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Olfa Draouil

Publications and source records attributed to Olfa Draouil.

12 recordsLinked to original sources

A time-fractional Kalman filter

We study a linear filtering problem in which the signal process is described by a time-fractional linear stochastic differential equation driven by Brownian motion. We derive a stochastic integral equation for the conditional mean alongside a Riccati--Volterra type integral equation for the mean-square error function. As a core application, we introduce a time-fractional state-estimation framework for modelling learning trajectories in children with developmental dyscalculia.

math.PR

Efficient Computation Of Sensitivities For Derivatives In Energy Markets

In this study, we develop a stochastic framework for computing Delta sensitivities in energy markets, where both prices and traded volumes are modeled as correlated stochastic processes. Within this framework, we analyze two complementary approaches for sensitivity analysis: the density method, which is applicable when the density of the underlying process is known, and the Malliavin calculus method, which does not require any explicit knowledge of the density and relies only on the dynamics of the processes. We present illustrative examples for both methods. For the density-based approach, we consider Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and CARMA processes to model prices and energy volumes. For the Malliavin calculus approach, we study Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, jump diffusion driven by a compound Poisson process, time-changed Brownian motion processes subordinated by an inverse Gaussian (IG) process, as well as Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by a normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) process. We provide some numerical examples illustrating the implementation of the proposed formulas and demonstrating a close agreement between the resulting delta estimates.

math.PR

The stochastic heat inclusion with fractional time driven by time-space Brownian and Lévy white noise

We study a time-fractional stochastic heat inclusion driven by additive time-space Brownian and Lévy white noise. The fractional time derivative is interpreted as the Caputo derivative of order $α\in (0,2).$ We show the following: \\ a) If a solution exists, then it is a fixed point of a specific set-valued map.\\ b) Conversely, any fixed point of this map is a solution of the heat inclusion.\\ c) Finally, we show that there is at least one fixed point of this map, thereby proving that there is at least one solution of the time-fractional stochastic heat inclusion. A solution $Y(t,x)$ is called \emph{mild} if $\E[Y^2(t,x)] < \infty$ for all $t,x$. We show that the solution is mild if\\ $α=1$ \& $d=1,$ \ or \ $α\geq 1$ \& $d\in \{1,2\}$. On the other hand, if $α< 1$ we show that the solution is not mild for any space dimension $d$.

math.PR

Multiparameter Lévy white noise theory and applications

We construct a white noise theory and white noise calculus for the (multi-parameter) L\' evy sheet and its compensated Poisson random measures. The theory applies to stochastic partial differential equations subject to L\' evy noise.

math.PR

A new approach to optimal stopping for Hunt processes

In this paper we present a new verification theorem for optimal stopping problems for Hunt processes. The approach is based on the Fukushima-Dynkin formula, and its advantage is that it allows us to verify that a given function is the value function without using the viscosity solution argument. Our verification theorem works in any dimension. We illustrate our results with some examples of optimal stopping of reflected diffusions and absorbed diffusions.

math.OC

A white noise approach to optimal insider control of systems with delay

We use a white noise approach to study the problem of optimal inside control of a stochastic delay equation driven by a Brownian motion B and a Poisson random measure N. In particular, we use Hida-Malliavin calculus and the Donsker delta functional to study the problem. We establish a sufficient and a necessary maximum principle for the optimal control when the trader from the beginning has inside information about the future value of some random variable related to the system.These results are applied to the problem of optimal inside harvesting control in a population modelled by a stochastic delay equation. Next, we apply a direct white noise method to find the optimal insider portfolio in a financial market where the risky asset price is given by a stochastic delay equation. A classical result of Pikovski and Karatzas shows that when the inside information is B(T), where T is the terminal time of the trading period, then the market is not viable. Our results show that with this inside information the market is not viable even if there is delay in the equations.

