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Nisar Ahmed

Publications and source records attributed to Nisar Ahmed.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Image Quality Assessment for Foliar Disease Identification (AgroPath)

Crop diseases are a major threat to food security and their rapid identification is important to prevent yield loss. Swift identification of these diseases are difficult due to the lack of necessary infrastructure. Recent advances in computer vision and increasing penetration of smartphones have paved the way for smartphone-assisted disease identification. Most of the plant diseases leave particular artifacts on the foliar structure of the plant. This study was conducted in 2020 at Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore, Pakistan to check leaf-based plant disease identification. This study provided a deep neural network-based solution to foliar disease identification and incorporated image quality assessment to select the image of the required quality to perform identification and named it Agricultural Pathologist (Agro Path). The captured image by a novice photographer may contain noise, lack of structure, and blur which result in a failed or inaccurate diagnosis. Moreover, AgroPath model had 99.42% accuracy for foliar disease identification. The proposed addition can be especially useful for application of foliar disease identification in the field of agriculture.

cs.CV↗

A Review of the Operational Use of UAS in Public Safety Emergency Incidents

The domain of public safety in the form of search \& rescue, wildland firefighting, structure firefighting, and law enforcement operations have drawn great interest in the field of aerospace engineering, human-robot teaming, autonomous systems, and robotics. However, a divergence exists in the assumptions made in research and how state-of-the-art technologies may realistically transition into an operational capacity. To aid in the alignment between researchers, technologists, and end users, we aim to provide perspective on how small Uncrewed Aerial Systems (sUAS) have been applied in 114 real world incidents as part of a technical rescue team from 2016 to 2021. We highlight the main applications, integration, tasks, and challenges of employing UAS within five primary use cases including searches, evidence collection, SWAT, wildland firefighting, and structure firefighting. Within these use cases, key incidents are featured that provide perspective on the evolving and dynamic nature of UAS tasking during an operation. Finally, we highlight key technical directions for improving the utilization and efficiency of employing aerial technology in all emergency types.

cs.HC↗

A Factor-Based Framework for Decision-Making Competency Self-Assessment

We summarize our efforts to date in developing a framework for generating succinct human-understandable competency self-assessments in terms of machine self confidence, i.e. a robot's self-trust in its functional abilities to accomplish assigned tasks. Whereas early work explored machine self-confidence in ad hoc ways for niche applications, our Factorized Machine Self-Confidence framework introduces and combines several aspects of probabilistic meta reasoning for algorithmic planning and decision-making under uncertainty to arrive at a novel set of generalizable self-confidence factors, which can support competency assessment for a wide variety of problems.

cs.AI↗

Investigating the Effects of Robot Proficiency Self-Assessment on Trust and Performance

Human-robot teams will soon be expected to accomplish complex tasks in high-risk and uncertain environments. Here, the human may not necessarily be a robotics expert, but will need to establish a baseline understanding of the robot's abilities in order to appropriately utilize and rely on the robot. This willingness to rely, also known as trust, is based partly on the human's belief in the robot's proficiency at a given task. If trust is too high, the human may push the robot beyond its capabilities. If trust is too low, the human may not utilize it when they otherwise could have, wasting precious resources. In this work, we develop and execute an online human-subjects study to investigate how robot proficiency self-assessment reports based on Factorized Machine Self-Confidence affect operator trust and task performance in a grid world navigation task. Additionally we present and analyze a metric for trust level assessment, which measures the allocation of control between an operator and robot when the human teammate is free to switch between teleportation and autonomous control. Our results show that an a priori robot self-assessment report aligns operator trust with robot proficiency, and leads to performance improvements and small increases in self-reported trust.

cs.RO↗

Non-Reference Quality Monitoring of Digital Images using Gradient Statistics and Feedforward Neural Networks

Digital images contain a lot of redundancies, therefore, compressions are applied to reduce the image size without the loss of reasonable image quality. The same become more prominent in the case of videos that contains image sequences and higher compression ratios are achieved in low throughput networks. Assessment of the quality of images in such scenarios becomes of particular interest. Subjective evaluation in most of the scenarios becomes infeasible so objective evaluation is preferred. Among the three objective quality measures, full-reference and reduced-reference methods require an original image in some form to calculate the quality score which is not feasible in scenarios such as broadcasting or IP video. Therefore, a non-reference quality metric is proposed to assess the quality of digital images which calculates luminance and multiscale gradient statistics along with mean subtracted contrast normalized products as features to train a Feedforward Neural Network with Scaled Conjugate Gradient. The trained network has provided good regression and R2 measures and further testing on LIVE Image Quality Assessment database release-2 has shown promising results. Pearson, Kendall, and Spearman's correlation are calculated between predicted and actual quality scores and their results are comparable to the state-of-the-art systems. Moreover, the proposed metric is computationally faster than its counterparts and can be used for the quality assessment of image sequences.

