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Olivier Feron

Publications and source records attributed to Olivier Feron.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Structural price model for electricity coupled markets

We propose a new structural model that can compute the electricity spot and forward prices in two coupled markets with limited interconnection and multiple fuels. We choose a structural approach in order to represent some key characteristics of electricity spot prices such as their link to fuel prices, consumption level and production fleet. With this model, explicit formulas are also available for forward prices and other derivatives. We give some illustrative results of the behaviour of spot and forward prices, and of the values of transmission rights.

q-fin.MF

A Bayesian approach to change point analysis of discrete time series

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are modeled by Gaussian probability density functions with different means, variances and correlation lengths. We put a prior law on the change point instances (Poisson process) as well as on these different parameters(conjugate priors) and give the expression of the posterior probality distributions of these change points. The computations are done by using an appropriate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique. The problem as we stated can also be considered as an unsupervised classification and/or segmentation of the time serie. This analogy gives us the possibility to propose alternative modeling and computation of change points, which are more appropriate for multivariate signals, for example in image processing.

physics.data-an

A Hidden Markov model for Bayesian data fusion of multivariate signals

In this work we propose a Bayesian framework for data fusion of multivariate signals which arises in imaging systems. More specifically, we consider the case where we have observed two images of the same object through two different imaging processes. The objective of this work is then to propose a coherent approach to combine these data sets to obtain a segmented image which can be considered as the fusion result of these two images. The proposed approach is based on a Hidden Markov Modeling (HMM) of the images with common segmentation, or equivalently, with common hidden classification label variables which is modeled by the Potts Markov Random Field. We propose then an appropriate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to implement the method and show some simulation results and applications.

physics.data-an

A hidden Markov Model for image fusion and their joint segmentation in medical image computing

In this work we propose a Bayesian framework for fully automated image fusion and their joint segmentation. More specifically, we consider the case where we have observed images of the same object through different image processes or through different spectral bands. The objective of this work is then to propose a coherent approach to combine these data sets and obtain a segmented image which can be considered as the fusion result of these observations. The proposed approach is based on a Hidden Markov Modeling (HMM) of the images with common segmentation, or equivalently, with common hidden classification label variables which are modeled by the Potts Markov Random Field. We propose an appropriate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to implement the method and show some simulation results and applications.

physics.data-an