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Noufel Frikha

Publications and source records attributed to Noufel Frikha.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Adaptive Multilevel Stochastic Approximation of the Value-at-Risk

Crépey, Frikha, and Louzi (2025) introduced a multilevel stochastic approximation scheme to compute the value-at-risk of a financial loss that is only simulatable by Monte Carlo. The best complexity of the scheme is in O($\varepsilon^{-\frac52}$), $\varepsilon>0$ being a prescribed accuracy, which is suboptimal compared to the canonical multilevel Monte Carlo performance. This suboptimality stems from the discontinuity ofthe Heaviside function involved in the biased stochastic gradient that is recursively evaluated to derive the value-at-risk. To mitigate this issue, this paper proposes and analyzes a multilevel stochastic approximation algorithm that adaptively selects the number of inner samples at each level, and proves that its best complexity is in O($\varepsilon^{-2}|\ln{\varepsilon}|^\frac52$). Our theoretical analysis is exemplified through numerical experiments.

q-fin.RM↗

A Multilevel Stochastic Approximation Algorithm for Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Estimation

We propose a multilevel stochastic approximation (MLSA) scheme for the computation of the value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) of a financial loss, which can only be computed via simulations conditionally on the realisation of future risk factors. Thus the problem of estimating its VaR and ES is nested in nature and can be viewed as an instance of stochastic approximation problems with biased innovations. In this framework, for a prescribed accuracy $\varepsilon$, the optimal complexity of a nested stochastic approximation algorithm is shown to be of the order $\varepsilon^{-3}$. To estimate the VaR, our MLSA algorithm attains an optimal complexity of the order $\varepsilon^{-2-δ}$, where $δ\in(0,1)$ is some parameter depending on the integrability degree of the loss, while to estimate the ES, the algorithm achieves an optimal complexity of the order $\varepsilon^{-2}|\ln{\varepsilon}|^2$. Numerical studies of the joint evolution of the error rate and the execution time demonstrate how our MLSA algorithm regains a significant amount of the performance lost due to the nested nature of the problem.

q-fin.CP↗

Asymptotic Error Analysis of Multilevel Stochastic Approximations for the Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall

Crépey, Frikha, and Louzi (2025) introduced a nested stochastic approximation algorithm and its multilevel acceleration to compute the value-at-risk and expected shortfall of a random financial loss. We hereby establish central limit theorems for the renormalized estimation errors associated with both algorithms as well as their averaged versions. Our findings are substantiated through a numerical example.

q-fin.RM↗

Entropy-regularized penalization schemes and reflected BSDEs with singular generators

This paper extends our previous work to continuous-time optimal stopping, focusing on American options in an exploratory setting. Our first contribution is an entropy-regularized penalization scheme, inspired by classical penalization techniques for reflected BSDEs. It yields a smooth approximation of the stopping rule, promotes exploration, and enables gradient-based learning methods. We prove well-posedness, convergence, and illustrate numerical performance in low-dimensional examples. Our second contribution analyzes the behaviour of the scheme as the penalization parameter grows, showing that the limit solves a reflected BSDE with a logarithmically singular generator, for which we establish existence and uniqueness via a monotone limit argument.

q-fin.MF↗

A Monotone Limit Approach to Entropy-Regularized American Options

Recent advances in continuous-time optimal stopping have been driven by entropy-regularized formulations of randomized stopping problems, with most existing approaches relying on partial differential equation methods. In this paper, we propose a fully probabilistic framework based on the Doob-Meyer-Mertens decomposition of the Snell envelope and its representation through reflected backward stochastic differential equations. We introduce an entropy-regularized penalization scheme yielding a monotone approximation of the value function and establish explicit convergence rates under suitable regularity assumptions. In addition, we develop a policy improvement algorithm based on linear backward stochastic differential equations and illustrate its performance through a simple numerical experiment for an American-style max call option

q-fin.CP↗

An Entropy Regularized BSDE Approach to Bermudan Options and Games

In this paper, we investigate optimal stopping problems in a continuous-time framework where only a discrete set of stopping dates is admissible, corresponding to the Bermudan option, within the so-called exploratory formulation. We introduce an associated control problem for the value function, represented as a non-càdlàg reflected backward stochastic differential equation (RBSDE) with an entropy regulariser that promotes exploration, and we establish existence and uniqueness results for this entropy-regularised RBSDE. We then compare the entropy-regularised RBSDE with the theoretical value of a Bermudan option and propose a reinforcement learning algorithm based on a policy improvement scheme, for which we prove both monotone improvement and convergence. This methodology is further extended to Bermudan game options, where we obtain analogous results. Finally, drawing on the preceding analysis, we present two numerical approximation schemes - a BSDE solver based on a temporal-difference scheme and neural networks and the policy improvement algorithm - to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of our approach.

