arXiv subjects

Nicolas Wijsen

Publications and source records attributed to Nicolas Wijsen.

34 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Studying the spheromak rotation in data-constrained CME modelling with EUHFORIA and assessing its effect on the Bz prediction

A key challenge in space weather forecasting is accurately predicting the magnetic field topology of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), specifically the north-south magnetic field component (Bz) for Earth-directed CMEs. Heliospheric MHD models typically use spheromaks to represent the magnetic structure of CMEs. However, when inserted into the ambient interplanetary magnetic field, spheromaks can experience a phenomenon reminiscent of the condition known as the "spheromak tilting instability", causing its magnetic axis to rotate. From the perspective of space weather forecasting, it is crucial to understand the effect of this rotation on predicting Bz at 1 au while implementing the spheromak model for realistic event studies. In this work, we study this by modelling a CME event on 2013 April 11 using the "EUropean Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset" (EUHFORIA). Our results show that a significant spheromak rotation up to 90 degrees has occurred by the time it reaches 1 au, while the majority of this rotation occurs below 0.3 au. This total rotation resulted in poor predicted magnetic field topology of the ICME at 1 au. To address this issue, we further investigated the influence of spheromak density on mitigating rotation. The results show that the spheromak rotation is less for higher densities. Importantly, we observe a substantial reduction in the uncertainties associated with predicting Bz when there is minimal spheromak rotation. Therefore, we conclude that spheromak rotation adversely affects Bz prediction in the analyzed event, emphasizing the need for caution when employing spheromaks in global MHD models for space weather forecasting.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

Modelling two Energetic Storm Particle Events Observed by Solar Orbiter Using the Combined EUHFORIA and iPATH Models

By coupling the EUropean Heliospheric FORcasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA) and the improved Particle Acceleration and Transport in the Heliosphere (iPATH) model, two energetic storm particle (ESP) events, originating from the same active region (AR 13088) and observed by Solar Orbiter (SolO) on August 31 2022 and September 05 2022, are modelled. While both events originated from the same active region, they exhibited notable differences, including: 1) the August ESP event lasted for 7 hours, while the September event persisted for 16 hours; 2) The time intensity profiles for the September event showed a clear cross-over upstream of the shock where the intensity of higher energy protons exceeds those of lower energy protons, leading to positive (``reverse'') spectral indices prior to the shock passage. For both events, our simulations replicate the observed duration of the shock sheath, depending on the deceleration history of the CME. Imposing different choices of escaping length scale, which is related to the decay of upstream turbulence, the modelled time intensity profiles prior to the shock arrival also agree with observations. In particular, the cross-over of this time profile in the September event is well reproduced. We show that a ``reverse'' upstream spectrum is the result of the interplay between two length scales. One characterizes the decay of upstream shock accelerated particles, which are controlled by the energy-dependent diffusion coefficient, and the other characterizes the decay of upstream turbulence power, which is related to the process of how streaming protons upstream of the shock excite Alfvén waves. Simulations taking into account real-time background solar wind, the dynamics of the CME propagation, and upstream turbulence at the shock front are necessary to thoroughly understand the ESP phase of large SEP events.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

Relativistic electron beams accelerated by an interplanetary shock

Collisionless shock waves have long been considered amongst the most prolific particle accelerators in the universe. Shocks alter the plasma they propagate through and often exhibit complex evolution across multiple scales. Interplanetary (IP) traveling shocks have been recorded in-situ for over half a century and act as a natural laboratory for experimentally verifying various aspects of large-scale collisionless shocks. A fundamentally interesting problem in both helio and astrophysics is the acceleration of electrons to relativistic energies (more than 300 keV) by traveling shocks. This letter presents first observations of field-aligned beams of relativistic electrons upstream of an IP shock observed thanks to the instrumental capabilities of Solar Orbiter. This study aims to present the characteristics of the electron beams close to the source and contribute towards understanding their acceleration mechanism. On 25 July 2022, Solar Orbiter encountered an IP shock at 0.98 AU. The shock was associated with an energetic storm particle event which also featured upstream field-aligned relativistic electron beams observed 14 minutes prior to the actual shock crossing. The distance of the beam's origin was investigated using a velocity dispersion analysis (VDA). Peak-intensity energy spectra were anaylzed and compared with those obtained from a semi-analytical fast-Fermi acceleration model. By leveraging Solar Orbiter's high-time resolution Energetic Particle Detector (EPD), we have successfully showcased an IP shock's ability to accelerate relativistic electron beams. Our proposed acceleration mechanism offers an explanation for the observed electron beam and its characteristics, while we also explore the potential contributions of more complex mechanisms.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

