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Nicola Lunardon

Publications and source records attributed to Nicola Lunardon.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Empirical bias-reducing adjustments to estimating functions

We develop a novel and general framework for reduced-bias $M$-estimation from asymptotically unbiased estimating functions. The framework relies on an empirical approximation of the bias by a function of derivatives of estimating function contributions. Reduced-bias $M$-estimation operates either implicitly, by solving empirically-adjusted estimating equations, or explicitly, by subtracting the estimated bias from the original $M$-estimates, and applies to models that are partially- or fully-specified, with either likelihoods or other surrogate objectives. Automatic differentiation can be used to abstract away the only algebra required to implement reduced-bias $M$-estimation. As a result, the bias reduction methods we introduce have markedly broader applicability with more straightforward implementation and less algebraic or computational effort than other established bias-reduction methods that require resampling or evaluation of expectations of products of log-likelihood derivatives. If $M$-estimation is by maximizing an objective, then there always exists a bias-reducing penalized objective. That penalized objective relates closely to information criteria for model selection, and can be further enhanced with plug-in penalties to deliver reduced-bias $M$-estimates with extra properties, like finiteness in models for categorical data. The reduced-bias $M$-estimators have the same asymptotic distribution as the original $M$-estimators, and, hence, standard procedures for inference and model selection apply unaltered with the improved estimates. We demonstrate and assess the properties of reduced-bias $M$-estimation in well-used, prominent modelling settings of varying complexity.

stat.ME↗

Composite Likelihood Inference by Nonparametric Saddlepoint Tests

The class of composite likelihood functions provides a flexible and powerful toolkit to carry out approximate inference for complex statistical models when the full likelihood is either impossible to specify or unfeasible to compute. However, the strenght of the composite likelihood approach is dimmed when considering hypothesis testing about a multidimensional parameter because the finite sample behavior of likelihood ratio, Wald, and score-type test statistics is tied to the Godambe information matrix. Consequently inaccurate estimates of the Godambe information translate in inaccurate p-values. In this paper it is shown how accurate inference can be obtained by using a fully nonparametric saddlepoint test statistic derived from the composite score functions. The proposed statistic is asymptotically chi-square distributed up to a relative error of second order and does not depend on the Godambe information. The validity of the method is demonstrated through simulation studies.

stat.ME↗

Prepivoting composite score statistics by weighted bootstrap iteration

The role played by the composite analogue of the log likelihood ratio in hypothesis testing and in setting confidence regions is not as prominent as it is in the canonical likelihood setting, since its asymptotic distribution depends on the unknown parameter. Approximate pivots based on the composite log likelihood ratio can be derived by using asymptotic arguments. However, the actual distribution of such pivots may differ considerably from the asymptotic reference, leading to tests and confidence regions whose levels are distant from the nominal ones. The use of bootstrap rather than asymptotic distributions in the composite likelihood framework is explored. Prepivoted tests and confidence sets based on a suitable statistic turn out to be accurate and computationally appealing inferential tools.

stat.ME↗