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Nelly Litvak

Publications and source records attributed to Nelly Litvak.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

The Hyperspherical Geometry of Community Detection: Modularity as a Distance

We introduce a metric space of clusterings, where clusterings are described by a binary vector indexed by the vertex-pairs. We extend this geometry to a hypersphere and prove that maximizing modularity is equivalent to minimizing the angular distance to some modularity vector over the set of clustering vectors. In that sense, modularity-based community detection methods can be seen as a subclass of a more general class of projection methods, which we define as the community detection methods that adhere to the following two-step procedure: first, mapping the network to a point on the hypersphere; second, projecting this point to the set of clustering vectors. We show that this class of projection methods contains many interesting community detection methods. Many of these new methods cannot be described in terms of null models and resolution parameters, as is customary for modularity-based methods. We provide a new characterization of such methods in terms of meridians and latitudes of the hypersphere. In addition, by relating the modularity resolution parameter to the latitude of the corresponding modularity vector, we obtain a new interpretation of the resolution limit that modularity maximization is known to suffer from.

cs.SI↗

Locating highly connected clusters in large networks with HyperLogLog counters

In this paper we introduce a new method to locate highly connected clusters in a network. Our proposed approach adapts the HyperBall algorithm to localize regions with a high density of small subgraph patterns in large graphs in a memory-efficient manner. We use this method to evaluate three measures of subgraph connectivity: conductance, the number of triangles, and transitivity. We demonstrate that our algorithm, applied to these measures, helps to identify clustered regions in graphs, and provides good seed sets for community detection algorithms such as PageRank-Nibble. We analytically obtain the performance guarantees of our new algorithms, and demonstrate their effectiveness in a series of numerical experiments on synthetic and real-world networks.

cs.SI↗

Containment strategies after the first wave of COVID-19 using mobility data

In their response to the COVID-19 outbreak, governments face the dilemma to balance public health and economy. Mobility plays a central role in this dilemma because the movement of people enables both economic activity and virus spread. We use mobility data in the form of counts of travelers between regions, to extend the often-used SEIR models to include mobility between regions. We quantify the trade-off between mobility and infection spread in terms of a single parameter, to be chosen by policy makers, and propose strategies for restricting mobility so that the restrictions are minimal while the infection spread is effectively limited. We consider restrictions where the country is divided into regions, and study scenarios where mobility is allowed within these regions, and disallowed between them. We propose heuristic methods to approximate optimal choices for these regions. We evaluate the obtained restrictions based on our trade-off. The results show that our methods are especially effective when the infections are highly concentrated, e.g., around a few municipalities, as resulting from superspreading events that play an important role in the spread of COVID-19. We demonstrate our method in the example of the Netherlands. The results apply more broadly when mobility data is available.

physics.soc-ph↗

Limit theorems for assortativity and clustering in null models for scale-free networks

An important problem in modeling networks is how to generate a randomly sampled graph with given degrees. A popular model is the configuration model, a network with assigned degrees and random connections. The erased configuration model is obtained when self-loops and multiple edges in the configuration model are removed. We prove an upper bound for the number of such erased edges for regularly-varying degree distributions with infinite variance, and use this result to prove central limit theorems for Pearson's correlation coefficient and the clustering coefficient in the erased configuration model. Our results explain the structural correlations in the erased configuration model and show that removing edges leads to different scaling of the clustering coefficient. We then prove that for the rank-1 inhomogeneous random graph, another null model that creates scale-free simple networks, the results for Pearson's correlation coefficient as well as for the clustering coefficient are similar to the results for the erased configuration model.

math.PR↗

Mean Field Analysis of Personalized PageRank with Implications for Local Graph Clustering

We analyse a mean-field model of Personalized PageRank on the Erdos-Renyi random graph containing a denser planted Erdos-Renyi subgraph. We investigate the regimes where the values of Personalized PageRank concentrate around the mean-field value. We also study the optimization of the damping factor, the only parameter in Personalized PageRank. Our theoretical results help to understand the applicability of Personalized PageRank and its limitations for local graph clustering.

cs.SI↗

Local weak convergence for PageRank

PageRank is a well-known algorithm for measuring centrality in networks. It was originally proposed by Google for ranking pages in the World-Wide Web. One of the intriguing empirical properties of PageRank is the so-called `power-law hypothesis': in a scale-free network the PageRank scores follow a power law with the same exponent as the (in-)degrees. Up to date, this hypothesis has been confirmed empirically and in several specific random graphs models. In contrast, this paper does not focus on one random graph model but investigates the existence of an asymptotic PageRank distribution, when the graph size goes to infinity, using local weak convergence. This may help to identify general network structures in which the power-law hypothesis holds. We start from the definition of local weak convergence for sequences of (random) undirected graphs, and extend this notion to directed graphs. To this end, we define an exploration process in the directed setting that keeps track of in- and out-degrees of vertices. Then we use this to prove the existence of an asymptotic PageRank distribution. As a result, the limiting distribution of PageRank can be computed directly as a function of the limiting object. We apply our results to the directed configuration model and continuous-time branching processes trees, as well as preferential attachment models.