math.PR↗

On the convergence of the Euler-Maruyama scheme for McKean-Vlasov SDEs

Building on the well-posedness of the backward Kolmogorov partial differential equation in the Wasserstein space, we analyze the strong and weak convergence rates for approximating the unique solution of a class of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations via the Euler-Maruyama time discretization scheme applied to the associated system of interacting particles. We consider two distinct settings. In the first, the coefficients and test function are irregular, but the diffusion coefficient remains non-degenerate. Leveraging the smoothing properties of the underlying heat kernel, we establish the strong and weak convergence rates of the scheme in terms of the number of particles N and the mesh size h. In the second setting, where both the coefficients and the test function are smooth, we demonstrate that the weak error rate at the level of the semigroup is optimal, achieving an error of order N -1 + h.

math.PR↗

Mirror Descent Algorithms for Risk Budgeting Portfolios

This paper introduces and examines numerical approximation schemes for computing risk budgeting portfolios associated to positive homogeneous and sub-additive risk measures. We employ Mirror Descent algorithms to determine the optimal risk budgeting weights in both deterministic and stochastic settings, establishing convergence along with an explicit non-asymptotic quantitative rate for the averaged algorithm. A comprehensive numerical analysis follows, illustrating our theoretical findings across various risk measures -- including standard deviation, Expected Shortfall, deviation measures, and Variantiles -- and comparing the performance with that of the standard stochastic gradient descent method recently proposed in the literature.

q-fin.PM↗

Full error analysis of policy gradient learning algorithms for exploratory linear quadratic mean-field control problem in continuous time with common noise

We consider reinforcement learning (RL) methods for finding optimal policies in linear quadratic (LQ) mean field control (MFC) problems over an infinite horizon in continuous time, with common noise and entropy regularization. We study policy gradient (PG) learning and first demonstrate convergence in a model-based setting by establishing a suitable gradient domination condition.Next, our main contribution is a comprehensive error analysis, where we prove the global linear convergence and sample complexity of the PG algorithm with two-point gradient estimates in a model-free setting with unknown parameters. In this setting, the parameterized optimal policies are learned from samples of the states and population distribution.Finally, we provide numerical evidence supporting the convergence of our implemented algorithms.

math.OC↗

Integration by parts formula for exit times of one dimensional diffusions

In line with the methodology introduced in our recent article for formulating probabilistic representations of integration by parts involving killed diffusion, we establish an integration by parts formula for the first exit time of one-dimensional diffusion processes. However, our approach diverges from the conventional differential calculus applied to the associated space Markov chain; instead, we employ calculus techniques that focus on the underlying time variables.

math.PR↗

Actor-Critic learning for mean-field control in continuous time

We study policy gradient for mean-field control in continuous time in a reinforcement learning setting. By considering randomised policies with entropy regularisation, we derive a gradient expectation representation of the value function, which is amenable to actor-critic type algorithms, where the value functions and the policies are learnt alternately based on observation samples of the state and model-free estimation of the population state distribution, either by offline or online learning. In the linear-quadratic mean-field framework, we obtain an exact parametrisation of the actor and critic functions defined on the Wasserstein space. Finally, we illustrate the results of our algorithms with some numerical experiments on concrete examples.

stat.ML↗

Deep Runge-Kutta schemes for BSDEs

We propose a new probabilistic scheme which combines deep learning techniques with high order schemes for backward stochastic differential equations belonging to the class of Runge-Kutta methods to solve high-dimensional semi-linear parabolic partial differential equations. Our approach notably extends the one introduced in [Hure Pham Warin 2020] for the implicit Euler scheme to schemes which are more efficient in terms of discrete-time error. We establish some convergence results for our implemented schemes under classical regularity assumptions. We also illustrate the efficiency of our method for different schemes of order one, two and three. Our numerical results indicate that the Crank-Nicolson schemes is a good compromise in terms of precision, computational cost and numerical implementation.

math.NA↗

From the backward Kolmogorov PDE on the Wasserstein space to propagation of chaos for Mckean-Vlasov SDEs

This article is a continuation of our first work \cite{chaudruraynal:frikha}. We here establish some new quantitative estimates for propagation of chaos of non-linear stochastic differential equations in the sense of McKean-Vlasov. We obtain explicit error estimates, at the level of the trajectories, at the level of the semi-group and at the level of the densities, for the mean-field approximation by systems of interacting particles under mild regularity assumptions on the coefficients. A first order expansion for the difference between the densities of one particle and its mean-field limit is also established. Our analysis relies on the well-posedness of classical solutions to the backward Kolmogorov partial differential equations defined on the strip $[0,T] \times \mathbb{R}^d \times \mathcal{P}_2(\mathbb{R}^d)$, $\mathcal{P}_2(\mathbb{R}^d)$ being the Wasserstein space, that is, the space of probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with a finite second-order moment and also on the existence and uniqueness of a fundamental solution for the related parabolic linear operator here stated on $[0,T]\times \mathcal{P}_2(\mathbb{R}^d)$.

