arXiv subjects

Nathan Smith

Publications and source records attributed to Nathan Smith.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Aarmed with Data: Bumps, Outflows, and Disk-like Emission in TDE 2025aarm

The origin of the optical emission in tidal disruption events (TDEs) remains one of the major outstanding questions in the field, in part due to the limited number of nearby events with high-cadence monitoring to track their evolving photometric and spectroscopic properties. We present multi-wavelength observations of the nearby ($z=0.01368$) TDE\,2025aarm, including near-daily spectroscopic coverage prior to the optical peak. Its proximity makes it one of the brightest TDEs discovered, reaching a peak magnitude of $m_r\sim15.5$ ($M_r\sim-18$). The light curve deviates from a smooth evolution, exhibiting multiple rebrightening episodes visible in both the individual filter light curves and the bolometric luminosity. Blackbody modelling reveals that these rebrightenings are associated with an increase in temperature of $> 5,000-10,000$\,K, while the inferred photospheric radius remains approximately constant. Simultaneously, the H$\alpha$ line not only increases in blueshift but also broadens, suggesting a link between the continuum rebrightenings to changes in the kinematics of the line-forming gas. We identify a persistent absorption component at $\sim-3900$\,km\,s$^{-1}$ in multiple Balmer lines, providing further evidence for outflowing material. The H$\alpha$ profile also exhibits excess flux compared to a Gaussian on both sides of the line, inconsistent with simple scattering-dominated outflow models. Disk-profile modelling provides evidence for the emergence of a disk-like component least $\sim20$ days after peak, with substantial changes in the disk properties between $\sim50$ and 60 days. These observations highlight the complexity of TDE emission processes and demonstrate how dense multi-wavelength monitoring can disentangle the roles of accretion, reprocessing, and outflows in shaping TDE emission.

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arXiv2026

SN 2021pfs: A Type Ia Supernova Likely Affected by Progenitor Metallicity, as Revealed by Comparison with Its Twin Counterpart

We present extensive photometric and spectroscopic observations of the normal type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) 2021pfs, which occurred in the Seyfert 2 galaxy NGC 5427 at a redshift 0.009. SN 2021pfs reached an absolute \textit{B}-band peak magnitude of $M_{\rm max}(B)=$-19.28 $\pm$ 0.40 mag. The mag and a post-peak decline rate of $\Delta m_{15}(B)=$1.13 $\pm$ 0.06 mag. The observed properties of this nearby SN Ia closely resemble those of SN 2011fe, including the main optical spectroscopic features and photometric evolution. Despite their similar decline rates, SN 2021pfs rose more rapidly in the $U$ band but more slowly in the $r$ and $i$ bands compared to SN 2011fe in very early phases. This photometric difference, particularly at short wavelengths, can introduce a systematic uncertainty of up to $\sim$12% in distance estimates. Analysis of the host galaxy's local and global environment shows an environment consistent with producing a higher-metallicity progenitor for SN 2021pfs than that of SN 2011fe.This higher progenitor metallicity may explain the observed photometric discrepancy and the resulting distance between SN 2021pfs and SN 2011fe, though a larger sample of such "twin" SNe Ia is needed to confirm this trend and assess its impact on cosmological measurements.

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arXiv2026

AT 2016blu: Accretion-Powered Outbursts in a Luminous Blue Variable and Compact Object Binary

We present the first X-ray detection of the supernova (SN) impostor AT 2016blu in NGC 4559. AT 2016blu exhibited 27 detected quasiperiodic (~113 day) outbursts between 2012 and June 2026, presumably triggered by periastron passages in an eccentric binary system in which the primary is a $\gtrsim 33~M_{\odot}$ luminous blue variable (LBV). AT 2016blu was serendipitously observed by Chandra in 2001-2002, prior to its first documented outburst in 2012, but the stacked archival data show no X-ray detection. We monitored the source's visual-wavelength variability around its predicted outburst time and triggered a Chandra Target of Opportunity program in March 2026, obtaining observations with detections over five closely spaced epochs. These data indicate an X-ray luminosity of $\log L_{\rm X} \approx 38.64 \pm 0.11$~erg~s$^{-1}$ and an accretion rate of $\dot{M} \gtrsim 8\times10^{-8}~M_{\odot}~\mathrm{yr^{-1}}$, consistent with the presence of a compact companion. We therefore conclude that AT 2016blu is the first known case of an LBV SN impostor whose outbursts are driven by intermittent accretion onto a compact object. Given that the system consists of a massive star and a compact companion, AT 2016blu is a high-mass X-ray binary, similar to SN 2010da, although the donor star in SN 2010da is a red supergiant.

