arXiv subjects

Onur Varol

Publications and source records attributed to Onur Varol.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Social-Annotate: Self-Healing Browser Extension to Annotate and Collect Social Media Data

Human-annotated data remains foundational for machine learning and social media analysis. However, traditional data collection often relies on cumbersome pipelines that isolate content from its original source, compromising ecological validity. To address these challenges, we present Social-Annotate, a flexible browser extension that facilitates direct data collection on online platforms. By injecting customizable forms into webpages, the tool captures annotations while users interact with the native environment. Social-Annotate offers no-code design interface for the survey forms for non-technical users. Since injecting custom elements directly into host platforms creates a brittle dependency on evolving interfaces, we integrate a self-healing agent powered by large language models. This automated pipeline autonomously detects structural changes, regenerates valid target selectors, and validates them within a live browser environment. Our extensible platform readily supports 12 platforms including social media like $\mathbb{X}$, Instagram, TikTok and P2P messaging platforms WhatsApp and Telegram. Social-Annotate significantly reduces data collection overhead and developer maintenance, enabling researchers of all technical backgrounds to focus on data analysis rather than engineering. Moreover, Social-Annotate provides an ecosystem for conducting intervention studies by dynamic content manipulation.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2026

Social Media Data Toolkit: Standardization and Anonymization of Social Network Datasets

The rapid diversification of social media platforms and the increasing restrictions on official APIs have significantly complicated cross-platform analysis. Researchers are often forced to rely on heterogeneous datasets obtained through web scraping and historical archives; however they often lack structural consistency. Prior to conducting cross-platform social media analyses, one needs to answer three critical questions: (1) What makes platforms different and similar? (2) How were the datasets collected? (3) How can we align the datasets of different platforms to conduct fair analyses? To address these questions, we introduce the Social Media Data Toolkit (\projectname{}), a comprehensive Python framework designed for the standardization, anonymization, and enrichment of social network datasets. \projectname{} unifies diverse data structures into a generic schema comprising Communities, Accounts, Posts, Actions, and Entities to facilitate multi-platform research. The framework features a configurable anonymization module to secure Personally Identifiable Information (PII) and an extendable enrichment layer that integrates Large Language Models (LLMs) and network analysis tools for downstream tasks such as stance detection and toxicity scoring without creating codebase for different datasets. We demonstrate the versatility of \projectname{} through four case studies spanning from textual analysis of the content to network analysis across platforms. To offer reproducible social media research, \projectname{} is released as an open-source tool featuring detailed documentation and practical guides for researchers at any skill-level. It can be accessed at github.com/ViralLab/SMDT and varollab.com/SMDT.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2026

Beyond Disinformation: Strategic Misrepresentation across Content, Actors, Processes, and Covertness

This article revisits the widely studied problem of disinformation and related phenomena in online social networks (OSNs) by reframing it as a broader problem of misrepresentation. While disinformation is commonly understood as the intentional spread of false content, its meaning is applied inconsistently and often remains narrowly content-focused. This obscures other forms of manipulation, such as coordinated behavior that distorts the visibility, popularity or perceived legitimacy of actors and discourses without altering content itself. We argue that such limitations hinder a coherent and operational understanding of information campaigning in OSNs. To address this, we introduce strategic misrepresentation as a unifying concept capturing the interplay between content, actors and processes in shaping collective sensemaking. We formalize this concept through a four-dimensional framework encompassing content distortion, actor distortion, process distortion and covertness, reflecting how information campaigns unfold in practice and emphasizing observable behavioral signals. Building on this conceptualization, we conduct an integrative survey of state-of-the-art detection techniques across machine learning, network science and visual analytics. By synthesizing these approaches, we demonstrate how they jointly operationalize strategic misrepresentation in a data-driven manner. Our work provides a novel pragmatic foundation for detecting, classifying, and evaluating legitimate and illegitimate information campaigns within and across OSNs.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2025

Towards global equity in political polarization research

With a folk understanding that political polarization refers to socio-political divisions within a society, many have proclaimed that we are more divided than ever. In this account, polarization has been blamed for populism, the erosion of social cohesion, the loss of trust in the institutions of democracy, legislative dysfunction, and the collective failure to address existential risks such as Covid-19 or climate change. However, at a global scale there is surprisingly little academic literature which conclusively supports these claims, with half of all studies being U.S.-focused. Here, we provide an overview of the global state of research on polarization, highlighting insights that are robust across countries, those unique to specific contexts, and key gaps in the literature. We argue that addressing these gaps is urgent, but has been hindered thus far by systemic and cultural barriers, such as regionally stratified restrictions on data access and misaligned research incentives. If continued cross-disciplinary inertia means that these disparities are left unaddressed, we see a substantial risk that countries will adopt policies to tackle polarization based on inappropriate evidence, risking flawed decision-making and the weakening of democratic institutions.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2025

