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Oliver Schulz

Publications and source records attributed to Oliver Schulz.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

HS3: A Descriptive, Interoperable Serialization Standard for Statistical Models in High-Energy Physics

Statistical models in high-energy physics formally encode the relationship between observed data, physics parameters of interest, and experimental and theoretical uncertainties. Likelihood-based inference is the central tool for precision measurements, effective field theory fits, and cross-analysis combinations. Consequently, there is an increasing need for machine-readable, descriptive, and portable model representations. Existing formats such as ROOT workspaces, pyhf JSON, and CMS DataCards provide valuable capabilities but remain tied to specific software stacks and offer no universal standard for exchange, validation, or long-term preservation. We introduce HS3, the High-Energy Physics Statistics Serialization Standard, an implementation-agnostic, human-readable, and extensible serialization format for statistical models. HS3 is designed such that new statistical constructs can be incorporated through backward-compatible extensions, while inference procedures and implementation-specific execution details remain the responsibility of downstream frameworks. HS3 represents likelihoods as computational graphs composed of named distributions, functions, datasets, domains, and analysis prescriptions. It supports binned and unbinned likelihoods as well as hierarchical composite models. HS3 is convertible from and to ROOT/RooFit and is a superset of pyhf. We describe the design principles, structure, and semantics of HS3 and summarize existing implementations in C++, Python, and Julia. We also present early applications to public likelihoods on HEPData, cross-framework validation, and reproducibility efforts. HS3 provides a foundation for FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, Reusable), long-lived statistical models at the LHC and beyond. The standard is intended to serve the broader scientific community and to evolve over time for application across a wide range of domains.

hep-ex

Compton imaging of undepleted volumes of germanium detectors

The shape of the undepleted volume of a p-type high-purity Broad Energy Germanium detector, dependent on the bias voltage, has been imaged by measuring spatially-resolved Compton-scattering efficiency. The bias voltage was raised stepwise from $-50\,\text{V}$ to the full-depletion voltage. The geometric acceptance was determined at full depletion. Below full depletion, the relative acceptance observed for $2\times2\times2\,\text{mm}^3$ voxels was used to create the image of the undepleted volume for each bias voltage. The images were used to extract the impurity density profile of the detector by fitting predictions of the open-source software package SolidStateDetectors$.$jl to the images. The result is shown and compared to the impurity density profile deduced from capacitance measurements. This is the first time that three-dimensional images of the undepleted volumes of a germanium detector have become available and have been used to deduce an impurity density profile.

physics.ins-det

Julia in HEP

Julia is a mature general-purpose programming language, with a large ecosystem of libraries and more than 12000 third-party packages, which specifically targets scientific computing. As a language, Julia is as dynamic, interactive, and accessible as Python with NumPy, but achieves run-time performance on par with C/C++. In this paper, we describe the state of adoption of Julia in HEP, where momentum has been gathering over a number of years. HEP-oriented Julia packages can already, via UnROOT.jl, read HEP's major file formats, including TTree and RNTuple. Interfaces to some of HEP's major software packages, such as through Geant4.jl, are available too. Jet reconstruction algorithms in Julia show excellent performance. A number of full HEP analyses have been performed in Julia. We show how, as the support for HEP has matured, developments have benefited from Julia's core design choices, which makes reuse from and integration with other packages easy. In particular, libraries developed outside HEP for plotting, statistics, fitting, and scientific machine learning are extremely useful. We believe that the powerful combination of flexibility and speed, the wide selection of scientific programming tools, and support for all modern programming paradigms and tools, make Julia the ideal choice for a future language in HEP.

hep-ex

Bias-Free Estimation of Signals on Top of Unknown Backgrounds

We present a method for obtaining unbiased signal estimates in the presence of a significant unknown background, eliminating the need for a parametric model for the background itself. Our approach is based on a minimal set of conditions for observation and background estimators, which are typically satisfied in practical scenarios. To showcase the effectiveness of our method, we apply it to simulated data from the planned dielectric axion haloscope MADMAX.

