arXiv subjects

Paul D. Lasky

Publications and source records attributed to Paul D. Lasky.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Detectability of the gravitational-wave background produced by magnetar giant flares

We study the gravitational-wave background produced by f-mode oscillations of neutron stars triggered by magnetar giant flares. For the gravitational-wave energy, we use analytic formulae obtained via general relativistic magnetohydrodynamic simulations of strongly magnetized neutron stars. Assuming the magnetar giant flare rate is proportional to the star-formation rate, we show the gravitational-wave signal is likely undetectable by third-generation detectors such as the Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer. We calculate the minimum value of the magnetic field and the magnetar giant flare rate necessary for such a signal to be detectable, and discuss these in the context of our current understanding of magnetar flares throughout the Universe.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

Evidence for a correlation between binary black hole mass ratio and black-hole spins

The astrophysical origins of the binary black hole systems seen with gravitational waves are still not well understood. However, features in the distribution of black-hole masses, spins, redshifts, and eccentricities provide clues into how these systems form. Much has been learned by investigating these distributions one parameter at a time. However, we can extract additional information by studying the covariance between pairs of parameters. Previous work has shown preliminary support for an anti-correlation between mass ratio $q \equiv m_2/m_1$ and effective inspiral spin $χ_\mathrm{eff}$ in the binary black hole population. In this study, we test for the existence of this anti-correlation using updated data from the third gravitational wave transient catalogue (GWTC-3) and improve our copula-based framework to employ a more robust model for black-hole spins. We find evidence for an anti-correlation in $(q, χ_\mathrm{eff})$ with 99.7% credibility. This may imply high common-envelope efficiencies, stages of super-Eddington accretion, or a tendency for binary black hole systems to undergo mass-ratio reversal during isolated evolution. Covariance in $(q,χ_\mathrm{eff})$ may also be used to investigate the physics of tidal spin-up as well as the properties of binary-black-hole-forming active galactic nuclei.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

Multi-messenger astronomy with a Southern-Hemisphere gravitational-wave observatory

Joint observations of gravitational waves and electromagnetic counterparts will answer questions about cosmology, gamma-ray bursts, and the behaviour of matter at supranuclear densities. The addition of a Southern-Hemisphere gravitational-wave observatory to proposed global networks creates a longer baseline, which is beneficial for sky localisation. We analyse how an observatory in Australia can enhance the multi-messenger astronomy capabilities of future networks. We estimate the number of binary neutron star mergers with joint observations of gravitational waves and kilonova counterparts detectable by the Vera C. Rubin Observatory. First, we consider a network of upgrades to current observatories. Adding an Australian observatory to a three-observatory network (comprising two observatories in the USA and one in Europe) boosts the rate of joint observations from $2.5^{+4.5}_{-2.0}$ per year to $5.6^{+10}_{-4.5}$ per year (a factor of two improvement). Then, we consider a network of next-generation observatories. Adding a $20$ km Australian observatory to a global network of a Cosmic Explorer $40$ km in the USA and an Einstein Telescope in Europe only marginally increases the rate from $40^{+71}_{-32}$ per year to $44^{+79}_{-35}$ per year (a factor of 1.1 improvement). The addition of an Australian observatory, however, ensures that at least two observatories are online far more often. When the Cosmic Explorer $40$ km is offline for a major upgrade, the Australian observatory increases the joint observation rate from $0.5^{+0.8}_{-0.4}$ per year to $38^{+68}_{-30}$ per year (a factor of 82 improvement). When the Einstein Telescope is offline, the joint observation rate increases from $0.2^{+0.3}_{-0.1}$ per year to $19^{+34}_{-15}$ per year (a factor of 113 improvement). We sketch out the broader science case for a Southern-Hemisphere gravitational-wave observatory.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2023

Inhomogeneous Cosmology using General Relativistic Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics coupled to Numerical Relativity

We perform three-dimensional simulations of homogeneous and inhomogeneous cosmologies via the coupling of a numerical relativity code for spacetime evolution and smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) code. Evolution of a flat dust and radiation dominated Friedmann-Lemaître-Roberston-Walker (FLRW) spacetime shows an agreement of exact solutions with residuals on the order $10^{-6}$ and $10^{-3}$ respectively, even at low grid resolutions. We demonstrate evolution of linear perturbations of density, velocity and metric quantities to the FLRW with residuals of only $10^{-2}$ compared to exact solutions. Finally, we demonstrate the evolution of non-linear perturbations of the metric past shell-crossing, such that dark matter halo formation is possible. We show that numerical relativistic smoothed particle hydrodynamics is a viable method for understanding non-linear effects in cosmology.

