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Nicole E. Drakos

Publications and source records attributed to Nicole E. Drakos.

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Halo Growth and Merger Rates as a Cosmological Test

Dark matter haloes grow at a rate that depends on the value of the cosmological parameters $σ_8$ and $Ω_{\rm m}$ through the initial power spectrum and the linear growth factor. While halo abundance is routinely used to constrain these parameters, through cluster abundance studies, the halo growth rate is not. In recent work, we proposed constraining the cosmological parameters using observational estimates of the overall dynamical "age" of clusters, expressed, for instance, by their half-mass assembly redshift $z_{50}$. Here we explore the prospects for using the instantaneous growth rate, as estimated from the halo merger rate, from the average growth rate over the last dynamical time, or from the fraction of systems with recent episodes of major growth. We show that the merger rate is mainly sensitive to the amplitude of fluctuations $σ_8$, while the rates of recent growth provide constraints in the $Ω_{\rm m}$-$σ_8$ plane that are almost orthogonal to those provided by abundance studies. Data collected for forthcoming cluster abundance studies, or studies of the galaxy merger rate in current and future galaxy surveys, may thus provide additional constraints on the cosmological parameters complementary to those already derived from halo abundance.

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COSMOS-Web: Intrinsically Luminous z$\gtrsim$10 Galaxy Candidates Test Early Stellar Mass Assembly

We report the discovery of 15 exceptionally luminous $10\lesssim z\lesssim14$ candidate galaxies discovered in the first 0.28 deg$^2$ of JWST/NIRCam imaging from the COSMOS-Web Survey. These sources span rest-frame UV magnitudes of $-20.5>M_{\rm UV}>-22$, and thus constitute the most intrinsically luminous $z\gtrsim10$ candidates identified by JWST to-date. Selected via NIRCam imaging with Hubble ACS/F814W, deep ground-based observations corroborate their detection and help significantly constrain their photometric redshifts. We analyze their spectral energy distributions using multiple open-source codes and evaluate the probability of low-redshift solutions; we conclude that 12/15 (80%) are likely genuine $z\gtrsim10$ sources and 3/15 (20%) likely low-redshift contaminants. Three of our $z\sim12$ candidates push the limits of early stellar mass assembly: they have estimated stellar masses $\sim5\times10^{9}\,M_\odot$, implying an effective stellar baryon fraction of $ε_{\star}\sim0.2-0.5$, where $ε_{\star}\equiv M_{\star}/(f_{b}M_{halo})$. The assembly of such stellar reservoirs is made possible due to rapid, burst-driven star formation on timescales $<$100\,Myr where the star-formation rate may far outpace the growth of the underlying dark matter halos. This is supported by the similar volume densities inferred for $M_\star\sim10^{10}\,M_\odot$ galaxies relative to $M_\star\sim10^{9}\,M_\odot$ -- both about $10^{-6}$ Mpc$^{-3}$ -- implying they live in halos of comparable mass. At such high redshifts, the duty cycle for starbursts would be of order unity, which could cause the observed change in the shape of the UVLF from a double powerlaw to Schechter at $z\approx8$. Spectroscopic redshift confirmation and ensuing constraints of their masses will be critical to understanding how, and if, such early massive galaxies push the limits of galaxy formation in $Λ$CDM.

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Unveiling the distant Universe: Characterizing $z\ge9$ Galaxies in the first epoch of COSMOS-Web

