arXiv subjects

Niusha Ahvazi

Publications and source records attributed to Niusha Ahvazi.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

From starlight to dark matter: a stochastic interpolation approach to map dark matter from stellar density

The dark matter halo profile in galaxies holds key information about the nature of dark matter and galaxy formation. Constraining the dark matter profile of galaxies beyond the Milky Way traditionally requires expensive spectroscopic observations for kinematic information. In this paper, we explore a conditional generative model framework to map the dark matter profile of Milky Way-mass galaxies from stellar density profiles, more easily obtainable through large photometric imaging surveys. As a proof of concept, we train the model to learn a stochastic bridge between instrument systematics-free baryonic stellar distributions and underlying dark matter density maps from the DREAMS hydrodynamics simulation suite. We recover 2D dark matter density profiles with a typical accuracy of $\sim0.1$ dex ($\sim1.5$% of the truth in log scale). The stochastic sampling procedure provides uncertainty estimates of the predicted dark matter map, with typical values $\sim0.1$ dex. Out-of-domain tests with Milky Way-mass galaxies from IllustrisTNG and FIRE simulations show that, while the model can qualitatively be generalized to TNG50 galaxies from IllustrisTNG, the model is sensitive to the galaxy formation model, with $\sim0.2$-$0.4$ dex over-prediction for the inner profiles ($r\lesssim5$ kpc) of the FIRE test galaxies. Future work will explore training with additional suites of simulations and/or conditioning on additional information, such as multi-band images. Our results are a first step towards using generative models as a flexible, uncertainty-aware framework for turning forthcoming data from large imaging surveys into spatially resolved dark matter maps.

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arXiv2026

From observing strategies to velocity dispersion bias: forward modeling unresolved binaries in ultra-faint dwarf galaxies

Ultra-faint dwarf galaxies (UFDs) in the Milky Way are ideal probes of low-mass galaxy formation and dark matter because they are highly dark-matter dominated. In the lowest-mass systems, however, unresolved binary orbital motion complicates dynamical mass estimates by inflating measured velocity dispersions and biasing the interpretation of the inferred masses. We develop a flexible forward-modeling pipeline, the Binary Observation Simulator, to generate mock multi-epoch radial-velocity observations of binary populations in dwarf galaxies and to quantify how binary-induced biases depend on both galaxy properties and observing strategy. We generate mock samples spanning true velocity dispersion of $σ_{\rm true}\sim0.75$-$3.5$ km/sec, binary fractions of $0.1$-$0.9$, and multi-epoch baselines of up to $10$ yr. We find that, while multi-epoch monitoring reduces the binary-induced bias, residual contamination remains significant for low-mass halos: even a $10$-yr baseline can leave $\sim10$-$120\%$ relative bias for systems with $σ_{\rm true}\lesssim1$ km/sec. We also note that small sample sizes ($\lesssim20$) introduce substantial stochastic scatter in the recovered dispersions, sometimes masking the expected improvement from longer observational baselines. Applying the framework to the real $\sim17$-yr Bootes I observing record reproduces the literature velocity dispersions, yields an empirical correction conditioned on that cadence, and shows that redistributing the same observations onto half the number of stars would have removed roughly half of the residual binary bias. These results emphasize that robust dispersion estimates for the faintest dwarfs require forward modeling of both binary populations and survey cadence.

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arXiv2026

The Curious Case of Centaurus A: On the Subject of the Quenched satellites

The satellite system of Centaurus A presents a curious cosmological puzzle: while the global population is consistent with theoretical expectations, its inner regions (d<150 kpc) exhibit a deficit of luminous satellite galaxies. Using the Galacticus semi-analytic model applied to high-resolution N-body merger trees, we investigate potential quenching mechanisms to explain this trend. Our fiducial models, calibrated to the Milky Way, reproduce the overall Cen A population but overpredict the number of bright inner-halo satellites by a factor of 4 +- 1 at Mv < -15.8. We find that this is not due to statistical variance. Instead, the spatial coincidence of this deficiency with Cen A's massive, kiloparsec-scale radio lobes suggests a powerful environmental driver. We explore a range of physical scenarios, including enhanced tidal disruption, reionization quenching, and suppressed accretion into halos from the surrounding intergalactic medium. Our results indicate that AGN-driven thermal feedback at z < 5 can significantly suppress star formation in satellites, effectively truncating the bright end of the inner luminosity function. Our work suggests that the "Curious Case of Centaurus A" may provide evidence of AGN feedback within the host galaxy that regulates the survival and evolution of its dwarf galaxy satellites.