math.OC

Viable Insider Markets

We consider the problem of optimal inside portfolio $π(t)$ in a financial market with a corresponding wealth process $X(t)=X^π(t)$ modelled by \begin{align}\label{eq0.1} \begin{cases} dX(t)&=π(t)X(t)[α(t)dt+β(t)dB(t)]; \quad t\in[0, T] X(0)&=x_0>0, \end{cases} \end{align} where $B(\cdot)$ is a Brownian motion. We assume that the insider at time $t$ has access to market information $\varepsilon_t>0$ units ahead of time, in addition to the history of the market up to time $t$. The problem is to find an insider portfolio $π^{*}$ which maximizes the expected logarithmic utility $J(π)$ of the terminal wealth, i.e. such that $$\sup_πJ(π)= J(π^{*}), \text {where } J(π)= \mathbb{E}[\log(X^π(T))].$$ The insider market is called \emph{viable} if this value is finite. We study under what inside information flow $\mathbb{H}$ the insider market is viable or not. For example, assume that for all $t<T$ the insider knows the value of $B(t+ε_t)$, where $t + ε_t \geq T$ converges monotonically to $T$ from above as $t$ goes to $T$ from below. Then (assuming that the insider has a perfect memory) at time $t$ she has the inside information $\mathcal{H}_t$, consisting of the history $\mathcal{F}_t$ of $B(s); 0 \leq s \leq t$ plus all the values of Brownian motion in the interval $[t+ε_t, ε_0]$, i.e. we have the enlarged filtration \begin{equation}\label{eq0.2} \mathbb{H}=\{\mathcal{H}_t\}_{t\in[0.T]},\quad \mathcal{H}_t=\mathcal{F}_t\veeσ(B(t+ε_t+r),0\leq r \leq ε_0-t-ε_t), \forall t\in [0,T]. \end{equation} Using forward integrals, Hida-Malliavin calculus and Donsker delta functionals we show that if $$\int_0^T\frac{1}{\varepsilon_t}dt=\infty,$$ then the insider market is not viable.

q-fin.MF

Optimal insider control of stochastic Volterra equations

We study the problem of optimal inside control of a stochastic Volterra equation driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure. We prove a sufficient and a necessary maximum principle for the optimal control when the trader has only partial information available to her decisions and on the other hand, may have some inside information about the future of the system. The results are applied to the problem of finding the optimal insider portfolio in a financial market where the risky asset price is given by a stochastic Volterra equation.

math.OC

Optimal insider control of stochastic partial differential equations

We study the problem of optimal inside control of an SPDE (a stochastic evolution equation) driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure. Our optimal control problem is new in two ways: (i) The controller has access to inside information, i.e. access to information about a future state of the system, (ii) The integro-differential operator of the SPDE might depend on the control. In the first part of the paper, we formulate a sufficient and a necessary maximum principle for this type of control problem, in two cases: (1) When the control is allowed to depend both on time t and on the space variable x. (2) When the control is not allowed to depend on x. In the second part of the paper, we apply the results above to the problem of optimal control of an SDE system when the inside controller has only noisy observations of the state of the system. Using results from nonlinear filtering, we transform this noisy observation SDE inside control problem into a full observation SPDE insider control problem. The results are illustrated by explicit examples.

math.OC

A Donsker delta functional approach to optimal insider control and applications to finance

We study \emph{optimal insider control problems}, i.e. optimal control problems of stochastic systems where the controller at any time $t$ in addition to knowledge about the history of the system up to this time, also has additional information related to a \emph{future} value of the system. Since this puts the associated controlled systems outside the context of semimartingales, we apply anticipative white noise analysis, including forward integration and Hida-Malliavin calculus to study the problem. Combining this with Donsker delta functionals we transform the insider control problem into a classical (but parametrised) adapted control system, albeit with a non-classical performance functional. We establish a sufficient and a necessary maximum principle for such systems. Then we apply the results to obtain explicit solutions for some optimal insider portfolio problems in financial markets described by It\^ o-L\' evy processes. Finally, in the Appendix we give a brief survey of the concepts and results we need from the theory of white noise, forward integrals and Hida-Malliavin calculus.

math.OC

Stochastic differential games with inside information

We study stochastic differential games of jump diffusions, where the players have access to inside information. Our approach is based on anticipative stochastic calculus, white noise, Hida-Malliavin calculus, forward integrals and the Donsker delta functional. We obtain a characterization of Nash equilibria of such games in terms of the corresponding Hamiltonians. This is used to study applications to insider games in finance, specifically optimal insider consumption and optimal insider portfolio under model uncertainty.

math.OC