arXiv subjects

Niuniu Zhang

Publications and source records attributed to Niuniu Zhang.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Human Capital, AI, and Labor Commoditization

Has generative AI changed how labor markets value human capital? We study this question using contract-level data from Upwork, a large online labor market. We represent worker profiles with high-dimensional text embeddings, allowing us to capture rich human capital information from unstructured profile text. We then compute the predictive importance of workers' human capital information and posted hourly rates for client demand, and incorporate these measures into a difference-in-differences design around the release of ChatGPT. We find that in more AI-exposed job categories, the importance of human capital declines and the importance of price rises, suggesting a commoditization effect of AI on labor. Two additional findings support commoditization as a mechanism: The demand premium enjoyed by workers with strong human capital declines in more AI-exposed categories, and demand reallocates toward lower-priced workers. Our results have implications for the design of online labor markets, workers' incentives to invest in human capital, and labor welfare.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2026

Economics of NFTs: The Value of Creator Royalties

Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) are transforming how content creators, such as artists, price and sell their work. A key feature of NFTs is the inclusion of royalties, which grant creators a share of all future resale proceeds. Although widely used, critics argue that sophisticated speculators, who dominate NFT markets, simply price in royalties upfront, neutralizing their impact. We show this intuition holds only under perfect, frictionless markets. Under more realistic market conditions, royalties enable creators to capitalize on the presence of speculators in at least three ways: They can enable risk sharing (under risk aversion), mitigate information asymmetry (when speculators are better informed), and unlock price discrimination benefits (in multi-unit settings). Moreover, in all three cases, royalties meaningfully expand trade, implying increased transaction volume for platforms. These results offer testable predictions that can guide both empirical research and platform design.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2025

Too Noisy to Collude? Algorithmic Collusion Under Laplacian Noise

The rise of autonomous pricing systems has sparked growing concern over algorithmic collusion in markets from retail to housing. This paper examines controlled information quality as an ex ante policy lever: by reducing the fidelity of data that pricing algorithms draw on, regulators can frustrate collusion before supracompetitive prices emerge. We show, first, that information quality is the central driver of competitive outcomes, shaping prices, profits, and consumer welfare. Second, we demonstrate that collusion can be slowed or destabilized by injecting carefully calibrated noise into pooled market data, yielding a feasibility region where intervention disrupts cartels without undermining legitimate pricing. Together, these results highlight information control as a lightweight yet practical lever to blunt digital collusion at its source.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2025

Can AI Detect Wash Trading? Evidence from NFTs

Existing studies on crypto wash trading often use indirect statistical methods or leaked private data, both with inherent limitations. This paper leverages public on-chain NFT data for a more direct and granular estimation. Analyzing three major exchanges, we find that ~38% (30-40%) of trades and ~60% (25-95%) of traded value likely involve manipulation, with significant variation across exchanges. This direct evidence enables a critical reassessment of existing indirect methods, identifying roundedness-based regressions à la Cong et al. (2023) as most promising, though still error-prone in the NFT setting. To address this, we develop an AI-based estimator that integrates these regressions in a machine learning framework, significantly reducing both exchange- and trade-level estimation errors in NFT markets (and beyond).

econ.GN↗