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arXiv2023

Improving pulsar-timing solutions through dynamic pulse fitting

Precision pulsar timing is integral to the detection of the nanohertz stochastic gravitational-wave background as well as understanding the physics of neutron stars. Conventional pulsar timing often uses fixed time and frequency-averaged templates to determine the pulse times of arrival, which can lead to reduced accuracy when the pulse profile evolves over time. We illustrate a dynamic timing method that fits each observing epoch using basis functions. By fitting each epoch separately, we allow for the evolution of the pulse shape epoch to epoch. We apply our method to PSR J1103$-$5403 and demonstrate that it undergoes mode changing, making it the fourth millisecond pulsar to exhibit such behaviour. Our method, which is able to identify and time a single mode, yields a timing solution with a root-mean-square error of 1.343 $μ\mathrm{s}$, a factor of 1.78 improvement over template fitting on both modes. In addition, the white-noise amplitude is reduced 4.3 times, suggesting that fitting the full data set causes the mode changing to be incorrectly classified as white noise. This reduction in white noise boosts the signal-to-noise ratio of a gravitational-wave background signal for this particular pulsar by 32%. We discuss the possible applications for this method of timing to study pulsar magnetospheres and further improve the sensitivity of searches for nanohertz gravitational waves.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2023

Nuclear physics with gravitational waves from neutron stars disrupted by black holes

Gravitational waves from neutron star-black hole (NSBH) mergers that undergo tidal disruption provide a potential avenue to study the equation of state of neutron stars and hence the behaviour of matter at its most extreme densities. We present a phenomenological model for the gravitational-wave signature of tidal disruption, which allows us to measure the disruption time. We carry out a study with mock data, assuming an optimistically nearby NSBH event with parameters optimised for measuring the tidal disruption. We show that a two-detector network of 40 km Cosmic Explorer instruments can measure the time of disruption with a precision of 0.5 ms, which corresponds to a constraint on the neutron star radius of 0.7 km (90\% credibility). This radius constraint is wider than the constraint obtained by measuring the tidal deformability of the neutron star of the same system during the inspiral. Moreover, the neutron star radius is likely to be more tightly constrained using binary neutron star mergers. While NSBH mergers are important for the information they provide about stellar and binary astrophysics, they are unlikely to provide insights into nuclear physics beyond what we will already know from binary neutron star mergers.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2023

The effect of noise artefacts on gravitational-wave searches for neutron star post-merger remnants

Gravitational waves from binary neutron star post-merger remnants have the potential to uncover the physics of the hot nuclear equation of state. These gravitational-wave signals are high frequency ($\sim$ kHz) and short lived ($\mathcal{O}(10\,\mathrm{ms})$), which introduces potential problems for data-analysis algorithms due to the presence of non-stationary and non-Gaussian noise artefacts in gravitational-wave observatories. We quantify the degree to which these noise features in LIGO data may affect our confidence in identifying post-merger gravitational-wave signals. We show that the combination of vetoing data with non-stationary glitches and the application of the Allen $χ^2$ veto (usually reserved for long-lived lower-frequency gravitational-wave signals), allows one to confidently detect post-merger signals with signal-to-noise ratio $ρ\gtrsim8$. We discuss the need to incorporate the data-quality checks and vetos into realistic post-merger gravitational-wave searches, and describe how one can incorporate them to calculate realistic false-alarm and false-dismissal rates.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2023

Generating transient noise artifacts in gravitational-wave detector data with generative adversarial networks