The East-West Asymmetry of Particle Intensity in Energetic Storm Particle Events

We examine the East-West asymmetry of the peak intensity in energetic storm particle (ESP) events using the improved Particle Acceleration and Transport in the Heliosphere (iPATH) model. We find that injection efficiency peaks east of the nose of coronal mass ejection shock where the shock exhibits a quasi-parallel geometry. We show that the peak intensity at the eastern flank is generally larger than that at the western flank and it positively correlates with the injection efficiency. We also examine this asymmetry for heavy ions, which depends sensitively on the ion energy. Comparison between the modelling results with the measurements of ESP events at 1 au shows a reasonable agreement. We suggest that the injection efficiency can be a primary factor leading to the East-West asymmetry of the peak intensity in ESP events. Additionally, the charge-to-mass (Q/A) dependence of the maximum particle energy affects this asymmetry for heavy ions.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

The effect of the ambient solar wind medium on a CME-driven shock and the associated gradual solar energetic particle event

We present simulation results of a gradual solar energetic particle (SEP) event detected on 2021 October 9 by multiple spacecraft, including BepiColombo (Bepi) and near-Earth spacecraft such as the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE). A peculiarity of this event is that the presence of a high speed stream (HSS) affected the low-energy ion component ($\lesssim 5$ MeV) of the gradual SEP event at both Bepi and ACE, despite the HSS having only a modest solar wind speed increase. Using the EUHFORIA (European Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset) magnetohydrodynamic model, we replicate the solar wind during the event and the coronal mass ejection (CME) that generated it. We then combine these results with the energetic particle transport model PARADISE (PArticle Radiation Asset Directed at Interplanetary Space Exploration). We find that the structure of the CME-driven shock was affected by the non-uniform solar wind, especially near the HSS, resulting in a shock wavefront with strong variations in its properties such as its compression ratio and obliquity. By scaling the emission of energetic particles from the shock to the solar wind compression at the shock, an excellent match between the PARADISE simulation and in-situ measurements of $\lesssim 5$ MeV ions is obtained. Our modelling shows that the intricate intensity variations observed at both ACE and Bepi were influenced by the non-uniform emission of energetic particles from the deformed shock wave and demonstrates the influence of even modest background solar wind structures on the development of SEP events.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2023

On the seed population of solar energetic particles in the inner heliosphere

Particles measured in large gradual solar energetic particle (SEP) events are believed to be predominantly accelerated at shocks driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Ion charge state and composition analyses suggest that the origin of the seed particle population for the mechanisms of particle acceleration at CME-driven shocks is not the bulk solar wind thermal material, but rather a suprathermal population present in the solar wind. This suprathermal population could result from remnant material accelerated in prior solar flares and/or preceding CME-driven shocks. In this work, we examine the distribution of this suprathermal particle population in the inner heliosphere by combining a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulation of the solar wind and a Monte-Carlo simulation of particle acceleration and transport. Assuming that the seed particles are uniformly distributed near the Sun by solar flares of various magnitudes, we study the longitudinal distribution of the seed population at multiple heliocentric distances. We consider a non-uniform background solar wind, consisting of fast and slow streams that lead to compression and rarefaction regions within the solar wind. Our simulations show that the seed population at a particular location (e.g., 1 au) is strongly modulated by the underlying solar wind configuration. Corotating interaction regions (CIRs) and merged interactions regions (MIRs) can strongly alter the energy spectra of the seed particle populations. In addition, cross-field diffusion plays an important role in mitigating strong variations of the seed population in both space and energy.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2023

Multiple injections of energetic electrons associated with the flare/CME event on 9 October 2021

We study the solar energetic particle (SEP) event observed on 9 October 2021, by multiple spacecraft including Solar Orbiter (SolO). The event was associated with an M1.6 flare, a coronal mass ejection (CME) and a shock wave. During the event, high-energy protons and electrons were recorded by multiple instruments located within a narrow longitudinal cone. An interesting aspect of the event was the multi-stage particle energization during the flare impulsive phase and also what appears to be a separate phase of electron acceleration detected at SolO after the flare maximum. We aim to investigate and identify the multiple sources of energetic electron acceleration. We utilize SEP electron observations from the Energetic Particle Detector (EPD) and hard X-ray (HXR) observations from the Spectrometer/Telescope for Imaging X-rays (STIX) on-board SolO, in combination with radio observations at a broad frequency range. We focus on establishing an association between the energetic electrons and the different HXR and radio emissions associated with the multiple acceleration episodes. We have found that the flare was able to accelerate electrons for at least 20 minutes during the nonthermal phase observed in the form of five discrete HXR pulses. We also show evidence that the shock wave has contributed to the electron acceleration during and after the impulsive flare phase. The detailed analysis of EPD electron data shows that there was a time difference in the release of low- and high-energy electrons, with the high-energy release delayed. Also, the observed electron anisotropy characteristics suggest different connectivity during the two phases of acceleration.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2022

