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Octavio César Mesner

Publications and source records attributed to Octavio César Mesner.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

The Harmonic Entropy Estimator: Minimax Optimality and Semiparametric Efficiency for Infinite Alphabets

Shannon entropy estimation for discrete distributions is a classical nonparametric problem whose statistical limits are well characterized under finite support. Whether minimax and efficiency guarantees extend to infinite-support distributions remains open, in part because the expectation and variance of logarithm-transformed multinomial counts lack closed forms, forcing analyses to rely on bounding arguments rather than exact moment expressions. We address this obstacle with an algebraic framework built on an exact identity relating harmonic-transformed counts to their log-probabilities, yielding the harmonic entropy estimator. With this framework, we obtain two main results characterizing the statistical limits of this problem for distributions with sufficiently fast-decaying tails. First, for the class of distributions with at least quadratically decaying tails ($p_j \lesssim j^{-2}$), we establish that the $L_2$-minimax convergence rate is $1/n$, a rate anchored by estimator variance for both finite- and infinite-support distributions. Second, under the stronger condition $p_j = o(j^{-2})$, we demonstrate that the harmonic estimator is semiparametrically efficient: $\sqrt{n}[\hat{H}(\mathbf{X}_n) - H(X)]$ converges weakly to a normal distribution with variance achieving the semiparametric efficiency bound, $\mathrm{Var}[\log p(X)]$. Furthermore, the harmonic estimator is universally less biased than the plug-in estimator by circumventing the approximation error inherent to expectations of logarithm-transformed counts. More broadly, the harmonic approach may provide a foundation for developing new theory in entropy-based estimation, such as inference for mutual information under similar nonparametric regimes.

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Conditional Mutual Information Estimation for Mixed Discrete and Continuous Variables with Nearest Neighbors

Fields like public health, public policy, and social science often want to quantify the degree of dependence between variables whose relationships take on unknown functional forms. Typically, in fact, researchers in these fields are attempting to evaluate causal theories, and so want to quantify dependence after conditioning on other variables that might explain, mediate or confound causal relations. One reason conditional mutual information is not more widely used for these tasks is the lack of estimators which can handle combinations of continuous and discrete random variables, common in applications. This paper develops a new method for estimating mutual and conditional mutual information for data samples containing a mix of discrete and continuous variables. We prove that this estimator is consistent and show, via simulation, that it is more accurate than similar estimators.

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