arXiv subjects

Osama El-Shamy

Publications and source records attributed to Osama El-Shamy.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Graph-Based Analysis of AI-Driven Labor Market Transitions: Evidence from 10,000 Egyptian Jobs and Policy Implications

How many workers displaced by automation can realistically transition to safer jobs? We answer this using a validated knowledge graph of 9,978 Egyptian job postings, 19,766 skill activities, and 84,346 job-skill relationships (0.74% error rate). While 20.9% of jobs face high automation risk, we find that only 24.4% of at-risk workers have viable transition pathways--defined by $\geq$3 shared skills and $\geq$50% skill transfer. The remaining 75.6% face a structural mobility barrier requiring comprehensive reskilling, not incremental upskilling. Among 4,534 feasible transitions, process-oriented skills emerge as the highest-leverage intervention, appearing in 15.6% of pathways. These findings challenge optimistic narratives of seamless workforce adaptation and demonstrate that emerging economies require active pathway creation, not passive skill matching.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2026

Reading Between the Lines: Deconfounding Causal Estimates using Text Embeddings and Deep Learning

Estimating causal treatment effects in observational settings is frequently compromised by selection bias arising from unobserved confounders. While traditional econometric methods struggle when these confounders are orthogonal to structured covariates, high-dimensional unstructured text often contains rich proxies for these latent variables. This study proposes a Neural Network-Enhanced Double Machine Learning (DML) framework designed to leverage text embeddings for causal identification. Using a rigorous synthetic benchmark, we demonstrate that unstructured text embeddings capture critical confounding information that is absent from structured tabular data. However, we show that standard tree-based DML estimators retain substantial bias (+24%) due to their inability to model the continuous topology of embedding manifolds. In contrast, our deep learning approach reduces bias to -0.86% with optimized architectures, effectively recovering the ground-truth causal parameter. These findings suggest that deep learning architectures are essential for satisfying the unconfoundedness assumption when conditioning on high-dimensional natural language data

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Signal in the Noise: Decoding the Reality of Airline Service Quality with Large Language Models

Traditional service quality metrics often fail to capture the nuanced drivers of passenger satisfaction hidden within unstructured online feedback. This study validates a Large Language Model (LLM) framework designed to extract granular insights from such data. Analyzing over 16,000 TripAdvisor reviews for EgyptAir and Emirates (2016-2025), the study utilizes a multi-stage pipeline to categorize 36 specific service issues. The analysis uncovers a stark "operational perception disconnect" for EgyptAir: despite reported operational improvements, passenger satisfaction plummeted post-2022 (ratings < 2.0). Our approach identified specific drivers missed by conventional metrics-notably poor communication during disruptions and staff conduct-and pinpointed critical sentiment erosion in key tourism markets. These findings confirm the framework's efficacy as a powerful diagnostic tool, surpassing traditional surveys by transforming unstructured passenger voices into actionable strategic intelligence for the airline and tourism sectors.

cs.IR↗