Searcharxiv⌕ Search

arXiv subjects

Omer Tamuz

Publications and source records attributed to Omer Tamuz.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Monotone additive statistics

The expectation is an example of a descriptive statistic that is monotone with respect to stochastic dominance, and additive for sums of independent random variables. We provide a complete characterization of such statistics, and explore a number of applications to models of individual and group decision-making. These include a representation of stationary monotone time preferences, extending the work of Fishburn and Rubinstein (1982) to time lotteries. This extension offers a new perspective on risk attitudes toward time, as well as on the aggregation of multiple discount factors. We also offer a novel class of nonexpected utility preferences over gambles which satisfy invariance to background risk as well as betweenness, but are versatile enough to capture mixed risk attitudes.

econ.TH↗

The Hazards and Benefits of Condescension in Social Learning

In a misspecified social learning setting, agents are condescending if they perceive their peers as having private information that is of lower quality than it is in reality. Applying this to a standard sequential model, we show that outcomes improve when agents are mildly condescending. In contrast, too much condescension leads to worse outcomes, as does anti-condescension.

econ.TH↗

On the spectrum of asymptotic entropies of random walks

Given a random walk on a free group, we study the random walks it induces on the group's quotients. We show that the spectrum of asymptotic entropies of the induced random walks has no isolated points, except perhaps its maximum.

math.GR↗

The Cost of Information: The Case of Constant Marginal Costs

We develop an axiomatic theory of information acquisition that captures the idea of constant marginal costs in information production: the cost of generating two independent signals is the sum of their costs, and generating a signal with probability half costs half its original cost. Together with Blackwell monotonicity and a continuity condition, these axioms determine the cost of a signal up to a vector of parameters. These parameters have a clear economic interpretation and determine the difficulty of distinguishing states.

econ.TH↗

Taxes and Market Power: A Principal Components Approach

Suppliers of differentiated goods make simultaneous pricing decisions, which are strategically linked. Because of market power, the equilibrium is inefficient. We study how a policymaker should target a budget-balanced tax-and-subsidy policy to increase welfare. A key tool is a certain basis for the goods space, determined by the network of interactions among suppliers. It consists of eigenbundles -- orthogonal in the sense that a tax on any eigenbundle passes through only to its own price -- with pass-through coefficients determined by associated eigenvalues. Our basis permits a simple characterization of optimal interventions. A planner maximizing consumer surplus should tax eigenbundles with low pass-through and subsidize ones with high pass-through. The Pigouvian leverage of the system -- the gain in consumer surplus achievable by an optimal tax scheme -- depends only on the dispersion of the eigenvalues of the matrix of strategic interactions. We interpret these results in terms of the network structure of the market.

econ.TH↗

A quantitative Neumann lemma for finitely generated groups

We study the coset covering function $\mathfrak{C}(r)$ of a finitely generated group: the number of cosets of infinite index subgroups needed to cover the ball of radius $r$. We show that $\mathfrak{C}(r)$ is of order at least $\sqrt{r}$ for all groups. Moreover, we show that $\mathfrak{C}(r)$ is linear for a class of amenable groups including virtually nilpotent and polycyclic groups, and that it is exponential for property (T) groups.

math.GR↗

Information Cascades and Social Learning

We review the theory of information cascades and social learning. Our goal is to describe in a relatively integrated and accessible way the more important themes, insights and applications of the literature as it has developed over the last thirty years. We also highlight open questions and promising directions for further theoretical and empirical exploration.

econ.TH↗

Background risk and small-stakes risk aversion

We show that under plausible levels of background risk, no theory of choice under risk -- such as expected utility theory, prospect theory, or rank dependent utility -- can simultaneously satisfy the following three economic postulates: (i) Decision makers are risk-averse over small gambles, (ii) they respect stochastic dominance, and (iii) they account for background risk.