eess.IV↗

Text Mining Through Label Induction Grouping Algorithm Based Method

The main focus of information retrieval methods is to provide accurate and efficient results which are cost-effective too. LINGO (Label Induction Grouping Algorithm) is a clustering algorithm that aims to provide search results in form of quality clusters but also has a few limitations. In this paper, our focus is based on achieving results that are more meaningful and improving the overall performance of the algorithm. LINGO works on two main steps; Cluster Label Induction by using Latent Semantic Indexing technique (LSI) and Cluster content discovery by using the Vector Space Model (VSM). As LINGO uses VSM in cluster content discovery, our task is to replace VSM with LSI for cluster content discovery and to analyze the feasibility of using LSI with Okapi BM25. The next task is to compare the results of a modified method with the LINGO original method. The research is applied to five different text-based data sets to get more reliable results for every method. Research results show that LINGO produces 40-50% better results when using LSI for content Discovery. From theoretical evidence using Okapi BM25 for scoring method in LSI (LSI+Okapi BM25) for cluster content discovery instead of VSM, also results in better clusters generation in terms of scalability and performance when compares to both VSM and LSI's Results.

cs.IR↗

Time Dependence in Kalman Filter Tuning

In this paper, we propose an approach to address the problems with ambiguity in tuning the process and observation noises for a discrete-time linear Kalman filter. Conventional approaches to tuning (e.g. using normalized estimation error squared and covariance minimization) compute empirical measures of filter performance and the parameter are selected manually or selected using some kind of optimization algorithm to maximize these measures of performance. However, there are two challenges with this approach. First, in theory, many of these measures do not guarantee a unique solution due to observability issues. Second, in practice, empirically computed statistical quantities can be very noisy due to a finite number of samples. We propose a method to overcome these limitations. Our method has two main parts to it. The first is to ensure that the tuning problem has a single unique solution. We achieve this by simultaneously tuning the filter over multiple different prediction intervals. Although this yields a unique solution, practical issues (such as sampling noise) mean that it cannot be directly applied. Therefore, we use Bayesian Optimization. This technique handles noisy data and the local minima that it introduces.

eess.SY↗

Leaf Image-based Plant Disease Identification using Color and Texture Features

Identification of plant disease is usually done through visual inspection or during laboratory examination which causes delays resulting in yield loss by the time identification is complete. On the other hand, complex deep learning models perform the task with reasonable performance but due to their large size and high computational requirements, they are not suited to mobile and handheld devices. Our proposed approach contributes automated identification of plant diseases which follows a sequence of steps involving pre-processing, segmentation of diseased leaf area, calculation of features based on the Gray-Level Co-occurrence Matrix (GLCM), feature selection and classification. In this study, six color features and twenty-two texture features have been calculated. Support vector machines is used to perform one-vs-one classification of plant disease. The proposed model of disease identification provides an accuracy of 98.79% with a standard deviation of 0.57 on 10-fold cross-validation. The accuracy on a self-collected dataset is 82.47% for disease identification and 91.40% for healthy and diseased classification. The reported performance measures are better or comparable to the existing approaches and highest among the feature-based methods, presenting it as the most suitable method to automated leaf-based plant disease identification. This prototype system can be extended by adding more disease categories or targeting specific crop or disease categories.

cs.CV↗

Kalman Filter Tuning with Bayesian Optimization

Many state estimation algorithms must be tuned given the state space process and observation models, the process and observation noise parameters must be chosen. Conventional tuning approaches rely on heuristic hand-tuning or gradient-based optimization techniques to minimize a performance cost function. However, the relationship between tuned noise values and estimator performance is highly nonlinear and stochastic. Therefore, the tuning solutions can easily get trapped in local minima, which can lead to poor choices of noise parameters and suboptimal estimator performance. This paper describes how Bayesian Optimization (BO) can overcome these issues. BO poses optimization as a Bayesian search problem for a stochastic ``black box'' cost function, where the goal is to search the solution space to maximize the probability of improving the current best solution. As such, BO offers a principled approach to optimization-based estimator tuning in the presence of local minima and performance stochasticity. While extended Kalman filters (EKFs) are the main focus of this work, BO can be similarly used to tune other related state space filters. The method presented here uses performance metrics derived from normalized innovation squared (NIS) filter residuals obtained via sensor data, which renders knowledge of ground-truth states unnecessary. The robustness, accuracy, and reliability of BO-based tuning is illustrated on practical nonlinear state estimation problems,losed-loop aero-robotic control.