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arXiv2026

A Unified Framework Connecting Chemical Enrichment to Resolved Star Formation Histories with Applications to Local Group Dwarf Irregulars

We present a new framework for modeling the chemical enrichment histories of galaxies by integrating chemical evolution with resolved star formation histories (SFHs) derived from color-magnitude diagrams. This novel approach links the time evolution of the metallicity of the star-forming ISM to the cumulative stellar mass formed in the galaxy, enabling a self-consistent description of chemical evolution. We apply this methodology to four isolated, gas-rich Local Group dwarf galaxies -- WLM, Aquarius, Leo A, and Leo P -- using deep HST and JWST imaging. For WLM, Aquarius, and Leo A, we independently validate our metallicity evolution results against ages and metallicities of individual red giant stars with spectroscopic measurements. We quantify systematic uncertainties by repeating our analysis with multiple stellar evolution and bolometric correction libraries. We compare the observed chemical enrichment histories to predictions from the TNG50 and FIREbox cosmological hydrodynamic simulations and the Galacticus semi-analytic model. Of our four galaxies, only WLM is sufficiently massive to be reliably represented in these simulations; the remaining three fall below current resolution limits. We find that the enrichment history of WLM is best reproduced by FIREbox, while TNG50 and Galacticus predict higher metallicities at early times, suggesting that differences in stellar feedback and metal recycling prescriptions drive significant variation in predicted enrichment histories. This work demonstrates the power of combining resolved SFHs with physically motivated chemical evolution models to constrain galaxy formation physics and highlights the need for further observational and theoretical studies of metal retention and recycling in low-mass dwarf galaxies.

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arXiv2026

Learning the Universe at High Redshifts: Impact of Accretion Modeling on Early Black Hole Growth

JWST discoveries of the earliest ($z \gtrsim 9$) supermassive black holes (BHs, $M_\bullet \gtrsim 10^6\,\rm{M}_\odot$) challenge the BH seeding and accretion models of most cosmological simulations. In this work, we compare early BH growth arising from three different accretion prescriptions characterized by distinct scalings between the accretion rate ($\dot{M}_{\rm \bullet}$) and the BH mass ($M_{\rm \bullet}$): the commonly used Bondi-Hoyle model ($\dot{M}_{\rm \bullet}\propto M_{\rm \bullet}^2$), and two free-fall models with shallower scalings ($\dot{M}_{\rm \bullet}\propto M_{\rm \bullet}^{1/2}$ and $M_{\rm \bullet}$). Bondi accretion tends to produce stronger runaway growth than the free-fall models when using heavy ($\sim10^5\,\rm{M}_\odot$) seeds in extreme environments owing to the steeper $M_\bullet$ scaling, but its sensitivity to the local gas sound speed makes it more susceptible to suppression from temperature increases due to AGN and stellar feedback. The free-fall models tend to produce stronger growth for lower-mass seeds ($\sim10^{3-4}\,\rm{M}_\odot$) in moderate environments as they are less dependent on the BH's mass to accrete effectively, however in this regime BH growth remains negligible for all accretion models in the presence of fiducial stellar feedback. Enhancing early BH growth via many BH-BH mergers disproportionately enhances subsequent accretion-driven growth for Bondi due to the steeper $M_{\rm \bullet}$ dependence. Our simulations can thus assemble BHs with masses of $\sim10^6-10^7~M_{\odot}$ at $z\gtrsim9$, as inferred by JWST, under two circumstances: 1) abundant heavy-seed formation that drives BH-BH mergers, or 2) Bondi accretion with weak feedback.