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arXiv2026

A JWST/MIRI Study of Dust in a Sample of Normal Type IIP Core Collapse Supernovae

Core collapse supernovae (CCSNe) are invoked as major dust producers in the early Universe, yet the amount of dust they form, the timescale over which it grows, and the physical conditions that regulate the yield remain uncertain. We present a detailed JWST/MIRI mid-infrared (MIR) imaging census of 11 nearby Type IIP CCSNe spanning $\sim$1-7 yr after explosion, investigating dust emission across the different phases of their evolution. The spectral energy distributions show a coherent evolution from hot ($\sim$1500 K), 5-8 $\mu$m emission at $\sim$400 d to prominent 10 and 18 $\mu$m emission features at later epochs ($\sim$600-2500 d). The cool dust temperatures range from $\sim120$ to $250$ K and dust masses from $\sim10^{-4}$ to $10^{-2} M_{\odot}$. The current sample shows no statistically significant correlation between measured dust mass and peak luminosity, plateau duration, or explosion energy. SNe with early high ionization features, indicative of confined CSM, are often among the dust-rich objects in the sample. The measured 1-7 yr dust yields are insufficient to account for dust in typical $z > 6$ galaxies, but support a role for CCSNe as producers of seed dust for subsequent grain growth.

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arXiv2026

JWST Spectra Indicate a Large Mass of Postshock Dust Formed by SN 2010jl

We present new JWST mid-IR spectra and ground-based optical spectra of the lingering source at the position of SN 2010jl, which was a relatively nearby superluminous Type IIn supernova having strong interaction with circumstellar material (CSM). Early-time data showed evidence of dust, interpreted as either pre-existing CSM dust, or as newly formed dust in the SN ejecta and post-shock region. At 13 yr post explosion, JWST reveals a strong MIR excess from warm dust, with broad features at 10-15 $\mu$m. Our analysis reveals a minimum dust mass of $>$0.11 $M_{\odot}$, and a more likely value of 0.2 $M_{\odot}$ or more because the dust is optically thick. This is among the largest masses of SN-produced dust yet measured without far-IR/submm data, and greatly exceeds SN 2010jl's dust mass inferred around 2-3 yr post-explosion. Ground-based optical spectra confirm the presence of a young massive cluster at the SN position, and confirm that blueshifted line profiles persisting until the latest epochs arise from dust formed in the post-shock region. The warmest dust emitting in the MIR is likely to be the same post-shock dust causing the blueshift. The JWST spectrum also reveals silicate absorption, which may arise from cool SN ejecta dust along the line of sight to the receding shock. The large mass of post-shock dust in SN 2010jl suggests that strong CSM interaction promotes efficient dust production, where the new post-shock dust will survive. If strongly interacting SNe are common in the early Universe, this may contribute significantly to dust seen in infant galaxies.

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arXiv2026

Ultraviolet to Infrared Spectroscopy of the Type Ibn SN 2023tsz Suggests a Lower-mass Progenitor