eess.SY↗

Optimal Continuous State POMDP Planning with Semantic Observations: A Variational Approach

This work develops novel strategies for optimal planning with semantic observations using continuous state partially observable markov decision processes (CPOMDPs). Two major innovations are presented in relation to Gaussian mixture (GM) CPOMDP policy approximation methods. While existing methods have many desirable theoretical properties, they are unable to efficiently represent and reason over hybrid continuous-discrete probabilistic models. The first major innovation is the derivation of closed-form variational Bayes GM approximations of Point-Based Value Iteration Bellman policy backups, using softmax models of continuous-discrete semantic observation probabilities. A key benefit of this approach is that dynamic decision-making tasks can be performed with complex non-Gaussian uncertainties, while also exploiting continuous dynamic state space models (thus avoiding cumbersome and costly discretization). The second major innovation is a new clustering-based technique for mixture condensation that scales well to very large GM policy functions and belief functions. Simulation results for a target search and interception task with semantic observations show that the GM policies resulting from these innovations are more effective than those produced by other state of the art policy approximations, but require significantly less modeling overhead and online runtime cost. Additional results show the robustness of this approach to model errors and scaling to higher dimensions.

cs.AI↗

Extrinisic Calibration of a Camera-Arm System Through Rotation Identification

Determining extrinsic calibration parameters is a necessity in any robotic system composed of actuators and cameras. Once a system is outside the lab environment, parameters must be determined without relying on outside artifacts such as calibration targets. We propose a method that relies on structured motion of an observed arm to recover extrinsic calibration parameters. Our method combines known arm kinematics with observations of conics in the image plane to calculate maximum-likelihood estimates for calibration extrinsics. This method is validated in simulation and tested against a real-world model, yielding results consistent with ruler-based estimates. Our method shows promise for estimating the pose of a camera relative to an articulated arm's end effector without requiring tedious measurements or external artifacts. Index Terms: robotics, hand-eye problem, self-calibration, structure from motion

cs.RO↗

Weak in the NEES?: Auto-tuning Kalman Filters with Bayesian Optimization

Kalman filters are routinely used for many data fusion applications including navigation, tracking, and simultaneous localization and mapping problems. However, significant time and effort is frequently required to tune various Kalman filter model parameters, e.g. process noise covariance, pre-whitening filter models for non-white noise, etc. Conventional optimization techniques for tuning can get stuck in poor local minima and can be expensive to implement with real sensor data. To address these issues, a new "black box" Bayesian optimization strategy is developed for automatically tuning Kalman filters. In this approach, performance is characterized by one of two stochastic objective functions: normalized estimation error squared (NEES) when ground truth state models are available, or the normalized innovation error squared (NIS) when only sensor data is available. By intelligently sampling the parameter space to both learn and exploit a nonparametric Gaussian process surrogate function for the NEES/NIS costs, Bayesian optimization can efficiently identify multiple local minima and provide uncertainty quantification on its results.

stat.ML↗

Data-Free/Data-Sparse Softmax Parameter Estimation with Structured Class Geometries

This note considers softmax parameter estimation when little/no labeled training data is available, but a priori information about the relative geometry of class label log-odds boundaries is available. It is shown that `data-free' softmax model synthesis corresponds to solving a linear system of parameter equations, wherein desired dominant class log-odds boundaries are encoded via convex polytopes that decompose the input feature space. When solvable, the linear equations yield closed-form softmax parameter solution families using class boundary polytope specifications only. This allows softmax parameter learning to be implemented without expensive brute force data sampling and numerical optimization. The linear equations can also be adapted to constrained maximum likelihood estimation in data-sparse settings. Since solutions may also fail to exist for the linear parameter equations derived from certain polytope specifications, it is thus also shown that there exist probabilistic classification problems over m convexly separable classes for which the log-odds boundaries cannot be learned using an m-class softmax model.

stat.ML↗

Closed-loop Bayesian Semantic Data Fusion for Collaborative Human-Autonomy Target Search

In search applications, autonomous unmanned vehicles must be able to efficiently reacquire and localize mobile targets that can remain out of view for long periods of time in large spaces. As such, all available information sources must be actively leveraged -- including imprecise but readily available semantic observations provided by humans. To achieve this, this work develops and validates a novel collaborative human-machine sensing solution for dynamic target search. Our approach uses continuous partially observable Markov decision process (CPOMDP) planning to generate vehicle trajectories that optimally exploit imperfect detection data from onboard sensors, as well as semantic natural language observations that can be specifically requested from human sensors. The key innovation is a scalable hierarchical Gaussian mixture model formulation for efficiently solving CPOMDPs with semantic observations in continuous dynamic state spaces. The approach is demonstrated and validated with a real human-robot team engaged in dynamic indoor target search and capture scenarios on a custom testbed.