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arXiv2026

Testing warm dark matter with kinematics of the smallest galaxies

Every dark matter halo forms with a $ρ\propto r^{-1.5}$ density cusp at its center. For warm dark matter (WDM), these prompt cusps can be massive enough to influence the kinematics of dwarf galaxies. By implementing prompt cusps in the Galacticus galaxy formation model, we show that the measured velocity dispersions of Tucana V and Triangulum II are serious outliers for dwarf galaxies arising in WDM models. For thermal-relic dark matter, the three faintest Milky Way satellites together constrain the particle mass to be $m_χ>5.8$ keV at 95 percent confidence or $m_χ>9.4$ keV at 90 percent confidence. Improved velocity dispersion measurements for these systems could greatly refine this constraint, as could identification and kinematic characterization of more such galaxies.

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arXiv2026

Hubble Astrometry for the Local Group and Beyond in the 2030s

Hubble's long, stable astrometric baseline creates a rare opportunity for discovery in the Local Group and beyond. Many nearby galaxies, streams, and star clusters already have archival first-epoch imaging in hand, so future HST observations over the next decade can turn those data into precise proper motions. For many Milky Way satellites, existing measurements already constrain orbital motion at a useful level, but HST still offers a path to full 3D kinematics, internal motions, and more distant systems where current data remain insufficient. That opens the window to dynamical studies inaccessible through line-of-sight velocities alone, revealing orbital histories, internal kinematics, environmental processing, and the dark-matter structure of nearby galaxies. This white paper identifies HST astrometry as an opportunity to capitalize on archival baselines by completing long-baseline measurements where first epochs already exist, establishing new first epochs where critical gaps remain, and assembling a legacy sample for future JWST, Roman, and HWO-era follow-up. The result will be a transformative dataset for the Local Group and Local Volume, driving discovery now while laying the groundwork for the next generation of dynamical studies for resolved stellar populations.

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arXiv2026

The DREAMS Project: Disentangling the Impact of Halo-to-Halo Variance and Baryonic Feedback on Milky Way Dark Matter Density Profiles

In this work, we utilize a new suite of Milky Way-mass halos from the DREAMS Project, simulated with Cold Dark Matter (CDM), to quantify the influence of baryon feedback and intrinsic halo-to-halo variance on dark matter density profiles. Our suite of 1024 halos varies over supernova and black hole feedback parameters from the IllustrisTNG model, as well as variations in two cosmological parameters. We find that, for the DREAMS parameter variations, Milky Way-mass dark matter density profiles in the IllustrisTNG model are largely insensitive to astrophysics and cosmology variations, with the dominant source of scatter instead arising from halo-to-halo variance. However, most of the (comparatively minor) feedback-driven variations come from the changes to supernova prescriptions. By comparing to dark matter-only simulations, we find that the strongest supernova wind energies are so effective at preventing galaxy formation that the halos are nearly entirely collisionless dark matter. Finally, regardless of physics variation, all the DREAMS halos are roughly consistent with a halo contracting adiabatically from the presence of baryons, unlike models that have bursty stellar feedback. This work represents a step toward assessing the uncertainty in Milky Way dark matter profiles, with direct implications for dark matter searches where systematic uncertainty in the density profile remains a major challenge.

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arXiv2025

The DREAMS Project: Disentangling the Impact of Halo-to-Halo Variance and Baryonic Feedback on Milky Way Satellite Galaxies

We analyze the properties of satellite galaxies around 1,024 Milky Way-mass hosts from the DREAMS Project, simulated within a $Λ$CDM cosmology. Utilizing the TNG galaxy-formation model, the DREAMS simulations incorporate both baryonic physics and cosmological uncertainties for a large sample of galaxies with diverse environments and formation histories. We investigate the relative impact of the physical uncertainty from the galaxy-formation model on predicted satellite properties using four metrics: the satellite stellar mass function, radial distribution, inner slope of dark matter density profile, and stellar half-light radius. We compare these predictions to observations from the SAGA Survey and the DREAMS N-body simulations and find that uncertainties from baryonic physics modeling are subdominant to the scatter arising from halo-to-halo variance. Where baryonic modeling does affect satellites, the supernova wind energy has the largest effect on the satellite properties that we investigate. Specifically, increased supernova wind energy suppresses the stellar mass of satellites and results in more extended stellar half-light radii. The adopted wind speed has only a minor impact, and other astrophysical and cosmological parameters show no measurable effect. Our findings highlight the robustness of satellite properties against uncertainties in baryonic physics modeling.