math.PR↗

Average nearest neighbor degrees in scale-free networks

The average nearest neighbor degree (ANND) of a node of degree $k$ is widely used to measure dependencies between degrees of neighbor nodes in a network. We formally analyze ANND in undirected random graphs when the graph size tends to infinity. The limiting behavior of ANND depends on the variance of the degree distribution. When the variance is finite, the ANND has a deterministic limit. When the variance is infinite, the ANND scales with the size of the graph, and we prove a corresponding central limit theorem in the configuration model (CM, a network with random connections). As ANND proved uninformative in the infinite variance scenario, we propose an alternative measure, the average nearest neighbor rank (ANNR). We prove that ANNR converges to a deterministic function whenever the degree distribution has finite mean. We then consider the erased configuration model (ECM), where self-loops and multiple edges are removed, and investigate the well-known `structural negative correlations', or `finite-size effects', that arise in simple graphs, such as ECM, because large nodes can only have a limited number of large neighbors. Interestingly, we prove that for any fixed $k$, ANNR in ECM converges to the same limit as in CM. However, numerical experiments show that finite-size effects occur when $k$ scales with $n$.

math.PR↗

Automated Lane Detection in Crowds using Proximity Graphs

Studying the behavior of crowds is vital for understanding and predicting human interactions in public areas. Research has shown that, under certain conditions, large groups of people can form collective behavior patterns: local interactions between individuals results in global movements patterns. To detect these patterns in a crowd, we assume each person is carrying an on-body device that acts a local proximity sensor, e.g., smartphone or bluetooth badge, and represent the texture of the crowd as a proximity graph. Our goal is extract information about crowds from these proximity graphs. In this work, we focus on one particular type of pattern: lane formation. We present a formal definition of a lane, proposed a simple probabilistic model that simulates lanes moving through a stationary crowd, and present an automated lane-detection method. Our preliminary results show that our method is able to detect lanes of different shapes and sizes. We see our work as an initial step towards rich pattern recognition using proximity graphs.

cs.CV↗

Cost-efficient vaccination protocols for network epidemiology

We investigate methods to vaccinate contact networks -- i.e. removing nodes in such a way that disease spreading is hindered as much as possible -- with respect to their cost-efficiency. Any real implementation of such protocols would come with costs related both to the vaccination itself, and gathering of information about the network. Disregarding this, we argue, would lead to erroneous evaluation of vaccination protocols. We use the susceptible-infected-recovered model -- the generic model for diseases making patients immune upon recovery -- as our disease-spreading scenario, and analyze outbreaks on both empirical and model networks. For different relative costs, different protocols dominate. For high vaccination costs and low costs of gathering information, the so-called acquaintance vaccination is the most cost efficient. For other parameter values, protocols designed for query-efficient identification of the network's largest degrees are most efficient.

q-bio.PE↗

Upper bounds for number of removed edges in the Erased Configuration Model

Models for generating simple graphs are important in the study of real-world complex networks. A well established example of such a model is the erased configuration model, where each node receives a number of half-edges that are connected to half-edges of other nodes at random, and then self-loops are removed and multiple edges are concatenated to make the graph simple. Although asymptotic results for many properties of this model, such as the limiting degree distribution, are known, the exact speed of convergence in terms of the graph sizes remains an open question. We provide a first answer by analyzing the size dependence of the average number of removed edges in the erased configuration model. By combining known upper bounds with a Tauberian Theorem we obtain upper bounds for the number of removed edges, in terms of the size of the graph. Remarkably, when the degree distribution follows a power-law, we observe three scaling regimes, depending on the power law exponent. Our results provide a strong theoretical basis for evaluating finite-size effects in networks.

math.PR↗

Phase transitions for scaling of structural correlations in directed networks

Analysis of degree-degree dependencies in complex networks, and their impact on processes on networks requires null models, i.e. models that generate uncorrelated scale-free networks. Most models to date however show structural negative dependencies, caused by finite size effects. We analyze the behavior of these structural negative degree-degree dependencies, using rank based correlation measures, in the directed Erased Configuration Model. We obtain expressions for the scaling as a function of the exponents of the distributions. Moreover, we show that this scaling undergoes a phase transition, where one region exhibits scaling related to the natural cut-off of the network while another region has scaling similar to the structural cut-off for uncorrelated networks. By establishing the speed of convergence of these structural dependencies we are able to asses statistical significance of degree-degree dependencies on finite complex networks when compared to networks generated by the directed Erased Configuration Model.

physics.soc-ph↗

Predicting the long-term citation impact of recent publications

A fundamental problem in citation analysis is the prediction of the long-term citation impact of recent publications. We propose a model to predict a probability distribution for the future number of citations of a publication. Two predictors are used: The impact factor of the journal in which a publication has appeared and the number of citations a publication has received one year after its appearance. The proposed model is based on quantile regression. We employ the model to predict the future number of citations of a large set of publications in the field of physics. Our analysis shows that both predictors (i.e., impact factor and early citations) contribute to the accurate prediction of long-term citation impact. We also analytically study the behavior of the quantile regression coefficients for high quantiles of the distribution of citations. This is done by linking the quantile regression approach to a quantile estimation technique from extreme value theory. Our work provides insight into the influence of the impact factor and early citations on the long-term citation impact of a publication, and it takes a step toward a methodology that can be used to assess research institutions based on their most recently published work.