We report the identification of 15 galaxy candidates at $z\ge9$ using the initial COSMOS-Web JWST observations over 77 arcmin$^2$ through four NIRCam filters (F115W, F150W, F277W, F444W) with an overlap with MIRI (F770W) of 8.7 arcmin$^2$. We fit the sample using several publicly-available SED fitting and photometric redshift codes and determine their redshifts between $z=9.3$ and $z=10.9$ ($\langle z\rangle=10.0$), UV-magnitudes between M$_{\rm UV}$ = $-$21.2 and $-$19.5 (with $\langle $M$_{\rm UV}\rangle=-20.2$) and rest-frame UV slopes ($\langle β\rangle=-2.4$). These galaxies are, on average, more luminous than most $z\ge9$ candidates discovered by JWST so far in the literature, while exhibiting similar blue colors in their rest-frame UV. The rest-frame UV slopes derived from SED-fitting are blue ($β\sim$[$-$2.0, $-$2.7]) without reaching extremely blue values as reported in other recent studies at these redshifts. The blue color is consistent with models that suggest the underlying stellar population is not yet fully enriched in metals like similarly luminous galaxies in the lower redshift Universe. The derived stellar masses with $\langle \log_{\rm 10} ($M$_\star/$M$_\odot)\rangle\approx8-9$ are not in tension with the standard $Λ$CDM model and our measurement of the volume density of such UV luminous galaxies aligns well with previously measured values presented in the literature at $z\sim9-10$. Our sample of galaxies, although compact, are significantly resolved.

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Two massive, compact, and dust-obscured candidate $z\sim 8$ galaxies discovered by JWST

We present a search for extremely red, dust-obscured, $z>7$ galaxies with $\textit{JWST}$/NIRCam+MIRI imaging over the first 20 arcmin$^2$ of publicly-available Cycle 1 data from the COSMOS-Web, CEERS, and PRIMER surveys. Based on their red color in F277W$-$F444W ($\sim 2.5$ mag) and detection in MIRI/F770W ($\sim 25$ mag), we identify two galaxies$\unicode{x2014}$COS-z8M1 and CEERS-z7M1$\unicode{x2014}$which have best-fit photometric redshifts of $z=8.5^{+0.3}_{-0.4}$ and $z=7.6^{+0.1}_{-0.1}$, respectively. We perform SED fitting with a variety of codes (including BAGPIPES, PROSPECTOR, BEAGLE, and CIGALE), and find a $>95\%$ probability that these indeed lie at $z>7$. Both sources are compact ($R_{\rm eff} \lesssim 200$ pc), highly obscured ($A_V \sim 1.5$$\unicode{x2013}$$2.5$), and, at our best-fit redshift estimates, likely have strong [OIII]+H$β$ emission contributing to their $4.4\,μ$m photometry. We estimate stellar masses of $\sim 10^{10}~M_\odot$ for both sources; by virtue of detection in MIRI at $7.7\,μ$m, these measurements are robust to the inclusion of bright emission lines, for example, from an AGN. We identify a marginal (2.9$σ$) ALMA detection at 2 mm within $0.5''$ of COS-z8M1, which if real, would suggest a remarkably high IR luminosity of $\sim 10^{12} L_\odot$. These two galaxies, if confirmed at $z\sim 8$, would be extreme in their stellar and dust masses, and may be representative of a substantial population of modestly dust-obscured galaxies at cosmic dawn.

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A Near-Infrared Faint, Far-Infrared-Luminous Dusty Galaxy at z~5 in COSMOS-Web

A growing number of far-infrared bright sources completely invisible in deep extragalactic optical surveys hint at an elusive population of z>4 dusty, star-forming galaxies. Cycle 1 JWST surveys are now detecting their rest-frame optical light, which provides key insight into their stellar properties and statistical constraints on the population as a whole. This work presents the JWST/NIRCam counterpart from the COSMOS-Web survey to a far-infrared SCUBA-2 and ALMA source, AzTECC71, which was previously undetected at wavelengths shorter than 850 microns. AzTECC71, amongst the reddest galaxies in COSMOS-Web with F277W - F444W~0.9, is undetected in NIRCam/F150W and F115W and fainter in F444W than other sub-millimeter galaxies identified in COSMOS-Web by 2-4 magnitudes. This is consistent with the system having both a lower stellar mass and higher redshift than the median dusty, star-forming galaxy. With deep ground- and space-based upper limits combined with detections in F277W, F444W and the far-IR including ALMA Band 6, we find a high probability (99%) that AzTECC71 is at z>4 with z_phot=5.7(+0.8,-0.7). This galaxy is massive (logM*/Msun~10.7) and IR-luminous (logLIR/Lsun~12.7), comparable to other optically-undetected but far-IR bright dusty, star-forming galaxies at z>4. This population of luminous, infrared galaxies at z>4 is largely unconstrained but comprises an important bridge between the most extreme dust-obscured galaxies and more typical high-redshift star-forming galaxies. If further far-IR-selected galaxies that drop out of the F150W filter in COSMOS-Web have redshifts z>4 like AzTECC71, then the volume density of such sources may be ~3-10x greater than previously estimated.

