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Nicolas Champagnat

Publications and source records attributed to Nicolas Champagnat.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

From stochastic individual-based models to free-boundary Hamilton-Jacobi equations

We study a stochastic branching model for a population structured by a quantitative phenotypic trait and subject to births, deaths, and mutations. In a regime of large population and small mutations, and in logarithmic scales of size and time, we derive a certain class of free boundary Hamilton-Jacobi equations with state constraints from the stochastic individual-based system. This goes beyond the classical Hamilton-Jacobi equations obtained from deterministic models by taking into account the possible extinction of the system in certain regions of the trait space. The proof is obtained by combining methods for the analysis of Hamilton-Jacobi equations with probabilistic tools from the theory of large deviations and branching processes.

math.PR↗
arXiv2025

Uniform Wasserstein convergence of penalized Markov processes

For general penalized Markov processes with soft killing, we propose a simple criterion ensuring uniform convergence of conditional distributions in Wasserstein distance to a unique quasi-stationary distribution. We give several examples of application where our criterion can be checked, including Bernoulli convolutions and piecewise deterministic Markov processes of the form of switched dynamical systems, for which convergence in total variation is not possible.

math.PR↗
arXiv2025

Quasi-stationary distributions in reducible state spaces

We study quasi-stationary distributions and quasi-limiting behavior of Markov chains in general reducible state spaces with absorption. We propose a set of assumptions dealing with particular situations where the state space can be decomposed into three subsets between which communication is only possible in a single direction. These assumptions allow us to characterize the exponential order of magnitude and the exact polynomial correction, called polynomial convergence parameter, for the leading order term of the semigroup for large time. They also provide explicit convergence speeds to this leading order term. We apply these results to general Markov chains with finitely or denumerably many communication classes using a specific induction over the communication classes of the chain. We are able to explicitely characterize the polynomial convergence parameter, to determine the complete set of quasistationary distributions and to provide explicit estimates for the speed of convergence to quasi-limiting distributions in the case of finitely many communication classes. We conclude with an application of these results to the case of denumerable state spaces, where we are able to prove that, in general, there is existence of a quasi-stationary distribution without assuming irreducibility before absorption. This actually holds true assuming only aperiodicity, the existence of a Lyapunov function and the existence of a point in the state space from which the return time is finite with positive probability.

math.PR↗
arXiv2025

Modelling the effects of biological intervention in a dynamical gene network

Cellular response to environmental and internal signals can be modeled by dynamical gene regulatory networks (GRN). In the literature, three main classes of gene network models can be distinguished: (i) non-quantitative (or data-based) models which do not describe the probability distribution of gene expressions; (ii) quantitative models which fully describe the probability distribution of all genes coexpression; and (iii) mechanistic models which allow for a causal interpretation of gene interactions. We propose two rigorous frameworks to model gene alteration in a dynamical GRN, depending on whether the network model is quantitative or mechanistic. We explain how these models can be used for design of experiment, or, if additional alteration data are available, for validation purposes or to improve the parameter estimation of the original model. We apply these methods to the Gaussian graphical model, which is quantitative but non-mechanistic, and to mechanistic models of Bayesian networks and penalized linear regression.

q-bio.MN↗
arXiv2025

An individual-based stochastic model reveals strong constraints on allometric relationships with minimal metabolic and ecological assumptions

We design a stochastic individual-based model structured in energy, for single species consuming an external resource, where populations are characterized by a typical energy at birth in $\mathbb{R}^{*}_{+}$. The resource is maintained at a fixed amount, so we benefit from a branching property at the population level. Thus, we focus on individual trajectories, constructed as Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes, with random jumps modelling births and deaths in the population; and a continuous and deterministic evolution of energy between jumps. We are mainly interested in the case where metabolic (i.e. energy loss for maintenance), growth, birth and death rates depend on the individual energy over time, and follow allometric scalings (i.e. power laws). Our goal is to determine in a bottom-up approach what are the possible allometric coefficients (i.e. exponents of these power laws) under elementary -- and ecologically relevant -- constraints, for our model to be valid for the whole spectrum of possible body sizes. We show in particular that assuming an allometric coefficient $α$ related to metabolism strongly constrains the range of possible values for the allometric coefficients $β$, $δ$, $γ$, respectively related to birth, death and growth rates. We further identify and discuss the precise and minimal ecological mechanisms that are involved in these strong constraints on allometric scalings.