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arXiv2025

The DREAMS Project: A New Suite of 1,024 Simulations to Contextualize the Milky Way and Assess Physics Uncertainties

We introduce a new suite of 1,024 cosmological and hydrodynamical zoom-in simulations of Milky Way-mass halos, run with Cold Dark Matter, as part of the DREAMS Project. Each simulation in the suite has a unique set of initial conditions and combination of cosmological and astrophysical parameters. The suite is designed to quantify theoretical uncertainties from halo-to-halo variance, as well as stellar and black hole feedback. We develop a novel weighting scheme that prioritizes regions of the input parameter space, yielding galaxies consistent with the observed present-day stellar mass--halo mass relation. The resulting galaxy population exhibits a wide diversity in structural properties that encompasses those of the actual Milky Way, providing a powerful statistical sample for galactic archaeology. To demonstrate the suite's scientific utility, we investigate the connection between a galaxy's merger history, focusing on Gaia-Sausage-Enceladus~(GSE) analogs, and its present-day properties. We find that galaxies with a GSE analog have lower star formation rates, more compact disks, and more spherical stellar halos. Crucially, significant halo-to-halo scatter remains, demonstrating that matching more than the most significant events in the Milky Way's past is necessary to recover its present-day properties. Our results highlight the necessity for large statistical samples to disentangle the stochastic nature of galaxy formation and robustly model the Milky Way's unique history.

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arXiv2025

The abundance and properties of the lowest luminosity dwarf galaxies around the Milky Way: Insights from Semi-Analytic Models

We investigate the formation and observable properties of faint satellite galaxies (M$_\rm V > -3$) in Milky Way-like halos using the semi-analytic galaxy formation model Galacticus. The ability of the smallest dark matter halos to form stars depends sensitively on the balance between gas cooling and reionization heating. To quantify how this balance shapes the abundance and properties of the faintest galaxies, we compare two model variants: a fiducial model that includes molecular hydrogen (H$_2$) cooling and UV background radiation, and a No-H$_2$ model with atomic cooling only. Both models reproduce the structural properties of brighter Milky Way satellites, but they diverge at the lowest luminosities in the hyper-faint regime. The fiducial model predicts a substantially larger population of such systems that are on average hosted in halos with lower peak masses and quenched earlier. Many of these predicted systems lie below current observational thresholds but are within reach of next-generation deep imaging surveys. The predicted size-luminosity distributions of both models overlap with the region occupied by recently discovered "ambiguous" systems, whose classification as galaxies or star clusters remains uncertain. Specifically, we find that hyper-faint satellites have line-of-sight velocity dispersions of $σ_{\rm los} \sim 1-3$ km/s in the fiducial model, nearly an order of magnitude higher than expected for purely self-gravitating stellar systems of the same stellar mass. This distinction underscores the diagnostic power of precise kinematic measurements for determining whether ambiguous objects are dark matter dominated dwarf galaxies or star clusters, and highlights the importance of upcoming spectroscopic campaigns in resolving the nature of the faintest satellites.

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arXiv2025

The Proper Motion of Draco II with HST using Multiple Reference Frames and Methodologies

We present proper motion (PM) measurements for Draco II, an ultra-faint dwarf satellite of the Milky Way. These PMs are measured using two epochs of Hubble Space Telescope Advanced Camera for Surveys (HST/ACS) imaging separated by a 7 year time baseline. Measuring PMs of low-luminosity systems is difficult due to the low number of member stars, requiring a precise inertial reference frame. We construct reference frames using three different sets of external sources: 1) stars with Gaia DR3 data, 2) stationary background galaxies, and 3) a combination of the two. We show that all three reference frames give consistent PM results. We find that for this sparse, low-luminosity regime including background galaxies into the reference frame improves our measurement by up to $\sim2\times$ versus using only Gaia astrometric data. Using 301 background galaxies as a reference frame, we find that Draco II's systemic PM is $(μ_α^*, μ_δ) = (1.043\pm0.029, 0.879\pm0.028)$ mas/yr, which is the most precise measurement of the three we present in this paper.

