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Nicolas M. Cuadrado A.

Publications and source records attributed to Nicolas M. Cuadrado A..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

WattCouncil: Context-Aware Household Energy Scenario Generation With Governed LLMs

The accelerating shift toward low-carbon power systems, together with the widespread adoption of behind-the-meter technologies such as rooftop solar and electric vehicles, is placing new operational and analytical demands on electricity grids. At the same time, smart-grid research increasingly relies on machine learning (ML), yet progress is constrained by limited access to high-resolution household energy data due to privacy concerns, regulatory barriers, and collection costs. This work presents WattCouncil, a data-generation framework in which household electricity demand is generated by a council of Large Language Model (LLM)-based agents operating in specialized roles to generate, audit, and validate structured energy scenarios under explicit cultural, temporal, and physical constraints. Rather than acting as static predictors, these agents serve as adaptive decision-makers within a governed pipeline. Motivated by studies highlighting the importance of contextual factors in energy use, our framework produces context-sensitive daily routines through a guided reasoning process that incorporates household composition, temporal factors, and environmental conditions. We evaluate the generated profiles against the detailed CER dataset, which contains over a year of load measurements for 4232 households together with survey-based socio-economic information. We further assess the consistency of the framework through ablation studies. Source code is available at https://github.com/Singularity-AI-Lab/wattcouncil

cs.AI↗

Tractable Probabilistic Models for Investment Planning

Investment planning in power utilities, such as generation and transmission expansion, requires decisions under substantial uncertainty over decade--long horizons for policies, demand, renewable availability, and outages, while maintaining reliability and computational tractability. Conventional approaches approximate uncertainty using finite scenario sets (modeled as a mixture of Diracs in statistical theory terms), which can become computationally intensive as scenario detail increases and provide limited probabilistic resolution for reliability assessment. We propose an alternative based on tractable probabilistic models, using sum--product networks (SPNs) to represent high--dimensional uncertainty in a compact, analytically tractable form that supports exact probabilistic queries (e.g., likelihoods, marginals, and conditionals). This framework enables the direct embedding of chance constraints into mixed--integer linear programming (MILP) models for investment planning to evaluate reliability events and enforce probabilistic feasibility requirements without enumerating large scenario trees. We demonstrate the approach on a representative planning case study and report reliability--cost trade--offs and computational behavior relative to standard scenario--based formulations.

cs.LG↗