econ.TH↗

Additive Conjugacy and the Bohr Compactification of Orthogonal Representations

We say that two unitary or orthogonal representations of a finitely generated group $G$ are additive conjugates if they are intertwined by an additive map, which need not be continuous. We associate to each representation of $G$ a topological action that is a complete additive conjugacy invariant: the action of $G$ by group automorphisms on the Bohr compactification of the underlying Hilbert space. Using this construction we show that the property of having almost invariant vectors is an additive conjugacy invariant. As an application we show that $G$ is amenable if and only if there is a nonzero homomorphism from $L^2(G)$ into $\mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}$ that is invariant to the $G$-action.

math.GR↗

Characteristic measures of symbolic dynamical systems

A probability measure is a characteristic measure of a topological dynamical system if it is invariant to the automorphism group of the system. We show that zero entropy shifts always admit characteristic measures. We use similar techniques to show that automorphism groups of minimal zero entropy shifts are sofic.

math.DS↗

Feasible Joint Posterior Beliefs

We study the set of possible joint posterior belief distributions of a group of agents who share a common prior regarding a binary state, and who observe some information structure. For two agents we introduce a quantitative version of Aumann's Agreement Theorem, and show that it is equivalent to a characterization of feasible distributions due to Dawid et al. (1995). For any number of agents, we characterize feasible distributions in terms of a "no-trade" condition. We use these characterizations to study information structures with independent posteriors. We also study persuasion problems with multiple receivers, exploring the extreme feasible distributions.

econ.TH↗

From Blackwell Dominance in Large Samples to Renyi Divergences and Back Again

We study repeated independent Blackwell experiments; standard examples include drawing multiple samples from a population, or performing a measurement in different locations. In the baseline setting of a binary state of nature, we compare experiments in terms of their informativeness in large samples. Addressing a question due to Blackwell (1951), we show that generically an experiment is more informative than another in large samples if and only if it has higher Renyi divergences. We apply our analysis to the problem of measuring the degree of dissimilarity between distributions by means of divergences. A useful property of Renyi divergences is their additivity with respect to product distributions. Our characterization of Blackwell dominance in large samples implies that every additive divergence that satisfies the data processing inequality is an integral of Renyi divergences.

math.ST↗

Equitable voting rules

May's Theorem (1952), a celebrated result in social choice, provides the foundation for majority rule. May's crucial assumption of symmetry, often thought of as a procedural equity requirement, is violated by many choice procedures that grant voters identical roles. We show that a weakening of May's symmetry assumption allows for a far richer set of rules that still treat voters equally. We show that such rules can have minimal winning coalitions comprising a vanishing fraction of the population, but not less than the square root of the population size. Methodologically, we introduce techniques from group theory and illustrate their usefulness for the analysis of social choice questions.

econ.TH↗

Rational Groupthink

We study how long-lived rational agents learn from repeatedly observing a private signal and each others' actions. With normal signals, a group of any size learns more slowly than just four agents who directly observe each others' private signals in each period. Similar results apply to general signal structures. We identify rational groupthink---in which agents ignore their private signals and choose the same action for long periods of time---as the cause of this failure of information aggregation.

cs.GT↗

Unfriendly colorings of graphs with finite average degree

In an unfriendly coloring of a graph the color of every node mismatches that of the majority of its neighbors. We show that every probability measure preserving Borel graph with finite average degree admits a Borel unfriendly coloring almost everywhere. We also show that every bounded degree Borel graph of subexponential growth admits a Borel unfriendly coloring.

math.PR↗

Social learning equilibria

We consider a large class of social learning models in which a group of agents face uncertainty regarding a state of the world, share the same utility function, observe private signals, and interact in a general dynamic setting. We introduce Social Learning Equilibria, a static equilibrium concept that abstracts away from the details of the given extensive form, but nevertheless captures the corresponding asymptotic equilibrium behavior. We establish general conditions for agreement, herding, and information aggregation in equilibrium, highlighting a connection between agreement and information aggregation.

math.ST↗

Strong amenability and the infinite conjugacy class property

A group is said to be strongly amenable if each of its proximal topological actions has a fixed point. We show that a finitely generated group is strongly amenable if and only if it is virtually nilpotent. More generally, a countable discrete group is strongly amenable if and only if none of its quotients have the infinite conjugacy class property.

math.GR↗