arXiv subjects

Paul Robert Griffin

Publications and source records attributed to Paul Robert Griffin.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Landscape-Dependent Performance of Photonic Quantum Solvers in QUBO Feature Selection for Financial Risk Detection

Feature selection for imbalanced classification tasks such as credit card fraud and consumer default detection requires balancing predictive relevance, inter-feature redundancy, and computational feasibility. We benchmark three computing paradigms, classical branch-and-bound optimization (Gurobi), photonic entropy computing (QCI Dirac-3), and simulated photonic boson sampling (Piquasso), across thirteen feature-selection methods on two datasets: ULB Credit Card Fraud (30 features) and AmEx consumer default (159 features). Each method is routed to the solver matched to its mathematical structure. On ULB, Dirac-3 MI-Spearman matches the all-features model using 13 of 30 features (mean F1 0.873 +/- 0.023 over five runs, best run 0.896), and Piquasso is the best method at k=5. On AmEx, performance rises steadily with the feature budget and every paradigm approaches F1 = 0.80 only near the full feature set. Most differences between Gurobi and Dirac-3 on identical methods fall within run-to-run variation; the large gaps occur where the certified optimum generalizes poorly, most sharply for distance correlation on AmEx at k=25 (Gurobi F1 = 0.422 vs. a Dirac-3 mean of 0.746). At matched budgets, F1 varies about ten times more across methods on ULB than on AmEx, which we trace to how concentrated the predictive signal is in each feature space.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2026

Photonic Quantum Computing vs. Classical Solvers in Constrained Factor Portfolio Optimization

The authors present a rigorous empirical evaluation of three distinct optimization paradigms for institutional factor portfolio construction: an entropy-based photonic quantum annealer (Dirac-3, Quantum Computing Inc.), a commercial mixed-integer programming solver (Gurobi), and a model-free deep reinforcement learning agent (SAC). Evaluating these pipelines on the Jensen-Kelly-Pedersen 13-factor equity library across 164 months test window, we implement a full factorial penalty sweep comprising 48 hyperparameter configurations that govern return, volatility, and skewness trade-offs. Our findings demonstrate that while photonic hardware can locate superior risk-return topologies within a narrow operating range, classical mixed-integer programming remains superior for risk-constrained mandates requiring tight tail-risk control and cross-seed stability. Furthermore, we document structural failure modes in reinforcement learning factor allocators under unanchored higher-moment shaping. We translate these empirical results into actionable, mandate-specific guidelines for quantitative portfolio managers deploying advanced optimization engines.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2025

QuLTSF: Long-Term Time Series Forecasting with Quantum Machine Learning

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) involves predicting a large number of future values of a time series based on the past values. This is an essential task in a wide range of domains including weather forecasting, stock market analysis and disease outbreak prediction. Over the decades LTSF algorithms have transitioned from statistical models to deep learning models like transformer models. Despite the complex architecture of transformer based LTSF models `Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting? (Zeng et al., 2023)' showed that simple linear models can outperform the state-of-the-art transformer based LTSF models. Recently, quantum machine learning (QML) is evolving as a domain to enhance the capabilities of classical machine learning models. In this paper we initiate the application of QML to LTSF problems by proposing QuLTSF, a simple hybrid QML model for multivariate LTSF. Through extensive experiments on a widely used weather dataset we show the advantages of QuLTSF over the state-of-the-art classical linear models, in terms of reduced mean squared error and mean absolute error.

quant-ph↗