From Occasional to Steady: Habit Formation Insights From a Comprehensive Fitness Study

Regular exercise is widely recognized as a cornerstone of health, yet sustaining consistent exercise habits remains challenging. Understanding the factors that influence the formation of these habits is crucial for developing effective interventions. This study utilizes data from Mars Athletic Club, T\"urkiye's largest sports chain, to investigate the dynamics of gym attendance and habit formation. The general problem addressed by this study is identifying the critical periods and factors that contribute to the successful establishment of consistent exercise routines among gym-goers. We show that specific periods of attendance are most crucial for habit formation. By developing a survival metric based on gym attendance patterns, we pinpoint these key phases and segment members into distinct clusters based on their visit patterns. Our analysis reveals significant differences in how various subgroups respond to interventions, such as group classes, personal trainer sessions, and visiting different clubs. Using causal inference analysis, we demonstrate that personalized guidance and social dynamics are key drivers of sustained long-term engagement. By systematically examining these variables and considering the specific characteristics of different clusters, our research highlights the importance of a tailored, multi-dimensional approach to promoting exercise habits, which integrates social dynamics, personalized guidance, and strategic interventions to sustain long-term engagement.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2024

Politics and Propaganda on Social Media: How Twitter and Meta Moderate State-Linked Information Operations

Why do Social Media Corporations (SMCs) engage in state-linked information operations? Social media can significantly influence the global political landscape, allowing governments and other political entities to engage in concerted information operations, shaping or manipulating domestic and foreign political agendas. In response to state-linked political manipulation tactics on social media, Twitter and Meta carried out take-down operations against propaganda networks, accusing them of interfering foreign elections, organizing disinformation campaigns, manipulating political debates and many other issues. This research investigates the two SMCs' policy orientation to explain which factors can affect these two companies' reaction against state-linked information operations. We find that good governance indicators such as democracy are significant elements of SMCs' country-focus. This article also examines whether Meta and Twitter's attention to political regime characteristics is influenced by international political alignments. This research illuminates recent trends in SMCs' take-down operations and illuminating interplay between geopolitics and domestic regime characteristics.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2023

Social Bots: Detection and Challenges

While social media are a key source of data for computational social science, their ease of manipulation by malicious actors threatens the integrity of online information exchanges and their analysis. In this Chapter, we focus on malicious social bots, a prominent vehicle for such manipulation. We start by discussing recent studies about the presence and actions of social bots in various online discussions to show their real-world implications and the need for detection methods. Then we discuss the challenges of bot detection methods and use Botometer, a publicly available bot detection tool, as a case study to describe recent developments in this area. We close with a practical guide on how to handle social bots in social media research.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2023

TurkishBERTweet: Fast and Reliable Large Language Model for Social Media Analysis

Turkish is one of the most popular languages in the world. Wide us of this language on social media platforms such as Twitter, Instagram, or Tiktok and strategic position of the country in the world politics makes it appealing for the social network researchers and industry. To address this need, we introduce TurkishBERTweet, the first large scale pre-trained language model for Turkish social media built using almost 900 million tweets. The model shares the same architecture as base BERT model with smaller input length, making TurkishBERTweet lighter than BERTurk and can have significantly lower inference time. We trained our model using the same approach for RoBERTa model and evaluated on two text classification tasks: Sentiment Classification and Hate Speech Detection. We demonstrate that TurkishBERTweet outperforms the other available alternatives on generalizability and its lower inference time gives significant advantage to process large-scale datasets. We also compared our models with the commercial OpenAI solutions in terms of cost and performance to demonstrate TurkishBERTweet is scalable and cost-effective solution. As part of our research, we released TurkishBERTweet and fine-tuned LoRA adapters for the mentioned tasks under the MIT License to facilitate future research and applications on Turkish social media. Our TurkishBERTweet model is available at: https://github.com/ViralLab/TurkishBERTweet

cs.CL↗

arXiv2023

Unsupervised detection of coordinated fake-follower campaigns on social media

Automated social media accounts, known as bots, are increasingly recognized as key tools for manipulative online activities. These activities can stem from coordination among several accounts and these automated campaigns can manipulate social network structure by following other accounts, amplifying their content, and posting messages to spam online discourse. In this study, we present a novel unsupervised detection method designed to target a specific category of malicious accounts designed to manipulate user metrics such as online popularity. Our framework identifies anomalous following patterns among all the followers of a social media account. Through the analysis of a large number of accounts on the Twitter platform (rebranded as Twitter after the acquisition of Elon Musk), we demonstrate that irregular following patterns are prevalent and are indicative of automated fake accounts. Notably, we find that these detected groups of anomalous followers exhibit consistent behavior across multiple accounts. This observation, combined with the computational efficiency of our proposed approach, makes it a valuable tool for investigating large-scale coordinated manipulation campaigns on social media platforms.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2023