Improving CME evolution and arrival predictions with AMR and grid stretching in Icarus

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are one of the main drivers of disturbances in the interplanetary space. Strong CMEs, when directed towards the Earth, cause geo-magnetic storms upon interacting with the magnetic field of the Earthand can cause significant damage to our planet and affect everyday life. As such, efficient space weather prediction tools are necessary to forecast the arrival and impact of CME eruptions. Recently, a new heliospheric model Icarus was developed based on MPI-AMRVAC, which is a 3D ideal MHD model for the solar wind and CME propagation, and it introduces advanced numerical techniques to make the simulations more efficient. A cone model is used to study the evolution of the CME through the background solar wind and its arrival and impact at Earth. Grid stretching and AMR are combined in the simulations by using multiple refinement criteria. We compare simulation results to the EUFHORIA model. As a result, the simulations were sped up by a factor of 17 for the most optimal configuration in Icarus. For the cone CME model, we found that limiting the AMR to the region around the CME-driven shock yields the best results. The results modelled by the simulations with radial grid stretching and AMR level 4 are similar to the results provided by the original EUHFORIA and Icarus simulations with the 'standard' resolution and equidistant grids. The simulations with 5 AMR levels yielded better results than the simulations with an equidistant grid and standard resolution. Solution AMR is flexible and provides the user the freedom to modify and locally increase the grid resolution according to the purpose of the simulation. The advanced techniques implemented in Icarus can be further used to improve the forecasting procedures, since the reduced simulation time is essential to make physics-based forecasts less computationally expensive.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2022

Modelling the 2020 November 29 solar energetic particle event using the EUHFORIA and the iPATH model

We present the implementation of coupling the EUropean Heliospheric FORcasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA) and the improved Particle Acceleration and Transport in the Heliosphere (iPATH) model and simulate the widespread solar energetic particle (SEP) event of 2020 November 29. We compare the simulated time intensity profiles with measurements at Parker Solar Probe (PSP), the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO)-A, SOlar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) and Solar Orbiter (SolO). We focus on the influence of the history of shock acceleration on the varying SEP time intensity profiles and investigate the underlying causes in the origin of this widespread SEP event. The temporal evolution of shock parameters and particle fluxes during this event are examined. We find that adopting a realistic solar wind background can significantly impact the expansion of the shock and consequently the shock parameters. Time intensity profiles with an energetic storm particle event at PSP are well reproduced from the simulation. In addition, the simulated and observed time intensity profiles of protons show a similar two-phase enhancement at STA. These results illustrate that modelling a shock using a realistic solar wind is crucial in determining the characteristics of SEP events. The decay phase of the modelled time intensity profiles at Earth agrees well with observations, indicating the importance of perpendicular diffusion in widespread SEP events. Taking into account the possible large curved magnetic field line connecting to SolO, the modelled time intensity profiles show good agreement with the observation. We suggest that the largely distorted magnetic field lines due to a stream interaction region may be a key factor in understanding the observed SEPs at SolO in this event.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2022