Type Ibn supernovae are stripped-envelope explosions whose spectra indicate interaction with dense, helium-rich and hydrogen-poor circumstellar material (CSM), making them important probes of late-stage mass loss and progenitor stripping. We present extensive ultraviolet-to-near-infrared spectrophotometry of the Type Ibn SN 2023tsz, including two epochs of HST/STIS ultraviolet (UV) spectroscopy and ground-based optical and near-infrared follow-up observations. The spectra are dominated by intermediate-width emission lines at all phases after maximum light, suggesting that much of the luminosity originates in a cold dense shell (CDS) formed by interaction between the ejecta and CSM. We compare the observations to one-dimensional non-local-thermodynamic-equilibrium radiative-transfer models of a helium-star explosion with a mass of $4 M_{\odot}$ at the onset of helium burning. The models reproduce the strong optical and near-infrared He I lines and require an added X-ray irradiation field to match the highly ionized UV features. The spectra are best reproduced by models with an X-ray irradiation power of $L_X \approx 10^8 L_{\odot}$, with the preferred models favoring CDS radii of order $(1.5$--$2) \times 10^{15}$ cm, velocities of $\sim 5 \times 10^7$ cm s$^{-1}$, and interaction powers of a few times $10^{42}$ erg s$^{-1}$. In the optical, the preferred models shift from higher interaction power and smaller radii at early times to lower power and larger radii at later times. These results add to the growing evidence that at least some SNe Ibn arise from lower-mass helium stars whose final evolution is shaped by binary interaction.

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arXiv2026

Evidence for Asymmetric Ejecta and Circumstellar Material in SN 2023ixf Inferred from Extensive Nebular-phase Observations

We present extensive optical and near-infrared (NIR) observations of the nearby Type II supernova (SN II) 2023ixf in the nebular phase from +89 days to +749 days after explosion, supplemented with NIR and mid-infrared (MIR) spectroscopy from the James Webb Space Telescope. The H$\alpha$ emission profile shows complex evolution, with the emergence of high-velocity components consistent with the outer ejecta interacting with extended, low-density circumstellar material (CSM). We find that the H$\alpha$ profile at an intermediate epoch (around +375 d) can be reconstructed by scaling an earlier decay-powered component and a later-phase shock-powered component, which revealed an additional intermediate-width component. This is consistent with the ejecta crashing into the initially aspherical dense CSM that has been swept-up by the forward shock. In the NIR, we find double-peaked emission from Mg I $1.504\ {\rm \mu m}$, Na I $2.206\ {\rm \mu m}$, and [Ni I] $3.12\ {\rm \mu m}$ between +200 d and +374 d, consistent with an asymmetric distribution of Ni-rich material that heats the ejecta inhomogeneously. We posit a disk-like CSM geometry and an ejecta geometry in which at least two large Ni-rich plumes lead to the observed line-profile diversity.

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arXiv2026

JWST observations of SN 2024abup: First Detection of CO in a broad-lined Type Ic Supernova and Constraints on r-process Nucleosynthesis

SN 2024abup is a nearby broad-lined Type Ic supernova (SN Ic-bl) in NGC 0681 at a distance of 23.3 \pm 1.6 Mpc. As energetic explosions of massive stars, SNe Ic-bl are considered a plausible site for rapid-neutron capture nucleosynthesis (r-process) and chemical enrichment from short-lived progenitors. They may also contribute to dust production in the early Universe. We present JWST near- to mid-infrared (NIR+MIR) observations (1-14 micron) of SN Ic-bl 2024abup at +41 days after the V band maximum (+54 days after explosion), the first-ever JWST+MIR observation of a SN Ic-bl along with radio and optical data. Using the spectral synthesis code SUMO, we identify the observed broad IR line features in SN 2024abup and find significant contributions from C, O, Mg, and carbon monoxide (CO) -- the earliest detection of molecules in a core-collapse SN so far. The spectrum shows continuum emission at wavelengths greater than 1.5 micron, which could be explained by dust -- preexisting, newly formed, or a combination-heated by the SN. We do not find compelling evidence for infrared signatures of r-process elements, though our search is hampered by the presence of many broad and blended features from the non-r-process elements. These new observations indicate that SNe Ic-bl could be a contributor to early-universe dust production, and suggest that if r-process elements are produced, revealing their presence from spectra requires very high-quality data and models to disentangle blends.

