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O. A. Malafeyev

Publications and source records attributed to O. A. Malafeyev.

17 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2024

Modeling a demographic problem using the Leslie matrix

The application of Leslie matrices in demographic research is considered in this paper. The Leslie matrix is first proposed in the 1940s and gained popularity in the mid-1960s, becoming fundamental tool for predicting population dynamics. The Leslie matrix allows to categorize individuals based on various attributes and calculate the expected population sizes for various demographic categories in subsequent time intervals. The universality of the Leslie matrix extends to diverse life cycles in plants and animals, making it ubiquitous tool in non-human species. In the paper is presented detailed application of Leslie matrices to the problem of the two countries, demonstrating their practical value in solving real demographic problems. In conclusion, the Leslie matrix remains a cornerstone of demographic analysis, reflecting the complexity of population dynamics and providing a robust framework for understanding the intricate interplay of factors shaping human society. Its enduring relevance and adaptability make it an essential component in the toolkit of demographers and ecologists.

math.OC↗
arXiv2024

Auction theory and demography

In economics, there are many ways to describe the interaction between a "seller" and a "buyer". The most common one, with which we interact almost every day, is selling for a fixed price. This option is perfect for selling a mass product, when we have a number of sellers and many buyers, and the price for the product varies depending on the conditions of the relationship between supply and demand. Another situation meets us already in markets, where a product can be either mass-produced or more unique, so this option is already closer to the object of our discussion.However, a one-on-one transaction is a much more unstable option, which is why it is also more difficult to model, since it is determined not so much by algorithms as by psychology and the difference in the bargaining ability of the two parties. An even closer example of an auction is price discrimination, when the price for the buyer is determined not only by supply and demand, but also by which group the buyer belongs to. But in this case, the product is not unique, and the final seller is the only one. Thus, we have identified the main auction criteria and their features of the "game".

q-fin.GN↗
arXiv2024

Game theory in the case of a geopolitical operation between two persons

This article explores the interaction of two agents during a geopolitical operation. Collaborative work is considered, rather than being done alone. However, each agent has the goal of maximizing personal net profit. We will have 3 different situations depending on the order of the players moves, in each of which we will present the game in both expanded and normal form. In each of them we find optimal strategies for both players and possible Nash equilibrium.

math.OC↗
arXiv2024

A game theoretic model of preventive demographic measures

The article constructs a game-theoretic model of preventive measures for the antagonistic game with nature, that is such a model in which two participants take part, one of which is a regulating body (government) that makes legislative decisions depending on the emerging external and internal conditions affecting the course of the demographic process, the second participant - internal and external conditions of the environment (nature). An example of such a game is given and the optimal strategy for the government is calculated.

math.OC↗
arXiv2023

Game theoretical models of geopolitical processes. Part I

In this paper, the interaction of geopolitical actors in the production and sale of military equipment is studied. In section 2 the production of military equipment is considered as the two person zero-sum game. In such game, the strategies of the players are defined by the information state of the actors. The optimal strategy of geopolitical actors is found. In section 3, the conflict process is considered, the optimal strategy is determined for each geopolitical actor.

econ.GN↗
arXiv2022

IT companies: the specifics of social networks valuation

The study discusses the main features which affect the IT companies valuation on the example of social networks. The relevance of the chosen topic is due to the fact that people live in the information age now, and information technologies surround us everywhere. Because of this, social networks have become very popular. They assist people to communicate with each other despite of the time and distance. Social networks are also companies that operate in order to generate income therefore their owners need to know how promising and profitable their business is. The social networks differ from traditional companies in this case the purpose of the research is determining the features of social networks that affect the accuracy and adequacy of the results of company valuation. The paper reviews the definitions of information technology, social networks, history, types of social networks, distinguishing features based on domestic and foreign literature. There are analyzed methods of assessing the value of Internet companies, their characteristics and methods of application. There is the six social networks evaluation was assessed in the practical part of the study: Facebook, Twitter, Pinterest, Snapchat, Sina Weibo and Vkontakte on the basis of the literature studied and the methods for evaluating the Internet companies which recommended in it, including the method of discounting the cash flow of the company as part of the income approach and the multiplier method as part of a comparative approach. Based on the analysis, the features that affect the social networks valuation are identified.

econ.GN↗
arXiv2019

Dynamic investment model of the life cycle of a company under the influence of factors in a competitive environment

Modelling all possible life cycles of a company in a highly competitive economic environment gives a significant advantage to the owner in his business investment activities. This article proposes and analyses a dynamic model of a company's life cycle with known action costs and transition probabilities, that can be affected by an outside influence. For this task, the Markov model was utilized. The proposed model is illustrated on a task of determining an advertising policy for a car dealership, that would increase the stock equity of a company. The result demonstrates the usefulness of a model for use in determining future actions of a company. We also review multiple models of the influence of outside factors on a company's total capitalization.

