arXiv subjects

Nicolas B. Cowan

Publications and source records attributed to Nicolas B. Cowan.

At least 127 records · Page 7Linked to original sources

arXiv2019

Cloud Atlas: Weak color modulations due to rotation in the planetary-mass companion GU Psc b and 11 other brown dwarfs

Among the greatest challenges in understanding ultra-cool brown dwarf and exoplanet atmospheres is the evolution of cloud structure as a function of temperature and gravity. In this study, we present the rotational modulations of GU Psc b -- a rare mid-T spectral type planetary-mass companion at the end of the L/T spectral type transition. Based on the HST/WFC3 1.1-1.67$\rm\, μm$ time-series spectra, we observe a quasi-sinusoidal light curve with a peak-to-trough flux variation of 2.7 % and a minimum period of eight hours. The rotation-modulated spectral variations are weakly wavelength-dependent, or largely gray between 1.1-1.67$\rm\,μ$m. The gray modulations indicate that heterogeneous clouds are present in the photosphere of this low-gravity mid-T dwarf. We place the color and brightness variations of GU Psc b in the context of rotational modulations reported for mid-L to late-T dwarfs. Based on these observations, we report a tentative trend: mid-to-late T dwarfs become slightly redder in $J-H$ color with increasing $J$-band brightness, while L dwarfs become slightly bluer with increasing brightness. If this trend is verified with more T-dwarf samples, it suggests that in addition to the mostly gray modulations, there is a second-order spectral-type dependence on the nature of rotational modulations.

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arXiv2019

Astronomy in a Low-Carbon Future

The global climate crisis poses new risks to humanity, and with them, new challenges to the practices of professional astronomy. Avoiding the more catastrophic consequences of global warming by more than 1.5 degrees requires an immediate reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. According to the 2018 United Nations Intergovernmental Panel report, this will necessitate a 45% reduction of emissions by 2030 and net-zero emissions by 2050. Efforts are required at all levels, from the individual to the governmental, and every discipline must find ways to achieve these goals. This will be especially difficult for astronomy with its significant reliance on conference and research travel, among other impacts. However, our long-range planning exercises provide the means to coordinate our response on a variety of levels. We have the opportunity to lead by example, rising to the challenge rather than reacting to external constraints. We explore how astronomy can meet the challenge of a changing climate in clear and responsible ways, such as how we set expectations (for ourselves, our institutions, and our granting agencies) around scientific travel, the organization of conferences, and the design of our infrastructure. We also emphasize our role as reliable communicators of scientific information on a problem that is both human and planetary in scale.

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arXiv2019

Mass Loss from the Exoplanet WASP-12b Inferred from $\textit{Spitzer}$ Phase Curves

The exoplanet WASP-12b is the prototype for the emerging class of ultra-hot, Jupiter-mass exoplanets. Past models have predicted---and near ultra-violet observations have shown---that this planet is losing mass. We present an analysis of two sets of 3.6 $μ$m and 4.5 $μ$m $\textit{Spitzer}$ phase curve observations of the system which show clear evidence of infrared radiation from gas stripped from the planet, and the gas appears to be flowing directly toward or away from the host star. This accretion signature is only seen at 4.5 $μ$m, not at 3.6 $μ$m, which is indicative either of CO emission at the longer wavelength or blackbody emission from cool, $\lesssim$ 600 K gas. It is unclear why WASP-12b is the only ultra-hot Jupiter to exhibit this mass loss signature, but perhaps WASP-12b's orbit is decaying as some have claimed, while the orbits of other exoplanets may be more stable; alternatively, the high energy irradiation from WASP-12A may be stronger than the other host stars. We also find evidence for phase offset variability at the level of $6.4σ$ ($46.2^{\circ}$) at 3.6 $μ$m.

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arXiv2019

Estimating dayside effective temperatures of hot Jupiters and associated uncertainties through Gaussian process regression

In this work, we outline a new method for estimating dayside effective temperatures of exoplanets and associated uncertainties using Gaussian process (GP) regression. By applying our method to simulated observations, we show that the GP method estimates uncertainty more robustly than other model-independent approaches. We find that unbiased estimates of effective temperatures can be made using as few as three broad-band measurements (white-light HST WFC3 and the two warm Spitzer IRAC channels), although we caution that estimates made using only IRAC can be significantly biased. We then apply our GP method to the twelve hot Jupiters in the literature whose secondary eclipse depths have been measured by WFC3 and IRAC channels 1 and 2: CoRoT-2 b; HAT-P-7 b; HD 189733 b; HD 209458 b; Kepler-13A b; TrES-3 b; WASP-4 b; WASP-12 b; WASP-18 b; WASP-33 b; WASP-43 b; and WASP-103 b. We present model-independent dayside effective temperatures for these planets, with uncertainty estimates that range from $\pm$66 K to $\pm$136 K.