Implementation and validation of the FRi3D flux rope model in EUHFORIA

The Flux Rope in 3D (FRi3D, Isavnin, 2016), a coronal mass ejection (CME) model with global three-dimensional (3D) geometry, has been implemented in the space weather forecasting tool EUHFORIA (Pomoell and Poedts, 2018). By incorporating this advanced flux rope model in EUHFORIA, we aim to improve the modelling of CME flank encounters and, most importantly, the magnetic field predictions at Earth. After using synthetic events to showcase FRi3D's capabilities of modelling CME flanks, we optimize the model to run robust simulations of real events and test its predictive capabilities. We perform observation-based modelling of the halo CME event that erupted on 12 July 2012. The geometrical input parameters are constrained using the forward modelling tool included in FRi3D with additional flux rope geometry flexibilities as compared to the pre-existing models. The magnetic field input parameters are derived using the differential evolution algorithm to fit FRi3D parameters to the in situ data at 1 AU. An observation-based approach to constrain the density of CMEs is adopted, in order to achieve a better estimation of mass corresponding to the FRi3D geometry. The CME is evolved in EUHFORIA's heliospheric domain and a comparison of FRi3D's predictive performance with the previously implemented spheromak CME in EUHFORIA is presented. For this event, FRi3D improves the modelling of the total magnetic field magnitude and Bz at Earth by ~30% and ~70%, respectively. Moreover, we compute the expected geoeffectiveness of the storm at Earth using an empirical Dst model and find that the FRi3D model improves the predictions of minimum Dst by ~20% as compared to the spheromak CME model. Finally, we discuss the limitations of the current implementation of FRi3D in EUHFORIA and propose possible improvements.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2022

Observation-based modelling of the energetic storm particle event of 14 July 2012

We model the energetic storm particle (ESP) event of 14 July 2012 using the energetic particle acceleration and transport model named PARADISE, together with the solar wind and coronal mass ejection (CME) model named EUHFORIA. The simulation results illustrate both the capabilities and limitations of the utilised models. We show that the models capture some essential structural features of the ESP event; however, for some aspects the simulations and observations diverge. We describe and, to some extent, assess the sources of errors in the modelling chain of EUHFORIA and PARADISE and discuss how they may be mitigated in the future. The PARADISE model evolves energetic particle distributions in a background solar wind generated by the ideal MHD module of EUHFORIA. The CME generating the ESP event is simulated by using the spheromak model of EUHFORIA, which approximates the CME's flux rope as a linear force-free spheroidal magnetic field. In addition, a tool was developed to trace CME-driven shock waves in the EUHFORIA simulation domain. This tool is used in PARADISE to (i) inject 50 keV protons continuously at the CME-driven shock and (ii) include a foreshock and a sheath region, in which the energetic particle parallel mean free path, $λ_\parallel$, decreases towards the shock wave. The value of $λ_\parallel$ at the shock wave is estimated from in situ observations of the ESP event. For energies below 1 MeV, the simulation results agree well with both the upstream and downstream components of the ESP event observed by the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE). This suggests that these low-energy protons are mainly the result of interplanetary particle acceleration. In the downstream region, the sharp drop in the energetic particle intensities is reproduced at the entry into the following magnetic cloud, illustrating the importance of a magnetised CME model.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2021

A Self-consistent Simulation of Proton Acceleration and Transport Near a High-speed Solar Wind Stream

Solar wind stream interaction regions (SIRs) are often characterized by energetic ion enhancements. The mechanisms accelerating these particles, as well as the locations where the acceleration occurs, remain debated. Here, we report the findings of a simulation of a SIR event observed by Parker Solar Probe at ~0.56 au and the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory-Ahead at ~0.95 au in 2019 September when both spacecraft were approximately radially aligned with the Sun. The simulation reproduces the solar wind configuration and the energetic particle enhancements observed by both spacecraft. Our results show that the energetic particles are produced at the compression waves associated with the SIR and that the suprathermal tail of the solar wind is a good candidate to provide the seed population for particle acceleration. The simulation confirms that the acceleration process does not require shock waves and can already commence within Earth's orbit, with an energy dependence on the precise location where particles are accelerated. The three-dimensional configuration of the solar wind streams strongly modulates the energetic particle distributions, illustrating the necessity of advanced models to understand these particle events.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2021

Implementing the MULTI-VP coronal model in EUHFORIA: test case results and comparisons with the WSA coronal model

In this study, we focus on improving EUHFORIA (European Heliospheric Forecasting Information Asset), a recently developed 3D MHD space weather prediction tool. EUHFORIA consists of two parts, covering two spatial domains; the solar corona and the inner heliosphere. For the first part, the semi-empirical Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model is used by default, which employs the Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) and Schatten Current Sheet (SCS) models to provide the necessary solar wind plasma and magnetic conditions above the solar surface, at 0.1 AU, that serve as boundary conditions for the inner heliospheric part. Herein, we present the first results of the implementation of an alternative coronal model in EUHFORIA, the so-called MULTI-VP model. We compared the output of the default coronal model with the output from MULTI-VP at the inner boundary of the heliospheric domain of EUHFORIA in order to understand differences between the two models, before they propagate to Earth. We also compared the performance of WSA+EUHFORIA-heliosphere and MULTI-VP+EUHFORIA-heliosphere against in situ observations at Earth. In the frame of this study, we considered two different high-speed stream cases, one during a period of low solar activity and one during a period of high solar activity. We also employed two different magnetograms, i.e., GONG and WSO. Our results show that the choice of both the coronal model and the magnetogram play an important role on the accuracy of the solar wind prediction. However, it is not clear which component plays the most important role for the modeled results obtained at Earth. A statistical analysis with an appropriate number of simulations is needed to confirm our findings.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2020