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arXiv2025

How Many Bursts Does it Take to Form a Core at the Center of a Galaxy?

We present a novel method for systematically assessing the impact of central potential fluctuations associated with bursty outflows on the structure of dark matter halos for classical and ultra-faint dwarf galaxies. Specifically, we use dark-matter-only simulations augmented with a manually-added massive particle that modifies the central potential and approximately accounts for a centrally-concentrated baryonic component. This approach enables precise control over the magnitude, frequency, and timing of rapid outflow events. We demonstrate that this method can reproduce the established result of core formation for systems that undergo multiple episodes of bursty outflows. In contrast, we also find that equivalent models that involve only a single (or small number of) burst episodes do not form cores with the same efficacy. This is important because many UFDs in the Local Universe are observed to have tightly constrained star formation histories that are best described by a single, early burst of star formation. Using a suite of cosmological, zoom-in simulations, we identify the regimes in which single bursts can and cannot form a cored density profile. Our results suggest that it may be difficult to form cores in UFD-mass systems with a single, early burst regardless of its magnitude.

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arXiv2025

Signatures of BH seeding on the $\mathrm{M_{\displaystyle \bullet}}-σ$ relation: Predictions from the BRAHMA simulations

The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) has identified a large population of supermassive ($10^6$-$10^8~\mathrm{M}_\odot$) black holes (BHs) in the early universe ($z \sim 4$-$7$). Current measurements suggest that many of these BHs exhibit higher BH-to-stellar mass ratios than local populations, opening a new window into the earliest stages of BH-galaxy coevolution and offering the potential to place tight constraints on BH seeding and growth in the early universe. In this work, we use the BRAHMA simulations to investigate the impact of BH seeding on the $\mathrm{M_{\bullet}}-σ$ relation. These simulations adopt heavy $\sim10^5~\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$ seeds and systematically varied BH seeding models, resulting in distinct predictions for seed abundances. We find that different seed models lead to different normalizations of the $\mathrm{M_{\bullet}}-σ$ relation at higher redshifts ($z > 2$) across all $σ$, and at low redshift for systems with low $σ$ ($50~\mathrm{km\ s^{-1}} \lesssim σ\lesssim 80~\mathrm{km\ s^{-1}}$). The most lenient seed model also shows negligible evolution in the $\mathrm{M_{\bullet}}-σ$ relation across redshift, while more restrictive models have substantially lower normalization on the $\mathrm{M_{\bullet}}-σ$ relation for high $σ$ ($\sim 100~\mathrm{km\ s^{-1}}$) at high redshifts, and evolve upward toward the local relation. We demonstrate that the $\mathrm{M_{\bullet}}-σ$ evolution is a direct consequence of merger-dominated BH growth in low mass galaxies ($\lesssim 10^9~M_{\odot}$) and accretion dominated BH growth in high mass ($\gtrsim10^9~M_{\odot}$) galaxies. Furthermore, the scatter in the $\mathrm{M_{\bullet}}-σ$ relation is larger for the more restrictive models due to the inability of many BHs to grow significantly beyond their seed mass.

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arXiv2024

Star formation beyond galaxies: widespread in-situ formation of intra-cluster stars

We study the fraction of the intra-cluster light (ICL) formed in-situ in the three most massive clusters of the TNG50 simulation, with virial masses $\sim 10^{14}$ M$_{\odot}$. We find that a significant fraction of ICL stars ($8\%$-$28\%$) are born in-situ. This amounts to a total stellar mass comparable to the central galaxy itself. Contrary to simple expectations, only a sub-dominant fraction of these in-situ ICL stars are born in the central regions and later re-distributed to more energetic orbits during mergers. Instead, many in-situ ICL stars form directly hundreds of kiloparsecs away from the central galaxy, in clouds condensing out of the circum-cluster medium. The simulations predict a present-date diffuse star formation rate of $\sim$1 $\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$/yr, with higher rates at higher redshifts. The diffuse star forming component of the ICL is filamentary in nature, extends for hundreds of kiloparsecs and traces the distribution of neutral gas in the cluster host halo. We discuss briefly how numerical details of the baryonic treatment in the simulation, in particular the density threshold for star formation and the equation of state, may play a role in this result. We conclude that a sensitivity of $1.6 \times 10^{-19} - 2.6 \times 10^{-18}$ erg s$^{-1}$ cm$^{-2}$ arcsec$^{-2}$ in H$_α$ flux (beyond current observational capabilities) would be necessary to detect this diffuse star-forming component in galaxy clusters.