q-fin.GN↗
arXiv2019

Lattice investment projects support process model with corruption

Lattice investment projects support process model with corruption is formulated and analyzed. The model is based on the Ising lattice model of ferromagnetic but takes deal with the social phenomenon. Set of corruption agents is considered. It is supposed that agents are placed in sites of the lattice. Agents take decision about participation in corruption activity at discrete moments of time. The decision may lead to profit or to loss. It depends on prehistory of the system. Profit and its dynamics are defined by stochastic Markov process. Stochastic nature of the process models influence of external and individual factors on agents profits. The model is formulated algorithmically and is studied by means of computer simulation. Numerical results are given which demonstrate different asymptotic state of a corruption network for various conditions of simulation.

q-fin.MF↗
arXiv2019

Psychological model of the investor and manager behavior in risk

All people have to make risky decisions in everyday life. And we do not know how true they are. But is it possible to mathematically assess the correctness of our choice? This article discusses the model of decision making under risk on the example of project management. This is a game with two players, one of which is Investor, and the other is the Project Manager. Each player makes a risky decision for himself, based on his past experience. With the help of a mathematical model, the players form a level of confidence, depending on who the player accepts the strategy or does not accept. The project manager assesses the costs and compares them with the level of confidence. An investor evaluates past results. Also visit the case where the strategy of the player accepts the part.

q-fin.RM↗
arXiv2018

Investment projects implementation with production facilities location taking into account the environmental pollution

When implementing an investment projects a problem of production facilities location with taking into account the environmental pollution arises. A mathematical model of the industrial enterprises location in the region is formalized and studied in this paper. It is necessary to locate objects polluting the environment in such way as to maximize the total income of the players. The total income is calculated as income from the activities of enterprises, minus the funds that are spent on the recover damage to the environment. This problem is formalized as a non-cooperative game with n players that exploit common sources -- natural objects. Numerical example is solved.

math.OC↗
arXiv2018

Preventive Equipment Repair Planning Model

Any large functioning system consists of equipment that needs to be repaired during its lifetime. The methods of mathematical programming are used to formalize the optimization problem of preventive equipment repair planning in this paper. The method is used to find the annual optimal plan of preventive equipment repair. The goal of such plan is the uniform distribution of repair works by the months. It is supposed, that the deviation from the standard plan of repair works can not be more than one month. An algorithm to find the optimal plan of repair works is provided. A numerical example is given.

math.OC↗
arXiv2018

Parallel computing as a congestion game

Game-theoretical approach to the analysis of parallel algorithms is proposed. The approach is based on presentation of the parallel computing as a congestion game. In the game processes compete for resources such as core of a central processing unit and a communication subsystem. There are players, resources and payoffs (time delays) of players which depend on resources usage. Comparative analysis of various optimality principles in the proposed model may be performed.

cs.DC↗
arXiv2018

Game-theoretical model of cooperation between producers in a production process: 3-agent interaction case

A network model of manufacturing system is considered. This is a network formation game where players are participants of a production process and their actions are their's requests for interaction. Production networks are formed as a result of an interaction. Players' payoff functions are defined on the set of all possible networks. In this paper the special case of network formation games is considered. Payoff functions are supposed to be additive and depend on subsets of arcs. Two cases are considered. First, subsets of arcs are supposed to be not intersected. The necessary and sufficient conditions for equilibrium are given for this case. The second case is the one where subsets of arcs are determined by 3-agent coalitions. An illustrative example is given where equilibria and a compromise solution are found.

math.OC↗
arXiv2017

Modeling of the Labour Force Redistribution in Investment Projects with Account of their Delay

The mathematical model of the labour force redistribution in investment projects is presented in the article. The redistribution mode of funds, labour force in particular, according to the equal risk approach applied to the loss of some assets due to delay in all the investment projects is provided in the model. The sample of the developed model for three investment projects with the specified labour force volumes and their defined unit costs at the particular moment is given.

econ.GN↗
arXiv2017

Stability in the process with lag of interaction between mining and processing industries

A mathematical model of dynamic interaction between mining and processing industries is formalized and studied in the paper. The process of interaction is described by a system of two delay differential equations. The criterion for asymptotic stability of nontrivial equilibrium point is obtained when both industries co-work steadily. The problem is reduced to finding stability criterion for quasi-polynomial of second order. Time intervals between deliveries of raw materials which make it possible to preserve stable interaction between the two industries are found.

math.OC↗