The effect of drifts on the decay phase of SEP events

We study the effect of the magnetic gradient and curvature drifts on the pitch-angle dependent transport of solar energetic particles (SEPs), focusing on 3 - 36 MeV protons. By considering observers located at various positions in the heliosphere, we investigate how drifts may alter the measured intensity-time profiles and energy spectra. We focus on the decay phase of solar energetic proton events during which a temporal invariant spectrum and disappearing spatial intensity gradients are often observed; a phenomenon known as the 'reservoir effect' or the 'SEP flood'. We study the effects of drifts by solving the focused transport equation for nominal Parker solar wind configurations and for a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) generated solar wind containing a corotating interaction region (CIR). The latter configuration contains a magnetic bottle structure, with one bottleneck at the Sun and the other at the CIR. It is illustrated that observers magnetically connected close to the edges of the particle injection site can experience, as a result of drifts, a sudden drop in the intensities occurring at different times for different energies such that no SEP flood phenomenon is established. In the magnetic bottle, this effect is enhanced due to the presence of magnetic field gradients strengthening the nominal particle drifts. We also show that interplanetary cross-field diffusion may mitigate these effects of drifts. We conclude that particle drifts can in some cases substantially modify the decay phase of SEP events, especially if the solar wind contains compression regions or shock waves where the drifts are enhanced. This is, for example, the case for our CIR solar wind configuration generated with a 3D MHD model, where the effect of drifts is strong. A similar decay rate in different energy channels and for different observers requires thus the mitigation of the effect of drifts.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2019

Spreading protons in the heliosphere: a note on cross-field diffusion effects

We study how a high-speed solar wind stream embedded in a slow solar wind affects the transport and energy changes of solar energetic protons in interplanetary space, assuming different levels of cross-field diffusion. This is done using a particle transport model that computes directional particle intensities and first order parallel anisotropies in a background solar wind generated by the magnetohydrodynamic model EUHFORIA. In particular, we consider a mono-energetic 4 MeV proton injection over an extended region located at a heliographic radial distance of 0.1 AU. By using different values for the perpendicular proton mean free path, we study how cross-field diffusion may affect the energetic particle spread and intensity profiles near a high-speed solar wind stream and a corotating interaction region (CIR). We find that both a strong cross-field diffusion and a solar wind rarefaction region are capable of dispersing SEPs efficiently, producing overall low particle intensities which can in some cases prevent the SEPs from being detected in-situ, since their intensity may drop below the detected pre-event intensity levels. We also discuss how accelerated particle populations form on the reverse and forward shock waves, separated by the stream interface inside the CIR. Under strong levels of cross-field diffusion, particles cross the SI and hence both accelerated particle populations merge together.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2019

Interplanetary spread of solar energetic protons near a high-speed solar wind stream

We study how a high-speed solar wind stream embedded in a slow solar wind influences the spread of solar energetic protons in interplanetary space. To model the energetic protons, we used a recently developed particle transport code that computes particle distributions in the heliosphere by solving the focused transport equation in a stochastic manner. The particles are propagated in a solar wind containing a CIR, which was generated by the heliospheric magnetohydrodynamic model, EUHFORIA. We study four cases in which we assume a delta injection of 4 MeV protons spread uniformly over different regions at the inner boundary of the model. These source regions have the same size and shape, yet are shifted in longitude from each other, and are therefore magnetically connected to different solar wind conditions. The intensity and anisotropy profiles along selected IMF lines vary strongly according to the different solar wind conditions encountered along the field line. The IMF lines crossing the shocks bounding the CIR show the formation of accelerated particle populations, with the reverse shock wave being a more efficient accelerator than the forward shock wave. Moreover, we demonstrate that the longitudinal width of the particle intensity distribution can increase, decrease, or remain constant with heliographic radial distance, reflecting the underlying IMF structure. Finally, we show how the deflection of the IMF at the shock waves and the compression of the IMF in the CIR deforms the three-dimensional shape of the particle distribution in such a way that the original shape of the injection profile is lost.

physics.space-ph↗