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arXiv2024

A comprehensive model for the formation and evolution of the faintest Milky Way dwarf satellites

In this study, we modify the semi-analytic model Galacticus in order to accurately reproduce the observed properties of dwarf galaxies in the Milky Way. We find that reproducing observational determinations of the halo occupation fraction and mass-metallicity relation for dwarf galaxies requires us to include H$_2$ cooling, an updated UV background radiation model, and to introduce a model for the metal content of the intergalactic medium. By fine-tuning various model parameters and incorporating empirical constraints, we have tailored the model to match the statistical properties of Milky Way dwarf galaxies, such as their luminosity function and size$-$mass relation. We have validated our modified semi-analytic framework by undertaking a comparative analysis of the resulting galaxy-halo connection. We predict a total of $300 ^{+75} _{-99}$ satellites with an absolute $V$-band magnitude (M$_{V}$) less than $0$ within $300$ kpc from our Milky Way-analogs. The fraction of subhalos that host a galaxy at least this bright drops to $50\%$ by a halo peak mass of $\sim 8.9 \times 10^{7}$ M$_{\odot}$, consistent with the occupation fraction inferred from the latest observations of Milky Way satellite population.

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arXiv2023

A giant thin stellar stream in the Coma Galaxy Cluster

The study of dynamically cold stellar streams reveals information about the gravitational potential where they reside and provides important constraints on dark matter properties. However, their intrinsic faintness makes detection beyond Local environments highly challenging. Here we report the detection of an extremely faint stellar stream ($μ_{g,max}=$ 29.5 mag arcsec$^{-2}$) with an extraordinarily coherent and thin morphology in the Coma Galaxy Cluster. This Giant Coma Stream spans ~510 kpc in length and appears as a free-floating structure located at a projected distance of 0.8 Mpc from the centre of Coma. We do not identify any potential galaxy remnant or core, and the stream structure appears featureless in our data. We interpret the Giant Coma Stream as being a recently accreted, tidally disrupting passive dwarf. Using the Illustris-TNG50 simulation, we identify a case with similar characteristics, showing that, although rare, these types of streams are predicted to exist in $Λ$-CDM. Our work unveils the presence of free-floating, extremely faint and thin stellar streams in galaxy clusters, widening the environmental context for their promising future applications in the study of dark matter properties.

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arXiv2023

The progenitors of the intra-cluster light and intra-cluster globular clusters in galaxy groups and clusters

We use the IllustrisTNG50 cosmological hydrodynamical simulation, complemented by a catalog of tagged globular clusters, to investigate the properties and build up of two extended luminous components: the intra-cluster light (ICL) and the intra-cluster globular clusters (ICGC). We select the 39 most massive groups and clusters in the box, spanning the range of virial masses $5 \times 10^{12} < \rm M_{200}/\rm M_{\odot} < 2 \times 10^{14}$. We find good agreement between predictions from the simulations and current observational estimates of the fraction of mass in the ICL and its radial extension. The stellar mass of the ICL is only $\sim10\%-20\%$ of the stellar mass in the central galaxy but encodes useful information on the assembly history of the group or cluster. About half the ICL in all our systems is brought in by galaxies in a narrow stellar mass range, $M_*=10^{10}-10^{11}$ $\rm M_{\odot}$. However, the contribution of low-mass galaxies ($M_*<10^{10}$ $\rm M_{\odot}$) to the build-up of the ICL varies broadly from system to system, $\sim 5\%-45\%$, a feature that might be recovered from the observable properties of the ICL at $z=0$. At fixed virial mass, systems where the accretion of dwarf galaxies plays an important role have shallower metallicity profiles, less metal content and a lower stellar mass in the ICL than systems where the main contributors are more massive galaxies. We show that intra-cluster GCs are also good tracers of this history, representing a valuable alternative when diffuse light is not detectable.

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