Hidden Citations Obscure True Impact in Science

References, the mechanism scientists rely on to signal previous knowledge, lately have turned into widely used and misused measures of scientific impact. Yet, when a discovery becomes common knowledge, citations suffer from obliteration by incorporation. This leads to the concept of hidden citation, representing a clear textual credit to a discovery without a reference to the publication embodying it. Here, we rely on unsupervised interpretable machine learning applied to the full text of each paper to systematically identify hidden citations. We find that for influential discoveries hidden citations outnumber citation counts, emerging regardless of publishing venue and discipline. We show that the prevalence of hidden citations is not driven by citation counts, but rather by the degree of the discourse on the topic within the text of the manuscripts, indicating that the more discussed is a discovery, the less visible it is to standard bibliometric analysis. Hidden citations indicate that bibliometric measures offer a limited perspective on quantifying the true impact of a discovery, raising the need to extract knowledge from the full text of the scientific corpus.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2023

Just Another Day on Twitter: A Complete 24 Hours of Twitter Data

At the end of October 2022, Elon Musk concluded his acquisition of Twitter. In the weeks and months before that, several questions were publicly discussed that were not only of interest to the platform's future buyers, but also of high relevance to the Computational Social Science research community. For example, how many active users does the platform have? What percentage of accounts on the site are bots? And, what are the dominating topics and sub-topical spheres on the platform? In a globally coordinated effort of 80 scholars to shed light on these questions, and to offer a dataset that will equip other researchers to do the same, we have collected all 375 million tweets published within a 24-hour time period starting on September 21, 2022. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first complete 24-hour Twitter dataset that is available for the research community. With it, the present work aims to accomplish two goals. First, we seek to answer the aforementioned questions and provide descriptive metrics about Twitter that can serve as references for other researchers. Second, we create a baseline dataset for future research that can be used to study the potential impact of the platform's ownership change.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2022

#Secim2023: First Public Dataset for Studying Turkish General Election

In the context of Turkey's upcoming parliamentary and presidential elections ("se\c{c}im" in Turkish), social media is playing an important role in shaping public debate. The increasing engagement of citizens on social media platforms has led to the growing use of social media by political actors. It is of utmost importance to capture the upcoming Turkish elections, as social media is becoming an essential component of election propaganda, political debates, smear campaigns, and election manipulation by domestic and international actors. We provide a comprehensive dataset for social media researchers to study the upcoming election, develop tools to prevent online manipulation, and gather novel information to inform the public. We are committed to continually improving the data collection and updating it regularly leading up to the election. Using the Secim2023 dataset, researchers can examine the social and communication networks between political actors, track current trends, and investigate emerging threats to election integrity. Our dataset is available at: https://github.com/ViralLab/Secim2023_Dataset

cs.SI↗

arXiv2022

Should we agree to disagree about Twitter's bot problem?

Bots, simply defined as accounts controlled by automation, can be used as a weapon for online manipulation and pose a threat to the health of platforms. Researchers have studied online platforms to detect, estimate, and characterize bot accounts. Concerns about the prevalence of bots were raised following Elon Musk's bid to acquire Twitter. Twitter's recent estimate that 5\% of monetizable daily active users being bot accounts raised questions about their methodology. This estimate is based on a specific number of active users and relies on Twitter's criteria for bot accounts. In this work, we want to stress that crucial questions need to be answered in order to make a proper estimation and compare different methodologies. We argue how assumptions on bot-likely behavior, the detection approach, and the population inspected can affect the estimation of the percentage of bots on Twitter. Finally, we emphasize the responsibility of platforms to be vigilant, transparent, and unbiased in dealing with threats that may affect their users.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2022

Academic Support Network Reflects Doctoral Experience and Productivity

Current practices of quantifying performance by productivity leads serious concerns for psychological well-being of doctoral students and influence of research environment is often neglected in research evaluations. Acknowledgements in dissertations reflect the student experience and provide an opportunity to thank the people who support them. We conduct textual analysis of acknowledgments to build the "academic support network," uncovering five distinct communities: Academic, Administration, Family, Friends & Colleagues, and Spiritual; each of which is acknowledged differently by genders and disciplines. Female students mention fewer people from each community except for their families and total number of people mentioned in acknowledgements allows disciplines to be categorized as either individual science or team science. We also show that number of people mentioned from academic community is positively correlated with productivity and institutional rankings are found to be correlated with productivity and size of academic support networks but show no effect on students' sentiment on acknowledgements. Our results indicate the importance of academic support networks by explaining how they differ and how they influence productivity.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2021