Transient noise glitches in gravitational-wave detector data limit the sensitivity of searches and contaminate detected signals. In this Paper, we show how glitches can be simulated using generative adversarial networks. We produce hundreds of synthetic images for the 22 most common types of glitches seen in the LIGO, KAGRA, and Virgo detectors. The artificial glitches can be used to improve the performance of searches and parameter-estimation algorithms. We perform a neural network classification to show that our artificial glitches are an excellent match for real glitches, with an average classification accuracy across all 22 glitch types of 99.0%.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2022

Missed opportunities: GRB 211211A and the case for continual gravitational-wave coverage with a single observatory

Gamma-ray burst GRB 211211A may have been the result of a neutron star merger at $\approx350$ Mpc. However, none of the LIGO-Virgo detectors were operating at the time. We show that the gravitational-wave signal from a \grb-like binary neutron star inspiral in the next LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run (O4) would be below the conventional detection threshold, however a coincident gamma-ray burst observation would provide necessary information to claim a statistically-significant multimessenger observation. We calculate that with O4 sensitivity, approximately $11\%$ of gamma-ray bursts within 600 Mpc will produce a confident association between the gravitational-wave binary neutron star inspiral signature and the prompt gamma-ray signature. This corresponds to a coincident detection rate of $\unit[0.22^{+8.3}_{-0.22}]{yr^{-1}}$, where the uncertainties are the 90\% confidence intervals arising from uncertainties in the absolute merger rate, beaming and jet-launching fractions. These increase to approximately $34\%$ and $\unit[0.71^{+26.8}_{-0.70}]{yr^{-1}}$ with proposed O5 sensitivity. We show that the above numbers do not depend significantly on the number of gravitational-wave observatories operating with the specific sensitivity. That is, the number of confident joint gamma-ray burst and gravitational-wave detections is only marginally improved with two or three detectors operating compared to a single detector. It is therefore worth considering whether one detector with sufficient sensitivity (post O4) should remain in sky-watch mode at all times to elucidate the true nature of GRB 211211A-like events, a proposal we discuss in detail.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

Magnetic dynamo caused by axions in neutron stars

The coupling between axions and photons modifies Maxwell's equations, introducing a dynamo term in the magnetic induction equation. In neutron stars, for critical values of the axion decay constant and axion mass, the magnetic dynamo mechanism increases the total magnetic energy of the star. We show that this generates substantial internal heating due to enhanced dissipation of crustal electric currents. These mechanisms would lead magnetized neutron stars to increase their magnetic energy and thermal luminosity by several orders of magnitude, in contrast to observations of thermally-emitting neutron stars. To prevent the activation of the dynamo, bounds on the allowed axion parameter space can be derived.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

Gravitational-wave inference for eccentric binaries: the argument of periapsis

Gravitational waves from binary black hole mergers have allowed us to directly observe stellar-mass black hole binaries for the first time, and therefore explore their formation channels. One of the ways to infer how a binary system is assembled is by measuring the system's orbital eccentricity. Current methods of parameter estimation do not include all physical effects of eccentric systems such as spin-induced precession, higher-order modes, and the initial argument of periapsis: an angle describing the orientation of the orbital ellipse. We explore how varying the argument of periapsis changes gravitational waveforms and study its effect on the inference of astrophysical parameters. We use the eccentric spin-aligned waveforms TEOBResumS and SEOBNRE to measure the change in the waveforms as the argument of periapsis is changed. We find that the argument of periapsis could already be impacting analyses performed with TEOBResumS. However, it is likely to be well-resolvable in the foreseeable future only for the loudest events observed by LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA. The systematic error in previous, low-eccentricity analyses that have not considered the argument of periapsis is likely to be small.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2022

Four eccentric mergers increase the evidence that LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA's binary black holes form dynamically