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arXiv2019

Constraining Exoplanet Metallicities and Aerosols with ARIEL: An Independent Study by the Contribution to ARIEL Spectroscopy of Exoplanets (CASE) Team

Launching in 2028, ESA's Atmospheric Remote-sensing Exoplanet Large-survey (ARIEL) survey of $\sim$1000 transiting exoplanets will build on the legacies of Kepler and TESS and complement JWST by placing its high precision exoplanet observations into a large, statistically-significant planetary population context. With continuous 0.5--7.8~$μ$m coverage from both FGS (0.50--0.55, 0.8--1.0, and 1.0--1.2~$μ$m photometry; 1.25--1.95~$μ$m spectroscopy) and AIRS (1.95--7.80~$μ$m spectroscopy), ARIEL will determine atmospheric compositions and probe planetary formation histories during its 3.5-year mission. NASA's proposed Contribution to ARIEL Spectroscopy of Exoplanets (CASE) would be a subsystem of ARIEL's FGS instrument consisting of two visible-to-infrared detectors, associated readout electronics, and thermal control hardware. FGS, to be built by the Polish Academy of Sciences' Space Research Centre, will provide both fine guiding and visible to near-infrared photometry and spectroscopy, providing powerful diagnostics of atmospheric aerosol contribution and planetary albedo, which play a crucial role in establishing planetary energy balance. The CASE team presents here an independent study of the capabilities of ARIEL to measure exoplanetary metallicities, which probe the conditions of planet formation, and FGS to measure scattering spectral slopes, which indicate if an exoplanet has atmospheric aerosols (clouds and hazes), and geometric albedos, which help establish planetary climate. Our design reference mission simulations show that ARIEL could measure the mass-metallicity relationship of its 1000-planet single-visit sample to $>7.5σ$ and that FGS could distinguish between clear, cloudy, and hazy skies and constrain an exoplanet's atmospheric aerosol composition to $>5σ$ for hundreds of targets, providing statistically-transformative science for exoplanet atmospheres.

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arXiv2019

Three direct imaging epochs could constrain the orbit of Earth 2.0 inside the habitable zone

Space-based direct imaging missions (HabEx, LUVOIR) would observe reflected light from exoplanets in the habitable zones of Sun-like stars. The ultimate---but not sole---goal of these concept missions is to characterize such planets. Knowing an exoplanet's orbit would help two-fold: (i) its semi-major axis informs whether the planet might harbour surface liquid water, making it a priority target; and (ii) predicting the planet's future location would tell us where and when to look. The science yields of HabEx and LUVOIR depend on the number, cadence, and precision of observations required to establish a planet's orbit. We produce mock observations using realistic distributions for the six Keplerian orbital parameters, experimenting with both Beta and uniform eccentricity distributions, and accounting for imperfect astrometry ($σ$ = 3.5 mas) and obscuration due to the inner working angle of a high-contrast imaging system (IWA = 31 mas). Using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, we fit the orbital parameters, and retrieve their average precisions and accuracies as functions of cadence, number of epochs, and distance to target. Given the time at which it was acquired, each image provides two data: the $x$ and $y$ position of the planet with respect to its star. Parameter retrieval based on one or two images is formally under-constrained; yet the semi-major axis posterior can be obtained semi-analytically. For a planet at 1 AU around a star at a distance of 10 pc, three epochs constrain the semi-major axis to within $\lesssim$5\%, if each image is taken at least 90 days apart.

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arXiv2019

Cloud Atlas: High-Contrast Time-Resolved Observations of Planetary-Mass Companions

Directly-imaged planetary-mass companions offer unique opportunities in atmospheric studies of exoplanets. They share characteristics of both brown dwarfs and transiting exoplanets, therefore, are critical for connecting atmospheric characterizations for these objects. Rotational phase mapping is a powerful technique to constrain the condensate cloud properties in ultra-cool atmospheres. Applying this technique to directly-imaged planetary-mass companions will be extremely valuable for constraining cloud models in low mass and surface gravity atmospheres and for determining the rotation rate and angular momentum of substellar companions. Here, we present Hubble Space Telescope Wide Field Camera 3 near-infrared time-resolved photometry for three planetary-mass companions, AB Pic B, 2M0122B, and 2M1207b. Using two-roll differential imaging and hybrid point spread function modeling, we achieve sub-percent photometric precision for all three observations. We find tentative modulations ($<\!\!2σ$) for AB Pic B and 2M0122B but cannot reach conclusive results on 2M1207b due to strong systematics. The relatively low significance of the modulation measurements cannot rule out the hypothesis that these planetary-mass companions have the same vertical cloud structures as brown dwarfs. Our rotation rate measurements, combined with archival period measurements of planetary-mass companions and brown dwarfs do not support a universal mass-rotation relation. The high precision of our observations and the high occurrence rates of variable low-surface gravity objects encourage high-contrast time-resolved observations with the James Webb Space Telescope.

