Nattakorn Kittisut | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

CARDINAL Predicts Cardiovascular Risk From Non-contrast Cardiac CT

Cardiovascular risk prediction remains limited by incomplete clinical data and imaging biomarkers that reduce computed tomography (CT) to a small number of handcrafted features. We developed CARDINAL (Cardiovascular Assessment via Representation learning from Deep Imaging with Nested Anatomical Latent embeddings), a clinically grounded framework that learns compact representations from routine non-contrast cardiac CT for major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) prediction. In 17,659 patients, CARDINAL was evaluated for 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year MACE prediction against American Heart Association (AHA) pooled cohort equations (PCE), AHA predicting risk of cardiovascular disease events (PREVENT), coronary artery calcium (CAC), segmentation-derived CT biomarkers, and 70-feature structural radiomics. Gains were largest at longer horizons. At 10 years, CARDINAL (joint) achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.866 $\pm$ 0.020 and an area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) of 0.890 $\pm$ 0.015, compared with an AUROC of 0.826 $\pm$ 0.023 and an AUPRC of 0.826 $\pm$ 0.022 for structural radiomics, the strongest baseline. CARDINAL also achieved the highest survival concordance index (C-index), 0.753 $\pm$ 0.015, and high-versus-low risk-tertile hazard ratio, 10.78 $\pm$ 3.16, with favorable reclassification and exploratory calibration. These findings suggest that non-contrast cardiac CT contains prognostic information beyond conventional risk equations, CAC scoring, and engineered imaging biomarkers.

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arXiv2025

Deep Active Learning for Lung Disease Severity Classification from Chest X-rays: Learning with Less Data in the Presence of Class Imbalance

To reduce the amount of required labeled data for lung disease severity classification from chest X-rays (CXRs) under class imbalance, this study applied deep active learning with a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) approximation and weighted loss function. This retrospective study collected 2,319 CXRs from 963 patients (mean age, 59.2 $\pm$ 16.6 years; 481 female) at Emory Healthcare affiliated hospitals between January and November 2020. All patients had clinically confirmed COVID-19. Each CXR was independently labeled by 3 to 6 board-certified radiologists as normal, moderate, or severe. A deep neural network with Monte Carlo Dropout was trained using active learning to classify disease severity. Various acquisition functions were used to iteratively select the most informative samples from an unlabeled pool. Performance was evaluated using accuracy, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AU ROC), and area under the precision-recall curve (AU PRC). Training time and acquisition time were recorded. Statistical analysis included descriptive metrics and performance comparisons across acquisition strategies. Entropy Sampling achieved 93.7% accuracy (AU ROC, 0.91) in binary classification (normal vs. diseased) using 15.4% of the training data. In the multi-class setting, Mean STD sampling achieved 70.3% accuracy (AU ROC, 0.86) using 23.1% of the labeled data. These methods outperformed more complex and computationally expensive acquisition functions and significantly reduced labeling needs. Deep active learning with BNN approximation and weighted loss effectively reduces labeled data requirements while addressing class imbalance, maintaining or exceeding diagnostic performance.

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