arXiv subjects

Ngoc Son Le

Publications and source records attributed to Ngoc Son Le.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Dual-Context Analog Retrieval for Time Series Forecasting

Most long-term time-series forecasting models map the look-back window directly to the full horizon in a single pass. While efficient, this design does not explicitly identify which historical states are most relevant to different future segments or exploit what followed those states. Analog forecasting addresses this by retrieving past states similar to the present and using their observed continuations, but single nearest matches can be unreliable and overlapping patches may produce redundant candidates. We propose DuoTS, a Dual-Context Time Series forecasting model that uses retrieved evidence without relying on it exclusively. DuoTS first produces a base forecast with a parallel patch encoder and linear prediction head, then progressively refines it one future patch at a time. Each refinement combines two views: a current context that attends to recent tokens and captures the latest dynamics, and a detail context that provides distinct retrieved analogs together with their subsequent trajectories. Patch-wise refinement allows the model to balance these views across the forecast horizon and associate each future segment with evidence appropriate to its temporal distance from the present. Experiments on multiple real-world datasets show that DuoTS achieves state-of-the-art performance, while ablations confirm the contribution of each context. The refinement mechanism is also model-agnostic, requiring only an encoded look-back window and the future-patch position, and can therefore be integrated into existing forecasting models.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Most-Recent Anchoring with Recurrent Ordering for Time Series Forecasting

Long-term forecasting models commonly process all patches in a look-back window using the same fixed stack. Older contextual patches and recent evidence therefore receive the same computational depth. Yet the information closest to the forecast and the more distant context do not contribute equally. Uniform processing leaves this distinction unexpressed in the architecture. We propose MARO, a Most-Recent Anchoring with Recurrent Ordering model that processes the look-back window from the most recent patch to the oldest. The most recent patch serves as the anchor. It initializes the latent state and conditions each subsequent step, so older patches are folded into a representation that remains centered on recent evidence. A single shared module is reused at every step, so extending the scan further into the past introduces no additional parameters. Intermediate states retained during the scan allow the forecast head to weigh short and long portions of the history separately. This expresses recency through the order of recurrent refinement. Extensive experiments across multiple real-world time series datasets show that MARO achieves state-of-the-art performance on both long-term and short-term forecasting tasks.Ablation studies examine the contribution of the main architectural components.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Rethinking Convolutional Networks for Attribute-Aware Sequential Recommendation

Attribute-aware sequential recommendation entails predicting the next item a user will interact with based on a chronologically ordered history of past interactions, enriched with item attributes. Existing methods typically leverage self-attention mechanisms to aggregate the entire sequence into a unified representation used for next-item prediction. While effective, these models often suffer from high computational complexity and memory consumption, limiting their ability to process long user histories. This constraint restricts the model's capacity to fully capture long-term user preferences. In some scenarios, modeling item interactions purely through attention may also not be the most effective approach to extract sequential patterns. In this work, we propose ConvRec, an alternative method with linear computational and memory complexity that employs convolutional layers in a hierarchical, down-scaled fashion to generate compact, yet expressive sequence representations. To further enhance the model's ability to capture diverse sequential patterns, each layer aggregates the neighboring items gradually to reach a comprehensive sequence representation. Extensive experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate that our approach outperforms state-of-the-art sequential recommendation models, highlighting the potential of convolution-based architectures for efficient and effective sequence modeling in recommendation systems. Our implementation code and datasets are available here https://github.com/ismll-research/ConvRec.

cs.IR↗