math.AP↗

Well-Posedness for Some Non-Linear Diffusion Processes and Related PDE on the Wasserstein Space

In this paper, we investigate the well-posedness of the martingale problem associated to non-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in the sense of McKean-Vlasov under mild assumptions on the coefficients as well as classical solutions for a class of associated linear partial differential equations (PDEs) defined on $[0,T] \times \mathbb{R}^d \times \mathcal{P}\_2(\mathbb{R}^d)$, for any $T>0$, $\mathcal{P}\_2(\mathbb{R}^d)$ being the Wasserstein space (i.e. the space of probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with a finite second-order moment). In this case, the derivative of a map along a probability measure is understood in the Lions' sense. The martingale problem is addressed by a fixed point argument on a suitable complete metric space, under some mild regularity assumptions on the coefficients that covers a large class of interaction. Also, new well-posedness results in the strong sense are obtained from the previous analysis. Under additional assumptions, we then prove the existence of the associated density and investigate its smoothness property. In particular, we establish some Gaussian type bounds for its derivatives. We eventually address the existence and uniqueness for the related linear Cauchy problem with irregular terminal condition and source term.

math.CA↗

A learning scheme by sparse grids and Picard approximations for semilinear parabolic PDEs

Relying on the classical connection between Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) and non-linear parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs), we propose a new probabilistic learning scheme for solving high-dimensional semi-linear parabolic PDEs. This scheme is inspired by the approach coming from machine learning and developed using deep neural networks in Han and al. [32]. Our algorithm is based on a Picard iteration scheme in which a sequence of linear-quadratic optimisation problem is solved by means of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm. In the framework of a linear specification of the approximation space, we manage to prove a convergence result for our scheme, under some smallness condition. In practice, in order to be able to treat high-dimensional examples, we employ sparse grid approximation spaces. In the case of periodic coefficients and using pre-wavelet basis functions, we obtain an upper bound on the global complexity of our method. It shows in particular that the curse of dimensionality is tamed in the sense that in order to achieve a root mean squared error of order $ε$, for a prescribed precision $ε$, the complexity of the Picard algorithm grows polynomially in $ε^{-1}$ up to some logarithmic factor $ |log(ε)| $ which grows linearly with respect to the PDE dimension. Various numerical results are presented to validate the performance of our method and to compare them with some recent machine learning schemes proposed in Han and al. [20] and Huré and al. [37].

math.NA↗

Probabilistic representation of integration by parts formulae for some stochastic volatility models with unbounded drift

In this paper, we establish a probabilistic representation as well as some integration by parts formulae for the marginal law at a given time maturity of some stochastic volatility model with unbounded drift. Relying on a perturbation technique for Markov semigroups, our formulae are based on a simple Markov chain evolving on a random time grid for which we develop a tailor-made Malliavin calculus. Among other applications, an unbiased Monte Carlo path simulation method stems from our formulas so that it can be used in order to numerically compute with optimal complexity option prices as well as their sensitivities with respect to the initial values or Greeks in finance, namely the Delta and Vega, for a large class of non-smooth European payoff. Numerical results are proposed to illustrate the efficiency of the method.

math.PR↗

Well-posedness and approximation of some one-dimensional Lévy-driven non-linear SDEs

In this article, we are interested in the strong well-posedness together with the numerical approximation of some one-dimensional stochastic differential equations with a non-linear drift, in the sense of McKean-Vlasov, driven by a spectrally-positive L{é}vy process and a Brownian motion. We provide criteria for the existence of strong solutions under non-Lipschitz conditions of Yamada-Watanabe type without non-degeneracy assumption. The strong convergence rate of the propagation of chaos for the associated particle system and of the corresponding Euler-Maruyama scheme are also investigated. In particular, the strong convergence rate of the Euler-Maruyama scheme exhibits an interplay between the regularity of the coefficients and the order of singularity of the L{é}vy measure around zero.

math.PR↗

Well-posedness of some non-linear stable driven SDEs

We prove the well-posedness of some non-linear stochastic differential equations in the sense of McKean-Vlasov driven by non-degenerate symmetric $α$-stable Lévy processes with values in $R^d$ under some mild H{ö}lder regularity assumptions on the drift and diffusion coefficients with respect to both space and measure variables. The methodology developed here allows to consider unbounded drift terms even in the so-called super-critical case, i.e. when the stability index $α\in (0, 1)$. New strong well-posedness results are also derived from the previous analysis.

math.AP↗