cs.DL↗

Modelling of trends in Twitter using retweet graph dynamics

In this paper we model user behaviour in Twitter to capture the emergence of trending topics. For this purpose, we first extensively analyse tweet datasets of several different events. In particular, for these datasets, we construct and investigate the retweet graphs. We find that the retweet graph for a trending topic has a relatively dense largest connected component (LCC). Next, based on the insights obtained from the analyses of the datasets, we design a mathematical model that describes the evolution of a retweet graph by three main parameters. We then quantify, analytically and by simulation, the influence of the model parameters on the basic characteristics of the retweet graph, such as the density of edges and the size and density of the LCC. Finally, we put the model in practice, estimate its parameters and compare the resulting behavior of the model to our datasets.

cs.SI↗

Convergence of rank based degree-degree correlations in random directed networks

We introduce, and analyze, three measures for degree-degree dependencies, also called degree assortativity, in directed random graphs, based on Spearman's rho and Kendall's tau. We proof statistical consistency of these measures in general random graphs and show that the directed configuration model can serve as a null model for our degree-degree dependency measures. Based on these results we argue that the measures we introduce should be preferred over Pearson's correlation coefficients, when studying degree-degree dependencies, since the latter has several issues in the case of large networks with scale-free degree distributions.

math.PR↗

Quick Detection of High-degree Entities in Large Directed Networks

In this paper, we address the problem of quick detection of high-degree entities in large online social networks. Practical importance of this problem is attested by a large number of companies that continuously collect and update statistics about popular entities, usually using the degree of an entity as an approximation of its popularity. We suggest a simple, efficient, and easy to implement two-stage randomized algorithm that provides highly accurate solutions for this problem. For instance, our algorithm needs only one thousand API requests in order to find the top-100 most followed users in Twitter, a network with approximately a billion of registered users, with more than 90% precision. Our algorithm significantly outperforms existing methods and serves many different purposes, such as finding the most popular users or the most popular interest groups in social networks. An important contribution of this work is the analysis of the proposed algorithm using Extreme Value Theory -- a branch of probability that studies extreme events and properties of largest order statistics in random samples. Using this theory, we derive an accurate prediction for the algorithm's performance and show that the number of API requests for finding the top-k most popular entities is sublinear in the number of entities. Moreover, we formally show that the high variability among the entities, expressed through heavy-tailed distributions, is the reason for the algorithm's efficiency. We quantify this phenomenon in a rigorous mathematical way.

cs.SI↗

Ranking algorithms on directed configuration networks

This paper studies the distribution of a family of rankings, which includes Google's PageRank, on a directed configuration model. In particular, it is shown that the distribution of the rank of a randomly chosen node in the graph converges in distribution to a finite random variable $\mathcal{R}^*$ that can be written as a linear combination of i.i.d. copies of the endogenous solution to a stochastic fixed point equation of the form $$\mathcal{R} \stackrel{\mathcal{D}}{=} \sum_{i=1}^{\mathcal{N}} \mathcal{C}_i \mathcal{R}_i + \mathcal{Q},$$ where $(\mathcal{Q}, \mathcal{N}, \{ \mathcal{C}_i\})$ is a real-valued vector with $\mathcal{N} \in \{0,1,2,\dots\}$, $P(|\mathcal{Q}| > 0) > 0$, and the $\{\mathcal{R}_i\}$ are i.i.d. copies of $\mathcal{R}$, independent of $(\mathcal{Q}, \mathcal{N}, \{ \mathcal{C}_i\})$. Moreover, we provide precise asymptotics for the limit $\mathcal{R}^*$, which when the in-degree distribution in the directed configuration model has a power law imply a power law distribution for $\mathcal{R}^*$ with the same exponent.

math.PR↗

PageRank in scale-free random graphs

We analyze the distribution of PageRank on a directed configuration model and show that as the size of the graph grows to infinity it can be closely approximated by the PageRank of the root node of an appropriately constructed tree. This tree approximation is in turn related to the solution of a linear stochastic fixed point equation that has been thoroughly studied in the recent literature.

math.PR↗

Degree-degree dependencies in directed networks with heavy-tailed degrees

In network theory, Pearson's correlation coefficients are most commonly used to measure the degree assortativity of a network. We investigate the behavior of these coefficients in the setting of directed networks with heavy-tailed degree sequences. We prove that for graphs where the in- and out-degree sequences satisfy a power law with realistic parameters, Pearson's correlation coefficients converge to a non-negative number in the infinite network size limit. We propose alternative measures for degree-degree dependencies in directed networks based on Spearman's rho and Kendall's tau. Using examples and calculations on the Wikipedia graphs for nine different languages, we show why these rank correlation measures are more suited for measuring degree assortativity in directed graphs with heavy-tailed degrees.

math.PR↗