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arXiv2026

Detached Post-Algol Eclipsing Binaries Caught Between Case A and Case AB Mass Transfer

For sixty years, stellar evolutionary models have predicted that intermediate-mass stars slightly contract on the terminal-age main-sequence (TAMS) as they exhaust hydrogen in their convective cores, producing the main-sequence (MS) hook on the Hertzsprung-Russell diagram. Contraction along the TAMS has not previously been observationally verified, but an evolved eclipsing binary (EB) with a component on the TAMS can test this prediction. In a very close binary with an orbital period of less than a week, the primary star initially fills its Roche lobe on the MS (Case A mass transfer), and the binary can invert mass ratios, producing a classical Algol. The subgiant donor then contracts on the TAMS and detaches slightly from its Roche lobe. The subgiant subsequently re-expands and refills its Roche lobe as it evolves toward the Hertzsprung Gap (Case AB mass transfer). We report the discovery of detached post-Algol EB candidates in the LMC caught between Case A and Case AB mass transfer. Their OGLE light curves feature strong reflection effects as the hot primary (former mass gainer) irradiates the cool subgiant secondary. We analyze multi-epoch echelle spectra of four post-Algol candidates taken with the MIKE spectrograph at the 6.5m Magellan-Clay telescope. The primaries have mid-B MS atmospheres (M1 = 6 - 8 Msun). We measure dynamical masses of the subgiant secondaries to be M2 = 0.9 - 1.2 Msun. Detailed fitting of the OGLE light curves with PHOEBE reveals that the subgiants have Roche lobe fill factors of RLF F2 = 73% - 89%, consistent with binary evolution models. Our discovery of detached post-Algol candidates provides the first empirical evidence that intermediate-mass stars contract along the TAMS.

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arXiv2026

First Results from the LSST Shadow Survey: The Restless Luminous Blue Variable AT2017des in the Virgo-Cluster Galaxy, NGC4532

The Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will start in late-summer 2026, revolutionizing transient astronomy. Here, we present the Dark Energy Camera (DECam) Shadow Survey, which is designed to maximize the science potential of LSST by shadowing LSST observations of local galaxy-cluster fields, producing a nightly cadence of these fields. The Shadow Survey will discover extremely young supernovae (SNe), SN precursors, as well as other explosive transients and exotic phenomena, helping to characterize such transients at unprecedented cadence and depth when combined with LSST. We describe our workflow, pipeline, public data releases, and candidate vetting. As an early result of Shadow, we present the fitful luminous blue variable (LBV) eruptions of AT2017des in the Virgo-Cluster galaxy NGC4532. AT2017des has short-timescale variability (of order 10 days), peaking at around $M_r=-12.5$mag, brighter than normal LBVs, and similar to the more extreme flaring of hot LBVs/SN impostors such as SN2000ch, AT2016blu, and the precursor activity of SN2009ip. Our spectral time-series reveals features typical of these hot LBVs and SN impostors/precursors. Combining our data with long-baseline photometry from additional observatories, we find that the peaks of the outbursts of AT2017des are getting brighter over time, with 2026 peak fluxes being up to 5 times greater than in 2023 and an average brightening of $\sim0.05$ mag yr$^{-1}$. The peaks of AT2017des are more luminous than those of most other LBVs, only being fainter than bright precursors such as SN2009ip, and extreme SN impostors such as AT2016blu. AT2017des may therefore be ``ramping up'' to a terminal explosion.

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arXiv2026

Probing the Mass-loss Histories of Type IIn and II-L Supernovae with Late-time Radio Observations