math.PR↗
arXiv2024

Quasi-stationary distribution for kinetic SDEs with low regularity coefficients

We consider kinetic SDEs with low regularity coefficients in the setting recently introduced in [6]. For the solutions to such equations, we first prove a Harnack inequality. Using the abstract approach of [5], this inequality then allows us to prove, under a Lyapunov condition, the existence and uniqueness (in a suitable class of measures) of a quasi-stationary distribution in cylindrical domains of the phase space. We finally exhibit two settings in which the Lyapunov condition holds: general kinetic SDEs in domains which are bounded in position, and Langevin processes with a non-conservative force and a suitable growth condition on the force.

math.PR↗
arXiv2024

Degenerate processes killed at the boundary of a domain

We investigate certain properties of degenerate Feller processes that are killed when exiting a relatively compact set. Our main result provides general conditions ensuring that such a process possesses a (possibly non unique) quasi stationary distribution. Conditions ensuring uniqueness and exponential convergence are discussed. The results are applied to nonelliptic and hypoelliptic stochastic differential equations.

math.PR↗
arXiv2024

Convergence of population processes with small and frequent mutations to the canonical equation of adaptive dynamics

In this article, a stochastic individual-based model describing Darwinian evolution of asexual, phenotypic trait-structured population, is studied. We consider a large population with constant population size characterised by a resampling rate modeling competition pressure driving selection and a mutation rate where mutations occur during life. In this model, the population state at fixed time is given as a measure on the space of phenotypes and the evolution of the population is described by a continuous time, measure-valued Markov process. We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the system, where mutations are frequent, in the double simultaneous limit of large population $(K \to +\infty)$ and small mutational effects $(σ_{K} \to 0)$ proving convergence to an ODE known as the canonical equation of adaptive dynamics. This result holds only for a certain range of $σ_{K}$ parameters (as a function of $K$) which must be small enough but not too small either. The canonical equation describes the evolution in time of the dominant trait in the population driven by a fitness gradient. This result is based on an slow-fast asymptotic analysis. We use an averaging method, inspired by (Kurtz, 1992), which exploits a martingale approach and compactness-uniqueness arguments. The contribution of the fast component, which converges to the centered Fleming-Viot process, is obtained by averaging according to its invariant measure, recently characterised in (Champagnat-Hass, 2022).

math.PR↗
arXiv2023

Existence, uniqueness and ergodicity for the centered Fleming-Viot process

Motivated by questions of ergodicity for shift invariant Fleming-Viot process, we consider the centered Fleming-Viot process $\left(Z_{t} \right)_{t\geqslant 0}$ defined by $Z_{t} := τ_{-\left\langle {\rm id}, Y_{t} \right\rangle} \sharp \, Y_{t}$, where $\left(Y_{t}\right)_{t\geqslant 0}$ is the original Fleming-Viot process. Our goal is to characterise the centered Fleming-Viot process with a martingale problem. To establish the existence of a solution to this martingale problem, we exploit the original Fleming-Viot martingale problem and asymptotic expansions. The proof of uniqueness is based on a weakened version of the duality method, allowing us to prove uniqueness for initial conditions admitting finite moments. We also provide counter examples showing that our approach based on the duality method cannot be expected to give uniqueness for more general initial conditions. Finally, we establish ergodicity properties with exponential convergence in total variation for the centered Fleming-Viot process and characterise the invariant measure.

math.PR↗
arXiv2022

Quasi-limiting estimates for periodic absorbed Markov chains

We consider periodic Markov chains with absorption. Applying to iterates of this periodic Markov chain criteria for the exponential convergence of conditional distributions of aperiodic absorbed Markov chains, we obtain exponential estimates for the periodic asymptotic behavior of the semigroup of the Markov chain. This implies in particular the exponential convergence in total variation of the conditional distribution of the Markov chain given non-absorption to a periodic sequence of limit measures and we characterize the cases where this sequence is constant, which corresponds to the cases where the conditional distributions converge to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize the first two eignevalues of the semigroup and give a bound for the spectral gap between these eigenvalues and the next ones. Finally, we give ergodicity estimates in total variation for the Markov chain conditioned to never be absorbed, often called Q-process, and quasi-ergodicity estimates for the original Markov chain.

math.PR↗
arXiv2022

General criteria for the study of quasi-stationarity

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of attraction by an integrability condition, prove the existence of a right eigenvector for the semigroup of the process and the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process. These results are applied to one-dimensional and multi-dimensional diffusion processes, to pure jump continuous time processes, to reducible processes with several communication classes, to perturbed dynamical systems and discrete time processes evolving in discrete state spaces.

