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Oleksii Mostovyi

Publications and source records attributed to Oleksii Mostovyi.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

High-Order Expansions of the Optimizer Map via Bell Polynomials

Completely monotonic inverse marginal (CMIM) utilities, introduced in [MSZ24], constitute a tractable class of preferences that includes many of the most important utility functions used in mathematical finance, such as power and exponential utilities. In stochastically dominant markets, their Bernstein representation induces a hidden linear structure in the dual optimization problem that serves as the foundation for the present analysis. In this paper, we investigate the sensitivity of optimal investment with respect to perturbations of investor preferences within the CMIM class. Exploiting Bernstein's representation theorem, we show that, under stochastic dominance, affine perturbations of Bernstein measures induce an affine representation of the dual value function. As a result, the dependence of the optimization problem on preferences can be analyzed through a scalar budget equation, allowing us to prove analyticity of the associated Lagrange multiplier with respect to the perturbation parameter and to derive convergent analytic expansions of arbitrary order for the primal value function and the optimal terminal wealth, with explicit recursive formulas expressed through Bell polynomials.

q-fin.MF

The value of partial information

We investigate a pricing rule that is applicable for streams of income or contingent claim liabilities and study how this rule changes under additional insider-type information that an investor might obtain. Considering a model where the risky asset might have jumps, we obtain an explicit form of the associated state price density for the three different types of agents considered in [ER20]: one who has no information about the jumps, one who knows in advance exactly when the each jump will occur, and one who has no information about the size of the jumps but has partial information about the size of each jump. For each of these agents, we provide characterizations of the pricing rule and establish a representation formula, allowing us to quantify the value of partial information for streams of labor income or contingent claim liabilities. Our work is motivated by finding and characterizing a pricing rule that, both with or without partial information about jumps, assigns different values of information for different income streams or contingent claim liabilities.

q-fin.MF

The indifference value of the weak information

We propose indifference pricing to estimate the value of the weak information. Our framework allows for tractability, quantifying the amount of additional information, and permits the description of the smallness and the stability with respect to small perturbations of the weak information. We provide sharp conditions for the stability with counterexamples. The results rely on a theorem of independent interest on the stability of the optimal investment problem with respect to small changes in the physical probability measure. We also investigate contingent claims that are indifference price invariant with respect to changes in weak information. We show that, in incomplete models, the class of information-invariant claims includes the replicable claims, and it can be strictly bigger. In particular, in complete models, all contingent claims are information invariant. We augment the results with examples and counterexamples.

q-fin.MF

Stability of the Epstein-Zin problem

We investigate the stability of the Epstein-Zin problem with respect to small distortions in the dynamics of the traded securities. We work in incomplete market model settings, where our parametrization of perturbations allows for joint distortions in returns and volatility of the risky assets and the interest rate. Considering empirically the most relevant specifications of risk aversion and elasticity of intertemporal substitution, we provide a condition that guarantees the convexity of the domain of the underlying problem and results in the existence and uniqueness of a solution to it. Then, we prove the convergence of the optimal consumption streams, the associated wealth processes, the indirect utility processes, and the value functions in the limit when the model perturbations vanish.

q-fin.MF

Fair pricing and hedging under small perturbations of the numéraire on a finite probability space

We consider the problem of fair pricing and hedging under small perturbations of the numéraire. We show that for replicable claims, the change of numéraire affects neither the fair price nor the hedging strategy. For non-replicable claims, we demonstrate that is not the case. By reformulating the key stochastic control problem in a more tractable form, we show that both the fair price and optimal strategy are stable with respect to small perturbations of the numéraire. Further, our approach allows for explicit asymptotic formulas describing the fair price and hedging strategy's leading order correction terms. Mathematically, our results constitute stability and asymptotic analysis of a stochastic control problem under certain perturbations of the integrator of the controlled process, where constraints make this problem hard to analyze.

q-fin.PR

Stability and asymptotic analysis of the Föllmer-Schweizer decomposition on a finite probability space

First, we consider the problem of hedging in complete binomial models. Using the discrete-time Föllmer-Schweizer decomposition, we demonstrate the equivalence of the backward induction and sequential regression approaches. Second, in incomplete trinomial models, we examine the extension of the sequential regression approach for approximation of contingent claims. Then, on a finite probability space, we investigate stability of the discrete-time Föllmer-Schweizer decomposition with respect to perturbations of the stock price dynamics and, finally, perform its asymptotic analysis under simultaneous perturbations of the drift and volatility of the underlying discounted stock price process, where we prove stability and obtain explicit formulas for the leading order correction terms.

q-fin.MF

Stability of the indirect utility process

We investigate the dynamic stability of the indirect utility process associated with a (possibly suboptimal) trading strategy under perturbations of the market. Establishing the reverse conjugacy characterizations first, we prove continuity and first-order convergence of the indirect-utility process under simultaneous perturbations of the finite variation and martingale parts of the return of the risky asset.

math.PR

Asymptotic analysis of the expected utility maximization problem with respect to perturbations of the numéraire