We present VLA observations of 16 Type IIn and Type II-L supernovae (SNe IIn and SNe II-L) at ~1000--7000 days after explosion, probing circumstellar matter (CSM) at distances >10^16 cm from the progenitor corresponding to mass-loss over hundreds to thousands of years before core collapse. We detect radio emission from four SNe (1998S, 2005ip, 2008fq, and PTF11iqb) with the remaining 12 yielding upper limits of nu L_nu < 10^35--10^36 erg s^-1 at 3--11 GHz. The detected sources span approximately two orders of magnitude in radio luminosity, reflecting a wide range of CSM densities and pre-explosion mass-loss histories. All detected sources exhibit steep spectral indices (~<-0.4) consistent with optically-thin synchrotron emission, and the spectral evolution supports internal free-free absorption as the dominant absorption mechanism at these late epochs. We infer progenitor mass-loss rates of \dot{M}/v_w ~< 10^-5--10^-3 Msun yr^-1/(1000 km s^-1), with the most radio-luminous objects requiring sustained mass-loss over hundreds to thousands of years. The detection of the intermediate SN IIn/SN II-L object PTF11iqb at luminosities between classical SNe IIn and SNe II-L supports a continuum between these subtypes in terms of CSM interaction strength. Our limits further suggest that SNe IIn and SNe II-L are not separated by long-term mass-loss rate at the radii probed here, but chiefly by the presence and strength of dense circumstellar material immediately before explosion. At epochs >5000 days, some SNe (e.g., 1979C and 1986J) maintain nearly constant radio luminosity while others decline rapidly, suggesting that the most radio-luminous SNe IIn arise from progenitors with sustained mass-loss extending >10^4 yr before explosion.

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arXiv2026

The Eye of Sauron in SN 2025ngs: a Short-plateau Cousin of SN 1998S with Evidence for a Ring-like Circumstellar Medium

Interacting supernovae probe the twilight years of massive stars, exhibiting signatures of interaction between the supernova ejecta and surrounding material expelled from the progenitor. We present the peculiar interacting supernova, SN\,2025ngs in NGC5961 (37.8 Mpc). This transient toes the line between strongly interacting supernovae (type IIn) and type IIP supernovae. SN 2025ngs presents photometrically as a short-plateau supernova, with a plateau duration, t$_{\mathrm{PT}}^{}\approx70$ days. Interaction features subside within a week post-explosion, consistent with the growing number of flash supernovae, giving way to a short period where a typical IIP spectrum is exhibited. Towards the drop off the plateau, interaction features re-emerge, exhibiting complex H$\alpha$ profiles throughout the rest of the transient evolution. We compare with models of early spectra, finding the abundances generally consistent with a supergiant progenitor with a high mass-loss rate (10$^{-3}$ M$_\odot$ yr$^{-1}$). Early, high-resolution spectra reveal a double-horned H$\alpha$ profile, providing strong evidence for shock interaction with a proximate disk-like circumstellar medium. Spectroscopically, SN 2025ngs closely resembles the luminous SN 1998S, despite photometric differences, with SN 2025ngs having a relatively modest peak magnitude of $M_\mathrm{V}=-17.9$ mag, adding another member to the surprisingly diverse 98S-like group.

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arXiv2026

JWST spectroscopy of SN 2010da/NGC 300 ULX-1: a surviving star hidden by dust

We present new James Webb Space Telescope ($JWST$) NIRSpec and MIRI integral-field spectroscopy of the remarkable system SN~2010da / NGC~300 ULX-1, the only known ultraluminous X-ray source powered by a neutron star with a supergiant donor. Our new data, taken in November 2024, reveal that the optical and near-infrared counterpart has dramatically faded since 2018 and no longer exhibits molecular absorption features characteristic of a red supergiant. Instead, the spectral energy distribution shows the donor has returned to its pre-outburst appearance, and is dominated by infrared continuum consistent with an optically thick warm ($\approx$900~K) dust shell. The bolometric luminosity indicates the presence of a surviving luminous source with $\log(L/L_{\odot})=4.11\pm0.02$. Radiative transfer modelling of the mid-infrared spectral energy distribution (SED) reveals a broad emission feature peaking near $\sim$11\,$\mu$m, best reproduced by silicon carbide (SiC) dust grains, a composition typically associated with carbon-rich evolved stars. We rule out a failed supernova scenario, which would predict a large drop in luminosity and continued fading. Given the association of SiC dust with AGB stars, we suggest the donor star may be an AGB star that has survived and is now heavily enshrouded - having returned to a dust-obscured state following a transient post-outburst phase in which the system appeared as a red supergiant. We propose a revised evolutionary timeline in which the 2010 outburst initiated sustained super-Eddington accretion and temporarily altered the circumstellar environment. These observations provide rare insight into eruptive mass loss, dust formation, and binary interaction in a unique system.