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COSMOS-Web: An Overview of the JWST Cosmic Origins Survey

We present the survey design, implementation, and outlook for COSMOS-Web, a 255 hour treasury program conducted by the James Webb Space Telescope in its first cycle of observations. COSMOS-Web is a contiguous 0.54 deg$^2$ NIRCam imaging survey in four filters (F115W, F150W, F277W, and F444W) that will reach 5$σ$ point source depths ranging $\sim$27.5-28.2 magnitudes. In parallel, we will obtain 0.19 deg$^2$ of MIRI imaging in one filter (F770W) reaching 5$σ$ point source depths of $\sim$25.3-26.0 magnitudes. COSMOS-Web will build on the rich heritage of multiwavelength observations and data products available in the COSMOS field. The design of COSMOS-Web is motivated by three primary science goals: (1) to discover thousands of galaxies in the Epoch of Reionization ($6 4$ and place constraints on the formation of the Universe's most massive galaxies ($M_\star>10^{10}$\,M$_\odot$), and (3) directly measure the evolution of the stellar mass to halo mass relation using weak gravitational lensing out to $z\sim2.5$ and measure its variance with galaxies' star formation histories and morphologies. In addition, we anticipate COSMOS-Web's legacy value to reach far beyond these scientific goals, touching many other areas of astrophysics, such as the identification of the first direct collapse black hole candidates, ultracool sub-dwarf stars in the Galactic halo, and possibly the identification of $z>10$ pair-instability supernovae. In this paper we provide an overview of the survey's key measurements, specifications, goals, and prospects for new discovery.

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A universal model for the evolution of tidally stripped systems

Accurate models of the structural evolution of dark matter subhaloes, as they orbit within larger systems, are fundamental to understanding the detailed distribution of dark matter at the present day. Numerical simulations of subhalo evolution support the idea that the mass loss associated with tidal stripping is most naturally understood in energy space, with the particles that are the least bound being removed first. Starting from this premise, we recently proposed a zero-parameter "energy-truncation model" for subhalo evolution. We tested this model with simulations of tidal stripping of satellites with initial NFW profiles, and showed that the energy-truncation model accurately predicts both the mass loss and density profiles. In this work, we apply the model to a variety of Hernquist, Einasto and King profiles. We show that it matches the simulation results quite closely in all cases, indicating that it may serve as a universal model to describe tidally stripped collisionless systems. A key prediction of the energy-truncation model is that the central density of dark matter subhaloes is conserved as they lose mass; this has important implications for dark matter annihilation calculations, and for other observational tests of dark matter.