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arXiv2018

Eccentricity is Not Responsible for Odd Harmonics in HAT-P-7 and Kepler-13A

The exquisite photometry of Kepler has revealed reflected light from exoplanets, tidal distortion of host stars and Doppler beaming of a star's light due to its motion (Borucki 2016; Demory et al. 2012; Welsh et al. 2010; Bloemen et al. 2012). Esteves et al. (2013, 2015) and Shporer et al. (2014) reported additional odd harmonics in the light curves of two hot Jupiters: HAT-P-7b and Kepler-13Ab. They measured non-zero power at three times the orbital frequency that persisted while the planet was eclipsed and hence must originate in the star (Esteves et al. 2015). Penoyre & Sandford (2018) showed that orbital eccentricity could result in time-dependent tidal deformation of the star that manifests itself at three times the orbital frequency and suggested this could be the origin of the measured odd modes. In this Research Note, we show that the small orbital eccentricities of HAT-P-7b and Kepler-13Ab cannot generate the odd harmonics observed in these systems. Esteves et al. (2015) hypothesized that the odd modes could be due to tidal distortion of the star if its spin is misaligned with the system's orbital motion, as is the case in both of these systems (Benomar et al. 2014; Herman et al. 2018), but this mechanism has yet to be verified theoretically or numerically.

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arXiv2018

A Framework for Prioritizing the TESS Planetary Candidates Most Amenable to Atmospheric Characterization

A key legacy of the recently launched TESS mission will be to provide the astronomical community with many of the best transiting exoplanet targets for atmospheric characterization. However, time is of the essence to take full advantage of this opportunity. JWST, although delayed, will still complete its nominal five year mission on a timeline that motivates rapid identification, confirmation, and mass measurement of the top atmospheric characterization targets from TESS. Beyond JWST, future dedicated missions for atmospheric studies such as ARIEL require the discovery and confirmation of several hundred additional sub-Jovian size planets (R_p < 10 R_Earth) orbiting bright stars, beyond those known today, to ensure a successful statistical census of exoplanet atmospheres. Ground-based ELTs will also contribute to surveying the atmospheres of the transiting planets discovered by TESS. Here we present a set of two straightforward analytic metrics, quantifying the expected signal-to-noise in transmission and thermal emission spectroscopy for a given planet, that will allow the top atmospheric characterization targets to be readily identified among the TESS planet candidates. Targets that meet our proposed threshold values for these metrics would be encouraged for rapid follow-up and confirmation via radial velocity mass measurements. Based on the catalog of simulated TESS detections by Sullivan et al. (2015), we determine appropriate cutoff values of the metrics, such that the TESS mission will ultimately yield a sample of $\sim300$ high-quality atmospheric characterization targets across a range of planet size bins, extending down to Earth-size, potentially habitable worlds.

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arXiv2018

A Search for Refraction in Kepler Photometry of Gas Giants

Refraction can lead to a brightening just before ingress and just after egress of a transit, as light passes through the exoplanet's atmosphere and is refracted into our line of sight. Refraction just outside of transit has been seen and modeled in our own solar system during transits of Venus. For short-period planets, the model of Sidis and Sari (2010 ApJ,720,904) implies refraction peaks typically under 100 parts per million and comparable in duration to ingress and egress. Kepler photometry currently provides the best opportunity for detecting refraction. We search for the signature of refraction just outside of transit in Kepler photometry of 45 gas giants and firmly rule out the Sidis and Sari model for four candidates.

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arXiv2018

Increased Heat Transport in Ultra-Hot Jupiter Atmospheres Through H$_2$ Dissociation/Recombination

A new class of exoplanets is beginning to emerge: planets whose dayside atmospheres more closely resemble stellar atmospheres as most of their molecular constituents dissociate. The effects of the dissociation of these species will be varied and must be carefully accounted for. Here we take the first steps towards understanding the consequences of dissociation and recombination of molecular hydrogen (H$_2$) on atmospheric heat recirculation. Using a simple energy balance model with eastward winds, we demonstrate that H$_2$ dissociation/recombination can significantly increase the day$-$night heat transport on ultra-hot Jupiters (UHJs): gas giant exoplanets where significant H$_2$ dissociation occurs. The atomic hydrogen from the highly irradiated daysides of UHJs will transport some of the energy deposited on the dayside towards the nightside of the planet where the H atoms recombine into H$_2$; this mechanism bears similarities to latent heat. Given a fixed wind speed, this will act to increase the heat recirculation efficiency; alternatively, a measured heat recirculation efficiency will require slower wind speeds after accounting for H$_2$ dissociation/recombination.