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arXiv2026

Radial Velocity Evidence for a Post-Mass-Transfer Massive Binary System NaSt1

We present multi-epoch high-resolution optical spectroscopy ($R \simeq 80{,}000$) of the emission-line object NaSt1 to test its proposed binary nature, along with long-term multiband photometry, mid-infrared spectroscopy, and spatially resolved integral field unit (IFU) spectroscopy to probe the circumstellar kinematics of the system. We detect two groups of 36 emission lines showing radial velocity (RV) variation with a mean period of 311 $\pm$ 5 d, but varying in opposite phase. We associate these two groups with the optically thick wind of the stripped primary star and the wind-wind collision region with the companion star, providing strong evidence for binarity. The RV and light curve (LC) periods are consistent within the uncertainties, ruling out ellipsoidal modulation, which would require an orbital period of about 620 d. The RV-LC phase relationship and high-ionization lines favor binary interaction over pulsations. We model the 1--5~$\mu$m spectrum of NaSt1 and find two optically thin dust components: hot $T_{\rm h} \simeq 1230$ K, $M_{\rm h} \simeq 2 \times 10^{-10} M_{\odot}$ and warm $T_{\rm c} \simeq 660$ K, $M_{\rm c} \simeq 3 \times 10^{-8} M_{\odot}$. IFU spectroscopy spatially resolves the circumstellar medium in the [\ion{N}{2}] $\lambda6548$ and $\lambda6584$ emission lines, showing a deprojected expansion velocity of $\sim31$ km~s$^{-1}$, implying a dynamical age of $\sim40$ yr. This short timescale suggests that the nebula was produced by recent mass loss. The system may represent a Galactic analog of a massive binary undergoing a mass-loss process to become a stripped-envelope supernova progenitor.

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arXiv2026

The Age of the R127 & R128 Clusters: Implications for the LBV

We infer the age of the R127 and R128 clusters in the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC) using Str\"omgren photometry from the literature and the age-dating algorithm, Stellar Ages. Analysis using single-star evolutionary models shows a substantial discrepancy between the relative numbers of bright blue stars and lower-mass stars as compared to expectations from a Salpeter mass function, and yields a younger age for the brightest blue stars than for the rest of the cluster. This inconsistency reflects an emerging trend among young clusters in the Local Group. In general, the resolution may be binary evolution or very rapid rotation, although in the specific case of the R127 and R128 clusters, unknown incompleteness in the data may also affect the relative numbers of low- and high-mass stars. The discrepancy grows toward fainter magnitudes, suggesting that the dataset is likely incomplete. However, when the five brightest stars are excluded, the observed and expected counts become consistent, demonstrating that the brightest stars are peculiar. These findings have direct implications for the luminous blue variable (LBV) R127, which is the only confirmed LBV in the LMC located within a young stellar cluster. LBVs have traditionally been considered products of single-star evolution, although there is growing recognition that binary interactions may play a critical role in their evolution. A more complete dataset, particularly deeper imaging with the Hubble Space Telescope, is needed to confirm whether the apparent absence of coeval stars arises solely from observational incompleteness or the broader trend of inconsistency in young cluster modeling.

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arXiv2026

The extremely low-luminosity Type Iax SNe 2022ywf and 2023zgx

We present the optical follow-up of SNe 2022ywf and 2023zgx, two examples from the Iax subclass of thermonuclear supernova (SN) events. With peak absolute magnitudes of $M_\mathrm{V} = -13.7$ and $-14.4$ mag, respectively, both objects belong to the extremely low-luminosity (EL) population of the class. A common origin of SNe in the Iax subclass is still under debate since the distribution of certain observables may indicate that the extremely low-luminosity explosions form a distinct population. We aim to estimate the physical properties of the two EL objects, including mapping the ejecta structure. We perform spectral tomography on the spectral series of SNe 2022ywf and 2023zgx around their maxima to map the physical properties of the ejecta. Together with the analysis of BgVriz photometry, a wide range of observables can be studied to investigate their distribution against luminosity. The constrained chemical abundances of the ejecta are compared to the predictions of the hydrodynamic simulations with similar peak luminosities. Constant abundances provide a good match for the distribution of chemical elements for both SNe 2022ywf and 2023zgx. The discrepancies compared to the least luminous pure deflagration model N5def_hybrid are minor, especially at post-maximum epochs. The two SNe also share similar characteristics in their constrained density structures, as well as the evolution of the photosphere. The analysis supports the assumption that pure deflagration models can reproduce the main characteristics of SNe Iax, even for the EL population. The presented indirect observational evidence indicates that these objects show similar intrinsic properties to the relatively luminous Iax sample and fit into the velocity distribution of the subclass.