cs.RO↗

Cooperative Robot Localization Using Event-triggered Estimation

This paper describes a novel communication-spare cooperative localization algorithm for a team of mobile unmanned robotic vehicles. Exploiting an event-based estimation paradigm, robots only send measurements to neighbors when the expected innovation for state estimation is high. Since agents know the event-triggering condition for measurements to be sent, the lack of a measurement is thus also informative and fused into state estimates. The robots use a Covariance Intersection (CI) mechanism to occasionally synchronize their local estimates of the full network state. In addition, heuristic balancing dynamics on the robots' CI-triggering thresholds ensure that, in large diameter networks, the local error covariances remains below desired bounds across the network. Simulations on both linear and nonlinear dynamics/measurement models show that the event-triggering approach achieves nearly optimal state estimation performance in a wide range of operating conditions, even when using only a fraction of the communication cost required by conventional full data sharing. The robustness of the proposed approach to lossy communications, as well as the relationship between network topology and CI-based synchronization requirements, are also examined.

cs.RO↗

Adaptive Simulation-based Training of AI Decision-makers using Bayesian Optimization

This work studies how an AI-controlled dog-fighting agent with tunable decision-making parameters can learn to optimize performance against an intelligent adversary, as measured by a stochastic objective function evaluated on simulated combat engagements. Gaussian process Bayesian optimization (GPBO) techniques are developed to automatically learn global Gaussian Process (GP) surrogate models, which provide statistical performance predictions in both explored and unexplored areas of the parameter space. This allows a learning engine to sample full-combat simulations at parameter values that are most likely to optimize performance and also provide highly informative data points for improving future predictions. However, standard GPBO methods do not provide a reliable surrogate model for the highly volatile objective functions found in aerial combat, and thus do not reliably identify global maxima. These issues are addressed by novel Repeat Sampling (RS) and Hybrid Repeat/Multi-point Sampling (HRMS) techniques. Simulation studies show that HRMS improves the accuracy of GP surrogate models, allowing AI decision-makers to more accurately predict performance and efficiently tune parameters.

cs.LG↗

Hybrid Repeat/Multi-point Sampling for Highly Volatile Objective Functions

A key drawback of the current generation of artificial decision-makers is that they do not adapt well to changes in unexpected situations. This paper addresses the situation in which an AI for aerial dog fighting, with tunable parameters that govern its behavior, will optimize behavior with respect to an objective function that must be evaluated and learned through simulations. Once this objective function has been modeled, the agent can then choose its desired behavior in different situations. Bayesian optimization with a Gaussian Process surrogate is used as the method for investigating the objective function. One key benefit is that during optimization the Gaussian Process learns a global estimate of the true objective function, with predicted outcomes and a statistical measure of confidence in areas that haven't been investigated yet. However, standard Bayesian optimization does not perform consistently or provide an accurate Gaussian Process surrogate function for highly volatile objective functions. We treat these problems by introducing a novel sampling technique called Hybrid Repeat/Multi-point Sampling. This technique gives the AI ability to learn optimum behaviors in a highly uncertain environment. More importantly, it not only improves the reliability of the optimization, but also creates a better model of the entire objective surface. With this improved model the agent is equipped to better adapt behaviors.

stat.ML↗

Towards Adaptive Training of Agent-based Sparring Partners for Fighter Pilots

A key requirement for the current generation of artificial decision-makers is that they should adapt well to changes in unexpected situations. This paper addresses the situation in which an AI for aerial dog fighting, with tunable parameters that govern its behavior, must optimize behavior with respect to an objective function that is evaluated and learned through simulations. Bayesian optimization with a Gaussian Process surrogate is used as the method for investigating the objective function. One key benefit is that during optimization, the Gaussian Process learns a global estimate of the true objective function, with predicted outcomes and a statistical measure of confidence in areas that haven't been investigated yet. Having a model of the objective function is important for being able to understand possible outcomes in the decision space; for example this is crucial for training and providing feedback to human pilots. However, standard Bayesian optimization does not perform consistently or provide an accurate Gaussian Process surrogate function for highly volatile objective functions. We treat these problems by introducing a novel sampling technique called Hybrid Repeat/Multi-point Sampling. This technique gives the AI ability to learn optimum behaviors in a highly uncertain environment. More importantly, it not only improves the reliability of the optimization, but also creates a better model of the entire objective surface. With this improved model the agent is equipped to more accurately/efficiently predict performance in unexplored scenarios.

stat.ML↗