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Osval Montesinos Lopez

Publications and source records attributed to Osval Montesinos Lopez.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

A simple and intuitive method to calculate $R_0$ in complex epidemic models

Epidemic models are a valuable tool in the decision making process. Once a mathematical model for an epidemics has been established, the very next step is calculating a mathematical expression for the basic reproductive number, $R_0$, which is the average number of infections caused by an individual that is introduced in a population of susceptibles. Finding a mathematical expression for $R_0$ is important because it allows to analyze the effect of the different parameters in the model on $R_0$ so that we can act on them to keep $R_0 < 1$, so that the epidemic fades out. In this work we show how to calculate $R_0$ in complicated epidemic models by using only basic concepts of Markov chains.

q-bio.PE↗

Revised calculation of the coefficient of parentage in plant breeding

The Coefficient of Parentage (COP) between two individuals is the expected inbreeding of their offspring. Originally exploited by animal breeders, is now a routine calculation among plant breeders as part of crop improvement programs. Here we show that the COP between strains requires a different calculation than the used to calculate the COP between individuals. Failure to do so may result in an overestimation of the amount of inbreeding. Here we provide a simple methodology to calculate the correct coefficient of parentage between strains.

q-bio.PE↗