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arXiv2018

The direct imaging search for Earth 2.0: Quantifying biases and planetary false positives

Direct imaging is likely the best way to characterize the atmospheres of Earth-sized exoplanets in the habitable zone of Sun-like stars. Previously, Stark et al. (2014, 2015, 2016) estimated the Earth twin yield of future direct imaging missions, such as LUVOIR and HabEx. We extend this analysis to other types of planets, which will act as false positives for Earth twins. We define an Earth twin as any exoplanet within half an e-folding of 1 AU in semi-major axis and 1 $R_{\oplus}$ in planetary radius, orbiting a G-dwarf. Using Monte Carlo analyses, we quantify the biases and planetary false positive rates of Earth searches. That is, given a pale dot at the correct projected separation and brightness to be a candidate Earth, what are the odds that it is, in fact, an Earth twin? Our notional telescope has a diameter of 10 m, an inner working angle of 3λ/D, and an outer working angle of 10λ/D (62 mas and 206 mas at 1.0 μm). With no precursor knowledge and one visit per star, 77% of detected candidate Earths are actually un-Earths; their mean radius is 2.3 $R_{\oplus}$, a sub-Neptune. The odds improve if we image every planet at its optimal orbital phase, either by relying on precursor knowledge, or by performing multi-epoch direct imaging. In such a targeted search, 47% of detected Earth twin candidates are false positives, and they have a mean radius of 1.7 $R_{\oplus}$. The false positive rate is insensitive to stellar spectral type and the assumption of circular orbits.

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arXiv2018

Additional Exoplanet Science Enabled by FINESSE

FINESSE, a NASA MIDEX mission in Step 2, would conduct a large, uniform survey of exoplanet atmospheres and create a statistically significant sample for comparative planetology. FINESSE's technical capabilities, driven by a scientific program to study planetary formation and climate mechanisms, enable additional exoplanet science presented here.

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arXiv2018

Inferring Planetary Obliquity Using Rotational & Orbital Photometry

The obliquity of a terrestrial planet is an important clue about its formation and critical to its climate. Previous studies using simulated photometry of Earth show that continuous observations over most of a planet's orbit can be inverted to infer obliquity. However, few studies of more general planets with arbitrary albedo markings have been made and, in particular, a simple theoretical understanding of why it is possible to extract obliquity from light curves is missing. Reflected light seen by a distant observer is the product of a planet's albedo map, its host star's illumination, and the visibility of different regions. It is useful to treat the product of illumination and visibility as the kernel of a convolution. Time-resolved photometry constrains both the albedo map and the kernel, the latter of which sweeps over the planet due to rotational and orbital motion. The kernel's movement distinguishes prograde from retrograde rotation for planets with non-zero obliquity on inclined orbits. We demonstrate that the kernel's longitudinal width and mean latitude are distinct functions of obliquity and axial orientation. Notably, we find that a planet's spin axis affects the kernel -- and hence time-resolved photometry -- even if this planet is East-West uniform or spinning rapidly, or if it is North-South uniform. We find that perfect knowledge of the kernel at 2-4 orbital phases is usually sufficient to uniquely determine a planet's spin axis. Surprisingly, we predict that East-West albedo contrast is more useful for constraining obliquity than North-South contrast.