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Revealing the Galaxy-Halo Connection Through Machine Learning

Understanding the connections between galaxy stellar mass, star formation rate, and dark matter halo mass represents a key goal of the theory of galaxy formation. Cosmological simulations that include hydrodynamics, physical treatments of star formation, feedback from supernovae, and the radiative transfer of ionizing photons can capture the processes relevant for establishing these connections. The complexity of these physics can prove difficult to disentangle and obfuscate how mass-dependent trends in the galaxy population originate. Here, we train a machine learning method called Explainable Boosting Machines (EBMs) to infer how the stellar mass and star formation rate of nearly 6 million galaxies simulated by the Cosmic Reionization on Computers (CROC) project depend on the physical properties of halo mass, the peak circular velocity of the galaxy during its formation history $v_\mathrm{peak}$, cosmic environment, and redshift. The resulting EBM models reveal the relative importance of these properties in setting galaxy stellar mass and star formation rate, with $v_\mathrm{peak}$ providing the most dominant contribution. Environmental properties provide substantial improvements for modeling the stellar mass and star formation rate in only $\lesssim10\%$ of the simulated galaxies. We also provide alternative formulations of EBM models that enable low-resolution simulations, which cannot track the interior structure of dark matter halos, to predict the stellar mass and star formation rate of galaxies computed by high-resolution simulations with detailed baryonic physics.

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Deep Realistic Extragalactic Model (DREaM) Galaxy Catalogs: Predictions for a Roman Ultra-Deep Field

In the next decade, deep galaxy surveys from telescopes such as the James Webb Space Telescope and Roman Space Telescope will provide transformational data sets that will greatly enhance the understanding of galaxy formation during the epoch of reionization (EoR). In this work, we present the Deep Realistic Extragalactic Model (DREaM) for creating synthetic galaxy catalogs. Our model combines dark matter simulations, subhalo abundance matching and empirical models, and includes galaxy positions, morphologies, and spectral energy distributions (SEDs). The resulting synthetic catalog extends to redshifts $z \sim 12 $, and galaxy masses $\log_{10}(M/M_{\odot}) = 5 $ covering an area of $1\, {\rm deg}^2$ on the sky. We use DREaM to explore the science returns of a $1\, {\rm deg}^2$ \emph{Roman} UDF, and to provide a resource for optimizing ultra-deep survey designs. We find that a \emph{Roman} UDF to $\sim 30\,m_{\rm AB}$ will potentially detect more than $10^6$ $M_{\rm UV}<-17$ galaxies, with more than $10^4$ at redshifts $z>7$, offering an unparalleled dataset for constraining galaxy properties during the EoR. Our synthetic catalogs and simulated images are made publicly available to provide the community with a tool to prepare for upcoming data.

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Cluster Assembly Times as a Cosmological Test

The abundance of galaxy clusters in the low-redshift universe provides an important cosmological test, constraining a product of the initial amplitude of fluctuations and the amount by which they have grown since early times. The degeneracy of the test with respect to these two factors remains a limitation of abundance studies. Clusters will have different mean assembly times, however, depending on the relative importance of initial fluctuation amplitude and subsequent growth. Thus, structural probes of cluster age such as concentration, shape or substructure may provide a new cosmological test that breaks the main degeneracy in number counts. We review analytic predictions for how mean assembly time should depend on cosmological parameters, and test these predictions using cosmological simulations. Given the overall sensitivity expected, we estimate the cosmological parameter constraints that could be derived from the cluster catalogues of forthcoming surveys such as Euclid, the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope, eROSITA, or CMB-S4. We show that by considering the structural properties of their cluster samples, such surveys could easily achieve errors of $Δσ_8$ = 0.01 or better.

astro-ph.CO↗

Mass loss in tidally stripped systems; the energy-based truncation method

The ability to accurately predict the evolution of tidally stripped haloes is important for understanding galaxy formation and testing the properties of dark matter. Most studies of substructure evolution make predictions based on empirical models of tidal mass loss that are calibrated using numerical simulations. This approach can be accurate in the cases considered, but lacks generality and does not provide a physical understanding of the processes involved. Recently, we demonstrated that truncating NFW distribution functions sharply in energy results in density profiles that resemble those of tidally stripped systems, offering a path to constructing physically motivated models of tidal mass loss. In this work, we review calculations of mass loss based on energy truncation alone, and then consider what secondary effects may modulate mass loss beyond this. We find that a combination of dependence on additional orbital parameters and variations in individual particle energies over an orbit results in a less abrupt truncation in energy space as a subhalo loses mass. Combining the energy truncation approach with a simple prediction for the mass-loss rate, we construct a full model of mass loss that can accurately predict the evolution of a subhalo in terms of a single parameter $η_{\rm eff}$. This parameter can be fully determined from the initial orbital and halo properties, and does not require calibration with numerical simulations.