astro-ph.IM

PartonDensity.jl: a novel parton density determination code

We introduce our novel Bayesian parton density determination code, PartonDensity.jl. The motivation for this new code, the framework and its validation are described. As we show, PartonDensity.jl provides both a flexible environment for the determination of parton densities and a wealth of information concerning the knowledge update provided by the analyzed data set.

hep-ph

New constraints on the up-quark valence distribution in the proton

The high-$x$ data from the ZEUS Collaboration are used to extract parton density distributions of the proton deep in the perturbative regime of QCD. The data primarily constrain the up-quark valence distribution and new results are presented on its $x$-dependence as well as on the momentum carried by the up-quark. The results were obtained using Bayesian analysis methods which can serve as a model for future parton density extractions.

hep-ph

Impact of the Euro 2020 championship on the spread of COVID-19

Large-scale events like the UEFA Euro~2020 football (soccer) championship offer a unique opportunity to quantify the impact of gatherings on the spread of COVID-19, as the number and dates of matches played by participating countries resembles a randomized study. Using Bayesian modeling and the gender imbalance in COVID-19 data, we attribute 840,000 (95% CI: [0.39M, 1.26M]) COVID-19 cases across 12 countries to the championship. The impact depends non-linearly on the initial incidence, the reproduction number $R$, and the number of matches played. The strongest effects are seen in Scotland and England, where as much as 10,000 primary cases per million inhabitants occur from championship-related gatherings. The average match-induced increase in $R$ was 0.46 [0.18, 0.75] on match days, but important matches caused an increase as large as +3. Altogether, our results provide quantitative insights that help judge and mitigate the impact of large-scale events on pandemic spread.

q-bio.PE

Temperature Dependence of the Electron-Drift Anisotropy and Implications for the Electron-Drift Model

The electron drift in germanium detectors is modeled making many assumptions. Confronted with data, these assumptions have to be revisited. The temperature dependence of the drift of electrons was studied in detail for an n-type segmented point-contact germanium detector. The detector was mounted in a temperature controlled, electrically cooled cryostat. Surface events were induced with collimated 81 keV photons from a $^{133}$Ba source. A detailed analysis of the rise time of pulses collected in surface scans, performed at different temperatures, is presented. The longitudinal anisotropy of the electron drift decreases with rising temperature. A new approach, making use of designated rise-time windows determined by simulations using SolidStateDetectors$.$jl, was used to isolate the longitudinal drift of electrons along different axes to quantify this observation. The measured temperature dependence of the longitudinal drift velocities combined with the standard electron drift model as widely used in relevant simulation packages results in unphysical predictions. A first suggestion to modify the electron-drift model is motivated and described. The results of a first implementation of the modified model in SolidStateDetectors$.$jl are shown. They describe the data reasonably well. A general review of the model and the standard input values for mobilities is suggested.

physics.ins-det

Bayesian inference of high-purity germanium detector impurities based on capacitance measurements and machine-learning accelerated capacitance calculations

The impurity density in high-purity germanium detectors is crucial to understand and simulate such detectors. However, the information about the impurities provided by the manufacturer, based on Hall effect measurements, is typically limited to a few locations and comes with a large uncertainty. As the voltage dependence of the capacitance matrix of a detector strongly depends on the impurity density distribution, capacitance measurements can provide a path to improve the knowledge on the impurities. The novel method presented here uses a machine-learned surrogate model, trained on precise GPU-accelerated capacitance calculations, to perform full Bayesian inference of impurity distribution parameters from capacitance measurements. All steps use open-source Julia software packages. Capacitances are calculated with SolidStateDetectors$.$jl, machine learning is done with Flux$.$jl and Bayesian inference performed using BAT$.$jl. The capacitance matrix of a detector and its dependence on the impurity density is explained and a capacitance bias-voltage scan of an n-type true-coaxial test detector is presented. The study indicates that the impurity density of the test detector also has a radial dependence.

physics.ins-det

Discovering neutrinoless double-beta decay in the era of precision neutrino cosmology

We evaluate the discovery probability of a combined analysis of proposed neutrinoless double-beta decay experiments in a scenario with normal ordered neutrino masses. The discovery probability strongly depends on the value of the lightest neutrino mass, ranging from zero in case of vanishing masses and up to 80-90\% for values just below the current constraints. We study the discovery probability in different scenarios, focusing on the exciting prospect in which cosmological surveys will measure the sum of neutrino masses. Uncertainties in nuclear matrix element calculations partially compensate each other when data from different isotopes are available. Although a discovery is not granted, the theoretical motivations for these searches and the presence of scenarios with high discovery probability strongly motivates the proposed international, multi-isotope experimental program.