The growing population of compact binary mergers detected with gravitational waves contains multiple events that are challenging to explain through isolated binary evolution. Such events have higher masses than are expected in isolated binaries, component spin-tilt angles that are misaligned, and/or non-negligible orbital eccentricities. We investigate the orbital eccentricities of 62 binary black hole candidates from the third gravitational-wave transient catalogue of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration with an aligned-spin, moderate-eccentricity waveform model. Within this framework, we find that at least four of these events show significant support for eccentricity $e_{10} \geq 0.1$ at a gravitational-wave frequency of $10$~Hz ($> 60\%$ credibility, under a log-uniform eccentricity prior that spans the range $10^{-4} < e_{10} < 0.2$). Two of these events are new additions to the population: GW191109 and GW200208\_22. If the four eccentric candidates are truly eccentric, our results suggest that densely-populated star clusters may produce 100\% of the observed mergers. However, it remains likely that other formation environments with higher yields of eccentric mergers -- for example, active galactic nuclei -- also contribute. We estimate that we will be able to confidently distinguish which formation channel dominates the eccentric merger rate after $\gtrsim 80$ detections of events with $e_{10} \geq 0.05$ at LIGO--Virgo sensitivity, with only $\sim 5$ detectably-eccentric events required to distinguish formation channels with third-generation gravitational-wave detectors.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

A Rosetta Stone for eccentric gravitational waveform models

Orbital eccentricity is a key signature of dynamical binary black hole formation. The gravitational waves from a coalescing binary contain information about its orbital eccentricity, which may be measured if the binary retains sufficient eccentricity near merger. Dedicated waveforms are required to measure eccentricity. Several models have been put forward, and show good agreement with numerical relativity at the level of a few percent or better. However, there are multiple ways to define eccentricity for inspiralling systems, and different models internally use different definitions of eccentricity, making it difficult to directly compare eccentricity measurements. In this work, we systematically compare two eccentric waveform models, $\texttt{SEOBNRE}$ and $\texttt{TEOBResumS}$, by developing a framework to translate between different definitions of eccentricity. This mapping is constructed by minimizing the relative mismatch between the two models over eccentricity and reference frequency, before evolving the eccentricity of one model to the same reference frequency as the other model. We show that for a given value of eccentricity passed to $\texttt{SEOBNRE}$, one must input a $20$-$50\%$ smaller value of eccentricity to $\texttt{TEOBResumS}$ in order to obtain a waveform with the same empirical eccentricity. We verify this mapping by repeating our analysis for eccentric numerical relativity simulations, demonstrating that $\texttt{TEOBResumS}$ reports a correspondingly smaller value of eccentricity than $\texttt{SEOBNRE}$.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2022

GWCloud: a searchable repository for the creation and curation of gravitational-wave inference results

There are at present ${\cal O}(100)$ gravitational-wave candidates from compact binary mergers reported in the astronomical literature. As detector sensitivities are improved, the catalog will swell in size: first to ${\cal O}(1000)$ events in the A+ era and then to ${\cal O}(10^6)$ events in the era of third-generation observatories like Cosmic Explorer and the Einstein Telescope. Each event is analyzed using Bayesian inference to determine properties of the source including component masses, spins, tidal parameters, and the distance to the source. These inference products are the fodder for some of the most exciting gravitational-wave science, enabling us to measure the expansion of the Universe with standard sirens, to characterise the neutron star equation of state, and to unveil how and where gravitational-wave sources are assembled. In order to maximize the science from the coming deluge of detections, we introduce GWCloud, a searchable repository for the creation and curation of gravitational-wave inference products. It is designed with five pillars in mind: uniformity of results, reproducibility of results, stability of results, access to the astronomical community, and efficient use of computing resources. We describe how to use GWCloud with examples, which readers can replicate using the companion code to this paper. We describe our long-term vision for GWCloud.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2022

Low-efficiency long gamma-ray bursts: A case study with AT2020blt

The Zwicky Transient Facility recently announced the detection of an optical transient AT2020blt at redshift $z=2.9$, consistent with the afterglow of an on-axis gamma-ray burst. However, no prompt emission was observed. We analyse AT2020blt with detailed models, showing the data are best explained as the afterglow of an on-axis long gamma-ray burst, ruling out other hypotheses such as a cocoon and a low-Lorentz factor jet. We search \textit{Fermi} data for prompt emission, setting deeper upper limits on the prompt emission than in the original detection paper. Together with KONUS-\textit{Wind} observations, we show that the gamma-ray efficiency of AT2020blt is $\lesssim 0.3 - 4.5\%$. We speculate that AT2020blt and AT2021any belong to the low-efficiency tail of long gamma-ray burst distributions that are beginning to be readily observed due to the capabilities of new observatories like the Zwicky Transient Facility.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