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Major mergers between dark matter haloes -- I. Predictions for size, shape, and spin

The structural properties of individual dark matter haloes, including shape, spin, concentration, and substructure, are linked to the halo's growth history, but the exact connection between the two is unclear. One open question, in particular, is the effect of major mergers on halo structure. We have performed a large set of simulations of binary equal-mass mergers between isolated haloes with various density profiles, to map out the relationship between the initial conditions and merger parameters and the structure of the final remnant. In this paper we describe our initial set-up and analysis methods, and report on the results for the size, shape, and spin of the merger remnant. The outcomes of mergers are most easily understood in terms of a scaled dimensionless energy parameter $κ$ and an angular momentum (or spin) parameter $λ$. We find that the axis ratio $c/a$ scales roughly linearly with energy $κ$ while the axis ratio $c/b$ scales linearly with spin $λ$. Qualitatively, mergers on radial orbits produce prolate remnants, while mergers on tangential orbits produce oblate remnants. The spin of the remnant can be predicted from angular momentum conservation, while the overall size changes as $\sim κ^{-5}$, as expected from self-similar scaling at constant mean density. We discuss potential cosmological applications for these simple patterns.

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Major mergers between dark matter haloes -- II. Profile and concentration changes

Several lines of evidence suggest that as dark matter haloes grow their scale radius increases, and that the density in their central region drops. Major mergers seem an obvious mechanism to explain both these phenomena, and the resulting patterns in the concentration--mass--redshift relation. To test this possibility, we have simulated equal-mass mergers between haloes with a variety of cosmological density profiles, placed on various different orbits. The remnants typically have higher densities than the initial conditions, but differ only slightly from self-similar scaling predictions. They are reasonably well fit by Einasto profiles, but have parameters distinct from those of the initial conditions. The net internal energy available to the merger remnant, relative to the internal energy of the initial conditions, $κ$, has the greatest influence on the properties of the final mass distribution. As expected, energetic encounters produce more extended remnants while mergers of strongly bound systems produce compact remnants. Surprisingly, however, the scale radius of the density profile shows the opposite trend, {\it increasing} in the remnants of low-energy encounters relative to energetic ones. Also even in the most energetic encounters, the density within the scale radius decreases only slightly (by 10--20\%), while for very low-energy systems it increases significantly after the merger. We conclude that while major mergers can produce remnants that are more diffuse at large radii, they are relatively ineffective at changing the central densities of haloes, and seem unlikely to explain the mean trends in the concentration--mass--redshift relation.

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The phase-space structure of tidally stripped halos

We propose a new method for generating equilibrium models of spherical systems of collisionless particles that are finite in extent, but whose central regions resemble dark matter halos from cosmological simulations. This method involves iteratively removing unbound particles from a Navarro-Frenk-White profile truncated sharply at some radius. The resulting models are extremely stable, and thus provide a good starting point for N-body simulations of isolated halos. We provide a code to generate such models for NFW and a variety of other common density profiles. We then develop an analytic approximation to this truncated distribution function. Our method proceeds by analogy with the King model, truncating and shifting the original distribution function of an infinitely extended Navarro-Frenk-White profile in energy space. We show that the density profiles of our models closely resemble the tidally truncated density profiles seen previously in studies of satellite evolution. Pursuing this analogy further with a series of simulations of tidal mass loss, we find that our models provide a good approximation to the full distribution function of tidally stripped systems, thus allowing theoretically motivated phase-space calculations for such systems.

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