arXiv subjects

Nikhil Malik

Publications and source records attributed to Nikhil Malik.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2024

Regulating eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) May Harm Consumers

Recent AI algorithms are black box models whose decisions are difficult to interpret. eXplainable AI (XAI) is a class of methods that seek to address lack of AI interpretability and trust by explaining to customers their AI decisions. The common wisdom is that regulating AI by mandating fully transparent XAI leads to greater social welfare. Our paper challenges this notion through a game theoretic model of a policy-maker who maximizes social welfare, firms in a duopoly competition that maximize profits, and heterogenous consumers. The results show that XAI regulation may be redundant. In fact, mandating fully transparent XAI may make firms and consumers worse off. This reveals a tradeoff between maximizing welfare and receiving explainable AI outputs. We extend the existing literature on method and substantive fronts, and we introduce and study the notion of XAI fairness, which may be impossible to guarantee even under mandatory XAI. Finally, the regulatory and managerial implications of our results for policy-makers and businesses are discussed, respectively.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2023

Designing Effective Music Excerpts

Excerpts are widely used to preview and promote musical works. Effective excerpts induce consumption of the source musical work and thus generate revenue. Yet, what makes an excerpt effective remains unexplored. We leverage a policy change by Apple that generates quasi-exogenous variation in the excerpts of songs in the iTunes Music Store to estimate that having a 60 second longer excerpt increases songs' unique monthly listeners by 5.4% on average, by 9.7% for lesser known songs, and by 11.1% for lesser known artists. This is comparable to the impact of being featured on the Spotify Global Top 50 playlist. We develop measures of musical repetition and unpredictability to examine information provision as a mechanism, and find that the demand-enhancing effect of longer excerpts is suppressed when they are repetitive, too predictable, or too unpredictable. Our findings support platforms' adoption of longer excerpts to improve content discovery and our measures can help inform excerpt selection in practice.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2023

Does Machine Learning Amplify Pricing Errors in the Housing Market? -- The Economics of Machine Learning Feedback Loops

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly employed to price or value homes for sale, properties for rent, rides for hire, and various other goods and services. Machine learning-based prices are typically generated by complex algorithms trained on historical sales data. However, displaying these prices to consumers anchors the realized sales prices, which will in turn become training samples for future iterations of the algorithms. The economic implications of this machine learning "feedback loop" - an indirect human-algorithm interaction - remain relatively unexplored. In this work, we develop an analytical model of machine learning feedback loops in the context of the housing market. We show that feedback loops lead machine learning algorithms to become overconfident in their own accuracy (by underestimating its error), and leads home sellers to over-rely on possibly erroneous algorithmic prices. As a consequence at the feedback loop equilibrium, sale prices can become entirely erratic (relative to true consumer preferences in absence of ML price interference). We then identify conditions (choice of ML models, seller characteristics and market characteristics) where the economic payoffs for home sellers at the feedback loop equilibrium is worse off than no machine learning. We also empirically validate primitive building blocks of our analytical model using housing market data from Zillow. We conclude by prescribing algorithmic corrective strategies to mitigate the effects of machine learning feedback loops, discuss the incentives for platforms to adopt these strategies, and discuss the role of policymakers in regulating the same.

econ.TH↗