In an incomplete model, where under an appropriate numéraire, the stock price process is driven by a sigma-bounded semimartingale, we investigate the behavior of the expected utility maximization problem under small perturbations of the numéraire. We establish a quadratic approximation of the value function and a first-order expansion of the terminal wealth. Relying on a description of the base return process in terms of its semimartingale characteristics, we also construct wealth processes and nearly optimal strategies that allow for matching the primal value function up to the second order. We also link perturbations of the numéraire to distortions of the finite-variation part and martingale part of the stock price return and characterize the asymptotic expansions in terms of the risk-tolerance wealth process.

math.PR

Differentiation of measures on a non-separable space, and the Radon-Nikodym theorem

Given positive measures $ν,μ$ on an arbitrary measurable space $(Ω, \mathcal F)$, we construct a sequence of finite partitions $(π_n)_n$ of $(Ω, \mathcal F)$ s.t. $$ \sum_{A\in π_n: μ(A)>0} 1_{A} \frac{ν(A)}{μ(A)} \longrightarrow \frac{dν^a}{dμ} \quad μ\text{ a.e. as } n\to \infty . $$ As an application, we modify the probabilistic proof of the Radon-Nikodym Theorem so that it uses convergence along a properly chosen sequence (instead of along a net), and so that it does not rely on the martingale convergence theorem (nor any probability theory), obtaining a completely elementary proof.

math.CA

Optimal investment and consumption with labor income in incomplete markets

We consider the problem of optimal consumption from labor income and investment in a general incomplete semimartingale market. The economic agent cannot borrow against future income, so the total wealth is required to be positive at (all or some) previous times. Under very general conditions, we show that an optimal consumption and investment plan exists and is unique, and provide a dual characterization in terms of martingale deflators and decreasing parts, which allow for a limit that charges only the times when the no-borrowing constraint is binding. The analysis relies on the infinite-dimensional parametrization of the income/liability streams and, therefore, provides the first-order dependence of the optimal investment and consumption plans on future income/liabilities (as well as a pricing rule). An emphasis is placed on mathematical generality.

math.PR

Optimal consumption of multiple goods in incomplete markets

We consider the problem of optimal consumption of multiple goods in incomplete semimartingale markets. We formulate the dual problem and identify conditions that allow for existence and uniqueness of the solution and give a characterization of the optimal consumption strategy in terms of the dual optimizer. We illustrate our results with examples in both complete and incomplete models. In particular, we construct closed-form solutions in some incomplete models.

q-fin.MF

Optimal investment with intermediate consumption under no unbounded profit with bounded risk

We consider the problem of optimal investment with intermediate consumption in a general semimartingale model of an incomplete market, with preferences being represented by a utility stochastic field. We show that the key conclusions of the utility maximization theory hold under the assumptions of no unbounded profit with bounded risk (NUPBR) and of the finiteness of both primal and dual value functions.

q-fin.PM

Sensitivity analysis of the utility maximization problem with respect to model perturbations

We study the sensitivity of the expected utility maximization problem in a continuous semi-martingale market with respect to small changes in the market price of risk. Assuming that the preferences of a rational economic agent are modeled with a general utility function, we obtain a second-order expansion of the value function, a first-order approximation of the terminal wealth, and construct trading strategies that match the indirect utility function up to the second order. If a risk-tolerance wealth process exists, using it as a numéraire and under an appropriate change of measure, we reduce the approximation problem to a Kunita-Watanabe decomposition.

q-fin.PM

An expansion in the model space in the context of utility maximization

In the framework of an incomplete financial market where the stock price dynamics are modeled by a continuous semimartingale (not necessarily Markovian) an explicit second-order expansion formula for the power investor's value function - seen as a function of the underlying market price of risk process - is provided. This allows us to provide first-order approximations of the optimal primal and dual controls. Two specific calibrated numerical examples illustrating the accuracy of the method are also given.

q-fin.PM

Utility maximization in the large markets

In the large financial market, which is described by a model with countably many traded assets, we formulate the problem of the expected utility maximization. Assuming that the preferences of an economic agent are modeled with a stochastic utility and that the consumption occurs according to a stochastic clock, we obtain the "usual" conclusions of the utility maximization theory. We also give a characterization of the value function in the large market in terms of a sequence of the value functions in the finite-dimensional models.

q-fin.PM

Optimal investment with intermediate consumption and random endowment

We consider a problem of optimal investment with intermediate consumption and random endowment in an incomplete semimartingale model of a financial market. We establish the key assertions of the utility maximization theory assuming that both primal and dual value functions are finite in the interiors of their domains as well as that random endowment at maturity can be dominated by the terminal value of a self-financing wealth process. In order to facilitate verification of these conditions, we present alternative, but equivalent conditions, under which the conclusions of the theory hold.

q-fin.PM

On the Stability the Least Squares Monte Carlo

Consider Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) algorithm, which is proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) for pricing American style securities. This algorithm is based on the projection of the value of continuation onto a certain set of basis functions via the least squares problem. We analyze the stability of the algorithm when the number of exercise dates increases and prove that, if the underlying process for the stock price is continuous, then the regression problem is ill-conditioned for small values of the time parameter.

q-fin.CP