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Oguzhan Celebi

Publications and source records attributed to Oguzhan Celebi.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Misrepresentation in District-Based Elections

State delegations are often chosen through single-member district elections, creating a tension between respecting district majorities and reflecting the statewide electorate. First-past-the-post (FPTP) follows each district's majority but can yield a delegation seat share far from the party's statewide vote share. In contrast, proportional representation (PR), which makes a party's seat share correspond to its statewide vote share, requires departing from local majorities in some districts. We measure misrepresentation as a weighted sum of within-district misrepresentation, measured by the share of voters locally represented by their non-preferred party, and statewide misrepresentation, measured by the deviation of a party's seat share from its statewide vote share. The misrepresentation-minimizing rule is a cutoff rule determined by the relative weight of statewide misrepresentation. As this weight rises, the cutoff continuously shifts from FPTP's 50% to the PR cutoff that aligns the delegation's seat share with statewide vote shares. This shift makes gerrymandering harder, offering an alternative lever to limit gerrymandering. Using a majorization-based metric of geographic concentration, we show that concentrating support reduces misrepresentation only under the misrepresentation-minimizing rule. Within this class, FPTP and PR are uniquely characterized by the absence of cross-district spillovers and by gerrymandering-proofness, respectively. Using U.S. House elections, we infer the weights that rationalize outcomes, offering a novel metric for evaluating representativeness of district boundaries and electoral reform proposals.

econ.TH

Diversity Preferences, Affirmative Action and Choice Rules

I study the relationship between diversity preferences and the choice rules implemented by institutions, with a particular focus on the affirmative action policies. I characterize the choice rules that can be rationalized by diversity preferences and demonstrate that the recently rescinded affirmative action mechanism used to allocate government positions in India cannot be rationalized. I show that if institutions evaluate diversity without considering intersectionality of identities, their choices cannot satisfy the crucial substitutes condition. I characterize choice rules that satisfy the substitutes condition and are rationalizable by preferences that are separable in diversity and match quality domains.

econ.TH

Adaptive Priority Mechanisms

How should authorities that care about match quality and diversity allocate resources when they are uncertain about the market? We introduce adaptive priority mechanisms (APM) that prioritize agents based on both their scores and characteristics. We derive an APM that is optimal and show that the ubiquitous priority and quota mechanisms are optimal if and only if the authority is risk-neutral or extremely risk-averse over diversity, respectively. With many authorities, each authority using the optimal APM is dominant and implements the unique stable matching. Using Chicago Public Schools data, we find that the gains from adopting APM may be considerable.

econ.TH

Substitutability in Favor Exchange

I introduce a favor exchange model where favors are substitutable and study bilateral enforcement of cooperation. Without substitutability, the value of a relationship does not depend on the rest of the network, and in equilibrium there is either no cooperation or universal cooperation. When favors are substitutable, each additional relationship is less valuable than the previous, and intermediate levels of cooperation are observed. I extend the model to allow for transfers, heterogeneous players, and multilateral enforcement. My results can explain the stratification of social networks in post-Soviet states and the adoption of different enforcement mechanisms by different groups of medieval traders.

econ.TH