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Onur Yigit Arpali

Publications and source records attributed to Onur Yigit Arpali.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Optimal Policy Synthesis from A Sequence of Goal Sets with An Application to Electric Distribution System Restoration

Motivated by the post-disaster distribution system restoration problem, in this paper, we study the problem of synthesizing the optimal policy for a Markov Decision Process (MDP) from a sequence of goal sets. For each goal set, our aim is to both maximize the probability to reach and minimize the expected time to reach the goal set. The order of the goal sets represents their priority. In particular, our aim is to generate a policy that is optimal with respect to the first goal set, and it is optimal with respect to the second goal set among the policies that are optimal with respect to the first goal set and so on. To synthesize such a policy, we iteratively filter the applicable actions according to the goal sets. We illustrate the developed method over sample distribution systems and disaster scenarios.

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MDP based Decision Support for Earthquake Damaged Distribution System Restoration

As the society becomes more dependent on the presence of electricity, the resilience of the power systems gains more importance. This paper develops a decision support method for distribution system operators to restore electricity after an earthquake to the maximum number of customers in the minimum expected duration. The proposed method employs Markov Decision Process (MDP) to determine the optimal restoration scheme. In order to determine the probability of the field component damage due to the earthquake, the Probability of Failure ($P_f$) of structures are calculated using the Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) values recorded by observatories and earthquake research centers during the earthquake.

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