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Nidhi Simmons

Publications and source records attributed to Nidhi Simmons.

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ML-Assisted Bulk Resource Allocation: Custom Outage-Based Loss Function and Reliability Analysis

Machine learning (ML)-assisted outage-based resource allocation has recently emerged as an effective alternative to conventional scheduling methods in reliability-critical wireless systems. However, existing approaches are fundamentally limited to single-resource allocation, whereas modern and emerging systems increasingly require the simultaneous allocation of multiple resources to meet aggregate rate and reliability constraints. In this paper, we extend outage-based learning to the bulk resource allocation regime, where a user requires at least $D$ reliable resources from a pool of $R$ candidates. We first introduce a practical allocation policy, termed gate + top-$D$ allocation (GTBA), which combines threshold-based admission control with ranking-based selection. We then propose a novel ranking-aware bulk outage loss (RBOL) that provides a differentiable surrogate for the bulk outage event induced by GTBA, explicitly accounting for both gate failures and ranking errors near the selection boundary. An exact reliability analysis is developed, establishing a decomposition of bulk outage probability (BOP), identifying dominant failure mechanisms and deriving an oracle lower bound that characterizes the fundamental performance limit. Extensive simulations under balanced, light and heavy stress regimes demonstrate that RBOL consistently outperforms conventional pointwise losses and baselines, achieving substantial reductions in BOP and remaining significantly closer to the oracle bound across a wide range of operating conditions. These results confirm that set-level ranking-aware training objectives are essential for reliable ML-assisted bulk resource allocation.

eess.SP

To Trust or Not to Trust: On Calibration in ML-based Resource Allocation for Wireless Networks

In next-generation communications and networks, machine learning (ML) models are expected to deliver not only accurate predictions but also well-calibrated confidence scores that reflect the true likelihood of correct decisions. This paper studies the calibration performance of an ML-based outage predictor within a single-user, multi-resource allocation framework. We first establish key theoretical properties of this system's outage probability (OP) under perfect calibration. Importantly, we show that as the number of resources grows, the OP of a perfectly calibrated predictor approaches the expected output conditioned on it being below the classification threshold. In contrast, when only one resource is available, the system's OP equals the model's overall expected output. We then derive the OP conditions for a perfectly calibrated predictor. These findings guide the choice of the classification threshold to achieve a desired OP, helping system designers meet specific reliability requirements. We also demonstrate that post-processing calibration cannot improve the system's minimum achievable OP, as it does not introduce new information about future channel states. Additionally, we show that well-calibrated models are part of a broader class of predictors that necessarily improve OP. In particular, we establish a monotonicity condition that the accuracy-confidence function must satisfy for such improvement to occur. To demonstrate these theoretical properties, we conduct a rigorous simulation-based analysis using post-processing calibration techniques: Platt scaling and isotonic regression. As part of this framework, the predictor is trained using an outage loss function specifically designed for this system. Furthermore, this analysis is performed on Rayleigh fading channels with temporal correlation captured by Clarke's 2D model, which accounts for receiver mobility.

stat.ML

Outage Performance and Novel Loss Function for an ML-Assisted Resource Allocation: An Exact Analytical Framework

We introduce a novel loss function to minimize the outage probability of an ML-based resource allocation system. A single-user multi-resource greedy allocation strategy constitutes our application scenario, for which an ML binary classification predictor assists in selecting a resource satisfying the established outage criterium. While other resource allocation policies may be suitable, they are not the focus of our study. Instead, our primary emphasis is on theoretically developing this loss function and leveraging it to train an ML model to address the outage probability challenge. With no access to future channel state information, this predictor foresees each resource's likely future outage status. When the predictor encounters a resource it believes will be satisfactory, it allocates it to the user. Our main result establishes exact and asymptotic expressions for this system's outage probability. These expressions reveal that focusing solely on the optimization of the per-resource outage probability conditioned on the ML predictor recommending resource allocation (a strategy that appears to be most appropriate) may produce inadequate predictors that reject every resource. They also reveal that focusing on standard metrics, like precision, false-positive rate, or recall, may not produce optimal predictors. With our result, we formulate a theoretically optimal, differentiable loss function to train our predictor. We then compare predictors trained using this and traditional loss functions namely, binary cross-entropy (BCE), mean squared error (MSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). In all scenarios, predictors trained using our novel loss function provide superior outage probability performance. Moreover, in some cases, our loss function outperforms predictors trained with BCE, MAE, and MSE by multiple orders of magnitude.

eess.SP

AI-Based Channel Prediction in D2D Links: An Empirical Validation

Device-to-Device (D2D) communication propelled by artificial intelligence (AI) will be an allied technology that will improve system performance and support new services in advanced wireless networks (5G, 6G and beyond). In this paper, AI-based deep learning techniques are applied to D2D links operating at 5.8 GHz with the aim at providing potential answers to the following questions concerning the prediction of the received signal strength variations: i) how effective is the prediction as a function of the coherence time of the channel? and ii) what is the minimum number of input samples required for a target prediction performance? To this end, a variety of measurement environments and scenarios are considered, including an indoor open-office area, an outdoor open-space, line of sight (LOS), non-LOS (NLOS), and mobile scenarios. Four deep learning models are explored, namely long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), gated recurrent units (GRUs), convolutional neural networks (CNNs), and dense or feedforward networks (FFNs). Linear regression is used as a baseline model. It is observed that GRUs and LSTMs present equivalent performance, and both are superior when compared to CNNs, FFNs and linear regression. This indicates that GRUs and LSTMs are able to better account for temporal dependencies in the D2D data sets. We also provide recommendations on the minimum input lengths that yield the required performance given the channel coherence time. For instance, to predict 17 and 23 ms into the future, in indoor and outdoor LOS environments, respectively, an input length of 25 ms is recommended. This indicates that the bulk of the learning is done within the coherence time of the channel, and that large input lengths may not always be beneficial.

eess.SP

On Shadowing the $κ$-$μ$ Fading Model

In this paper, we extensively investigate the way in which $κ$-$μ$ fading channels can be impacted by shadowing. A family of shadowed $κ$-$μ$ fading models are introduced and classified according to whether the underlying $κ$-$μ$ fading undergoes single or double shadowing. We discuss three types of single shadowed $κ$-$μ$ model (denoted Type I to Type III) and three types of double shadowed $κ$-$μ$ model (denoted Type I to Type III). The taxonomy of the single shadowed Type I - III models is dependent upon whether the fading model assumes that the dominant component, the scattered waves, or both experience shadowing. The categorization of the double shadowed Type I - III models is dependent upon whether a) the envelope experiences shadowing of the dominant component, which is preceded (or succeeded) by a secondary round of shadowing (multiplicative), or b) the dominant and scattered contributions are fluctuated by two independent shadowing processes, or c) the scattered waves of the envelope are subject to shadowing, which is also preceded (or succeeded) by a secondary round of multiplicative shadowing. Although the physical definition of the examined models make no predetermination of the statistics of the shadowing process, for illustrative purposes, two example cases are provided for each type of single and double shadowed model by assuming that the shadowing is shaped by a Nakagami-$m$ random variable (RV), an inverse Nakagami-$m$ RV or their mixture. The double shadowed $κ$-$μ$ models offer remarkable flexibility as they include the $κ$-$μ$, $η$-$μ$, and the various types of single shadowed $κ$-$μ$ distribution as special cases. Moreover, we demonstrate a practical application of the double shadowed $κ$-$μ$ Type I model by applying it to channel measurements obtained for body area networks operating at 2.45 GHz.

eess.SP