arXiv subjects

Nikolas Papadopoulos

Publications and source records attributed to Nikolas Papadopoulos.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Gaze patterns predict preference and confidence in pairwise AI image evaluation

Preference learning methods, such as Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) and Direct Preference Optimization (DPO), rely on pairwise human judgments, yet little is known about the cognitive processes underlying these judgments. We investigate whether eye-tracking can reveal preference formation during pairwise AI-generated image evaluation. Thirty participants completed 1,800 trials while their gaze was recorded. We replicated the gaze cascade effect, with gaze shifting toward chosen images approximately one second before the decision. Cascade dynamics were consistent across confidence levels. Gaze features predicted binary choice (68% accuracy), with chosen images receiving more dwell time, fixations, and revisits. Gaze transitions distinguished high-confidence from uncertain decisions (66% accuracy), with low-confidence trials showing more image switches per second. These results show that gaze patterns predict both choice and confidence in pairwise image evaluations, suggesting that eye-tracking provides implicit signals relevant to the quality of preference annotations.

cs.HC↗

arXiv2026

Hide and Seek: Investigating Redundancy in Earth Observation Imagery

The growing availability of Earth Observation (EO) data and recent advances in Computer Vision have driven rapid progress in machine learning for EO, producing domain-specific models at ever-increasing scales. Yet this progress risks overlooking fundamental properties of EO data that distinguish it from other domains. We argue that EO data exhibit a multidimensional redundancy (spectral, temporal, spatial, and semantic) which has a more pronounced impact on the domain and its applications than what current literature reflects. To validate this hypothesis, we conduct a systematic domain-specific investigation examining the existence, consistency, and practical implications of this phenomenon across key dimensions of EO variability. Our findings confirm that redundancy in EO data is both substantial and pervasive: exploiting it yields comparable performance ($\approx98.5\%$ of baseline) at a fraction of the computational cost ($\approx4\times$ fewer GFLOPs), at both training and inference. Crucially, these gains are consistent across tasks, geospatial locations, sensors, ground sampling distances, and architectural designs; suggesting that multi-faceted redundancy is a structural property of EO data rather than an artifact of specific experimental choices. These results lay the groundwork for more efficient, scalable, and accessible large-scale EO models.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

Uncertainty-Aware Deep Learning for Wildfire Danger Forecasting

Wildfires are among the most severe natural hazards, posing a significant threat to both humans and natural ecosystems. The growing risk of wildfires increases the demand for forecasting models that are not only accurate but also reliable. Deep Learning (DL) has shown promise in predicting wildfire danger; however, its adoption is hindered by concerns over the reliability of its predictions, some of which stem from the lack of uncertainty quantification. To address this challenge, we present an uncertainty-aware DL framework that jointly captures epistemic (model) and aleatoric (data) uncertainty to enhance short-term wildfire danger forecasting. In the next-day forecasting, our best-performing model improves the F1 Score by 2.3% and reduces the Expected Calibration Error by 2.1% compared to a deterministic baseline, enhancing both predictive skill and calibration. Our experiments confirm the reliability of the uncertainty estimates and illustrate their practical utility for decision support, including the identification of uncertainty thresholds for rejecting low-confidence predictions and the generation of well-calibrated wildfire danger maps with accompanying uncertainty layers. Extending the forecast horizon up to ten days, we observe that aleatoric uncertainty increases with time, showing greater variability in environmental conditions, while epistemic uncertainty remains stable. Finally, we show that although the two uncertainty types may be redundant in low-uncertainty cases, they provide complementary insights under more challenging conditions, underscoring the value of their joint modeling for robust wildfire danger prediction. In summary, our approach significantly improves the accuracy and reliability of wildfire danger forecasting, advancing the development of trustworthy wildfire DL systems.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Thalia: A Global, Multi-Modal Dataset for Volcanic Activity Monitoring

Monitoring volcanic activity is of paramount importance to safeguarding lives, infrastructure, and ecosystems. However, only a small fraction of known volcanoes are continuously monitored. Satellite-based Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) enables systematic, global-scale deformation monitoring. However, its complex data challenge traditional remote sensing methods. Deep learning offers a powerful means to automate and enhance InSAR interpretation, advancing volcanology and geohazard assessment. Despite its promise, progress has been limited by the scarcity of well-curated datasets. In this work, we build on the existing Hephaestus dataset and introduce Thalia, addressing crucial limitations and enriching its scope with higher-resolution, multi-source, and multi-temporal data. Thalia is a global collection of 38 spatiotemporal datacubes covering 7 years and integrating InSAR products, topographic data, as well as atmospheric variables, known to introduce signal delays that can mimic ground deformation in InSAR imagery. Each sample includes expert annotations detailing the type, intensity, and extent of deformation, accompanied by descriptive text. To enable fair and consistent evaluation, we provide a comprehensive benchmark using state-of-the-art models for classification and segmentation. This work fosters collaboration between machine learning and Earth science, advancing volcanic monitoring and promoting data-driven approaches in geoscience. See https://github.com/Orion-AI-Lab/Thalia

cs.CV↗

arXiv2023

Gaze-Informed Vision Transformers: Predicting Driving Decisions Under Uncertainty

Vision Transformers (ViT) have advanced computer vision, yet their efficacy in complex tasks like driving remains less explored. This study enhances ViT by integrating human eye gaze, captured via eye-tracking, to increase prediction accuracy in driving scenarios under uncertainty in both real-world and virtual reality scenarios. First, we establish the significance of human eye gaze in left-right driving decisions, as observed in both human subjects and a ViT model. By comparing the similarity between human fixation maps and ViT attention weights, we reveal the dynamics of overlap across individual heads and layers. This overlap demonstrates that fixation data can guide the model in distributing its attention weights more effectively. We introduce the fixation-attention intersection (FAX) loss, a novel loss function that significantly improves ViT performance under high uncertainty conditions. Our results show that ViT, when trained with FAX loss, aligns its attention with human gaze patterns. This gaze-informed approach has significant potential for driver behavior analysis, as well as broader applications in human-centered AI systems, extending ViT's use to complex visual environments.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2022

Machine Learning Method for Functional Assessment of Retinal Models

Challenges in the field of retinal prostheses motivate the development of retinal models to accurately simulate Retinal Ganglion Cells (RGCs) responses. The goal of retinal prostheses is to enable blind individuals to solve complex, reallife visual tasks. In this paper, we introduce the functional assessment (FA) of retinal models, which describes the concept of evaluating the performance of retinal models on visual understanding tasks. We present a machine learning method for FA: we feed traditional machine learning classifiers with RGC responses generated by retinal models, to solve object and digit recognition tasks (CIFAR-10, MNIST, Fashion MNIST, Imagenette). We examined critical FA aspects, including how the performance of FA depends on the task, how to optimally feed RGC responses to the classifiers and how the number of output neurons correlates with the model's accuracy. To increase the number of output neurons, we manipulated input images - by splitting and then feeding them to the retinal model and we found that image splitting does not significantly improve the model's accuracy. We also show that differences in the structure of datasets result in largely divergent performance of the retinal model (MNIST and Fashion MNIST exceeded 80% accuracy, while CIFAR-10 and Imagenette achieved ~40%). Furthermore, retinal models which perform better in standard evaluation, i.e. more accurately predict RGC response, perform better in FA as well. However, unlike standard evaluation, FA results can be straightforwardly interpreted in the context of comparing the quality of visual perception.

eess.IV↗