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Okan Akca

Publications and source records attributed to Okan Akca.

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Accelerating gas-network feasibility screening with a physics-informed graph neural network surrogate

Large-scale gas-network scenario evaluation is a computational bottleneck in integrated energy-system planning, particularly when gas infrastructure interacts with power, heat, hydrogen, and sector-coupling pathways. Conventional nonlinear hydraulic solvers provide reliable feasibility assessment but are costly for stochastic screening, whereas unconstrained learning-based surrogates may produce hydraulically infeasible states. This study develops a physics-informed graph neural network surrogate for steady-state gas-network simulation and feasibility screening. The model uses an edge-centric architecture to predict pipe-level squared-pressure differences and flows. A differentiable projection layer enforces nodal mass conservation on predicted flows, while a Laplacian reconstruction maps edge pressure differences to topologically consistent nodal pressures. The framework is evaluated on GasLib-134, GasLib-135, and GasLib-582 using stochastically generated operating scenarios. On the meshed 582-node benchmark trained with 5000 scenarios, the surrogate achieves a pressure mean absolute error of 1.05~bar, corresponding to 1.3\% of the realized pressure range, with $R^2 = 0.981$. Projected-flow predictions reach $R^2 = 0.972$, and mass-balance residuals are reduced to numerical precision, on the order of $10^{-5}$--$10^{-4}$~Nm$^3$/s. Compared with the MYNTS reference solver, inference is reduced from seconds to milliseconds, with the largest benchmark evaluated in less than 40~ms. Loadability and out-of-distribution stress-test evaluations demonstrate robust feasibility screening under high-load conditions, while strongly localized demand concentrations are identified as cases requiring solver-based verification near feasibility limits. The framework provides a physically constrained planning accelerator for high-volume scenario screening and prioritization.

cs.CE

From carbon management strategies to implementation: Modeling and physical simulation of CO2 pipeline infrastructure -- a case study for Germany

Carbon capture and storage or utilization (CCUS) will play an important role to achieve climate neutrality in many economies. Pipelines are widely regarded as the most efficient means of CO2 transport; however, they are currently non-existent. Policy-makers and companies need to develop large-scale infrastructure under substantial uncertainty. Methods and analyses are needed to support pipeline planning and strategy development. This paper presents an integrated method for designing CO2 pipeline networks by combining energy system scenarios with physical network simulation. Using Germany as a case study in a projection to the year 2045, we derive spatially highly resolved CO2 balances to develop a dense-phase CO2 pipeline topology that follows existing gas pipeline corridors. The analyzed system includes existing sites for cement and lime production, waste incineration, carbon users, four coastal CO2 hubs, and border crossing points. We then apply the multiphysical network simulator MYNTS to assess the technical feasibility of this network. We determine pipeline diameters, pump locations, and operating conditions that ensure stable dense-phase transport. The method explicitly accounts for elevation and possible impurities.The results indicate that a system of about 7000 km pipeline length and a mixed normed diameter of DN700 on main corridors and of DN500/DN400 on branches presents a feasible solution to connect most sites. Investment costs for the optimized pipeline system are calculated to be about 17 billion Euros. The method provides a reproducible framework and is transferable to other countries and to European scope.

math.OC