math.PR↗
arXiv2022

Filling the gap between individual-based evolutionary models and Hamilton-Jacobi equations

We consider a stochastic model for the evolution of a discrete population structured by a trait with values on a finite grid of the torus, and with mutation and selection. Traits are vertically inherited unless a mutation occurs, and influence the birth and death rates. We focus on a parameter scaling where population is large, individual mutations are small but not rare, and the grid mesh for the trait values is much smaller than the size of mutation steps. When considering the evolution of the population in a long time scale, the contribution of small sub-populations may strongly influence the dynamics. Our main result quantifies the asymptotic dynamics of sub-population sizes on a logarithmic scale. We establish that under the parameter scaling the logarithm of the stochastic population size process, conveniently normalized, converges to the unique viscosity solution of a Hamilton-Jacobi equation. Such Hamilton-Jacobi equations have already been derived from parabolic integro-differential equations and have been widely developed in the study of adaptation of quantitative traits. Our work provides a justification of this framework directly from a stochastic individual based model, leading to a better understanding of the results obtained within this approach. The proof makes use of almost sure maximum principles and careful controls of the martingale parts.

math.PR↗
arXiv2021

Identifying conversion efficiency as a key mechanism underlying food webs evolution : a step forward, or backward ?

Body size or mass is one of the main factors underlying food webs structure. A large number of evolutionary models have shown that indeed, the adaptive evolution of body size (or mass) can give rise to hierarchically organised trophic levels with complex between and within trophic interactions. However, these models generally make strong arbitrary assumptions on how traits evolve, casting doubts on their robustness. In particular, biomass conversion efficiency is always considered independent of the predator and prey size, which contradicts with the literature. In this paper, we propose a general model encompassing most previous models which allows to show that relaxing arbitrary assumptions gives rise to unrealistic food webs. We then show that considering biomass conversion efficiency dependent on species size is certainly key for food webs adaptive evolution because realistic food webs can evolve, making obsolete the need of arbitrary constraints on traits' evolution. We finally conclude that, on the one hand, ecologists should pay attention to how biomass flows into food webs in models. On the other hand, we question more generally the robustness of evolutionary models for the study of food webs.

q-bio.PE↗
arXiv2021

Stochastic approximation of quasi-stationary distributions for diffusion processes in a bounded domain

We study a random process with reinforcement, which evolves following the dynamics of a given diffusion process in a bounded domain and is resampled according to its occupation measure when it reaches the boundary. We show that its occupation measure converges to the unique quasi-stationary distribution of the diffusion process absorbed at the boundary of the domain. Our proofs use recent results in the theory of quasi-stationary distributions and stochastic approximation techniques.

math.PR↗
arXiv2019

Stochastic analysis of emergence of evolutionary cyclic behavior in population dynamics with transfer

Horizontal gene transfer consists in exchanging genetic materials between microorganisms during their lives. This is a major mechanism of bacterial evolution and is believed to be of main importance in antibiotics resistance. We consider a stochastic model for the evolution of a discrete population structured by a trait taking finitely many values, with density-dependent competition. Traits are vertically inherited unless a mutation occurs, and can also be horizontally transferred by unilateral conjugation with frequency dependent rate. Our goal is to analyze the trade-off between natural evolution to higher birth rates on one side, and transfer which drives the population towards lower birth rates on the other side. Simulations show that evolutionary outcomes include evolutionary suicide or cyclic re-emergence of small populations with well-adapted traits. We focus on a parameter scaling where individual mutations are rare but the global mutation rate tends to infinity. This implies that negligible sub-populations may have a strong contribution to evolution. Our main result quantifies the asymptotic dynamics of subpopulation sizes on a logarithmic scale. We characterize the possible evolutionary outcomes with explicit criteria on the model parameters. An important ingredient for the proofs lies in comparisons of the stochastic population process with linear or logistic birth-death processes with immigration. For the latter processes, we derive several results of independent interest.

math.PR↗
arXiv2019

Lyapunov criteria for uniform convergence of conditional distributions of absorbed Markov processes

We study the quasi-stationary behavior of multidimensional processes absorbed when one of the coordinates vanishes. Our results cover competitive or weakly cooperative Lotka-Volterra birth and death processes and Feller diffusions with competitive Lotka-Volterra interaction. To this aim, we develop original non-linear Lyapunov criteria involving two Lyapunov functions, which apply to general Markov processes.

math.PR↗