Information Access Equality on Network Generative Models

It is well known that networks generated by common mechanisms such as preferential attachment and homophily can disadvantage the minority group by limiting their ability to establish links with the majority group. This has the effect of limiting minority nodes' access to information. We present the results of an empirical study on the equality of information access in network models with different growth mechanisms and spreading processes. For growth mechanisms, we focus on the majority/minority dichotomy, homophily, preferential attachment, and diversity. For spreading processes, we investigate simple vs. complex contagions, different transmission rates within and between groups, and various seeding conditions. We observe two phenomena. First, information access equality is a complex interplay between network structures and the spreading processes. Second, there is a trade-off between equality and efficiency of information access under certain circumstances (e.g., when inter-group edges are low and information transmits asymmetrically). Our findings can be used to make recommendations for mechanistic design of social networks with information access equality.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2021

Misinformation, Believability, and Vaccine Acceptance Over 40 Countries: Takeaways From the Initial Phase of The COVID-19 Infodemic

The COVID-19 pandemic has been damaging to the lives of people all around the world. Accompanied by the pandemic is an infodemic, an abundant and uncontrolled spreading of potentially harmful misinformation. The infodemic may severely change the pandemic's course by interfering with public health interventions such as wearing masks, social distancing, and vaccination. In particular, the impact of the infodemic on vaccination is critical because it holds the key to reverting to pre-pandemic normalcy. This paper presents findings from a global survey on the extent of worldwide exposure to the COVID-19 infodemic, assesses different populations' susceptibility to false claims, and analyzes its association with vaccine acceptance. Based on responses gathered from over 18,400 individuals from 40 countries, we find a strong association between perceived believability of misinformation and vaccination hesitancy. Additionally, our study shows that only half of the online users exposed to rumors might have seen the fact-checked information. Moreover, depending on the country, between 6% and 37% of individuals considered these rumors believable. Our survey also shows that poorer regions are more susceptible to encountering and believing COVID-19 misinformation. We discuss implications of our findings on public campaigns that proactively spread accurate information to countries that are more susceptible to the infodemic. We also highlight fact-checking platforms' role in better identifying and prioritizing claims that are perceived to be believable and have wide exposure. Our findings give insights into better handling of risk communication during the initial phase of a future pandemic.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2020

Detection of Novel Social Bots by Ensembles of Specialized Classifiers

Malicious actors create inauthentic social media accounts controlled in part by algorithms, known as social bots, to disseminate misinformation and agitate online discussion. While researchers have developed sophisticated methods to detect abuse, novel bots with diverse behaviors evade detection. We show that different types of bots are characterized by different behavioral features. As a result, supervised learning techniques suffer severe performance deterioration when attempting to detect behaviors not observed in the training data. Moreover, tuning these models to recognize novel bots requires retraining with a significant amount of new annotations, which are expensive to obtain. To address these issues, we propose a new supervised learning method that trains classifiers specialized for each class of bots and combines their decisions through the maximum rule. The ensemble of specialized classifiers (ESC) can better generalize, leading to an average improvement of 56\% in F1 score for unseen accounts across datasets. Furthermore, novel bot behaviors are learned with fewer labeled examples during retraining. We deployed ESC in the newest version of Botometer, a popular tool to detect social bots in the wild, with a cross-validation AUC of 0.99.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2020

Network Medicine Framework for Identifying Drug Repurposing Opportunities for COVID-19

The current pandemic has highlighted the need for methodologies that can quickly and reliably prioritize clinically approved compounds for their potential effectiveness for SARS-CoV-2 infections. In the past decade, network medicine has developed and validated multiple predictive algorithms for drug repurposing, exploiting the sub-cellular network-based relationship between a drug's targets and disease genes. Here, we deployed algorithms relying on artificial intelligence, network diffusion, and network proximity, tasking each of them to rank 6,340 drugs for their expected efficacy against SARS-CoV-2. To test the predictions, we used as ground truth 918 drugs that had been experimentally screened in VeroE6 cells, and the list of drugs under clinical trial, that capture the medical community's assessment of drugs with potential COVID-19 efficacy. We find that while most algorithms offer predictive power for these ground truth data, no single method offers consistently reliable outcomes across all datasets and metrics. This prompted us to develop a multimodal approach that fuses the predictions of all algorithms, showing that a consensus among the different predictive methods consistently exceeds the performance of the best individual pipelines. We find that 76 of the 77 drugs that successfully reduced viral infection do not bind the proteins targeted by SARS-CoV-2, indicating that these drugs rely on network-based actions that cannot be identified using docking-based strategies. These advances offer a methodological pathway to identify repurposable drugs for future pathogens and neglected diseases underserved by the costs and extended timeline of de novo drug development.

q-bio.MN↗