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arXiv2018

exocartographer: A Bayesian Framework for Mapping Exoplanets in Reflected Light

Future space telescopes will directly image extrasolar planets at visible wavelengths. Time-resolved reflected light from an exoplanet encodes information about atmospheric and surface inhomogeneities. Previous research has shown that the light curve of an exoplanet can be inverted to obtain a low-resolution map of the planet, as well as constraints on its spin orientation. Estimating the uncertainty on 2D albedo maps has so far remained elusive. Here we present exocartographer, a flexible open-source Bayesian framework for solving the exo-cartography inverse problem. The map is parameterized with equal-area HEALPix pixels. For a fiducial map resolution of 192 pixels, a four-parameter Gaussian process describing the spatial scale of albedo variations, and two unknown planetary spin parameters, exocartographer explores a 198-dimensional parameter space. To test the code, we produce a light curve for a cloudless Earth in a face-on orbit with a 90$^\circ$ obliquity. We produce synthetic white light observations of the planet: 5 epochs of observations throughout the planet's orbit, each consisting of 24 hourly observations with a photometric uncertainty of $1\%$ (120 data). We retrieve an albedo map and$-$for the first time$-$its uncertainties, along with spin constraints. The albedo map is recognizably of Earth, with typical uncertainty of $30\%$. The retrieved characteristic length scale is 88$\pm 7 ^\circ$, or 9800 km. The obliquity is recovered with a $1-σ$ uncertainty of $0.8^\circ$. Despite the uncertainty in the retrieved albedo map, we robustly identify a high albedo region (the Sahara desert) and a large low-albedo region (the Pacific Ocean).

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arXiv2018

Cloud Atlas: Rotational Modulations in the L/T Transition Brown Dwarf Companion HN Peg B

Time-resolved observations of brown dwarfs' rotational modulations provide powerful insights into the properties of condensate clouds in ultra-cool atmospheres. Multi-wavelength light curves reveal cloud vertical structures, condensate particle sizes, and cloud morphology, which directly constrain condensate cloud and atmospheric circulation models. We report results from Hubble Space Telescope/Wide Field Camera 3 near-infrared G141 taken in six consecutive orbits observations of HN Peg B, an L/T transition brown dwarf companion to a G0V type star. The best-fit sine wave to the $1.1-1.7μ$m broadband light curve has the amplitude of $1.206\pm0.025\%$ and period of $15.4\pm0.5$ hr. The modulation amplitude has no detectable wavelength dependence except in the 1.4 $μ$m water absorption band, indicating that the characteristic condensate particle sizes are large ($>1μ$m). We detect significantly ($4.4σ$) lower modulation amplitude in the 1.4$μ$m water absorption band, and find that HN Peg B's spectral modulation resembles those of early T type brown dwarfs. We also describe a new empirical interpolation method to remove spectral contamination from the bright host star. This method may be applied in other high-contrast time-resolved observations with WFC3.

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arXiv2018

Analytic Reflected Lightcurves for Exoplanets

The disk-integrated reflected brightness of an exoplanet changes as a function of time due to orbital and rotational motion coupled with an inhomogeneous albedo map. We have previously derived analytic reflected lightcurves for spherical harmonic albedo maps in the special case of a synchronously-rotating planet on an edge-on orbit (Cowan, Fuentes & Haggard 2013). In this paper, we present analytic reflected lightcurves for the general case of a planet on an inclined orbit, with arbitrary spin period and non-zero obliquity. We do so for two different albedo basis maps: bright points ($δ$-maps), and spherical harmonics ($Y_l^m$-maps). In particular, we use Wigner $D$-matrices to express an harmonic lightcurve for an arbitrary viewing geometry as a non-linear combination of harmonic lightcurves for the simpler edge-on, synchronously rotating geometry. These solutions will enable future exploration of the degeneracies and information content of reflected lightcurves, as well as fast calculation of lightcurves for mapping exoplanets based on time-resolved photometry. To these ends we make available Exoplanet Analytic Reflected Lightcurves (EARL), a simple open-source code that allows rapid computation of reflected lightcurves.

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arXiv2018

Detection of a Westward Hotspot Offset in the Atmosphere of a Hot Gas Giant CoRoT-2b

Short-period planets exhibit day-night temperature contrasts of hundreds to thousands of degrees K. They also exhibit eastward hotspot offsets whereby the hottest region on the planet is east of the substellar point; this has been widely interpreted as advection of heat due to eastward winds. We present thermal phase observations of the hot Jupiter CoRoT-2b obtained with the IRAC instrument on the Spitzer Space Telescope. These measurements show the most robust detection to date of a westward hotspot offset of 23 $\pm$ 4 degrees, in contrast with the nine other planets with equivalent measurements. The peculiar infrared flux map of CoRoT-2b may result from westward winds due to non-synchronous rotation magnetic effects, or partial cloud coverage, that obscures the emergent flux from the planet's eastern hemisphere. Non-synchronous rotation and magnetic effects may also explain the planet's anomalously large radius. On the other hand, partial cloud coverage could explain the featureless dayside emission spectrum of the planet. If CoRoT-2b is not tidally locked, then it means that our understanding of star-planet tidal interaction is incomplete. If the westward offset is due to magnetic effects, our result represents an opportunity to study an exoplanet's magnetic field. If it has Eastern clouds, then it means that our understanding of large-scale circulation on tidally locked planets is incomplete.

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