arXiv subjects

Paul Grigas

Publications and source records attributed to Paul Grigas.

28 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2021

Joint Online Learning and Decision-making via Dual Mirror Descent

We consider an online revenue maximization problem over a finite time horizon subject to lower and upper bounds on cost. At each period, an agent receives a context vector sampled i.i.d. from an unknown distribution and needs to make a decision adaptively. The revenue and cost functions depend on the context vector as well as some fixed but possibly unknown parameter vector to be learned. We propose a novel offline benchmark and a new algorithm that mixes an online dual mirror descent scheme with a generic parameter learning process. When the parameter vector is known, we demonstrate an $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret result as well an $O(\sqrt{T})$ bound on the possible constraint violations. When the parameter is not known and must be learned, we demonstrate that the regret and constraint violations are the sums of the previous $O(\sqrt{T})$ terms plus terms that directly depend on the convergence of the learning process.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Smart "Predict, then Optimize"

Many real-world analytics problems involve two significant challenges: prediction and optimization. Due to the typically complex nature of each challenge, the standard paradigm is predict-then-optimize. By and large, machine learning tools are intended to minimize prediction error and do not account for how the predictions will be used in the downstream optimization problem. In contrast, we propose a new and very general framework, called Smart "Predict, then Optimize" (SPO), which directly leverages the optimization problem structure, i.e., its objective and constraints, for designing better prediction models. A key component of our framework is the SPO loss function which measures the decision error induced by a prediction. Training a prediction model with respect to the SPO loss is computationally challenging, and thus we derive, using duality theory, a convex surrogate loss function which we call the SPO+ loss. Most importantly, we prove that the SPO+ loss is statistically consistent with respect to the SPO loss under mild conditions. Our SPO+ loss function can tractably handle any polyhedral, convex, or even mixed-integer optimization problem with a linear objective. Numerical experiments on shortest path and portfolio optimization problems show that the SPO framework can lead to significant improvement under the predict-then-optimize paradigm, in particular when the prediction model being trained is misspecified. We find that linear models trained using SPO+ loss tend to dominate random forest algorithms, even when the ground truth is highly nonlinear.

math.OC↗

arXiv2019

Stochastic In-Face Frank-Wolfe Methods for Non-Convex Optimization and Sparse Neural Network Training

The Frank-Wolfe method and its extensions are well-suited for delivering solutions with desirable structural properties, such as sparsity or low-rank structure. We introduce a new variant of the Frank-Wolfe method that combines Frank-Wolfe steps and steepest descent steps, as well as a novel modification of the "Frank-Wolfe gap" to measure convergence in the non-convex case. We further extend this method to incorporate in-face directions for preserving structured solutions as well as block coordinate steps, and we demonstrate computational guarantees in terms of the modified Frank-Wolfe gap for all of these variants. We are particularly motivated by the application of this methodology to the training of neural networks with sparse properties, and we apply our block coordinate method to the problem of $\ell_1$ regularized neural network training. We present the results of several numerical experiments on both artificial and real datasets demonstrating significant improvements of our method in training sparse neural networks.

math.OC↗

arXiv2018

Condition Number Analysis of Logistic Regression, and its Implications for Standard First-Order Solution Methods

Logistic regression is one of the most popular methods in binary classification, wherein estimation of model parameters is carried out by solving the maximum likelihood (ML) optimization problem, and the ML estimator is defined to be the optimal solution of this problem. It is well known that the ML estimator exists when the data is non-separable, but fails to exist when the data is separable. First-order methods are the algorithms of choice for solving large-scale instances of the logistic regression problem. In this paper, we introduce a pair of condition numbers that measure the degree of non-separability or separability of a given dataset in the setting of binary classification, and we study how these condition numbers relate to and inform the properties and the convergence guarantees of first-order methods. When the training data is non-separable, we show that the degree of non-separability naturally enters the analysis and informs the properties and convergence guarantees of two standard first-order methods: steepest descent (for any given norm) and stochastic gradient descent. Expanding on the work of Bach, we also show how the degree of non-separability enters into the analysis of linear convergence of steepest descent (without needing strong convexity), as well as the adaptive convergence of stochastic gradient descent. When the training data is separable, first-order methods rather curiously have good empirical success, which is not well understood in theory. In the case of separable data, we demonstrate how the degree of separability enters into the analysis of $\ell_2$ steepest descent and stochastic gradient descent for delivering approximate-maximum-margin solutions with associated computational guarantees as well. This suggests that first-order methods can lead to statistically meaningful solutions in the separable case, even though the ML solution does not exist.

math.OC↗

arXiv2018

Optimal Bidding, Allocation and Budget Spending for a Demand Side Platform Under Many Auction Types

We develop a novel optimization model to maximize the profit of a Demand-Side Platform (DSP) while ensuring that the budget utilization preferences of the DSP's advertiser clients are adequately met. Our model is highly flexible and can be applied in a Real-Time Bidding environment (RTB) with arbitrary auction types, e.g., both first and second price auctions. Our proposed formulation leads to a non-convex optimization problem due to the joint optimization over both impression allocation and bid price decisions. Using Fenchel duality theory, we construct a dual problem that is convex and can be solved efficiently to obtain feasible bidding prices and allocation variables that can be deployed in a RTB setting. With a few minimal additional assumptions on the properties of the auctions, we demonstrate theoretically that our computationally efficient procedure based on convex optimization principles is guaranteed to deliver a globally optimal solution. We conduct experiments using data from a real DSP to validate our theoretical findings and to demonstrate that our method successfully trades off between DSP profitability and budget utilization in a simulated online environment.

