate interest, giving an explicit bound on the second moment of the number of types of a finite Wright-Fisher stationary distribution. The general approximation result follows from a new development of Stein's method for the Dirichlet process, which follows by viewing the Dirichlet process as the stationary distribution of a Fleming-Viot process, and then applying Barbour's generator approach.

math.PR↗

arXiv2019

Exponential and Laplace approximation for occupation statistics of branching random walk

We study occupancy counts for the critical nearest-neighbor branching random walk on the $d$-dimensional lattice, conditioned on non-extinction. For $d\geq 3$, Lalley and Zheng (2011) showed that the properly scaled joint distribution of the number of sites occupied by $j$ generation-$n$ particles, $j=1,2,\ldots$, converges in distribution as $n$ goes to infinity, to a deterministic multiple of a single exponential random variable. The limiting exponential variable can be understood as the classical Yaglom limit of the total population size of generation $n$. Here we study the second order fluctuations around this limit, first, by providing a rate of convergence in the Wasserstein metric that holds for all $d\geq3$, and second, by showing that for $d\geq 7$, the weak limit of the scaled joint differences between the number of occupancy-$j$ sites and appropriate multiples of the total population size converge in the Wasserstein metric to a multivariate symmetric Laplace distribution. We also provide a rate of convergence for this latter result.

math.PR↗

arXiv2019

Local limit theorems for occupancy models

We present a rather general method for proving local limit theorems, with a good rate of convergence, for sums of dependent random variables. The method is applicable when a Stein coupling can be exhibited. Our approach involves both Stein's method for distributional approximation and Stein's method for concentration. As applications, we prove local central limit theorems with rate of convergence for the number of germs with $d$ neighbours in a germ--grain model, and the number of degree-$d$ vertices in an Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph. In both cases, the error rate is optimal, up to logarithmic factors.

math.PR↗

arXiv2018

The Probability of Intransitivity in Dice and Close Elections

We study the phenomenon of intransitivity in models of dice and voting. First, we follow a recent thread of research for $n$-sided dice with pairwise ordering induced by the probability, relative to $1/2$, that a throw from one die is higher than the other. We build on a recent result of Polymath showing that three dice with i.i.d. faces drawn from the uniform distribution on $\{1,\ldots,n\}$ and conditioned on the average of faces equal to $(n+1)/2$ are intransitive with asymptotic probability $1/4$. We show that if dice faces are drawn from a non-uniform continuous mean zero distribution conditioned on the average of faces equal to $0$, then three dice are transitive with high probability. We also extend our results to stationary Gaussian dice, whose faces, for example, can be the fractional Brownian increments with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$. Second, we pose an analogous model in the context of Condorcet voting. We consider $n$ voters who rank $k$ alternatives independently and uniformly at random. The winner between each two alternatives is decided by a majority vote based on the preferences. We show that in this model, if all pairwise elections are close to tied, then the asymptotic probability of obtaining any tournament on the $k$ alternatives is equal to $2^{-k(k-1)/2}$, which markedly differs from known results in the model without conditioning. We also explore the Condorcet voting model where methods other than simple majority are used for pairwise elections. We investigate some natural definitions of "close to tied" for general functions and exhibit an example where the distribution over tournaments is not uniform under those definitions.

math.PR↗

arXiv2018

Central moment inequalities using Stein's method

We derive explicit central moment inequalities for random variables that admit a Stein coupling, such as exchangeable pairs, size--bias couplings or local dependence, among others. The bounds are in terms of moments (not necessarily central) of variables in the Stein coupling, which are typically local in some sense, and therefore easier to bound. In cases where the Stein couplings have the kind of behaviour leading to good normal approximation, the central moments are closely bounded by those of a normal. We show how the bounds can be used to produce concentration inequalities, and compare them to those existing in related settings. Finally, we illustrate the power of the theory by bounding the central moments of sums of neighbourhood statistics in sparse Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graphs.

math.PR↗

arXiv2017

Approximating stationary distributions of fast mixing Glauber dynamics, with applications to exponential random graphs

We provide a general bound on the Wasserstein distance between two arbitrary distributions of sequences of Bernoulli random variables. The bound is in terms of a mixing quantity for the Glauber dynamics of one of the sequences, and a simple expectation of the other. The result is applied to estimate, with explicit error, expectations of functions of random vectors for some Ising models and exponential random graphs in "high temperature" regimes.

math.PR↗

arXiv2017

Error bounds in local limit theorems using Stein's method

We provide a general result for bounding the difference between point probabilities of integer supported distributions and the translated Poisson distribution, a convenient alternative to the discretized normal. We illustrate our theorem in the context of the Hoeffding combinatorial central limit theorem with integer valued summands, of the number of isolated vertices in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, and of the Curie-Weiss model of magnetism, where we provide optimal or near optimal rates of convergence in the local limit metric. In the Hoeffding example, even the discrete normal approximation bounds seem to be new. The general result follows from Stein's method, and requires a new bound on the Stein solution for the Poisson distribution, which is of general interest.

math.PR↗

arXiv2016

Scaling limits for some random trees constructed inhomogeneously

We define some new sequences of recursively constructed random combinatorial trees, and show that, after properly rescaling graph distance and equipping the trees with the uniform measure on vertices, each sequence converges almost surely to a real tree in the Gromov-Hausdorff-Prokhorov sense. The limiting real trees are constructed via line-breaking the real half-line with a Poisson process having rate $(\ell+1)t^\ell dt$, for each positive integer $\ell$, and the growth of the combinatorial trees may be viewed as an inhomogeneous generalization of R\'emy's algorithm.

math.PR↗

arXiv2016

P\'olya urns with immigration at random times

We study the number of white balls in a classical P\'olya urn model with the additional feature that, at random times, a black ball is added to the urn. The number of draws between these random times are i.i.d. and, under certain moment conditions on the inter-arrival distribution, we characterize the limiting distribution of the (properly scaled) number of white balls as the number of draws goes to infinity. The possible limiting distributions obtained in this way vary considerably depending on the inter-arrival distribution and are difficult to describe explicitly. However, we show that the limits are fixed points of certain probabilistic distributional transformations, and this fact provides a proof of convergence and leads to properties of the limits. The model can alternatively be viewed as a preferential attachment random graph model where added vertices initially have a random number of edges, and from this perspective, our results describe the limit of the degree of a fixed vertex.

math.PR↗