arXiv subjects

Patricia Menéndez

Publications and source records attributed to Patricia Menéndez.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

SCAN: Sequentially Detecting Change-points via Adaptive Nonparametric Inference

Modern time series are often long, serially dependent, and non-stationary. Existing change-point methods either target specific changes or become computationally intensive when using nonparametric costs on long series. Many also require thresholds to be carefully calibrated under serial dependence. We introduce SCAN, an offline method for detecting multiple distributional change-points in long, serially dependent univariate time series. SCAN compares adjacent windows using an integral probability metric, calibrates local discrepancies with a dependence-aware bootstrap, and refines candidate locations using a scaled 1-Wasserstein criterion, enabling detection of changes in mean, variance, and broader distributional structure within a unified framework. An ensemble over multiple window sizes reduces sensitivity to window size and threshold specification. We establish consistency of the estimated number and locations of change-points under exponential alpha-mixing dependence, and show that the localization statistic reduces to a CUSUM-type statistic under pure mean shifts. In simulations with up to one million observations, SCAN generally achieves higher covering and F1-scores than competing methods across mean and joint mean-variance shifts, particularly under serial dependence. On real data, SCAN identifies labeled activity transitions in sensor data and interpretable structural changes in hourly Bitcoin prices. Implementations are available in the Python package scan-cpd and R package scanr.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

FedReLa: Imbalanced Federated Learning via Re-Labeling

Federated learning has emerged as the foremost approach for decentralized model training with privacy preservation. The global class imbalance and cross-client data heterogeneity naturally coexist, and the mismatch between local and global imbalances exacerbates the performance degradation of the aggregated model. The agnosticism of global class distribution poses significant challenges for data-level methods, especially under extreme conditions with severe class absence across clients. In this paper, we propose FedReLa, a novel data-level approach that tackles the coexistence of data heterogeneity and class imbalance in federated learning. By re-labeling samples with a feature-dependent label re-allocator, FedReLa corrects biased global decision boundaries without requiring knowledge of the global class distribution. This modular, model-agnostic approach can be integrated with algorithmic methods to deliver consistent improvements without additional communication overhead. Through extensive experiments, our method significantly improves the accuracy of minority classes and the overall accuracy on stepwise-imbalanced and long-tailed datasets, outperforming the previous state of the art.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2024

A Tidy Framework and Infrastructure to Systematically Assemble Spatio-temporal Indexes from Multivariate Data

Indexes are useful for summarizing multivariate information into single metrics for monitoring, communicating, and decision-making. While most work has focused on defining new indexes for specific purposes, more attention needs to be directed towards making it possible to understand index behavior in different data conditions, and to determine how their structure affects their values and variation in values. Here we discuss a modular data pipeline recommendation to assemble indexes. It is universally applicable to index computation and allows investigation of index behavior as part of the development procedure. One can compute indexes with different parameter choices, adjust steps in the index definition by adding, removing, and swapping them to experiment with various index designs, calculate uncertainty measures, and assess indexes robustness. The paper presents three examples to illustrate the pipeline framework usage: comparison of two different indexes designed to monitor the spatio-temporal distribution of drought in Queensland, Australia; the effect of dimension reduction choices on the Global Gender Gap Index (GGGI) on countries ranking; and how to calculate bootstrap confidence intervals for the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). The methods are supported by a new R package, called tidyindex.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2024

cubble: An R Package for Organizing and Wrangling Multivariate Spatio-temporal Data

Multivariate spatio-temporal data refers to multiple measurements taken across space and time. For many analyses, spatial and time components can be separately studied: for example, to explore the temporal trend of one variable for a single spatial location, or to model the spatial distribution of one variable at a given time. However for some studies, it is important to analyse different aspects of the spatio-temporal data simultaneouly, like for instance, temporal trends of multiple variables across locations. In order to facilitate the study of different portions or combinations of spatio-temporal data, we introduce a new data structure, cubble, with a suite of functions enabling easy slicing and dicing on the different components spatio-temporal components. The proposed cubble structure ensures that all the components of the data are easy to access and manipulate while providing flexibility for data analysis. In addition, cubble facilitates visual and numerical explorations of the data while easing data wrangling and modelling. The cubble structure and the functions provided in the cubble R package equip users with the capability to handle hierarchical spatial and temporal structures. The cubble structure and the tools implemented in the package are illustrated with different examples of Australian climate data.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2021

Visual Diagnostics for Constrained Optimisation with Application to Guided Tours

A guided tour helps to visualise high-dimensional data by showing low-dimensional projections along a projection pursuit optimisation path. Projection pursuit is a generalisation of principal component analysis, in the sense that different indexes are used to define the interestingness of the projected data. While much work has been done in developing new indexes in the literature, less has been done on understanding the optimisation. Index functions can be noisy, might have multiple local maxima as well as an optimal maximum, and are constrained to generate orthonormal projection frames, which complicates the optimization. In addition, projection pursuit is primarily used for exploratory data analysis, and finding the local maxima is also useful. The guided tour is especially useful for exploration, because it conducts geodesic interpolation connecting steps in the optimisation and shows how the projected data changes as a maxima is approached. This work provides new visual diagnostics for examining a choice of optimisation procedure, based on the provision of a new data object which collects information throughout the optimisation. It has helped to diagnose and fix several problems with projection pursuit guided tour. This work might be useful more broadly for diagnosing optimisers, and comparing their performance. The diagnostics are implemented in the R package, ferrn.

stat.CO↗