hep-ph

Identification and simulation of surface alpha events on passivated surfaces of germanium detectors and the influence of metalisation

Events from alpha interactions on the surfaces of germanium detectors are a major contribution to the background in germanium-based searches for neutrinoless double-beta decay. Surface events are subject to charge trapping, affecting their pulse shape and reconstructed energy. A study of alpha events on the passivated end-plate of a segmented true-coaxial n-type high-purity germanium detector is presented. Charge trapping is analysed in detail and an existing pulse-shape analysis technique to identify alpha events is verified with mirror pulses observed in the non-collecting channels of the segmented test detector. The observed radial dependence of charge trapping confirms previous results. A dependence of the probability of charge trapping on the crystal axes is observed for the first time. A first model to describe charge trapping effects within the framework of the simulation software SolidStateDetectors$.$jl is introduced. The influence of metalisation on events from low-energy gamma interactions close to the passivated surface is also presented.

physics.ins-det

A Global Bayesian Analysis of Neutrino Mass Data

We perform a global Bayesian analysis of currently available neutrino data, putting data from oscillation experiments, neutrinoless double beta decay ($0νββ$), and precision cosmology on an equal footing. We evaluate the discovery potential of future $0νββ$ experiments and the Bayes factor of the two possible neutrino mass ordering schemes for different prior choices. We show that the indication for normal ordering is still very mild and does not strongly depend on realistic prior assumptions or different combinations of cosmological data sets. We find a wide range for $0νββ$ discovery potential, depending on the absolute neutrino mass scale, mass ordering and achievable background level.

hep-ph

Parallelizing MCMC Sampling via Space Partitioning

Efficient sampling of many-dimensional and multimodal density functions is a task of great interest in many research fields. We describe an algorithm that allows parallelizing inherently serial Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by partitioning the space of the function parameters into multiple subspaces and sampling each of them independently. The samples of the different subspaces are then reweighted by their integral values and stitched back together. This approach allows reducing sampling wall-clock time by parallel operation. It also improves sampling of multimodal target densities and results in less correlated samples. Finally, the approach yields an estimate of the integral of the target density function.

stat.CO

BAT.jl -- A Julia-based tool for Bayesian inference

We describe the development of a multi-purpose software for Bayesian statistical inference, BAT.jl, written in the Julia language. The major design considerations and implemented algorithms are summarized here, together with a test suite that ensures the proper functioning of the algorithms. We also give an extended example from the realm of physics that demonstrates the functionalities of BAT.jl.

stat.CO

Integration with an Adaptive Harmonic Mean Algorithm

Numerically estimating the integral of functions in high dimensional spaces is a non-trivial task. A oft-encountered example is the calculation of the marginal likelihood in Bayesian inference, in a context where a sampling algorithm such as a Markov Chain Monte Carlo provides samples of the function. We present an Adaptive Harmonic Mean Integration (AHMI) algorithm. Given samples drawn according to a probability distribution proportional to the function, the algorithm will estimate the integral of the function and the uncertainty of the estimate by applying a harmonic mean estimator to adaptively chosen regions of the parameter space. We describe the algorithm and its mathematical properties, and report the results using it on multiple test cases.