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arXiv2026

An infrared echo from a circumstellar disk in the hydrogen- and helium-poor SN 2024aecx

We present near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy of the hydrogen- and helium-poor (Type Ic) supernova (SN) 2024aecx, which displays a strong NIR excess emerging 32 days post peak. SN 2024aecx is a peculiar SN Ic that exhibited luminous shock-cooling emission at early times, suggestive of close-in circumstellar medium (CSM), unexpected for this class of SNe. Its early NIR spectra are typical for a SN Ic but with strong C I absorption features. By $\sim$32 days post peak, the spectra show a strong NIR excess, while maintaining normal optical colors, unprecedented for SNe Ic. We find that the NIR excess is well fit with a single-temperature, optically thin dust model with declining temperature, increasing mass, and roughly constant luminosity over time. The NIR excess appears too promptly for dust to have formed in the SN ejecta, indicating an IR echo from pre-existing dust in the CSM. The IR echo is likely powered by the relatively slowly evolving SN peak light, and not the brief shock cooling emission, as the latter requires unrealistically high CSM densities to explain the observed dust mass. We consider different potential CSM geometries and find that a thick face-on disk with an inner edge of around $5\times 10^{16} \rm \ cm$ can best explain the dust mass and temperature evolution. In this scenario, the SN shock should start interacting with this CSM $440\pm200$ days post explosion. CSM around SN Ic is rare, and follow-up observations of SN 2024aecx will probe the mass-loss process responsible for removing hydrogen and helium from their progenitor star.

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arXiv2026

Fading Echoes of Interaction: Probing Centuries of Preexplosion Mass-Loss in Four Type IIn Supernovae

Supernovae characterized by enduring narrow optical hydrogen emission lines (SNe IIn) are believed to result primarily from the core-collapse of massive stars undergoing sustained interaction with a dense circumstellar medium (CSM). While the properties of SN IIn progenitors have relatively few direct constraints, the ongoing ejecta-CSM interaction provides unique information about late-stage stellar mass-loss preceding core-collapse. We present late-time X-ray and radio observations of four $\geq$3000 day-old SNe IIn: SN 2013L, SN 2014ab, SN 2015da, and KISS15s. The radio and X-ray emission from KISS15s indicate a mass-loss rate of \eq{\dot M\sim4\times 10^{-3}~\rm{M_{\odot}\,yr^{-1}}} at $\sim$450 years pre-supernova -- 2 orders of magnitude below earlier optical estimates (which probed the mass loss immediately preceding the supernova). We find hints of a spectral inversion in the radio SED of KISS15s; a possible signature of a secondary shock due to a binary system or the emergence of a pulsar wind. For SN 2013L, we obtain a mass-loss rate of \eq{\dot M\sim2 \times 10^{-3}~\rm{M_{\odot}\,yr^{-1}}} at $\sim$400 years pre-explosion based on the X-ray detection. For SN 2014ab and SN 2015da, we find a upper limits on the mass-loss rates of \eq{\dot M<2\times10^{-3}~M_{\sun}\,yr^{-1}} explosion at $\sim$300 and 250 years pre-explosion, respectively. All four objects display mass-loss rates lower than estimates from earlier optical analyses by at least 1-2 orders of magnitude, necessitating a rapidly evolving progenitor process over the last centuries pre-explosion. Our analysis reveals how X-ray and radio observations can elucidate progenitor evolution when these objects have faded at optical wavelengths.

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