Pavel Kuznetsov | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

Catching the Rug: Early Prediction of Fraudulent Memecoins on Solana via Machine Learning

The rapid proliferation of memecoins on blockchain platforms has increased the risk of fraudulent activities, particularly rug pulls. While previous studies have focused on Ethereum-based tokens, this paper shifts the spotlight to Solana, the leading blockchain for memecoins by trading volume and token count. Unlike Ethereum, where rug pulls often exploit smart contract backdoors, Solana memecoin rug pulls are predominantly driven by liquidity manipulation and social dynamics. This research pioneers large-scale rug pull early detection in the Solana ecosystem by assembling a dataset of 6.4 million tokens over 7 months. Market analysis reveals that a vast majority of these memecoins exhibit rug pull characteristics within one hour of launch, highlighting the urgency of short-horizon prediction. Despite the absence of code-level features, we demonstrate that classic machine learning models, particularly Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), achieve robust performance in detecting potential rug pulls using only the first 5 minutes of trading data. Furthermore, we evaluate cross-platform generalization between PumpFun and Raydium, revealing that multi-source data fusion significantly mitigates domain shift and improves detection reliability. This study advances the understanding of DeFi fraud on high-throughput chains and provides a practical framework for protecting investors.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2015

Massive migration from the steppe is a source for Indo-European languages in Europe

We generated genome-wide data from 69 Europeans who lived between 8,000-3,000 years ago by enriching ancient DNA libraries for a target set of almost four hundred thousand polymorphisms. Enrichment of these positions decreases the sequencing required for genome-wide ancient DNA analysis by a median of around 250-fold, allowing us to study an order of magnitude more individuals than previous studies and to obtain new insights about the past. We show that the populations of western and far eastern Europe followed opposite trajectories between 8,000-5,000 years ago. At the beginning of the Neolithic period in Europe, ~8,000-7,000 years ago, closely related groups of early farmers appeared in Germany, Hungary, and Spain, different from indigenous hunter-gatherers, whereas Russia was inhabited by a distinctive population of hunter-gatherers with high affinity to a ~24,000 year old Siberian6 . By ~6,000-5,000 years ago, a resurgence of hunter-gatherer ancestry had occurred throughout much of Europe, but in Russia, the Yamnaya steppe herders of this time were descended not only from the preceding eastern European hunter-gatherers, but from a population of Near Eastern ancestry. Western and Eastern Europe came into contact ~4,500 years ago, as the Late Neolithic Corded Ware people from Germany traced ~3/4 of their ancestry to the Yamnaya, documenting a massive migration into the heartland of Europe from its eastern periphery. This steppe ancestry persisted in all sampled central Europeans until at least ~3,000 years ago, and is ubiquitous in present-day Europeans. These results provide support for the theory of a steppe origin of at least some of the Indo-European languages of Europe.

q-bio.PE↗