arXiv subjects

Nayden Chakarov

Publications and source records attributed to Nayden Chakarov.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

Early and Late Buzzards: Comparing Different Approaches for Quantile-based Multiple Testing in Heavy-Tailed Wildlife Research Data

In medical, ecological and psychological research, there is a need for methods to handle multiple testing, for example to consider group comparisons with more than two groups. Typical approaches that deal with multiple testing are mean or variance based which can be less effective in the context of heavy-tailed and skewed data. Here, the median is the preferred measure of location and the interquartile range (IQR) is an adequate alternative to the variance. Therefore, it may be fruitful to formulate research questions of interest in terms of the median or the IQR. For this reason, we compare different inference approaches for two-sided and non-inferiority hypotheses formulated in terms of medians or IQRs in an extensive simulation study. We consider multiple contrast testing procedures combined with a bootstrap method as well as testing procedures with Bonferroni correction. As an example of a multiple testing problem based on heavy-tailed data we analyse an ecological trait variation in early and late breeding in a medium-sized bird of prey.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

Interactions Between Different Birds of Prey as a Random Point Process

The two-dimensional Coulomb gas is a one-parameter family of random point processes, depending on the inverse temperature $β$. Based on previous work, it is proposed as a simple statistical measure to quantify the intra- and interspecies repulsion among three different highly territorial birds of prey. Using data from the area of the Teutoburger Wald over 20 years, we fit the nearest and next-to-nearest neighbour spacing distributions between the respective nests of Goshawk, Eagle Owl and the previously examined Common Buzzard to $β$ of the Coulomb gas. Within each species, the repulsion measured in this way deviates significantly from the Poisson process of independent points in the plane. In contrast, the repulsion amongst each of two species is found to be considerably lower and closer to Poisson. Methodologically we investigate the influence of the terrain, of a shorter interaction range given by the two-dimensional Yukawa interaction, and the statistical independence of the time moving average we use for the yearly ensembles of occupied nests. We also check that an artificial random displacement of the original nest positions of the order of the mean level spacing quickly destroys the repulsion measured by $β> 0$. A simple, approximate analytical expression for the nearest neighbour spacing distribution derived from non-Hermitian random matrix theory proves to be very useful.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

arXiv2020

Territorial behaviour of buzzards versus random matrix spacing distributions

A deeper understanding of the processes underlying the distribution of animals in space is crucial for both basic and applied ecology. The Common buzzard (Buteo buteo) is a highly aggressive, territorial bird of prey that interacts strongly with its intra- and interspecific competitors. We propose and use random matrix theory to quantify the strength and range of repulsion as a function of the buzzard population density, thus providing a novel approach to model density dependence. As an indicator of territorial behaviour, we perform a large-scale analysis of the distribution of buzzard nests in an area of $300$ square kilometres around the Teutoburger Wald, Germany, as gathered over a period of $20$ years. The nearest and next-to-nearest neighbour spacing distribution between nests is compared to the two-dimensional Poisson distribution, originating from uncorrelated random variables, to the complex eigenvalues of random matrices, which are strongly correlated, and to a two-dimensional Coulomb gas interpolating between these two. A one-parameter fit to a time-moving average reveals a significant increase of repulsion between neighbouring nests, as a function of the observed increase in absolute population density over the monitored period of time, thereby proving an unexpected yet simple model for density-dependent spacing of predator territories. A similar effect is obtained for next-to-nearest neighbours, albeit with weaker repulsion, indicating a short-range interaction. Our results show that random matrix theory might be useful in the context of population ecology.

q-bio.PE↗