physics.data-an

Modeling of GERDA Phase II data

The GERmanium Detector Array (GERDA) experiment at the Gran Sasso underground laboratory (LNGS) of INFN is searching for neutrinoless double-beta ($0νββ$) decay of $^{76}$Ge. The technological challenge of GERDA is to operate in a "background-free" regime in the region of interest (ROI) after analysis cuts for the full 100$\,$kg$\cdot$yr target exposure of the experiment. A careful modeling and decomposition of the full-range energy spectrum is essential to predict the shape and composition of events in the ROI around $Q_{ββ}$ for the $0νββ$ search, to extract a precise measurement of the half-life of the double-beta decay mode with neutrinos ($2νββ$) and in order to identify the location of residual impurities. The latter will permit future experiments to build strategies in order to further lower the background and achieve even better sensitivities. In this article the background decomposition prior to analysis cuts is presented for GERDA Phase II. The background model fit yields a flat spectrum in the ROI with a background index (BI) of $16.04^{+0.78}_{-0.85} \cdot 10^{-3}\,$cts/(kg$\cdot$keV$\cdot$yr) for the enriched BEGe data set and $14.68^{+0.47}_{-0.52} \cdot 10^{-3}\,$cts/(kg$\cdot$keV$\cdot$yr) for the enriched coaxial data set. These values are similar to the one of Gerda Phase I despite a much larger number of detectors and hence radioactive hardware components.

nucl-ex

Combustion regimes in sequential combustors: Flame propagation and autoignition at elevated temperature and pressure

This numerical study investigates the combustion modes in the second stage of a sequential combustor at atmospheric and high pressure. The sequential burner (SB) features a mixing section with fuel injection into a hot vitiated crossflow. Depending on the dominant combustion mode, a recirculation zone assists flame anchoring in the combustion chamber. The flame is located sufficiently downstream of the injector resulting in partially premixed conditions. First, combustion regime maps are obtained from 0-D and 1-D simulations showing the co-existence of three combustion modes: autoignition, flame propagation and flame propagation assisted by autoignition. These regime maps can be used to understand the combustion modes at play in turbulent sequential combustors, as shown with 3-D large eddy simulations (LES) with semi-detailed chemistry. In addition to the simulation of steady-state combustion at three different operating conditions, transient simulations are performed: (i) ignition of the combustor with autoignition as the dominant mode, (ii) ignition that is initiated by autoignition and that is followed by a transition to a propagation stabilized flame, and (iii) a transient change of the inlet temperature (decrease by 150 K) resulting into a change of the combustion regime. These results show the importance of the recirculation zone for the ignition and the anchoring of a propagating type flame. On the contrary, the autoignition flame stabilizes due to continuous self-ignition of the mixture and the recirculation zone does not play an important role for the flame anchoring.

physics.flu-dyn

Direct measurement of neutrons induced in lead by cosmic muons at a shallow underground site

Neutron production in lead by cosmic muons has been studied with a Gadolinium doped liquid scintillator detector. The detector was installed next to the Muon-Induced Neutron Indirect Detection EXperiment (MINIDEX), permanently located in the Tübingen shallow underground laboratory where the mean muon energy is approximately 7 GeV. The MINIDEX plastic scintillators were used to tag muons; the neutrons were detected through neutron capture and neutron-induced nuclear recoil signals in the liquid scintillator detector. Results on the rates of observed neutron captures and nuclear recoils are presented and compared to predictions from GEANT4-9.6 and GEANT4-10.3. The predicted rates are significantly too low for both versions of GEANT4. For neutron capture events, the observation exceeds the predictions by factors of $ 1.65\,\pm\,0.02\,\textrm{(stat.)}\,\pm\,0.07\,\textrm{(syst.)} $ and $ 2.58\,\pm\,0.03\,\textrm{(stat.)}\,\pm\,0.11\,\textrm{(syst.)} $ for GEANT4-9.6 and GEANT4-10.3, respectively. For neutron nuclear recoil events, which require neutron energies above approximately 5 MeV, the factors are even larger, $ 2.22\,\pm\,0.05\,\textrm{(stat.)}\,\pm\,0.25\,\textrm{(syst.)} $ and $ 3.76\,\pm\,0.09\,\textrm{(stat.)}\,\pm\,0.41\,\textrm{(syst.)} $, respectively. Also presented is the first statistically significant measurement of the spectrum of neutrons induced by cosmic muons in lead between 5 and 40 MeV. It was obtained by unfolding the nuclear recoil spectrum. The observed neutron spectrum is harder than predicted by GEANT4. An investigation of the distribution of the time difference between muon tags and nuclear recoil signals confirms the validity of the unfolding procedure and shows that GEANT4 cannot properly describe the time distribution of nuclear recoil events. In general, the description of the data is worse for GEANT4-10.3 than for GEANT4-9.6.

physics.ins-det