Linking the rates of neutron star binaries and short gamma-ray bursts

Short gamma-ray bursts are believed to be produced by both binary neutron star (BNS) and neutron star-black hole (NSBH) mergers. We use current estimates for the BNS and NSBH merger rates to calculate the fraction of observable short gamma-ray bursts produced through each channel. This allows us to constrain merger rates of BNS to $\mathcal{R}_{\rm{BNS}}=384^{+431}_{-213}{\rm{Gpc}^{-3} \rm{yr}^{-1}}$ ($90\%$ credible interval), a $16\%$ decrease in the rate uncertainties from the second LIGO--Virgo Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog, GWTC-2. Assuming a top-hat emission profile with a large Lorentz factor, we constrain the average opening angle of gamma-ray burst jets produced in BNS mergers to $\approx 15^\circ$. We also measure the fraction of BNS and NSBH mergers that produce an observable short gamma-ray burst to be $0.02^{+0.02}_{-0.01}$ and $0.01 \pm 0.01$, respectively and find that $\gtrsim 40\%$ of BNS mergers launch jets (90\% confidence). We forecast constraints for future gravitational-wave detections given different modelling assumptions, including the possibility that BNS and NSBH jets are different. With $24$ BNS and $55$ NSBH observations, expected within six months of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA network operating at design sensitivity, it will be possible to constrain the fraction of BNS and NSBH mergers that launch jets with $10\%$ precision. Within a year of observations, we can determine whether the jets launched in NSBH mergers have a different structure than those launched in BNS mergers and rule out whether $\gtrsim 80\%$ of binary neutron star mergers launch jets. We discuss the implications of future constraints on understanding the physics of short gamma-ray bursts and binary evolution.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

When models fail: an introduction to posterior predictive checks and model misspecification in gravitational-wave astronomy

Bayesian inference is a powerful tool in gravitational-wave astronomy. It enables us to deduce the properties of merging compact-object binaries and to determine how these mergers are distributed as a population according to mass, spin, and redshift. As key results are increasingly derived using Bayesian inference, there is increasing scrutiny on Bayesian methods. In this review, we discuss the phenomenon of \textit{model misspecification}, in which results obtained with Bayesian inference are misleading because of deficiencies in the assumed model(s). Such deficiencies can impede our inferences of the true parameters describing physical systems. They can also reduce our ability to distinguish the "best fitting" model: it can be misleading to say that Model~A is preferred over Model~B if both models are manifestly poor descriptions of reality. Broadly speaking, there are two ways in which models fail: models that fail to adequately describe the data (either the signal or the noise) have misspecified likelihoods. Population models -- designed, for example, to describe the distribution of black hole masses -- may fail to adequately describe the true population due to a misspecified prior. We recommend tests and checks that are useful for spotting misspecified models using examples inspired by gravitational-wave astronomy. We include companion python notebooks to illustrate essential concepts.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2022

Next Generation Observatories -- Report from the Dawn VI Workshop; October 5-7 2021

The workshop Dawn VI: Next Generation Observatories took place online over three days, 5-7 October, 2021. More than 200 physicists and astronomers attended to contribute to, and learn from, a discussion of next-generation ground-based gravitational-wave detectors. The program was centered on the next generation of ground-based gravitational-wave observatories and their synergy with the greater landscape of scientific observatories of the 2030s. Cosmic Explorer (CE), a concept developed with US National Science Foundation support, was a particular focus; Einstein Telescope (ET), the European next generation concept, is an important complement and partner in forming a network. The concluding summary of the meeting expressed the sentiment that the observational science accessible to CE and ET, also in combination with data from other non-GW observatories, will stimulate a very broad community of analysts and yield insights which are exciting given the access to GWs from the entire universe. The need, and desire, for closer collaboration between ET and CE was expressed; a three-detector network is optimal for delivering much of the science. The science opportunities afforded by CE and ET are broad and compelling, impacting a wide range of disciplines in physics and high energy astrophysics. There was a consensus that CE is a concept that can deliver the promised science. A strong endorsement of Cosmic Explorer, as described in the CE Horizon Study, is a primary outcome of DAWN VI.

astro-ph.IM↗