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Paolo Missier

Publications and source records attributed to Paolo Missier.

26 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Tracking Dengue Epidemics using Twitter Content Classification and Topic Modelling

Detecting and preventing outbreaks of mosquito-borne diseases such as Dengue and Zika in Brasil and other tropical regions has long been a priority for governments in affected areas. Streaming social media content, such as Twitter, is increasingly being used for health vigilance applications such as flu detection. However, previous work has not addressed the complexity of drastic seasonal changes on Twitter content across multiple epidemic outbreaks. In order to address this gap, this paper contrasts two complementary approaches to detecting Twitter content that is relevant for Dengue outbreak detection, namely supervised classification and unsupervised clustering using topic modelling. Each approach has benefits and shortcomings. Our classifier achieves a prediction accuracy of about 80\% based on a small training set of about 1,000 instances, but the need for manual annotation makes it hard to track seasonal changes in the nature of the epidemics, such as the emergence of new types of virus in certain geographical locations. In contrast, LDA-based topic modelling scales well, generating cohesive and well-separated clusters from larger samples. While clusters can be easily re-generated following changes in epidemics, however, this approach makes it hard to clearly segregate relevant tweets into well-defined clusters.

cs.SI↗

The data, they are a-changin'

The cost of deriving actionable knowledge from large datasets has been decreasing thanks to a convergence of positive factors: low cost data generation, inexpensively scalable storage and processing infrastructure (cloud), software frameworks and tools for massively distributed data processing, and parallelisable data analytics algorithms. One observation that is often overlooked, however, is that each of these elements is not immutable, rather they all evolve over time. This suggests that the value of such derivative knowledge may decay over time, unless it is preserved by reacting to those changes. Our broad research goal is to develop models, methods, and tools for selectively reacting to changes by balancing costs and benefits, i.e. through complete or partial re-computation of some of the underlying processes. In this paper we present an initial model for reasoning about change and re-computations, and show how analysis of detailed provenance of derived knowledge informs re-computation decisions. We illustrate the main ideas through a real-world case study in genomics, namely on the interpretation of human variants in support of genetic diagnosis.

cs.DB↗

YesWorkflow: A User-Oriented, Language-Independent Tool for Recovering Workflow Information from Scripts

Scientific workflow management systems offer features for composing complex computational pipelines from modular building blocks, for executing the resulting automated workflows, and for recording the provenance of data products resulting from workflow runs. Despite the advantages such features provide, many automated workflows continue to be implemented and executed outside of scientific workflow systems due to the convenience and familiarity of scripting languages (such as Perl, Python, R, and MATLAB), and to the high productivity many scientists experience when using these languages. YesWorkflow is a set of software tools that aim to provide such users of scripting languages with many of the benefits of scientific workflow systems. YesWorkflow requires neither the use of a workflow engine nor the overhead of adapting code to run effectively in such a system. Instead, YesWorkflow enables scientists to annotate existing scripts with special comments that reveal the computational modules and dataflows otherwise implicit in these scripts. YesWorkflow tools extract and analyze these comments, represent the scripts in terms of entities based on the typical scientific workflow model, and provide graphical renderings of this workflow-like view of the scripts. Future versions of YesWorkflow also will allow the prospective provenance of the data products of these scripts to be queried in ways similar to those available to users of scientific workflow systems.

cs.SE↗

Measuring the impact of cognitive distractions on driving performance using time series analysis

Using current sensing technology, a wealth of data on driving sessions is potentially available through a combination of vehicle sensors and drivers' physiology sensors (heart rate, breathing rate, skin temperature, etc.). Our hypothesis is that it should be possible to exploit the combination of time series produced by such multiple sensors during a driving session, in order to (i) learn models of normal driving behaviour, and (ii) use such models to detect important and potentially dangerous deviations from the norm in real-time, and thus enable the generation of appropriate alerts. Crucially, we believe that such models and interventions should and can be personalised and tailor-made for each individual driver. As an initial step towards this goal, in this paper we present techniques for assessing the impact of cognitive distraction on drivers, based on simple time series analysis. We have tested our method on a rich dataset of driving sessions, carried out in a professional simulator, involving a panel of volunteer drivers. Each session included a different type of cognitive distraction, and resulted in multiple time series from a variety of on-board sensors as well as sensors worn by the driver. Crucially, each driver also recorded an initial session with no distractions. In our model, such initial session provides the baseline times series that make it possible to quantitatively assess driver performance under distraction conditions.

cs.HC↗

ProvGen: generating synthetic PROV graphs with predictable structure

This paper introduces provGen, a generator aimed at producing large synthetic provenance graphs with predictable properties and of arbitrary size. Synthetic provenance graphs serve two main purposes. Firstly, they provide a variety of controlled workloads that can be used to test storage and query capabilities of provenance management systems at scale. Secondly, they provide challenging testbeds for experimenting with graph algorithms for provenance analytics, an area of increasing research interest. provGen produces PROV graphs and stores them in a graph DBMS (Neo4J). A key feature is to let users control the relationship makeup and topological features of the graph, by providing a seed provenance pattern along with a set of constraints, expressed using a custom Domain Specific Language. We also propose a simple method for evaluating the quality of the generated graphs, by measuring how realistically they simulate the structure of real-world patterns.

cs.DB↗

ProvAbs: model, policy, and tooling for abstracting PROV graphs

Provenance metadata can be valuable in data sharing settings, where it can be used to help data consumers form judgements regarding the reliability of the data produced by third parties. However, some parts of provenance may be sensitive, requiring access control, or they may need to be simplified for the intended audience. Both these issues can be addressed by a single mechanism for creating abstractions over provenance, coupled with a policy model to drive the abstraction. Such mechanism, which we refer to as abstraction by grouping, simultaneously achieves partial disclosure of provenance, and facilitates its consumption. In this paper we introduce a formal foundation for this type of abstraction, grounded in the W3C PROV model; describe the associated policy model; and briefly present its implementation, the Provabs tool for interactive experimentation with policies and abstractions.

cs.DB↗

Provenance and data differencing for workflow reproducibility analysis

One of the foundations of science is that researchers must publish the methodology used to achieve their results so that others can attempt to reproduce them. This has the added benefit of allowing methods to be adopted and adapted for other purposes. In the field of e-Science, services -- often choreographed through workflow, process data to generate results. The reproduction of results is often not straightforward as the computational objects may not be made available or may have been updated since the results were generated. For example, services are often updated to fix bugs or improve algorithms. This paper addresses these problems in three ways. Firstly, it introduces a new framework to clarify the range of meanings of "reproducibility". Secondly, it describes a new algorithm, \PDIFF, that uses a comparison of workflow provenance traces to determine whether an experiment has been reproduced; the main innovation is that if this is not the case then the specific point(s) of divergence are identified through graph analysis, assisting any researcher wishing to understand those differences. One key feature is support for user-defined, semantic data comparison operators. Finally, the paper describes an implementation of \PDIFF that leverages the power of the e-Science Central platform which enacts workflows in the cloud. As well as automatically generating a provenance trace for consumption by \PDIFF, the platform supports the storage and re-use of old versions of workflows, data and services; the paper shows how this can be powerfully exploited in order to achieve reproduction and re-use.

cs.DB↗