math.OC↗

arXiv2017

Profit Maximization for Online Advertising Demand-Side Platforms

We develop an optimization model and corresponding algorithm for the management of a demand-side platform (DSP), whereby the DSP aims to maximize its own profit while acquiring valuable impressions for its advertiser clients. We formulate the problem of profit maximization for a DSP interacting with ad exchanges in a real-time bidding environment in a cost-per-click/cost-per-action pricing model. Our proposed formulation leads to a nonconvex optimization problem due to the joint optimization over both impression allocation and bid price decisions. We use Lagrangian relaxation to develop a tractable convex dual problem, which, due to the properties of second-price auctions, may be solved efficiently with subgradient methods. We propose a two-phase solution procedure, whereby in the first phase we solve the convex dual problem using a subgradient algorithm, and in the second phase we use the previously computed dual solution to set bid prices and then solve a linear optimization problem to obtain the allocation probability variables. On several synthetic examples, we demonstrate that our proposed solution approach leads to superior performance over a baseline method that is used in practice.

math.OC↗

arXiv2015

An Extended Frank-Wolfe Method with "In-Face" Directions, and its Application to Low-Rank Matrix Completion

Motivated principally by the low-rank matrix completion problem, we present an extension of the Frank-Wolfe method that is designed to induce near-optimal solutions on low-dimensional faces of the feasible region. This is accomplished by a new approach to generating ``in-face" directions at each iteration, as well as through new choice rules for selecting between in-face and ``regular" Frank-Wolfe steps. Our framework for generating in-face directions generalizes the notion of away-steps introduced by Wolfe. In particular, the in-face directions always keep the next iterate within the minimal face containing the current iterate. We present computational guarantees for the new method that trade off efficiency in computing near-optimal solutions with upper bounds on the dimension of minimal faces of iterates. We apply the new method to the matrix completion problem, where low-dimensional faces correspond to low-rank matrices. We present computational results that demonstrate the effectiveness of our methodological approach at producing nearly-optimal solutions of very low rank. On both artificial and real datasets, we demonstrate significant speed-ups in computing very low-rank nearly-optimal solutions as compared to either the Frank-Wolfe method or its traditional away-step variant.

math.OC↗

arXiv2015

A New Perspective on Boosting in Linear Regression via Subgradient Optimization and Relatives

In this paper we analyze boosting algorithms in linear regression from a new perspective: that of modern first-order methods in convex optimization. We show that classic boosting algorithms in linear regression, namely the incremental forward stagewise algorithm (FS$_\varepsilon$) and least squares boosting (LS-Boost($\varepsilon$)), can be viewed as subgradient descent to minimize the loss function defined as the maximum absolute correlation between the features and residuals. We also propose a modification of FS$_\varepsilon$ that yields an algorithm for the Lasso, and that may be easily extended to an algorithm that computes the Lasso path for different values of the regularization parameter. Furthermore, we show that these new algorithms for the Lasso may also be interpreted as the same master algorithm (subgradient descent), applied to a regularized version of the maximum absolute correlation loss function. We derive novel, comprehensive computational guarantees for several boosting algorithms in linear regression (including LS-Boost($\varepsilon$) and FS$_\varepsilon$) by using techniques of modern first-order methods in convex optimization. Our computational guarantees inform us about the statistical properties of boosting algorithms. In particular they provide, for the first time, a precise theoretical description of the amount of data-fidelity and regularization imparted by running a boosting algorithm with a prespecified learning rate for a fixed but arbitrary number of iterations, for any dataset.

math.ST↗

arXiv2014

New Analysis and Results for the Frank-Wolfe Method

We present new results for the Frank-Wolfe method (also known as the conditional gradient method). We derive computational guarantees for arbitrary step-size sequences, which are then applied to various step-size rules, including simple averaging and constant step-sizes. We also develop step-size rules and computational guarantees that depend naturally on the warm-start quality of the initial (and subsequent) iterates. Our results include computational guarantees for both duality/bound gaps and the so-called FW gaps. Lastly, we present complexity bounds in the presence of approximate computation of gradients and/or linear optimization subproblem solutions.

math.OC↗

arXiv2013

AdaBoost and Forward Stagewise Regression are First-Order Convex Optimization Methods

Boosting methods are highly popular and effective supervised learning methods which combine weak learners into a single accurate model with good statistical performance. In this paper, we analyze two well-known boosting methods, AdaBoost and Incremental Forward Stagewise Regression (FS$_\varepsilon$), by establishing their precise connections to the Mirror Descent algorithm, which is a first-order method in convex optimization. As a consequence of these connections we obtain novel computational guarantees for these boosting methods. In particular, we characterize convergence bounds of AdaBoost, related to both the margin and log-exponential loss function, for any step-size sequence. Furthermore, this paper presents, for the first time, precise computational complexity results for FS$_\varepsilon$.

stat.ML↗